Does investor sentiment affect fund crashes? Evidence from Chinese open-end funds

This paper aims to detect the impact of investor sentiment on the open-end fund crashes, drawing on the open-end stock funds and partial stock funds of China for the 2009–2019 period. The results show that the rise of investor sentiment will significantly increase the risk of the open-end fund crashes, which remains valid after robustness tests. Further researches indicate that the market timing and stock selection abilities of fund managers weaken the positive impact of investor sentiment on the open-end fund crashes, and the market illiquidity promotes the positive impact of investor sentiment on the open-end fund crashes.     

开放式证券投资基金费用率的实证研究

我国证券投资基金费用结构的设计较多地借鉴了美国投资基金业的经验,但由于依附的资本市场发展程度不尽相同,在费用种类和费用比率方面还存在着一定差异。基金运作费用是我国投资基金管理过程中一个有争议的话题。本文从多角度对我国开放式证券投资基金运作费用的现状进行了实证研究采用多元线性回归方法,以中国开放式证券基金费用率为主要研究对象,结合国外对于此问题的相关研究,从基金的业绩,单个基金的规模,以及基金类型三个方面进行实证分析。     

Fund immunity to the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from Chinese equity funds

This paper discusses the connection between public equity fund characteristics and performance reactions to COVID-19 using data over 1300 equity funds across 105 Chinese fund companies. Empirical evidences from over 20 fund characteristics show that the liquidity, diversification and pre-2020 Sharpe ratio, fund management abilities, agency costs can determine the fund immunity to COVID-19. Based on these characteristics mentioned, our empirical results can explain why COVID-19-induced drop in fund performance is milder among open-end funds, active funds, ETFs, and growth funds, and also can explain why funds controlled by private companies or by sino-foreign joint ventures or by companies with more independent directors of financial experiences perform better in the pandemic. Our work also provides some valuable suggestions for investors and regulators confronting an exogenous shock.     

熊市下我国开放式证券投资基金业绩特点研究

采用平均收益率、詹森指数和Fama-French三因素詹森指数对我国开放式证券投资基金在熊市下的业绩特点进行了实证研究。研究结果表明:大多数基金业绩基本上与市场指数持平;基金从总体上看偏好于对大公司及成长型公司的投资。     

开放式基金和基金家族业绩持续性研究

我国证券投资基金快速发展,从属于同一家基金管理公司的单个基金越来越多,形成基金家族。本文研究从单个基金和基金家族的整体两个层面,采用实证检验方法对其业绩持续性进行研究,研究表明我国开放式基金仅具有短期的业绩持续性,而基金家族的整体业绩不存在持续性,籍此结果提示投资者不应仅仅关注基金的短期业绩,应更多关注基金的长期业绩表现,规避投资中对家族和规模的偏好,关注高价值基金,才能最大程度保障资金安全和自身的利益。     

Mutual Fund＇s Behavior on Stock Liquidity： Empirical Results from Chinese Security Market

This paper studies the relationship between fund investment and market liquidity by using Chinese security market data. The results show that, among several measures of market liquidity, the indexes based on volume, such as turnover and market depth, have a deeper impact on fund investment decision. Furthermore, the relationship between security liquidity and fund investment varies when market status is taken into account. On the other hand, fund investments have a negative effect on security liquidity measured by market width, while have a positive effect on other liquidity measures. The authors attribute the results to herding behavior of fund investment.     

积极创造条件 发展开放式基金

开放式基金已成为当今世界投资基金的主流。之所以如此,是因为它与封闭式基金相比具有很多优越性。我国目前的投资基金是以封闭式为主,但开放式基金是我国基金业未来发展的方向。我们应积极创造条件,为开放式基金的发展提供良好的市场环境,以使资本市场“物流”畅通。     

Hedge funds,fund attributes and risk adjusted returns

We use proprietary data to examine factors that lead hedge fund managers to offer hurdle rates and investigate relative hedge fund performance based on risk-adjusted returns. Using data from 3,571 hedge funds over a 15 year period, we find that funds that do not offer a hurdle rate outperform those that do. Funds offering a high watermark charge substantially higher performance fees. Further, emerging market, fixed income, and funds of funds are significantly more likely to offer a hurdle rate than other types of funds. Performance fees have a positive impact on the likelihood of offering a hurdle rate. Fund leverage and management fees are negatively associated with hurdle rates. The cross-sectional regressions show that funds, which offer a hurdle rate, underperform those that do not. Funds that charge a high performance fee appear to outperform those that charge a relatively low fee. The results are consistent with the view that those managers who wish to improve risk-adjusted returns should not focus on hurdle rates.     

Emerging market mutual fund performance: Evidence for Poland

This paper provides evidence on the performance of mutual funds in a prominent emerging market; Poland. Studying an emerging market provides an excellent opportunity to test whether the consensus on the inability of mutual funds in developed and highly efficient markets to beat the market, also holds in less efficient markets. While the weaknesses of legal institutions and underdeveloped capital markets in emerging countries could negatively contribute to performance, a certain level of market inefficiency might also enable fund managers to successfully apply security selection and therefore beat the market. This paper presents an overview of the Polish mutual fund industry and investigates mutual fund performance using a survivorship bias controlled sample of 140 funds. The latter is done using the Carhart (1997) 4-factor asset-pricing model. In addition, we investigate whether Polish fund managers exhibit “hot hands”, persistence in performance. Finally the influence of fund characteristics on risk-adjusted performance is considered. Our overall results suggest that Polish mutual funds on average are not able to add value, as indicated by their negative net alphas. Interestingly, domestic funds outperform internationally investing funds, which points at informational advantages of local over foreign investors. Finally, we detect strong persistence in mean returns up to 1 year. It is striking that “winning” funds are able to significantly beat the market, based on their significantly positive alpha's. These results deviate from studies on developed markets that conclude that even past winners are not able to significantly beat the market.     

