襄樊发展物流业的战略取向和思维创新分析

一方面,未来物流业的发展状况关乎着襄樊未来区域经济战略的有效实现;另一方面,物流产业本身作为促进经济发展的加速器,对现代经济社会的发展具有重要意义。襄樊物流产业的发展必须高瞻远瞩,与区域经济总体发展战略相适应,选择合理的发展战略取向和路径,从而奠定区域经济发展的基础和有效提升区域竞争力。     

The Long-Run Effect of Economic Development Policy on Resident Welfare in a Perfectly Competitive Urban Economy

This paper argues that evaluations of economic development policy must consider the long-run effect on resident welfare. The paper uses comparative static analysis of a closed, urban economy with an explicit labor market, to investigate the effect of policies that stimulate economic activity. The paper finds that such policies do not necessarily raise resident welfare, because of the competition for land between firms and households. On the other hand, the paper does find that income transfers increase resident welfare. This model assumes, however, that the land, capital, and labor markets are perfectly competitive. Therefore, these results are based on the assumption that an urban economy is efficient.     

Finite lifetimes,long-term debt and the fiscal limit

The U.S. faces exponentially rising entitlement obligations. I introduce a fiscal limit—a point where higher taxes are no longer a feasible financing mechanism—into a Perpetual Youth model to examine how intergenerational redistributions of wealth, the average duration of government debt, and entitlement reform impact the consequences of explosive government transfers. Three key findings emerge: (1) Growing government transfers cause more severe and more persistent stagflation than in representative agent models that do not capture intergenerational transfers of wealth; (2) A longer average duration of government debt pushes the financing of government liabilities into the future and reduces the short-run impacts of explosive transfers; (3) The time it takes the economy to rebound from a period of growing transfers increases exponentially with the number of years it takes to pass entitlement reform.     

The Scope of the Grants Economy and Income Distribution: An Examination of Intergenerational Transfers of Income

A bstract . Private transfers of income between family members have had significant equalizing effects on the distribution of income in the United States but only recently have they become a subject of research and an element of analysis. Some of the major theoretical developments in the area of income distribution and intergenerational mobility in the rich literature of the grants economy are reviewed. Among the effects of family transfers on income distribution, the most critical considerations in intra-family transfers, tentative results indicate, are those that relate, directly or indirectly, to investments in children during their formative years. Estimates of the size of family transfers include one that in a single year their total was of the magnitude of 30.7 percent of gross national product and another that in 1980 they were 70 percent of total transfers, amounting at least to 1 trillion. Trends in their level and structure are projected.     

Pilgrims to the Eurozone: How far,how fast?

In our analysis, we re-examine the nominal and real convergence of all recent 10 European Union (EU) members to EU standards. Testing for monetary convergence has significant implications for interim optimal exchange rate and monetary policies before a formal and permanent link to the euro, while real convergence is the ultimate objective of economic integration. Novel features of the paper include broader measures of real convergence in both euro as well as local currencies, an examination of inflation and interest rate convergence with respect to the Maastricht benchmarks, and employment of more appropriate tests of convergence allowing for structural breaks. The results indicate slow but steady per-capita real income convergence towards EU standards. On the other hand, evidence indicates significant strong inflation and interest rate convergence. Policy implications of the paper are also discussed.     

新形势下财产保险公司险种结构优化调整思考

近年来,财产保险在整体经济发展中的效用更加显著,其一方面能够辅助国民经济的持续化、稳定化发展,另一方面对于社会的平稳发展来讲也十分重要。即便当下中国的财产保险市场整体发展时间较长,不过关于此方面的整体研究成果是偏少的。以此为背景,论文将财产保险公司的险种作为研究对象,在对其进行探析的基础上希望可以为财产保险市场的优化提供一定的借鉴。     

基于战略视角的财务状况质量分析——以SY重工为例

了解和掌握企业的整体状况及发展质量是利益相关者保护其权益的关键,也是市场经济健康发展的必然要求.财务数据一方面能够体现企业进行的经济业务活动,另一方面又能检验企业经济活动的执行情况.因此,有效分析企业财务状况质量对综合评价企业的质量具有重要意义.文章从战略视角出发,参考SY重工2019年财务报告数据,对其发展战略及管理质量进行了评价.     

