Poverty Dynamics in Turkey |
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| Authors: | Sırma Demir Şeker Meltem Dayıoğlu |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Republic of Turkey Ministry of Development;2. Middle East Technical University;3. Economic Research Forum |
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| Abstract: | This paper examines poverty dynamics in Turkey using a nationally representative panel data covering the 2005–08 period. The aim is to understand mobility in and out of poverty and its correlates. We find that almost a quarter of the poor are persistently poor. The conditional and unconditional exit rates that we estimate are within the range of values reported for developed countries in the literature. That the income events—but not transfers—dominate both poverty entries and exits is indicative of the major role labor markets play in the lives of the poor. In particular, we argue that given the characteristics of the poor and modest levels of social assistance, the reason for mobility rates close to European averages must be sought in the informal economy. |
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| Keywords: | D31 I32 I38 entry and exit rate poverty dynamics trigger events Turkey |
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