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1.
对中国1978—2008年城市化、农业现代化与农民收入增加之间动态关系的实证研究表明,三者之间存在着长期稳定的协整关系;城市化是农业现代化的Granger原因,城市化与农民收入增加之间存在着双向的因果关系;农业现代化水平和农民收入水平的提高会促进城市化水平的提高,且后者的促进作用非常显著;城市化会阻碍农业现代化水平的提高,城市化在短期内会不利于农民收入增长,但在长期内会对农民增收产生一定的促进作用。  相似文献   

2.
山东省对外贸易与经济增长关系实证分析   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
本文研究了山东省1984~2004年期间进出口贸易与经济增长之间的关系,通过运用协整分析、VAR方差分解和Grange,因果检验等计量方法进行检验发现,山东省进出口贸易和经济增长之间存在着显著的协整关系,其中经济增长是进口贸易的Granger因,进口贸易是出口贸易的Granger因。另外,对外贸易时不同产业也有着不同的影响,其中对第一产业影响最大,而第一产业对对外贸易也影响很大,说明山东省在国际贸易方面也是一个农业大省。  相似文献   

3.
本文利用1984年—2004年的相关数据,在分析中日贸易对中国经济增长作用的机理的基础上,运用协整理论对中日贸易与中国经济增长的关系进行了实证分析。通过检验发现中国经济和中国对日本进出口总额之间存在着唯一的协整关系,中国经济增长和中日贸易之间存在单向的Granger因果关系,中国经济的发展大大促进了中日两国贸易的开展,而中日贸易对中国经济增长的影响不显著。  相似文献   

4.
运用E-G两步法和Granger因果关系检验法,利用Grubel-Lloyd产业内贸易加权指数,对我国1992~2010年间初级农产品产业内贸易与农业经济增长之间的关系进行了实证研究,发现初级农产品产业内贸易与农业经济增长之间存在长期稳定的关系和单向因果关系,初级农产品产业内贸易已经成为促进中国农业经济增长的重要因素。  相似文献   

5.
利用协整理论与Granger因果关系检验方法,分析辽宁省对外贸易与经济增长之间的关系.研究表明,辽宁省的出口与经济增长之间、进出口总量与经济增长之间以及进口、出口和经济增长三者之间存在着长期均衡关系,出口、进口、进出口总量和经济增长之间存在单向的因果关系.因此,辽宁省的经济增长仍是出口导向型的,应在加大出口的同时,重视进口的作用.  相似文献   

6.
改革开放20多年以来,我国经济取得了举世瞩目的成就,对外贸易得以飞速发展。本文采用ADF检验、协整检验、向量误差修正模型、Granger因果检验、方差分解和脉冲响应函数等一系列现代经济计量学方法,研究我国改革开放以来对外贸易与经济增长之间的长期动态均衡关系及信息传导机制。结果表明:进出口与经济增长之间存在着长期均衡关系,但从短期来看,均衡关系由短期偏离向长期均衡调整的速度较慢。进出口与经济增长之间存在着单向的Granger因果关系。进口和出口对经济增长都具有拉动作用,但拉动作用在长期和短期的表现有所不同。  相似文献   

7.
我国对外贸易与经济增长之间关系的实证检验:1978-2002   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
利用 1978— 2 0 0 2年的年度数据 ,采用协整分析技术、误差修正模型和多变量Granger因果关系检验方法 ,检验了我国出口、进口与经济增长之间的关系。实证分析结果表明 ,GDP、出口与进口之间存在惟一的协整关系 ,即三者之间存在长期的稳定均衡关系 ;同时存在 3个单向的Granger因果关系 :出口增长是经济增长的Granger原因、进口增长是经济增长的Granger原因、进口增长是出口增长的Granger原因 ,我国应采用出口贸易与进口贸易并重的贸易政策。  相似文献   

8.
根据江西省1980年~2011年的年度样本数据,运用协整检验、误差修正模型、Granger因果关系检验和脉冲响应函数在内的时间序列分析方法,分析了财政支农、农业信贷与江西省农民人均纯收入增长的关系.研究表明:江西省财政支农、农业信贷与农民人均纯收入之间存在长期均衡关系,农业税取消后,财政支农对农民人均纯收入增长弹性显著增加,但农业信贷总体上发挥着更为重要的作用;财政支农、农业信贷是农民入均纯收入增长的Granger原因;农业信贷对农民人均纯收入的增长存在滞后效应.因此,应加大财政支农力度,优化财政资金配置;加大农业贷款扶持农业的力度;加强农民自我资金积累.  相似文献   

