新兴国家崛起与美国霸权的维持

新世纪的前夜，美国已经距离赢得冷战过去十年。携科索沃战争完胜之势．昂首跨入新世纪。诞生在美国的信息技术革命正处于鼎盛期．互联网业务的发展正在席卷全球，美国经济增势强劲，国力如日中天。大多数美国人依然相信新的世纪依然是美国的世纪，并且在可预见的未来里美国仍能保持这一地位。     

特里芬悖论与美国国债

特里芬悖论揭示了美元作为国际结算货币和储备货币,币值不稳定的问题,归根结底是美国在全球经济中的地位下降导致的,美国经济实力与美元国际货币地位不相称。但由于特里芬悖论目前很难有效解决,美元国际货币地位下降对美国国债需求冲击有限。目前市场中还没有一种完美的货币可以充当国际货币,特别提款权由于本身的缺陷也很难成为国际货币基础,其被广泛接受还面临挑战。未来相当长一段时期,美元仍是全球主要国际结算和储备货币,其国际货币地位很难面临严峻挑战。     

安博在美国首创垂直型“未来仓库”

处于全球仓储领域领导地位的安博(Prologis)在西雅图建立了所谓的“未来仓库”,该项目可能会对安博、美国仓库行业以及电子商务市场的增长带来重大的影响。     

声音

"到2030年,发展中国家在全球总投资中的比重将超过一半,而在全球资本存量中所占的比重也将显著上升。"——这是世界银行在《未来的资本:相互依存世界中的储蓄与投资》报告中所提出的预测。这份报告探讨了未来20年全球投资、储蓄和资本流动模式的变化趋势。世行预计,到2030年,发展中国家在全球投资中的比重将从2000年的五分之一上升至五分之三,而占全球资本存量的比重将从目前的不到三分之一升至二分之一。报告认为,这些年来,发展中国家生产率的提升、日益融入全球市场、良好的宏观政策以及教育和健康的改善,加快了经济增长并创造了大量的投资机会,促使全球经济重心向发展中国家转移。     

美欧的货币政策及对我国的启示

中央银行货币政策对全球经济的影响力,一般建立在其货币对全球经济影响力基础之上.美联储调息之所以备受各国关注,其关键是美元在全球经济和金融中所具有的重要地位.     

美国智库:美利坚智慧的源泉

本文从美国智库发展的历程入手,总结智库当前发展的新趋势,分析智库影响政府决策的手段,从而探讨其在确立和维护美国霸权地位的过程中所发挥的作用,以及对我国政府科学决策、科学用人和政策推行的启示。     

创造全球领先市场

早前的东亚出口、美国高消费,以及资源供给国的"三角循环"的经济模式,已经被金融危机打破。"十二五"规划中最突出的思考就是,未来全球的市场在哪里?陈建明(嘉宾主持、德勤全国客户与市场战略主管合伙人):全球的经济环境、社会环境、甚至于政治环境都发生了根本性改变。中国也提出了调整经济结构,在这样的背景下,企业有哪些发展机遇?范黎波(对外经贸大学教授):英国在工业革命以后保持了68年的发展,美国则发展了70年,中国已经高速发展30年了,     

中小企业创新已经成为经济增长的重要源泉

不论是在发达国家,还是在发展中国家,中小企业在社会经济中均占有突出地位。中小企业的地位之所以重要,并不仅仅是因为它提供了大量的就业机会,创造了相当部分的国民财富,还因为它在自主创新中扮演了非常重要的角色,为市场注入了发展的活力。创新是一国经济增长之源。随着科学技术的迅猛发展,美国作为世界第一经济大国,从20世纪70年代开始,不断加大对研究开发和科技成果产业化的投人.不仅有效地扩大了内需、实现了充分就业,而且在新技术领域和信息技术产业方面,成为世界最大的供应国。1937年,美国在全球信息市场中所占的份额为41.8%,大大高…     

浅议会计准则中的收入确认问题

在全球经济一体化建设进程不断加剧与企业规模持续扩大的推动作用之下,财会事业在整个国民经济建设发展中所占据的地位日益关键。企业作为市场经济建设发展过程中的主要参与者,在发展规模不断扩大及管理精细化持续深入的情况下其自身经营管理项目也日     

