广西人力资本对经济增长作用的实证分析

从理论的角度看,20世纪80年代,罗默和卢卡斯等人创立了以人力资本内生经济增长模型为代表的新经济增长理论。理论阐释了人力资本在经济增长中的特殊现象,有力地说明了现实生活中的许多经济问题。自此国内外众多的经济学家把人力资本的因素纳入到了经济增长的模型中。经济增长理论研究表明:现代经济增长越来越依赖于人力资本的投入。广西需要通过发展高等教育来提高人力资本的经济增长贡献份额。     

浅析现代物流与区域经济增长的关系

介绍现代物流与区域经济增长的相关理论,从经济增长理论的角度出发,详细阐述了现代物流与区域经济增长之间的相互作用机制,为现代物流促进区域经济增长以及区域经济推动现代物流的发展提供了丰富的理论基础。     

社会资本、人力资本与经济增长的最优决策模型

从传统的经济理论到新经济增长理论的演变,是一个持续的深化内容与突破假设的过程,大体经历了这样几个阶段:资本积累论--技术进步论--人力资本论--制度决定论--新经济增长理论.     

基于资本-劳动力-制度因素的河北省经济增长的实证分析

一、研究目的及意义 一直以来被视为主流学派的新古典经济学把经济增长归结为资本和劳动投入的增加,从亚当·斯密、穆勒、李嘉图等人的古典增长模型,到哈罗德-多马模型,再到索洛的新古典经济增长模型以及新剑桥模型等,都把制度因素排斥在外.而新制度经济学派认为制度才是经济增长的决定因素,并将制度要素引入到生产函数中,使经济增长理论进入一个新的发展阶段.本文采用新制度学派的观点,将制度因素引入经济增长模型中,并以实证研究方法探讨各要素对河北省经济发展的贡献,这对该省经济持续发展具有重要意义.     

经济发展阶段与增长方式转变

一、经济增长理论的最新发展 经济增长理论以经济长期增长为研究对象,分析各增长因素在经济长期增长过程中的作用。本世纪４０年代前后,哈罗德和多马在几乎同一时间内分别发表了极为相似的长期经济增长模型,因此,主流经济学家认为哈罗德－多马模型是经济增长理论出现的标志。 新古典经济增长理论的模型是封闭的,仅研究某一国家的经济增长,以资本边际收益递减、完全竞争经济和外生技术及其收益不变为其理论假设。该模型认为,技术进步是经济增长的主要动力,从长期看,可称之为惟一的动力。另外,新古典经济增长理论还假定各个国家有相…     

对河南省经济增长过程中的人力资本贡献率分析

经济增长理论是现代经济学的一个重要分支,经济增长是一国取得经济成就的最重要的标志和过程。经济学家们一直视经济增长问题为第一等的经济问题,经济持续稳定地增长已成为各国政府追求的目标。本文以河南省人力资本为研究对象,根据河南省1990～2008年的样本数据运用新古典经济增长模型分析河南经济发展与人力资本的发展状况,得出结论并提出一些促进河南经济发展的政策建议。     

论区域金融发展与区域经济增长的相互作用

金融是现代经济活动的核心,金融发展与经济增长之间相互促进、相互作用。通过对金融发展理论和区域经济增长理论的分析,可以发现区域金融发展与区域经济增长之间存在一种密切联系的互动关系。     

论区域金融发展与区域经济增长的相互作用

金融是现代经济活动的核心,金融发展与经济增长之间相互促进、相互作用。通过对金融发展理论和区域经济增长理论的分析,可以发现区域金融发展与区域经济增长之间存在一种密切联系的互动关系。     

现代物流促进区域经济增长的模式研究

现代物流是区域经济发展的助推剂,研究现代物流对区域经济增长的促进作用具有十分重要的理论和现实意义.首先对现代物流与经济增长的作用关系、机理关系及相互关系进行了分析,进而从现代物流有助于降低交易成本与风险、减少环境污染、优化经济产业结构、扩大就业、提升区域经济竞争力及促进国民经济整体发展等角度研究了现代物流对促进区域经济增长的作用.     

高速增长定理(Turnpike Theorem)概述

高速增长定理是国外数理经济学中经济增长理论近二十多年较新的发展成果。在这短短的二十多年中,这一定理从纯粹的数学理论问题发展到结合列昂节夫投入产出结构的应用模型,并日趋同现代经济控制理论衔接起来。由于定理在宏观经济长期计划的理论和实践中日益显示出强有效的工具作用,它不仅受到国外数量经济学界的广泛重视,而且也引起不少国家特别是一些社会主义国家的计划部门的很大兴趣。近年国内已有同     

Equivalence of central place and economic base theories of urban growth

Economic base theory is discredited as a theory of urban growth; central place theory, although receiving some criticism, continues to enjoy some acclaim. In this paper I show that these two theories are equivalent so that previous criticisms of base theory also apply to central place theory. None-theless, the market expansion in both theories can lead to productivity increases because “the division of labor is limited by the extent of the market.”     

产业集群视角下广西北部湾经济区城市群发展研究

从经济学角度看,产业集群是城市群的增长极核。广西北部湾经济区城市群是珠三角、长三角和环渤海城市群后中国经济的又一增长极。为了提升广西北部湾经济区城市群的竞争力,必须发展产业集群。通过对现状的分析,从产业集群角度探讨广西北部湾经济区城市群发展对策,提出城市群发展建议。     

MANAGING THE PROCESS OF REMOVING CAPITAL CONTROLS: WHAT DOES THE LITERATURE SUGGEST?

