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金融研究  2016, Vol. 431 Issue (5): 19-34    
  本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
垄断与通货膨胀:理论与证据
彭方平, 周先波, 连玉君, 展凯
中山大学管理学院,广东广州 510275;
中山大学岭南学院,广东广州 510275;
广东外语外贸大学21世纪海上丝绸之路协同创新中心,广东广州 510006
Monopoly and Inflation: Theory and Evidence
PENG Fangping, ZHOU Xianbo, LIAN Yujun, ZHAN Kai
Business School ,Sun Yat-Sen University;Lingnan College, Sun Yat-Sen University;
Collaborative Innovation Center for 21st-Century Maritime Silk
Road Studies,Guangdong University of Foreign Studies
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摘要 本文从微观层面构建多维状态非线性系统理论模型,应用非线性模型预测控制方法研究了垄断与通货膨胀之间的关系。理论分析表明,垄断与通胀存在明显的正向关系。本文进一步应用变系数半参数估计方法为上述理论预期提供了经验支持,并发现我国在生产效率较低的行业中,垄断会导致显著的通胀效应,但这种效应在生产效率较高的行业中则明显减弱。上述结论对我国当前“下限保增长、上限防通胀”的宏观调控目标具有重要的启示意义。
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彭方平
周先波
连玉君
展凯
关键词:  通货膨胀  非线性模型预测控制  变系数半参数模型    
Abstract:  In this paper, a nonlinear system model with multidimensional states is built from the micro level, and resolved by a nonlinear model predictive control method. It is revealed that there is an obvious positive relationship between monopoly and inflation. The evidence from semiparametric estimation of the varying-coefficient panel data model shows that, monopoly behavior in a low-efficiency industry does have a significant effect on inflation while the effect for a high-efficiency industry is much weaker. The result has a significant implication for China’s macroeconomic control in maintaining the current growth and preventing potential inflation.
Key words:  Inflation    NMPC    Varying-coefficient Semiparametric Model
JEL分类号:  E31   C33   D42  
基金资助: 本文感谢国家自然科学基金(71201174,71371199,71002056),教育部人文社会科学研究规划项目(15YJA790079)和广东省自然科学基金(2014A030313577,S2013010015019)资助。
通讯作者:  连玉君,经济学博士,副教授,中山大学岭南学院,Email:lianyj@mail.sysu.edu.cn   
作者简介:  彭方平,经济学博士,副教授,中山大学管理学院,Email:pengfp@mail.sysu.edu.cn;周先波,经济学、理学博士,教授,中山大学岭南学院,Email:zhouxb@mail.sysu.edu.cn;展 凯,经济学博士,教授,广东外语外贸大学21世纪海上丝绸之路协同创新中心,Email:zhank97@163.com
引用本文:    
彭方平, 周先波, 连玉君, 展凯. 垄断与通货膨胀:理论与证据[J]. 金融研究, 2016, 431(5): 19-34.
PENG Fangping, ZHOU Xianbo, LIAN Yujun, ZHAN Kai. Monopoly and Inflation: Theory and Evidence. Journal of Financial Research, 2016, 431(5): 19-34.
链接本文:  
http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/  或          http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/Y2016/V431/I5/19
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