资本账户开放、系统性金融风险与经济高质量发展

扩大资本账户开放是中国完善社会主义市场经济体制的重要举措。资本账户开放不仅对经济高质量发展存在直接传导渠道,亦可通过“撬动”金融稳定导致系统性金融风险,进而对经济高质量发展产生影响。那么,资本账户开放影响经济高质量发展的传导效应究竟如何？本文运用具备随机波动率特征的时变参数结构向量自回归模型动态识别资本账户开放、系统性金融风险及经济高质量发展的时变特征,并通过资本账户开放关键时点的选择,详细刻画资本账户开放的传导渠道。实证结果表明：一方面,“资本账户开放—经济高质量发展”直接传导渠道显示资本账户开放短期对经济高质量发展有显著的、波动性的影响,但中长期传导效应并不明确;另一方面,“资本账户开放—系统性金融风险—经济高质量发展”间接传导渠道表明,资本账户开放短期稳健抑制了系统性金融风险增长,但中长期易受国内外经济形势波动影响出现抑制弱化,增强系统性金融风险对经济高质量发展的负向影响,推进资本账户开放的积极作用不能通过金融渠道长期有效地传导至社会经济发展中。因此,中国应遵循自身发展实际,渐进、审慎地推进资本账户开放,在防范系统性金融风险的前提下,疏通金融支持经济高质量发展的渠道。     

医院文化建设的理念和路径分析

文化建设工作的开展是目前我国经济社会发展的需求,也是医院整体发展的内在要求,文化建设工作在医院的开展需要医院领导层进行制度完善和理念创新。进行医院的文化建设需要从多方面考虑,只有加强医院的文化建设才能推动医院的整体发展。笔者将从医院的实际出发,结合文化建设的重要性,对医院文化建设的理念和路径进行简要的分析。     

哈尔滨发展低碳经济及发展对策的研究

自2003年振兴东北老工业基地以来,哈尔滨正在致力加速振兴步伐和现代化进程中,在取得很大进步的同时也面临了环境问题,在哈尔滨发展过程中要遵循经济发展与环境保护相统一的原则,走可持续发展的道路",低碳经济"成为哈尔滨经济发展的趋势和必由之路,要把哈尔滨的经济发展模式逐渐向"高能效,低能耗,低碳排放"的模式发展,通过指出哈尔滨经济发展面临的状况和问题提出发展低碳经济的对策。     

How important is family background for labor-economic outcomes?

This paper uses Swedish register data to examine four classical outcomes in empirical labor economics: IQ, noncognitive skills, years of schooling and long-run earnings. We estimate sibling correlations – and the variance components that define the sibling correlation – in these outcomes. We also estimate correlations for MZ-twins, who share all genes. We also extend the variance-component decomposition by accounting for birth order. We find that conventional intergenerational approaches severely underestimate the role of family background, and that future research should follow a more multidimensional approach to the study of family background.     

Regional technical efficiency of Chinese Iron and steel industry based on bootstrap network data envelopment analysis

This paper analyses the regional technical efficiency of Chinese iron and steel industry from 1996 to 2010 by a network DEA procedure, and provides the smoothed bootstrap network DEA strategy for the sensitivity analysis of the efficiency measure to sampling variation of the estimated frontier. Furthermore, the evolution and convergence characteristics of regional technical efficiency are examined by a dynamic regression model based on different regional divisions of China. The empirical results show that there exist significant geographical differences in the technical efficiency of Chinese iron and steel industry. On the one hand, the technical efficiency of the eastern area, the central area and the western area is unbalanced, with a lower efficiency in the west and a higher one in the east. On the other hand, technical efficiency of Central Bohai, Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta economic zones is higher than that of the other economic zones. In addition, the technical efficiency has a significant improvement during the period of the Eleventh Five-Year Plan. Following the convergence notation in economic growth theory, this paper also gives some convergence evidence of the technical efficiency towards the efficient frontier due to the catching-up effect. Finally, this paper explores the determinants of the technical efficiency, and discusses policy implications for Chinese iron and steel industry.     

Labor supply and the optimality of Social Security

Traditional economic theory predicts that an unfunded public pension system can be justified on the basis of its ability to provide intergenerational transfers, and also for its ability to provide partial insurance against mortality and labor income risks. In this paper, I demonstrate that the quantitative importance of these traditional roles depends on how the pension system distorts households' labor supply decisions. Using a general-equilibrium life-cycle consumption model calibrated to the U.S. economy, I show that these distortions can be large enough to erase much of the traditional welfare gains from Social Security. I also find that this fact is robust within the range of labor supply elasticities usually encountered in the macroeconomic literature.     

