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Meta‐Analysis of Chinese Business Cycle Correlation
Authors:Jarko Fidrmuc  Iikka Korhonen
Affiliation:1. Zeppelin University Friedrichshafen, and Henan University, School of Economics, and Charles University Prague and Kaunas University of Technology;2. Bank of Finland Institute for Economies in Transition
Abstract:We review previous research on China's business cycle correlation with other economies applying meta‐analysis. We survey 71 papers analysing the different periods of Chinese economic development since the 1950s that were published in English or Chinese. We confirm that Pacific Rim economies in particular have relatively high business cycle correlation with China. It appears that many characteristics of the studies and authors influence the reported degree of business cycle synchronization. For instance, Chinese‐language papers report higher correlation coefficients. Despite this, we do not detect robust evidence for publication bias in the papers. Moreover, we show that the broad evidence does not confirm the popular decoupling hypothesis.
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