9.
以国家统计局发布的1956-2004年度统计数据为基础,实证分析贵州省进出口贸易与经济增长之间的互动关系.结果显示:贵州省进出口贸易与经济增长之间存在着互动因果关系;贵州省的进出口贸易总额的增长,需要有更大的GDP总额的支撑和发展外向型经济的有力措施.  相似文献   

10.
对我国的进口、出口和GDP进行协整分析可以发现,三个变量之间存在协整关系,但不能将其约束为GDP和贸易总额或净出口之间的长期关系.Granger因果检验表明,进出口增长都是GDP增长的Granger原因,但反过来GDP增长则不是进出口增长的Granger原因.长期因果检验则表明,GDP和出口、进口和出口之间的长期因果关系都是双向的,而GDP对进口具有单向的长期因果性.  相似文献   

11.
中小城市、中小连锁、中小商业是中国商业的基础,具有点多面广、分散全国、贴近生活的特点,与广大消费的经济联系最为直接、广泛、密切。随着流通领域的全面开放,立足中小、扶持中小、发展中小是中国零售业发展战略选择之一。  相似文献   

12.
This research examines the effect of an alliance competence on resource-based alliance success. The fundamental thesis guiding this research is that an alliance competence contributes to alliance success, both directly and through the acquisition and creation of resources. Using survey data gathered from 145 alliances, empirical tests of the hypotheses provide support for the posited explanation of alliance success. The findings indicate that an alliance competence is not only antecedent to the resources that are necessary for alliance success but also to alliance success itself. C. Jay Lambe (Ph.D., The Darden School at University of Virginia) is an assistant professor of marketing in the Pamplin College of Business at Virginia Tech. For 10 years prior to entering academe, he was engaged in business-to-business marketing for both Xerox and AT&T. His research interests include business-to-business marketing, relationship marketing, marketing strategy, and sales management. He has publications in theJournal of the Academy of Marketing Science, theJournal of Product Innovation Management, theEuropean Journal of Marketing, theJournal of Personal Selling and Sales Management, theInternational Journal of Management Reviews, theJournal of Business-to-Business Marketing, and theJournal of Relationship Marketing. He also serves as a reviewer for theJournal of Business-to-Business Marketing. Prior to joining the faculty at Virginia Tech, he was one of five Texas Tech University faculty members chosen in 1999 from the entire university for the annual Outstanding Faculty Member Award by the Mortar Board and Omicron Delta Kappa (Texas Tech University student organizations that recognize excellence in teaching). Robert E. Spekman is the Tayloe Murphy Professor of Business Administration at the Darden School at the University of Virginia. He was formerly a professor of marketing and associate director of the Center for Telecommunications at the University of Southern California. He is an internationally recognized authority on business-to-business marketing and strategic alliances. His consulting experiences range from marketing research and competitive analysis, to strategic market planning, supply chain management, channels of distribution design and implementation, and strategic partnering. He has taught in a number of executive programs in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Asia, and Europe. His executive program experience ranges from general marketing strategy, to sales force management, to channels strategy, to creating strategic alliances, to business-to-business marketing strategy, to a number of single-company and senior executive management programs. He has edited and/or written seven books and has authored (coauthored) more than 80 articles and papers. He also serves as a reviewer for a number of marketing and management journals, as well as for the National Science Foundation. Prior to joining the faculty at the University of Southern California, he taught in the College of Business at the University of Maryland, College Park. During his tenure at Maryland, he was granted the Most Distinguished Faculty Award by the MBA students on three separate occasions. Shelby D. Hunt is the J. B. Hoskins and P. W. Horn Professor of Marketing at Texas Tech University, Lubbock. A past editor of theJournal of Marketing (1985–87), he is the author ofModern Marketing Theory: Critical Issues in the Philosophy of Marketing Science (South-Western, 1991) andA General Theory of Competition: Resources, Competences, Productivity, Economic Growth (Sage, 2000). He has written numerous articles on competitive theory, macromarketing, ethics, channels of distribution, philosophy of science, and marketing theory. Three of hisJournal of Marketing articles—“The Nature and Scope of Marketing” (1976), “General Theories and Fundamental Explananda of Marketing” (1983), and “The Comparative Advantage Theory of Competition” (1995) (with Robert M. Morgan)—won the Harold H. Maynard Award for the best article on marketing theory. His 1985Journal of Business Research article with Lawrence B. Chonko, “Ethics and Marketing Management,” received the 2000 Elsevier Science Exceptional Quality and High Scholarly Impact award. His 1989 article, ”Reification and Realism in Marketing: in Defense of Reason,” won theJournal of Macromarketing Charles C. Slater Award. For his contributions to theory and science in marketing, he received the 1986 Paul D. Converse Award from the American Marketing Association, the 1987 Outstanding Marketing Educator Award from the Academy of Marketing Science, and the 1992 American Marketing Association/Richard D. Irwin Distinguished Marketing Educator Award.  相似文献   

