| 中国服务贸易潜力——基于引力模型的测算 |
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| 作者单位： | 东华大学旭日工商管理学院,上海,200051 |
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| 摘 要： | 国外使用引力模型研究服务贸易始于2002年,国内研究则起步稍晚,至2009年方有学者致力于此类研究。从使用数据和实证模型两方面看,现有研究都有可进一步拓展的潜力。本文基于引力模型对服务贸易的决定因素进行识别与测算。本文在实证部分采用了基本引力模型,使用4种计量方法。结果显示:贸易双方经济规模、经济发展水平、物理距离和自由贸易区对总服务贸易额和分部门贸易额的影响表现出不同的显著性。
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| 关 键 词： | 引力模型 服务贸易 贸易潜力 决定因素 |
Potential of China' s Trade in Services: A Study Based on Gravity Model |
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| Authors: | LIU Zheng-kai |
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| Abstract: | It is not until 2002 that international scholars began to study trade in services with gravity equation.Chinese scholars did not do the same study until 2009.Based on the gravity model,this paper distinguishes and measures the determinants of trade in services and then estimates the export potential of China's trade in services.In the empirical part of this paper,basic and expand gravity models are used,and four measurement methods are applied.The result shows that GDP,population,physical distance and FTA show different significance when they impact the total volumes of trade in service and sub-sectors respectively. |
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| Keywords: | gravity model trade in service potential determinants |
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