投资风格漂移与基金业绩——来自开放式基金的经验证据
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教育部人文社会科学一般项目(15YJA630073);广东省自然科学基金项目(2014A030313372);广东省学科建设项目(2013WYXM0013)


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    摘要:

    基金投资风格是双刃剑,带来短期超额收益同时也具有巨大漂移风险。目前我国基金信息披露制度不完善,相关监管缺失,加上投资者大多只注重收益而忽视风险,导致基金投资风格漂移现象普遍存在。选取2004年7月前成立的65只偏股型基金为样本,对样本基金在2005—2012年的实际投资风格进行识别,并检验基金业绩与风格漂移的关系,结果显示:基金存在严重的投资风格漂移现象,而且漂移随股市走势变化明显,基金整体上投资风格趋同;在价值/成长风格的漂移方面,大多数基金投资风格倾向于成长型或平衡型,价值型风格缺乏;在大/小盘风格的漂移方面,基金投资风格均匀分布于大盘和小盘,某些年份随股市走势变化,风格漂移明显且趋同;过去业绩越好的基金越容易发生投资风格漂移,且投资风格漂移并不能带来基金业绩的改善。

    Abstract:

    The investment style drift is a double-edged sword, which can not only produce short-term excess returns but also reflect huge risk behind it. Due to the fact that China’s fund information disclosure system is not perfect currently and is lack of adequate regulatory work as well as the fact that many investors focus on earnings and ignore the risk, the phenomenon of fund’s investment style drift is widespread. Selecting 65 partial stock funds which started before July 2004 as samples, this paper makes identification on the actual investment style of sample fund during the period of 2005—2012 and has an examination on the relationship between past performance and future style drift. We have the following findings: (1) There are serious investment style drift and the drift changes significantly with the market trend. Besides, the investment style of funds is in convergence obviously.(2)In terms of value/growth style drift, most of the fund investment styles tend to grow and balance, which illustrates the lack of value investment.(3)In terms of large/small cap style drift, investment styles in larger/small cap are even. The investment style changes with the market trend in some years, style drift is in convergence obviously.(4) The better the fund performance in the past, the more prone to investment style drift in the future. However, investment style drift can not bring the improvement of fund performance.

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肖继辉,张力戈.投资风格漂移与基金业绩——来自开放式基金的经验证据[J].南京审计大学学报,2016,(1):

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  • 在线发布日期: 2016-01-04
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