基于投资者偏好的证券投资基金产品线选择研究

随着开放式基金品种的增加和基金公司规模的壮大,证券投资基金市场的竞争日趋激烈。为了实现经营目标,投资基金公司可以考虑通过合理的产品线设计,提升产品对基金投资者的吸引力。本文借助于产品线理论及设计方法,提出基金产品线选择的概念;通过收集目标投资者的偏好信息,建立一个基于投资者偏好的基金产品线选择模型;利用所建立的模型并结合混合联合分析法,给出基金产品线选择的一个实例。     

基于价格预测能力的基金羊群效应模型与算例分析

本文总结了现有羊群效应实证模型的不足,基于基金价格预测能力,构建了可以更加精确地判断每只基金的投资决策作为一种信号是否会对其他基金投资决策带来影响的实证模型。分析结果显示,大多数基金都能够产生明显的羊群效应。本文在模型建立过程中还提出了新的基金评价思路,为更加细致的羊群效应实证研究方法提供借鉴。     

Economic rents and mutual fund performance: An empirical investigation

We investigate the monthly returns of 377 open-end mutual funds during the September 1981–1994 period to learn whether economic rents can be garnered through the judicious selection of the advertising and sales method in the mutual fund industry. Specifically, we seek to learn whether direct sales or mass marketing produces economic rents under the assumption that those rents would be passed on to consumers to build a “high quality” image to differentiate the product line. Results suggest that no-load funds produce superior net returns except in the aggressive growth category.     

Mutual fund performance: The decision quality and capital magnet efficiencies

This study employs a two-stage network data envelopment analysis model to analyze the decision quality and capital magnet efficiencies of 155 mutual funds in Taiwan during the period 2007–2016. The empirical results show that fund managers improved their decision quality; however, their capital magnet efficiency declined. This study also found 10 mutual funds performing in decision quality and capital magnet efficiencies, from which practical suggestions are provided to investors. Finally, this study constructs a market competition matrix to help fund managers (and investors) improve their operating and portfolio performance, plus resource allocation.     

封闭式基金绩效:一种基于最小凸投入要求集的研究

基金绩效的评价引发了评价方法的选择问题,而评价方法的不同会导致评价结果大相径庭。论文选择最小凸投入要求集(Minimum Convex Input Request Set Approach,MCIRS)研究了我国33只封闭式基金从2001到2004年的相对绩效,并利用面板数据分析方法(Panel Data)分析了基金绩效的主要影响因素。实证结果显示:我国封闭式基金的绩效呈现出明显的时间态势,受大盘调整的影响较大。随着我国证券市场的不断成熟,基金业的进一步规范以及基金管理公司本身选股能力的提高,基金的绩效正在逐步提高。     

熊市下我国开放式证券投资基金业绩持续性研究

采用基于回归分析的多期基金业绩持续性评价模型,对56只中国的各类开放式证券投资基金在熊市下的业绩持续性进行了实证研究。结果表明:在短期内,各类基金的业绩不存在持续性,基金业绩往往具有反转性。不同的基金超额业绩的计算方法有时会对评价结果影响很大。     

Analyst Herding and Stock Price Crash Risk: Evidence from China

We examine the proposition that firms with disproportionately more analysts herding in their coverage, as measured by a larger herding index value, have higher crash risk. Our findings are consistent with the main proposition. The results suggest that information production, rather than monitoring, is the primary mechanism behind the positive relation between herding and crash risk. Our conclusion is robust to different measures of crash risk, crash risk windows, herding measures, subsamples, and instrumental estimation. In addition, using post‐earnings announcement drift, we report that analyst herding slows down bad news transmission in the market. Our findings extend the literature by documenting that analyst herding plays a role in enhancing crash risk. Analyst herding has economic consequences on the covered firms. We offer support for the concern in the literature regarding analyst herding and market fluctuations.     

基金收益率排名与计算的比较研究

目前各种财经媒体推出的基金收益率排名存在较大差异,向前复权或向后复权均不能反映基金的实际收益情况。基于定点复权的思想,本文提出新的实际收益率计算方法,重点关注分红对基金收益的影响,并构建分析模板分别对开放式基金和封闭式基金进行研究。针对封闭式基金实际收益率构建的三因子模型,发现封基的实际收益率除了和其自身盈利能力有关之外,对折价率变动、分红再投资收益等因素更加敏感。     

浅谈开放式基金

从世界范围看,目前开放式基金已经在投资基金中占据主导地位。全球基金市场上90%以上都是开放式基金。我国也在大力推进开放式基金的发展,把开放式基金作为基金业发展的重点。本文将采用SWOT(优势、劣势、机会、风险)这一模型,对开放式基金进行分析。     

Hedge funds in portfolios of risk-averse investors

We find that adding a hedge fund to an optimally weighted portfolio of stocks and T-bills generally increases the utility of an investor. From a sample of hedge funds with returns from 1996 to 2005, the certainty equivalent was an average of five basis points (monthly) higher with a ten percent allocation into a hedge fund. Funds from different style categories require different allocations into the stock market, but nearly all funds improved performance. Contrary to popular opinion, we find that highly risk-averse investors gain even more than less risk-averse investors by adding a hedge fund into their portfolio.