13.
仁义礼智信忠孝新论   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
仁、义、礼、智、信、忠、孝是儒家伦理学中的基本概念,也是中国古代化中的基本概念.本立足于这些概念的字学基础,通过逻辑思辩的方法,试图给它们以新的阐释。  相似文献   

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16.
京津冀区域经济一体化的演变、现状及发展对策   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
建立和实现区域经济一体化,逐步消除区域间的壁垒和封锁,构建统一的市场体系是中国最终实现全国统一大市场的必然步骤。在这一推进过程中,京津冀区域经济一体化发展缓慢。针对京津冀区域经济一体化过程中所面临的困境,应采取在经济、教育和税收方面的政策统一等措施来加速京津冀协调发展。  相似文献   

17.
Materialism, status signaling, and product satisfaction   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
The consumer satisfaction literature has not, for the mos part, integrated individual values into the product evaluation process. Yet a comprehensive understanding of consumer satisfaction can best be attained by including both consumer and product factors. To demonstrate the usefulness of including individual values, this research focuses on one consumer value, namely, materialism. The authors empirically explore how this individual value is linked to consumers’ evaluations of products they have purchased. Using surveys, the authors collected data from a sample of college students (n=211) and a sample of adults (n=270). Across these two studies, using divergent samples and products, they find consistent evidence that materialism is negatively related to product satisfaction in product categories with high potential for status signaling, but unrelated to product satisfaction in product categories with lower potential for status signaling. The consumption goals that produce these product evaluations are empirically addressed Jeff Wang (jianfeng76@yahoo.com; PhD, City University of Hong Kong) is an assistant professor of marketing in the Faculty of Business at the City University of Hong Kong. This work was conducted when he was a doctoral student of marketing in the Eller College of Management at the University of Arizona. His research interests include social networks and consumer behavior, consumer satisfaction and well-being, materialism and consumption meanings, and consumer interests and public policy issues. His dissertation studies credit card debt as a socially embedded phenomenon and investigates how consumers leverage their interpersonal ties as they accumulate and repay their debt. Melanie Wallendorf (mwallendorf@eller.arizona.edu) is Soldwedel Professor of Marketing in the Eller College of Management at the University of Arizona. She holds an MS in sociology and a PhD in marketing from the University of Pittsburgh. Her articles on the sociocultural aspects of consumption have been published in theJournal of Consumer Research, Journal of Marketing Research, Advertising and Society Review, Addiction, Journal of Macromarketing, andAmerican Behavioral Scientist, among others. Her coauthored article on “The Sacred and Profane in Consumer Behavior” won theJournal of Consumer Research Best Article Award in 1992. Her research has been featured in theWall Street Journal, The Washington Post, The New York Times, American Demographics, andFortune, and has been funded by the Marketing Science Institute, the Arizona Disease Control Research Commission, and the Office of Earth Science at NASA.  相似文献   

18.
审计署及部分省审计厅发布的保障性安居工程审计结果表明,部分不符合条件家庭"不应进却进""应退却未退"保障房,造成了部分保障房错配。在上述典型事实的基础上,厘清造成保障房错配的各影响因素,进而构建不符合条件家庭与保障房分配政策执行者之间的博弈模型进行不对称信息静态博弈分析,求解不符合条件家庭隐瞒信息或寻租行为与影响因素之间的定量关系。因此,为了提高保障房的配置效率,需要提高监管精准度、降低监管成本、加大处罚力度、压缩保障房利润空间等。  相似文献   

19.
资源、技术、制度与经济增长   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
资源、技术、制度三类因素在经济增长中的作用得到学术界越来越广泛的承认.从静态的角度,资源的数量取决于技术水平;一定技术水平决定了一个国家的潜在最大产量,而制度则决定了这种潜在量转变为现实量的程度.从动态的角度,技术变迁和制度变迁是解决人类与自然紧张关系的两种手段,不存在谁一定决定谁的关系;在经济发展的不同阶段,资源、技术和制度对经济增长的贡献不同.  相似文献   

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