基于两种美学理论的比较分析与研究

包孕性顷刻理论和意境理论都是很有影响的美学理论,两种理论既有相似点,也有明显的差异。通过比较,我们可以对这两个美学理论有更深入、清晰的理解。同时也可以见出我国古代文论的博大精深,可以帮助我们树立文化自信,是对当今中国文学理论的"西化"与"失语"现象的有力反驳。     

Factional Conflict Through the Generations

There are some kinds of violent conflicts between factions in which one generation of belligerents trains a successive generation to continue and/ or enlarge the scale of conflict in an arena where the hostilities are internecine A model is developed of the devolution of internecine conflict using the lexicon of game theory and the simple mathematics of probability Assumptions pertaining to the behavior and attitudes of factions are transcribed into mathematics to formulate a theory of conflict resolution The theory is general enough to be applied to the struggles in the Middle East as well as to warfare among youth gangs The chief proposition to emerge from the analysis demonstrates how the statistical incidence of aggressive and peaceable factions varies over time The time path has the characteristics of a stochastic process with estimable parameters     

Do I have to go shopping again? A theory of choice with movement costs

In this model, the standard theory of the one-person household is extended into space and time. The theory is extended into space by imposition of a real trip cost on the act of purchase, separate from the money price of commodities. It is extended into time by imposition of a real cost of storage (represented by “deterioration”) on the stocks of goods held in the household between shopping trips. The necessity for storage permits the theory to include an endogenous choice of capacity to store as well as choices among consumption, leisure, and shopping trip frequency. By use of duality theory, the comparative static effects of price, wage, and trip costs are examined. Production and transformation within the household are integrated into the model and shown to be covered by the dual approach.     

论英语课堂教学中的教师言语行为与话语策略

英语课堂教学是一个实践性、艺术性很强的工作。英语教师的英语课堂教学言语行为及其话语形式是保证课堂教学质量的重要一环。本文在简要介绍"言语行为理论、对话理论、交往行为理论"的同时,从英语课堂教学言语行为的话语过程出发,着重讨论了英语课堂话语特征和教学言语行为的话语结构模式并提出了作者关于英语课堂教师教学言语行为的话语策略。     

Latent variable models for time series: A frequency domain approach with an application to the permanent income hypothesis

The theory of estimation and inference in a very general class of latent variable models for time series is developed by showing that the distribution theory for the finite Fourier transform of the observable variables in latent variable models for time series is isomorphic to that for the observable variables themselves in classical latent variable models. This implies that analytic work on classical latent variable models can be adapted to latent variable models for time series, an implication which is illustrated here in the context of a general canonical form. To provide an empirical example a latent variable model for permanent income is developed, its parameters are shown to be identified, and a variety of restrictions on these parameters implied by the permanent income hypothesis are tested.     

衡钢高锅工程达产达效对策研究

文章介绍了衡钢高锅工程达产达效的情况,分析了达产达效过程中的出现的主要困难和问题,并从生产决策理论、现代化生产管理理论、品种结构优化等几个方面探讨了高锅工程达产达效采取的对策及措施,同时还介绍了这些措施实施的效果和基本经验。     

群体行为对个体行为影响视角下的高校学生管理

本文主要运用组织行为学理论中的群体行为和个体行为理论,分析当今大学生群体行为对个体行为的影响在高校管理中的应用,为学生营造良好的成长环境。同时,根据分析的成果提出如何针对大学生进行有效管理的建设性意见。     

Reason,Intuition, and Time

We study the influence of reason and intuition on decision‐making over time. Facing a sequence of similar problems, agents can either decide rationally according to expected utility theory or intuitively according to case‐based decision theory. Rational decisions are more precise but create higher costs, though these costs may decrease over time. We find that intuition will outperform reason in the long run if individuals are sufficiently ambitious. Moreover, intuitive decisions are prevalent in the early and late stages of a learning process, whereas reason governs decisions in intermediate stages. Examples range from playing behavior in games like chess to professional decisions during a manager's career. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Optimal experimental design in econometrics: The time series problem

Experiments in economics are expensive in terms of dollars and time. This suggests that efficient design is crucial, and that there is a need for econometricians to extend design theory to handle peculiarities of economic experimentation. This paper concerns optimal experimental design for various time series models. Examples are presented illustrating the improvement in estimation accuracy that can be obtained.     