美国债券市场发展浅析

在过去的十几年中,全球的金融市场风起云涌。次贷危机前,全球金融市场呈现一派繁盛的景象,金融全球化加快了全球经济一体化的步伐的同时也促进了全球的繁荣;危机后,全球金融市场出现出满目凄惨的局面,国际金融市场上,大国之间剑拔弩张使人们为经济的未来前景担忧。不管是在危机前还是危机后,美国发达的债券市场都在其中扮演着关键推手的角色,可谓是成也"萧何",败也"萧何"。探究美国债券市场如此发达的发展经验,总结美国债券市场在发展中的教训,这对发展我国的债券市场乃至金融市场有着重要的借鉴意义。     

Liquefied Natural Gas: Redefining Nature,Restructuring Geopolitics,Returning to the Periphery?

The liquefied natural gas (LNG) industry began as a means of making use of natural gas resources in socially remote regions and of natural gas associated with oil production. Natural gas was transformed from a waste product into LNG that could be moved thousands of miles to market, redefining “waste” as a valuable raw material. As the newest large-scale LNG exporter, the United States entered the LNG industry based on another redefinition of nature: the extraction of natural gas previously economically and technologically inaccessible in shale formations. Hydraulic fracturing and new drilling technologies have created reserves of natural gas that are driving down prices with excess production and provoking a search for new markets via LNG exports. Liquefied natural gas is reshaping economies, communities, industries, and ecosystems in the United States and in other parts of the world. This article analyzes the role of the LNG industry with a particular focus on the economic and geopolitical consequences for the United States. The United States is returning to its historical role of energy exporter. Some view the return to this role as an economic and geopolitical boon that will enhance the U.S. economy and the nation’s global standing. A contrasting interpretation sees the United States sliding into the extractive periphery, serving the energy demands of a growing China, much like the United States once did for Europe and especially Great Britain. This view condemns what it views as the exploitation of U.S. natural resources to meet China’s energy needs while leaving large areas of the United States with depleted resources, damaged ecosystems, and disrupted communities.     

全球经济失衡与美元的国际地位

全球经济失衡主要表现为美国长期的、高额的经常项目逆差和中国等亚洲国家的持续经常项目顺差。一些经济学家担心美国持续的经常项目逆差会导致美元的国际地位下降,并将最终导致世界经济增长率的下降。本文通过分析5种储备货币的面板数据得出结论:美国的经常项目逆差的确会导致美元的国际地位下降,但是这种影响却很微弱;对美元国际地位影响最大的因素是衡量网络外部性的变量,这意味着人们的习惯是决定美元国际地位的最主要因素。鉴于以上分析,我们认为美国当前的经常项目逆差还不足以对美元的国际地位产生大的影响。     

贸易保护对全球投资与经济增长的影响

本文在全球治理模型的基础上,模拟分析美国以及世界各主要国家和地区对进出口产品均提高关税后对经济增长的影响。模拟结果显示,美国有针对性地增加产品关税对美国经济增长并不有利,其贸易保护政策可能难以持续,而如果世界各主要国家和地区对进出口产品均提高关税,将使得印度以及低收入发展中国家的经济增长受到较大负面影响。经济的发展受到需求推动和生产技术推动,主导贸易保护只会进一步加剧矛盾,世界经济的发展需要各个国家和地区的共同努力和协同促进。     

Slowdown of credit flows in Jordan in the wake of the global financial crisis: Supply or demand driven?

This paper estimates a disequilibrium model of credit supply and demand to evaluate the relative role of these factors in the slowdown of credit flows in the Jordanian economy in the wake of the global financial crisis. The empirical analysis suggests that the credit stagnation is mainly driven by the restricted credit supply amid tighter monetary policy conditions in Jordan relative to the United States, as evidenced by the widened interest differential between the Central Bank of Jordan (CBJ) re-discount and the U.S. Federal Reserve funds rates. Although it appears that demand side factors related to the slowdown of economic activity have also had an impact, their role has been relatively modest. The estimation results imply that economic policies targeted towards stimulating the supply of credit are likely to be a more effective tool for expanding credit flows relative to demand stimulating policies.     