简述经济新常态下企业会计发展方向及创新转型

基于经济新常态下,市场经济环境的变化使得企业会计发展方向发生了变化。如何在新经济形势下进行会计方向的转型和创新,是企业发展中应该重视的问题。鉴于此,论文针对经济新常态下企业会计发展方向作了相关论述,从四个方面提出了企业会计的创新转型路径,旨在为企业管理层构建科学化、规范化的会计管理体系提供理论的参考依据,以此提升企业的整体经济效益。     

Towards an Asian model of human resource management? A comparative analysis of China,Japan and South Korea

There has been much discussion regarding the possible decline and weakening of national systems of human resource management (HRM). Yet, culture and institutions are often cited as the major stumbling blocks to this outcome. Such constraints may dissipate in the analysis, particularly if ‘regional clusters’ are considered where geographic and cultural closeness and ‘openness’ to similar economic pressures exist. In such cases, it might be postulated that convergence in HRM will occur. We argue that China, Japan and South Korea represent such a cluster. This article examines these countries, to see if a degree of convergence is taking place and if it is towards an identifiable ‘Asian’ model of HRM. A model of change is presented that distinguishes between levels of occurrence and acceptance. Details of the development and practice of HRM in each country are then set out. The article ends with a discussion and implications section and a brief conclusion.     

科学的治水理念

"坚持以人为本,树立全面、协调、可持续的发展观,促进经济社会和人的全面发展"是科学的治水理念。我们必须用科学的发展观指导新时期的水利建设,紧密联系实际,深入研究发展战略,坚定不移地走可持续发展水利的道路。     

The Debate on Pension Systems: The Paradigmatic Cases of Chile and Spain

This article is focused on pension systems in the light of two case studies that are antagonistic within the capitalist economy. On the one hand, the Spanish pension scheme, based on the principle of intergenerational solidarity, was achieved by the working‐class after decades of struggle. It constitutes the backbone of the Spanish social security system, thanks to the creation and development of indirect and deferred wages. On the other hand, the Chilean pension scheme, first imposed by the Pinochet dictatorship, is based on a funded system and private management. It rejects the principle of solidarity and, therefore, it makes impossible the construction of a decent pension structure. The comparison of the Spanish and the Chilean pension systems can be expressed in just one revealing fact: while the average pension in Spain is 79 percent of the last salary earned, benefits in Chile barely reach 33 percent for male workers and 25 percent for female workers. The analysis of both cases is framed in terms of the critique of political economy, in direct opposition to the current mainstream in economics. Instead of assuming methodological individualism and a harmonious view of human societies, as orthodoxy does, the critical paradigm conceives of capitalist economy as a dialectical process determined by the existence of social classes with different and opposed interests.     

高校校园文化建设与素质教育的互动初探

高等教育的目的在于为经济和社会发展培养高质量的人才,这与高校校园文化建设和素质教育都有不可分割的关系。在高校人才培养的过程中,校园文化建设和素质教育的推进都发挥着重要的作用,二者之间又有着密切的联系,一方面校园文化建设为素质教育的推进创造良好的氛围,另一方面素质教育的推进又推动了校园文化建设的深入进行。校园文化建设与素质教育的互动,推动着高等教育质量的提升。     

后疫情时代我国数字经济高质量发展战略对策

数字经济是有效统筹疫情防控和经济社会发展的重要路径。目前,我国数字经济总体规模不断扩大,产业数字化成为我国数字经济的主引擎,我国数字经济有望呈现快速且高质量发展态势。我国数字经济之所以取得巨大成就,主要归因于国家高度重视与审慎包容支持、数字经济综合市场优势显著以及拥有一批能力较强的数字企业等。但我国数字经济领域仍存在产业数字化水平参差不齐、数字经济生产端与需求端发展不平衡、数字经济企业国际化程度明显不足等问题。我国数字经济高质量发展仍面临着诸多制约因素,主要包括数字经济原发性创新研发不力、数字经济对外开放度偏低、在全球数字经济治理中的话语权不强等。要促进我国数字经济高质量发展,就必须推动产业之间及产业内部数字化均衡发展,加大数字经济领域对外对内开放力度,政府与市场各得其位,着力优化数字经济高质量发展营商环境。     

中国经济双循环耦合协调度分布动态、空间差异及收敛性研究

研究目标:测算1999～2019年中国经济“内循环”与“外循环”耦合协调度的实际水平并分析其分布动态、空间差异及收敛性。研究方法:耦合协调度模型、Kernel密度估计、Dagum基尼系数及其分解法和β收敛模型。研究发现:考察期内,中国经济“内循环”与“外循环”之间的耦合协调度呈现稳定的上升趋势,但总体水平仍然较低,地区异质性、时间阶段性特征明显;空间差异持续扩大,主要来源是区域间差异;正空间相关关系持续而稳定;全国及四大地区经济双循环耦合协调度存在显著的绝对β收敛和条件β收敛过程,不同地区耦合协调度收敛位置的影响因素各不相同。研究创新:测算了中国经济双循环耦合协调度水平并分析其时空演进规律与收敛性。研究价值:对于总体把握我国经济双循环发展规律,因地制宜,精准施策,加快构建双循环新发展格局具有积极的现实意义。