断裂的全球化与南亚区域合作

全球化是一个复杂的自相矛盾的进程,断裂的全球化是区域化的成因。以断裂的全球化思维模式对南亚区域合作进行的分析发现,南亚合作对实现经济和福利的跨越式增长存在很大机会,而建立冲突解决机制、实行公平贸易、开展能源合作、整合劳动力市场等措施有助于南亚推动迈向合作的进程。     

The relation between real cash balances and physical inputs in South Korea's manufacturing sector

This study investigates the role of real cash balances and primary inputs in the production process of an average firm in a newly industrializing country, South Korea, for 1968–1983. It is hypothesized that real balances and capital in the modern sector of industrializing countries are substitutes akin to those of the developed countries; whereas in the traditional sector the two inputs are complements similar to those of the less developed countries. Using the translog cost function approach the hypothesis is verified for South Korea. The results also shed some light on the “Korean miracle” of growth along with implications for income redistribution.     

发展中国家地区主义的政治经济学——以南太平洋地区为例

自20世纪60年代起,地区主义在发展中国家广泛兴起。在长期的地区主义实践中,发展中国家逐步形成了多层次、开放性、经济和安全优先的地区主义发展路径,并且正朝着综合性、多功能、外向型的方向发展。这一路径的形成主要取决于发展中国家所拥有的地区秩序的双层结构。从地区内部看,对于发展中国家而言,地区主义的发展有其特有的战略考虑。在政治上,通过对话与协商维护国家独立与主权平等,维护国内稳定和地区安全;在经济上,通过贸易、金融、货币等政策的协调,来化解内部经济矛盾与冲击。从对外联系看,尽管很多时候外部大国介入地区事务能够增进地区利益,但由于在客观上存在的对外不对称依赖关系,这种介入很可能会成为组建排他性的地区政治经济集团的制约因素。总之,由于地区内的优先政治经济考虑以及对地区外力量的借重与依赖,在可以预见的未来,发展中国家地区主义难以发展成为欧洲式的政治经济联盟。     

日韩对华直接投资的产业转移比较

日本和韩国近年来对我国的直接投资规模不断扩大,其产业转移的趋势已经影响到我国的产业结构。文章根据日本和韩国对华直接投资的变化,从产业转移的动机、产业转移的行业分布、产业转移的主体构成以及产业转移的区位分布等四个方面,对日本韩国产业转移的特点进行分析与比较,从而为我国合理利用外资,促进我国产业结构升级提供参考。     

人民币作为国际储备货币的前景分析:以韩国的需求为例

文章使用附加惯性、贸易和外债约束以及带交易成本的MV-DCC-GARCH模型,求解2012年第三季度至2015年第四季度韩国央行外汇储备的最优币种结构,分析人民币成为韩国储备货币后的最优权重及其动态变化,并通过情景假设模拟人民币充当韩国储备货币的前景。研究发现:人民币占比对货币收益率的刻画方式高度敏感,在随机游走和完全预见假设下,人民币的平均最优权重分别为16.37%和10.85%,在非抛补利率平价假设下,权重降至2.49%;人民币的引入主要挤占主导性国际货币尤其是美元的份额,说明央行投资方向调整客观上会造成储备多元化;汇率波动加剧不利于人民币储备地位的稳定;人民币使用惯性的增强、跨境贸易中以人民币结算比例的提高以及以人民币计价的外债增加均能增加其份额。     

国际因素与中小国家的民主化:对韩国的个案研究

民主化不仅是国内的政体变迁或政治改革过程,也是对全球和地区政治经济形势的变化做出的回应。在全球化的当代世界,没有哪个国家的政治发展能免受国际因素的影响,然而,长期以来,中小国家的政治转型被认为主要是国内社会经济文化发展的结果,制度生成和更新的国际因素却很少引起学者的关注。在质疑国内中心论假设的基础上,作者以国际因素为自变量,以国内因素为干预变量,以中小国家的民主化为因变量,运用层次分析法,从结构、情境和行为体三个层面探讨国际因素与中小国家民主化之间的相关性。通过对韩国的个案研究可以发现,国际因素是影响民主化进程的重要变量,对中小国家来说,国际因素甚至能起着决定性作用;国际因素与国内因素之间的互动关系不但影响中小国家政治精英的战略选择,而且影响其民主框架下的制度选择和政策设计。     

韩国政府应对国际金融危机的政策及其启示

危机应对政策对于金融危机后的经济恢复具有重要作用。从2008年金融危机之后韩国政府一系列的经济恢复政策看,及时的干预时点、推陈出新的干预手段、合理的宏观政策搭配和配套的微观措施是实体经济从金融危机中恢复的关键性因素。     

Information and communications technologies in the two Koreas: Contrasts,commonalities, challenges

The purpose of this study is to review the relationship of electoral system and democracy in the Philippines, Thailand and Indonesia. The study looks at the transformation process of the electoral system in each country, and performs a comparative study on post‐democratization electoral reforms using the concepts of competitiveness and fairness. It is found that electoral systems displayed low levels of competitiveness and fairness before democratization, but that their reforms have led to an increase in competitiveness and an improvement in fairness in all three countries. Also, while the post‐democratization electoral reforms have facilitated the above‐mentioned democratic virtues, there have been significant country differences in the details of their progress. The Philippines promoted the competitiveness of the electoral system by adopting a party list system and guest candidate system. Although Thailand and Indonesia showed competitiveness in their electoral systems, they prohibited the participation of non‐partisan candidates in elections for the sake of stability of party politics. The differences are reflections of their particular political histories and contexts.     

