共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
Brent W. Ambrose Yildiray Yildirim 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2008,37(3):281-298
Previous research either assumes default free leases or leases subject to default risk using a structural approach. However,
structural credit risk models suffer from a common criticism that the firm’s asset value process is unobservable. We develop
a reduced form credit risk model for leases that avoids making assumptions regarding unobservable asset valuation processes.
Furthermore, we assume a correlated market and credit risk that provides us with a simple analytic formula for valuing defaultable
lease contracts. Numerical analysis reveals that tenant credit risk can have a substantial impact on the term structure of
leases. Finally, we use the model to demonstrate the implied lease term structure for a set of retail and financial firms
in the Fall of 2000.
相似文献
Yildiray YildirimEmail: |
2.
Nikolas Rokkanen 《Financial Markets and Portfolio Management》2009,23(1):31-57
The paper examines the credit spread between government and corporate bonds at different maturities. Theoretical models assume
that credit risk premiums for high quality firms monotonously increase with maturity. We find evidence suggesting that bonds
issued at maturities attracting the highest issuance volumes tend to have credit risk premiums that are on average 10 to 15
basis points higher than issues at nonconventional maturities. These results point out a shortcoming of existing theoretical
models and show that the credit yield curve is not smooth, but affected by the local supply of issues at various parts of
the yield curve. In addition, the empirical evidence presented in this paper indicates that firms utilizing the bond markets
for funding could lower their funding costs by shifting the term of their debt away from the most commonly targeted maturities.
相似文献
Nikolas RokkanenEmail: |
3.
In commercial banking, various statistical models for corporate credit rating have been theoretically promoted and applied
to bank-specific credit portfolios. In this paper, we empirically compare and test the performance of a wide range of parametric
and nonparametric credit rating model approaches in a statistically coherent way, based on a ‘real-world’ data set. We repetitively
(k times) split a large sample of industrial firms’ default data into disjoint training and validation subsamples. For all model types, we estimate k out-of-sample discriminatory power measures, allowing us to compare the models coherently. We observe that more complex and
nonparametric approaches, such as random forest, neural networks, and generalized additive models, perform best in-sample.
However, comparing k out-of-sample cross-validation results, these models overfit and lose some of their predictive power. Rather than improving
discriminatory power, we perceive their major contribution to be their usefulness as diagnostic tools for the selection of
rating factors and the development of simpler, parametric models.
相似文献
Stefan DenzlerEmail: |
4.
Over the latest 20 years, the average credit rating of U.S. corporations has trended down. Blume et al. (1998, Journal of Finance, 53, 1389–1413.) attribute this trend to a tightening of credit standards by agencies. We reexamine the observed decreases in
credit ratings in several ways. First, we show that this downward trend does not apply to speculative-grade issuers. Second,
our analysis of investment-grade issuers suggests that the apparent tightening of standards can be attributed primarily to
changes in accounting quality over time. After incorporating changing accounting quality, we find no evidence that rating
agencies have tightened their credit standards.
相似文献
Charles ShiEmail: |
5.
Terry Hallahan Robert W. Faff Karen L. Benson 《Journal of Financial Services Research》2008,33(3):205-220
In this paper we investigate the tournament induced risk-shifting behavior of Australian “multi-sector growth funds”. We apply
a regression-based methodology and examine tournaments based on the calendar year and the financial year. In our core analysis
we find evidence in favor of Taylor’s (J Econ Behav Organ 1455:1–11, 2003) risk shifting tournament hypothesis for financial year-end tournaments. Apart from the standard tournament
hypothesis we also report a range of findings regarding stability; fund age; and fund size. Support for the Taylor hypothesis
generally continues across these variations as well.
相似文献
Terry HallahanEmail: |
6.
How Much Do Banks Use Credit Derivatives to Hedge Loans? 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
Bernadette A. Minton René Stulz Rohan Williamson 《Journal of Financial Services Research》2009,35(1):1-31
Before the credit crisis that started in mid-2007, it was generally believed by top regulators that credit derivatives make
banks sounder. In this paper, we investigate the validity of this view. We examine the use of credit derivatives by US bank
holding companies with assets in excess of one billion dollars from 1999 to 2005. Using the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Bank Holding Company Database, we find that in 2005 the gross notional amount of credit derivatives held by banks exceeds
the amount of loans on their books. Only 23 large banks out of 395 use credit derivatives and most of their derivatives positions
are held for dealer activities rather than for hedging of loans. The net notional amount of credit derivatives used for hedging
of loans in 2005 represents less than 2% of the total notional amount of credit derivatives held by banks and less than 2%
of their loans. We conclude that the use of credit derivatives by banks to hedge loans is limited because of adverse selection
and moral hazard problems and because of the inability of banks to use hedge accounting when hedging with credit derivatives.
