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上海自贸区的经济溢出效应——基于系统动力学的方法
引用本文:赵静.上海自贸区的经济溢出效应——基于系统动力学的方法[J].国际商务研究,2016,30(2):77-86, 96.
作者姓名:赵静
基金项目:国家自然科学基金面上项目“政策干预对我国不同组织模式贸易出口复杂度的影响”(项目编号:71373156)。
摘    要:<正>2015年6月6日,由上海对外经贸大学和上海社会科学院联合主办的"‘一带一路’战略下的国家与区域经济发展"学术研讨会在上海对外经贸大学松江校区举行。上海市世界经济学会会长张幼文教授、上海社会科学院副院长黄仁伟、对外经济贸易大学副校长林桂军、中国人民大学重阳研究院王义桅教授、中国与全球化智库研究院"一带一路"研究所执行所长黄日涵以及来自上海对外经贸大

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A Study on SFTZ Spillover Effect Based on System Dynamics
ZHAO Jing.A Study on SFTZ Spillover Effect Based on System Dynamics[J].International Business Research,2016,30(2):77-86, 96.
Authors:ZHAO Jing
Abstract:As the leading of China FTZ, Shanghai FTZ has been operating for more than two years and it does promote the development of Shanghai and surrounding areas. This paper verifies the Shanghai FTZ spillover effects on economy, talents and the aggregation of policy level. We establish the spillover effect model and conduct simulation experiments on VENSIM platform based on the data from Shanghai FTZ. The results indicate that the development of Shanghai FTZ plays positive effects on the economy, talents and policy growth of Shanghai and surrounding areas, although the spillover effects are mostly channeled through short-term funds, talents and policy aspects. This paper implies that it is better for FTZ to format a virtuous circle of economic system and a replicable innovation method aiming to drive and support the development of Shanghai and the surrounding areas.
Keywords:SFTZ  system dynamics  spillover effect  simulation prediction
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