浅析金融危机中我国国际贸易应对措施

2008年注定是一个不平凡的一年。一场全球性的金融危机席卷而来,对美国乃至中国都产生了巨大影响。美国30年代的经济危机仍历历再目,由于美国国会突然通过高额关税法案实施贸易保护主义,使国际贸易总额急剧收缩,使30年代的美国经济危机更加严重。我国应该吸取30年代的教训,采取有效的措施来应对这场危机。     

全球经济失衡的成因及我国的对策探析

当前世界经济的发展,是不平衡的发展。全球经济失衡是长期形成的,其原因是复杂的、多方面的,其调整是一个极其困难和缓慢的过程,然而它已经并将长期影响到世界及各国的均衡性和持续性发展,已成为当今世界日益严峻的问题。文章将分析全球经济失衡的原因,并提出一些对我国有益的建议,力求使中国的经济增长更加健康和可持续。     

金融企业在金融危机中的风险规避

美国次贷风波爆发以来,无论从全球资本市场的波动还是美国实体经济的变化来看,次贷之祸造成的危害在美国乃至全球范围内都不容小觑。如果仅从中国金融机构持有次贷相关资产的角度来看,中国金融机构在这场危机中遭受了损失,但风险尚在控制范围之内,影响并不算大。也就是说,始发于2007年的这次金融危机对中国金融企业的影响是启示大于损失。     

LOCAL ECONOMIC REVITALIZATION OR NATIONAL INDUSTRIAL GROWTH? A COMPARATIVE OVERVIEW OF SMALL BUSINESS POLICY IN JAPAN AND THE U.S.

Contrasts in small business policy are examined for Japan and the United States. The author argues that Japan's small business policy has been part of an industrial growth-oriented policy, while comparatively the U.S. small business policy has been mainly part of locally-based economic revitalization schemes. Recent trends in policy development indicate that the policies in the two countries are converging. The U.S. policymakers have become increasingly concerned with the small business sector becoming competitive in global markets, while widespread offshoring of large firms have prompted Japanese policymakers to focus on supporting small businesses in order to prevent further loss of manufacturing jobs.     

中国对美国贸易出口的实证分析——基于1994-2008统计数据

美国的次贷危机最终演变成了全球的经济危机,不仅金融市场遭到了重创,而且实体经济最终也无能幸免。对于我国来说,中国的对外出口下滑态势日渐显现。美国作为中国最大的出口市场,中国对美出口变动对中国的外贸反映具有很好的代表性。文中运用计量经济学方法,基于1994-2008年的中美贸易数据,试图找出决定中国对美国贸易出口变化的一般规律,并对中国外贸经济发展模式转变提出建议。     

Corporate Power and Expansive U.S. Military Policy

Military defense is generally treated in economics texts as a “public good” because the benefits are presumed to be shared by all citizens. However, defense spending by the United States cannot legitimately be classified as a public good, since the primary purpose of those expenditures has been to project power in support of private business interests. Throughout the course of the 20^th century, U.S. military spending has been largely devoted to protecting the overseas assets of multinational corporations that are based in the United States or allied nations. Companies extracting oil, mineral ores, timber, and other raw materials are the primary beneficiaries. The U.S. military provides its services by supporting compliant political leaders in developing countries and by punishing or deposing regimes that threaten the interests of U.S.‐based corporations. The companies involved in this process generally have invested only a small amount of their own capital. Instead, the value of their overseas assets largely derives from the appreciation of oil and other raw materials in situ. Companies bought resource‐rich lands cheaply, as early as the 1930s or 1940s, and then waited for decades to develop them. In order to make a profit on this long‐range strategy, they formed cartels to limit global supply and relied on the U.S. military to help them maintain secure title over a period of decades. Those operations have required suppressing democratic impulses in dozens of nations. The global “sprawl” of extractive companies has been the catalyst of U.S. foreign policy for the past century. The U.S. Department of Defense provides a giant subsidy to companies operating overseas, and the cost is borne by the taxpayers of the United States, not by the corporate beneficiaries. Defining military spending as a “public good” has been a mistake with global ramifications, leading to patriotic support for imperialist behavior.