村官的罢免与选举——温州村民自治现象分析

村民自治为温州农村的经济发展和新农村建设开辟了新的天地。温州农村村官的罢免与选举的轮回,展现了中国农民民主素质的提高。问题是村民们对村民自治和民主选举意义的认识还不到位,操作技术还不够熟练。实际上民主是一种习惯,是一种内在的生活方式。     

Infrastructure implications of a green economy transition in the Western Cape Province of South Africa: A system dynamics modelling approach

In order to meet future goals in reducing the resulting carbon emissions from transport networks, vast investment in the development of a more energy-efficient and sustainable infrastructure is required. This study investigates the infrastructure implications of a green economy transition in the Western Cape Province of South Africa with a particular focus on the transport sector. Utilising a system dynamics modelling approach, the research effort aimed to improve understanding of how technical, economic, political, social, and environmental factors interact, particularly in the context of the uncertainties encountered during this transition. The key findings of the research indicate that investment in a better public transport system, as well as shifting the movement of freight onto the rail network, would deliver long-term positive effects, including a possible carbon emission reduction of up to 17.89%.     

A welfare-theoretic argument for regional subsidization of industry in the presence of inferior technology

This paper develops a welfare-theoretic argument for regional policy makers to subsidize an industry that has access to superior production technology in another region. The analytical framework is based on a standard general equilibrium model where two regions operating within a federal system are connected by goods trade and capital mobility. Optimal regional policy is designed to improve the capital terms of trade and depends on regional production patterns. Only when the technologically deficient region is diversified in production will optimal policy involve subsidization of an industry that has access to superior technology in another region.     

Land degradation in South Africa: Conventional views,changing paradigms and a tradition of soil conservation

Land degradation is currently a major concern in South Africa. However, awareness of the problem and attitudes towards it have changed little over the past century. Soil erosion and veld degradation are continually being depicted as acute problems, and overpopulation, overstocking and poor agricultural practices are viewed as the major causal factors. Internationally, however, a new paradigm is emerging, which takes a somewhat more optimistic view of the situation in Africa. One of the basic tenets of this changing perception is that there exists an untapped wealth of indigenous knowledge about the environment and associated human potential. Within this context, this study examines and describes the local tradition of stone terracing on cropland within the former Venda in the Northern Province of South Africa. This living tradition has deep historic roots and local farmers have a remarkably well‐developed understanding of the causes and effects of erosion. While the research location is unique in many ways, this study indicates that farmer tradition and innovation in the former homelands may be more common than has been supposed, and should not be ignored but actively sought out and built upon.     

河南省城镇居民消费结构的比较实证分析

本文根据扩展线性支出系统模型的计算结果,通过横向和纵向比较,发现河南省城镇居民消费水平已经提高,消费结构已经得到提升,交通通信等享受性支出已经成为重点消费支出项目,但基本生存型消费仍然占较大比重,而且城镇居民收入差距对消费状况造成一定程度的影响。为此,提高河南省城镇居民收入水平是解决问题的根本途径,同时,消费信贷种类的增加,社会保障水平的提高等也是解决问题的有效方法。     

The Trend of Logistics Development in China

Logistics as the third source of the profit that has drawn more and more attention from the manufacture industry, circulation industry, etc. In this paper, after positively analyzing on the current logistics situation at home and abroad and the exist experiences of the developed countries, the authors pointed out the future development of logistics industry in our country, especially in the external contract of enterprises, value-added services in logistics field, electronic logistics, reorganization storm, etc.     

The changing pattern of foreign trade specialization in Indian manufacturing

This paper examines the pattern of international trade specializationin Indian manufacturing since the mid-1980s by using data ontrade flows. Low-technology sectors still dominate the categoriesfor which India exhibits the largest degree of trade specialization.By contrast, high-technology sectors are prevalent among thecategories for which India is import-dependent. Significantly,India has experienced an improvement in the degree of specializationin some of the most dynamic sectors of world trade.     

加强非公有制企业党建工作的若干思考

非公有制企业党建工作作为党建工作的一个全新领域,具有其特殊性和时代性。面对新形势新任务,要坚持以科学发展观为统领,按照构建社会主义和谐社会的要求,着眼于企业的和谐发展,进一步调整组织设置,努力改进工作方式,进一步创新活动内容,以促进党建工作与企业又好又快地发展。