| 我国服务贸易进口、服务业 FDI与技术进步的关系研究——基于协整方法和VEC模型的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘艳.我国服务贸易进口、服务业 FDI与技术进步的关系研究——基于协整方法和VEC模型的实证分析[J].国际商务研究,2011,32(1):9-15. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘艳 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东金融学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文运用协整方法与VEC模型,对中国1985～2008年的服务贸易进口、服务业FDI与技术进步的关系进行了实证分析。实证结果表明,服务贸易进口、服务业FDI与技术进步之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系;服务贸易进口和服务业FDI是技术进步的Granger原因,但技术进步不是服务贸易进口和服务业FDI的Granger原因;VEC模型显示,从短期来看,二者之间的关系由短期偏离向长期均衡调整的速度很快,服务贸易进口和服务业FDI的短期波动对我国技术进步的影响非常显著。
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| 关 键 词： | 服务贸易进口 服务业FDI 技术进步 协整方法 VEC模型 |
| 收稿时间： | 2010/9/19 0:00:00 |
Services Imports and FDI in Services and Technological Progress——An Empirical Analysis Based on Co-integration Method and VEC Model |
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| LIU Yan.Services Imports and FDI in Services and Technological Progress——An Empirical Analysis Based on Co-integration Method and VEC Model[J].International Business Research,2011,32(1):9-15. |
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| Authors: | LIU Yan |
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| Abstract: | In accordance with co-integration method and VEC model,this paper discusses the relationship between services imports and FDI in services and technological progress in China based on the data from 1985 to 2008.The result shows that there exists a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between them,and services imports and FDI in services are a unidirectional Granger causality of technological progress.VEC model shows that in the short-run,the speed of the correction is very quick from the short fluctuati... |
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| Keywords: | services imports FDI in services technological progress co-integration method VEC model |
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