Economic theory suggests that opening the capital account should allow a country to diversify away economic shocks, increase capital inflows, expand economic growth and efficiency as well as encourage governments to pursue good policies. The empirical evidence with regard to these theoretical predictions, however, are in some instances debatable. Many studies, for example, have reported mixed results as it relates to the impact of capital account integration on growth, exchange rates, trade and policy discipline. This paper provides a review of this literature as well as some recommendations for policymakers in relation to managing the process of removing capital controls.     

Technological change and the U.S. real interest rate

Economic theory predicts that the rate of technological growth exerts a positive influence on the real rate of interest. To test this hypothesis, I examine the relationship between the inflation-adjusted yield of the 90-day Treasury-Bill and two measures of innovation: the rate of growth of the stock of patents per worker and R&D spending relative to GDP. As theory predicts, from 1963 to 2008 the rate of interest responds positively to an increase in either measure. The point-estimates imply an elasticity of intertemporal substitution between one and two. The findings suggest that a change in the stance of monetary policy and a wave of innovation both contributed to the rise of real interest rates in the 1980s.     

经济发展方式的理论内涵与转变经济发展方式的基本路径

经济发展方式是具有中国特色的经济学概念,系由经济增长方式概念发展而来。文章从经济发展方式与经济增长方式的关系,经济发展模式与发展机制,以及发展绩效与发展方式评价等视角,探讨了经济发展方式的理论内涵,并在此基础上提出了转变经济发展方式的理论路径与实施机制。     

Do types of economic ownership matter in getting employees to commit? An exploratory study in the People's Republic of China

Economic reforms launched in the People's Republic of China led to rapid growth in the non-state sector. Economic organizations in this sector adopt different styles of business operations and management practices when compared with their state counterparts. These systematic differences generate work dynamics with implications for workers' job attitudes and behaviours. The present study explores the relationship between workers' perception of the workplace and organizational commitment after the reform. Three hundred employees in Shanghai, from six enterprises, were randomly sampled for interview. Differences were found between state and non-state employees in their demographic characteristics, organizational perceptions and commitment. Findings suggested that state and non-state workers differed in their commitment and these relationships were mediated through various perceptual dimensions. Implications of the results for theory and practice are discussed.     

产业联系与北京优势产业及其演变

根据经济基础理论,城市经济增长源于城市外部需求.一个城市的比较优势体现在服务于外部市场的产业中.论文基于北京市投入-产出表,依据产业净流出,分析了北京市产业的比较优势及其变化.过去15年来,北京的劳动密集型和原料型制造业的优势逐渐丧失,以电子通信设备、化学工业和机械设备制造业为代表的资本和技术密集型产业正成为优势产业;服务业中,传统服务业从20世纪80年代的优势地位退居劣势地位,取而代之的是知识密集型的生产者服务业,如金融业、软件和计算机服务业、信息传输服务业、广告业、房地产开发业、商务服务、科技交流和推广服务业等.产业联系是北京产业比较优势的显著影响因素,资本、知识和技术是北京市产业比较优势的投入支撑.     

The dynamics of regional inequalities

This paper analyses the link between regional inequalities and GDP per capita at the country-level. Our starting hypothesis is that the evolution of regional inequalities should follow a bell-shaped curve as national GDP per capita rises since growth by its very nature is unlikely to appear everywhere at the same time, as has been argued by a number of authors, from Kuznets [Kuznets, S., (1955), Economic growth and income inequality, American Economic Review 45(1), 1–28] to Lucas [Lucas, R.E., (2000), “Some macroeconomics for the 21st century”, Journal of Economic Perspectives 14 (1), 159–168]. We test this hypothesis econometrically using semi-parametric estimation techniques and regional data for a panel of European countries. Our results provide strong support for such a bell-shaped curve and are robust to changing the regional administrative units and the time period, as well as controlling for other possible determinants of regional inequalities. We also find support for this hypothesis when considering non-European countries.     

The London Business School Econometric Model: An Update 1992

This Economic Outlook presents a forecast produced on a large, with more than 700 variables, econometric model of the UK developed over the last 25 years by researchers at the Centre for Economic Forecasting. As macroeconomic theory is not static, new equations are regularly incorporated into the model framework to replace, or augment, older ones with the aim of improving our understanding of the UK economy. The best way to assess the impact of changes to the model is to perform a series of simulation exercises and compare the results of the system as a whole with established theoretical priors. In this paper we discuss the most recent changes to the structure of the model and describe the results from four simulation exercises.     

数字经济推动区域经济增长的实证研究——基于长江经济带2010-2019年数据

数字经济目前已经成为国民经济发展的重要推动力,研究数字经济对区域经济增长所起到的推动作用具有非常重要的现实指导意义。搭建数字经济发展测评体系和区域经济发展水平测量体系,通过对长江经济带2010-2019年相关指标数据的搜集,测算了长江经济带数字经济发展水平与整体经济发展水平,并对二者之间的耦合关系进行了验证,研究发现,长江经济带的整体数字经济发展水平相对均衡,数字经济对于区域经济增长有显著的推动作用,同时针对长江经济带数字经济助力经济增长给出了管理层面的建议。