加快发展国有商业银行个人银行业务探讨

国有商业银行个人银行业务发展中存在的问题 近年来,国有商业银行不断创新个人银行业务产品,完善个人银行业务运作体系,个人银行业务获得了迅速发展.但是,在发展过程中也存在一些问题,直接影响到个人银行业务的健康发展.     

个人银行业务发展的对策选择

我国个人银行业务发展的基本内容主要包括“统一规划,提供有效服务”、“开展个人银行业务的‘零售服务’”、“以银行卡带动个人银行业务全面发展”、“积极开展消费信贷”等多种方式的金融业务,其目的在于启动个人银行业务市场,加快金融业务的发展。     

个人银行业务渐露峥嵘

长期以来商业银行一直把企业客户作为重点发展的对象,以往个人银行业务在国有商业银行的业务发展中不仅起步晚,个人客户所受的重视程度也远不及规模大、实力强的公司客户。然而这一切在本世纪初悄悄发生了改变,直观上的改变是不论国有商业银行还是股份制商业银行都纷纷加大对个人银行业务的重视程度,产品翻新、服务升级,各类理财中心层出不穷。在这一系列"新气象"的背后,还有一个深层次的利益驱动的问题,这个利益驱动在于个人银行业务利润高,风险分散,更在于国内银行已经意识到个人银行业务是现代商业银行的发展趋势,发展此项业务是国内银行业参与国际化金融竞争的需要。从国有商业银行的角度看,发展个人银行业务机遇与挑战并存,在现有的经营机制下怎样与机制灵活的股份制银行、经验丰富的外资银行展开竞争是一个值得我们共同思考的问题。     

私人银行业务:国有商业银行的“发力点”

随着居民个人和家庭所拥有的金融资产比重的上升,个人客户的金融需求会更加旺盛,私人银行业务逐步开始升温,本文就新形势下国有商业银行如何发展私人银行业务做了初步分析。     

私人银行业务:国有商业银行的"发力点"

随着居民个人和家庭所拥有的金融资产比重的上升,个人客户的金融需求会更加旺盛,私人银行业务逐步开始升温,本文就新形势下国有商业银行如何发展私人银行业务做了初步分析.     

关于国有商业银行发展私人银行业务的建议

目前,中国高净值人群的财富稳健增长,有理由相信中国将成为世界最大的高净值客群市场之一,这将为中国私人银行业务提供良好的发展环境。本文认为,私人银行业务是银行业务规模、收入和利润的新增长极,发展私人银行业务对于国有商业银行业务全面发展具有重要意义。本文分析了中国国有商业银行发展私人银行业务的重要契机、竞争态势和发展趋势,但是中国国有商业银行发展私人银行业务也面临私人银行组织和服务体系有待加强、产品设计需要改进等问题,据此从加强客户管理、提高产品创新能力以及提高综合化服务能力等方面提出政策建议。     

关于商业银行个人银行业务开展外部营销的几点思考——三门峡某银行开展外部营销活动的启示

随着四大国有商业银行相继完成股改上市,各国有商业银行网点改造和网点建设水平竞相提高,传统网点营销手段的“易复制性”,使得原本在个人银行业务领域领先同业的三门峡某银行感到外部的竞争压力骤增.“走出去”势必成为银行未来发展个人业务,实现错层竞争,赢得竞争优势的必然选择.通过对该行实施外部营销的解析,试图对商业银行个人银行业务营销模式提供一些新的思路和方法.     

加快个人征信业发展的思考

个人银行业务是商业银行重要的利润来源，而我国目前个人银行业务的发展正面临着“信用缺失”的制约。建立和完善个人征信制度，推动我国个人银行业务的发展，已成为银行业的现实课题。     

国有商业银行零售业务发展的问题及对策

由于零售银行业务收益的稳定性和增长性,国内商业银行纷纷提出向零售银行业务的战略转型,使得零售市场的竞争日益激烈。本文基于我国零售银行市场结构特征的演变趋势,分析了我国国有商业银行零售业务发展中面临的问题和困难,并借鉴国外活跃银行发展零售业务的基础条件和经验,为我国国有商业银行零售业务的拓展提出了相应的对策。     

我国私人银行业务发展存在的问题及思考

2006年以来，随着主要国有商业银行改制、上市工作取得重要进展，以及银行业的全面开放，以高端客户为服务对象的私人银行业务已成为商业银行关注的焦点。面对外资银行对国内市场中高端客户的激烈争夺，为了留住、吸引更多的高端客户，国内商业银行纷纷着手筹备私人银行业务，提供的私人银行服务雏形已显现。因此，分析当前我国私人银行业务发展面临的主要问题，探讨发展私人银行业务的主要措施就具有重要的现实意义。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.     

浅议金融机构的举证责任

金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.