军事物流外包风险管理问题研究

随着新时期世界军事革命的兴起以及军事物流理论的完善，军事物流外包日益引起人们的重视，同时军事物流外包存在的风险也越来越明显。文中结合风险管理的相关理论，讨论了军事物流外包风险的识别、评估、处理和监控，并且给我军军事物流外包风险提出了具体对策。     

军事物流外包风险研究

随着新时期世界军事革命的兴起以及军事物流理论的完善,军事物流外包的地位日益重要,同时军事物流外包存在的风险也越来越明显。结合风险管理的相关理论,讨论了军事物流外包风险的识别、评估、处理和监控,并且给我军军事物流外包风险提出了具体对策。     

Connectedness and risk spillovers in China’s stock market: A sectoral analysis

This paper shows how sectors in the Chinese stock market are connected and investigates risk spillovers across these sectors. Using graph theory and a recently developed time series technique, we are able to identify the systemically important sector in the market and the patterns of risk spillovers across sectors over time. Unlike standard econometric modeling, graph theory enables us to approach this question in a more reader-friendly way. The empirical results show that Industrial sector plays a central role and should thus be considered the systemically most important sector in the Chinese stock market. The spillover structure is found to be time-varying. While Industrial sector dominates the system for most of the time, other sectors such as Consumer Discretionary sector also occasionally appear as the central sector. Our empirical results also indicate that the simple correlation-based approach can produce equally useful information as more advanced econometric models.     

Marketing managers need more than forecasting accuracy

In theory, time series models can provide more accurate predictions than econometric models. However, time series models do so by introducing bias. To marketing managers who are interested in planning as well as forecasting, lack of bias is more important than accuracy.     

A generalization of residential location theory

This paper offers a more general theory of residential location as an alternative to the ‘trade- off’ model. The theory takes account of multiple employment centers, time as well as income constraints, environmental quality, non-work trips, local jurisdictions, the restricted number of houses available for occupation at any time and the constraints on choice imposed by the search process. The result is a very irregular bid rent surface. Its implications for the aggregate rent surface are discussed.     

Individual differences in implicit theories of leadership ability and self‐efficacy: Predicting responses to stereotype threat

Extending research on implicit theories to the leadership domain, we examined how individual differences in belief about the malleability of leadership ability influenced responses to stereotype threat. The study consisted of two time periods. At time 1, we assessed individual differences in implicit theories of leadership ability and self‐efficacy for leadership. At time 2, we activated a stereotype threat in a high‐stakes environment. Results revealed that women reported lower self‐evaluation after a stereotype threat when they had low self‐efficacy and believed leadership ability to be fixed (entity theory) rather than malleable (incremental theory). Results are discussed in terms of how implicit theories generate a network of allied cognitions and emotions that subsequently predict stable patterns of behavior.     

MODELLING COGNITIVELY BOUNDED RATIONALITY: AN EVALUATIVE TAXONOMY

Abstract Since its origins in the 1950s, the notion of bounded rationality has been incorporated into economic theory using an array of methodological approaches. This paper presents a taxonomy by which these approaches can be categorized and understood, evaluating each approach against a range of important criteria. At a time when the foundations of economic theory are being re‐examined, this paper should be viewed as a first step towards an assessment of the appropriate role that this more realistic view of cognition should take in different areas of economic theory, and also of the desirable characteristics of models that incorporate it.     

Divisia price and quantity indices: 80 years after

This paper reviews and extends the theory of price and quantity indices which are defined as line integrals, the two types being those of Divisia and Montgomery. The properties of these indices are systematically explored, whereby in particular attention is paid to the path-(in)dependency issue. Two sections discuss the problem of how to approximate the line integral indices when only data at discrete points of time are available. It appears that every bilateral index can be conceived as the outcome of a line integral index over a particular curve in price–quantity space. The classical position is that chained bilateral indices are rationalized by Divisia indices. This rationalization is only interesting when the Divisia indices themselves possess a proper foundation in economic theory. The final sections are therefore devoted to the role played by the Divisia indices in micro-economic theory.     

Variations in the value of reductions in commuting time

This paper applies the theory of consumer choice to investigate the variations in the value of a marginal reduction in commuting for motorists. Two models are developed: Model I includes leisure and goods in the utility function and Model II adds commuting time to the utility function. Model I predicts that the value of a marginal reduction in commuting time increases as income or commuting time increases and decreases as commuting time saved increases. Model II does not have clear qualitative implications. The empirical tests generally support Model I.     

Developing Stakeholder Theory

Previous literature has led to a lack of appreciation of: the range of organization/stakeholder relations that can occur; the extent to which such relations change over time; as well as how and why such changes occur. In particular, extremely negative and highly conflicting relations between organizations and stakeholders have been ignored. Due to this lack of appreciation it is argued that current attempts at integrating the separate strands of stakeholder theory to achieve a convergent stakeholder theory are premature. A model is presented which combines stakeholder theory with a realist theory of social change and differentiation. This model is intended to highlight why it is important to distinguish different stakeholders. The model also enables an analysis of the organization/stakeholder relationship, which is not exclusively from the organization perspective and which is capable of illuminating why and how organization/stakeholder relations change over time. The history of Greenpeace is used as an example.     

基于高职院校理论课程走实践教学路径的调研分析

思想政治理论课实践教学特指校外的社会实践。高职院校思想政治理论课实践教学存在的主要问题是课时保证难,经费落实难,远未"全员"。将思想政治理论课实践教学向假期延伸,既不增加课时,又不增加经费,而又覆盖了全体学生,是高职院校思想政治理论课实践教学的路径选择。