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Strengthening Post‐Crisis Fiscal Credibility: Fiscal Councils on the Rise – A New Dataset
Authors:Xavier Debrun  Tidiane Kinda
Affiliation:International Monetary Fund
Abstract:Institutions that aim to constrain policy discretion in order to promote sound fiscal policies are once again at the forefront of the policy debate. Interest in fiscal councils – independent watchdogs active in the public debate – has grown rapidly in recent years. In this paper, we present the first cross‐country dataset summarising key characteristics of fiscal councils among International Monetary Fund members. The data document a surge in the number of fiscal councils since the 2008–09 economic and financial crisis, and also illustrate that well‐designed fiscal councils are associated with stronger fiscal performance and better macro‐economic and budgetary forecasts. Key features of effective fiscal councils include operational independence from politics, the provision or public assessment of budgetary forecasts, a strong presence in the public debate and the monitoring of compliance with fiscal policy rules.
Keywords:Credibility of fiscal policy  fiscal councils  fiscal performance  fiscal rules  forecast errors  E62  H11  H61  H68
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