Our evidence raises important questions about the extent to which the use of credit derivatives makes banks sounder.
相似文献
René StulzEmail: |
7.
Ling Chu Robert Mathieu Sean Robb Ping Zhang 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2007,28(2):147-162
In this paper, we provide evidence that banks with a low level of capitalization have reduced their commitment with respect
to lines of credit after the introduction of the Basle Accord. A bank's lending behavior reflects its level of commitment
towards borrowers, which in turn affects the level of effort it exerts on screening and monitoring the activities of borrowers.
We find that the post-Basle Accord market reaction to the announcement of lines of credit issued by banks with a low level
of capitalization is significantly lower than the reaction to other types of bank credit announcements. We interpret this
result as evidence that some banks have a low level of commitment associated with lines of credit after the Basle Accord.
相似文献
Sean RobbEmail: |
8.
Yildiray Yildirim 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2008,37(2):93-111
This paper provides a comprehensive default estimation of commercial real estate loans with a complete commercial mortgage
backed securities (CMBS) loan history database. Standard survival models assume that eventually every observation will experience
the event. However, often there is a high proportion of censored observation in the sample. A mixture model is proposed to
disentangle the probability of “long-term survivorship” and the timing of default occurrence. Loans within the same geographical
area and property type tend to exhibit correlation in default incidence. A multilevel model is proposed to capture this correlation
within and between clusters.
相似文献
Yildiray YildirimEmail: |
9.
Enterprise risk management in financial groups: analysis of risk concentration and default risk 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Nadine Gatzert Hato Schmeiser Stefan Schuckmann 《Financial Markets and Portfolio Management》2008,22(3):241-258
In financial groups, enterprise risk management is becoming increasingly important in controlling and managing the different
independent legal entities in the group. The aim of this paper is to assess and relate risk concentration and joint default
probabilities of the group’s legal entities in order to achieve a more comprehensive picture of a financial group’s risk situation.
We further examine the impact of the type of dependence structure on results by comparing linear and nonlinear dependencies
using different copula concepts under certain distributional assumptions. Our results show that even if financial groups with
different dependence structures do have the same risk concentration factor, joint default probabilities of different sets
of subsidiaries can vary tremendously.
相似文献
Stefan SchuckmannEmail: |
10.
This paper explores empirically the usefulness of credit default swap (CDS) prices as market indicators. The sample of reference
entities consists of large, internationally active German banks and the observation period covers 3 years.
By analysing the explanatory power of three risk sources: idiosyncratic credit risk, systematic credit risk and liquidity
risk, we gain important insights into modeling the dynamics of CDS spreads. The impact of systematic risk, for example, has
three components; one is related to the overall state of the economy, another related to the risk of the internationally active
banking sector, and the third is an unobservable systematic factor.
Default probabilities, inferred from a tractable reduced form model for CDS spreads, are compared with expected default frequencies
from the Moody’s KMV model. The results lend empirical support to the hypothesis that structural models can be less informative
than reduced-form models of CDS spreads in the case of banks with major investment banking activities as the leverage loses
explanatory power.
Although the CDS market appears to have matured over the observation period, during certain periods premiums for liquidity
risk can increase substantially thus limiting the value of CDS spreads as market indicators. We conclude that equity prices
and CDS premia should be considered together to fully exploit the information content of both market indicators and to mitigate
their respective drawbacks.
相似文献
Agnieszka SosinskaEmail: |
11.
A common feature of managerial and financial reporting is an iterative process wherein various parties selectively correct
particular measurements by challenging them and subjecting them to increased scrutiny. We model this feature by adding an
agent appeal stage to the standard moral hazard model and show that it can be optimal to allow the agent to decide which performance
measures to appeal, despite the agent’s incentive to cherry-pick. In the presence of measurement errors, the agent is incentivized
by increased opportunities for cherry-picking that arise if he chooses the “right” vs. the “wrong” acts.
相似文献
Jonathan GloverEmail: |
12.
In this paper we test the theory according to which multimarket contact is a crucial factor hampering competition among firms,
because it lowers the incentive to behave aggressively in one market if there is fear that rivals retaliate in other common
markets. We consider the Italian banking industry in the period 2002–2005, employing both market-level and firm-level data.
The empirical evidence supports theory predictions, since profitability is positively related to the average number of contacts
among banks, and appear to be higher for those credit institutions experiencing more links. This result has also policy implications,
given the increasing consolidation (and hence the growing number of interactions in local markets) that has characterized
this sector in the last years.
相似文献
Paolo CoccoreseEmail: |
13.
Christoph Hinkelmann Steve Swidler 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2008,36(1):37-52
This paper examines the use of futures contracts to hedge residential real estate price risk. We examine whether existing
futures contacts can effectively be used to offset volatility in national house prices. Little evidence of any simple systematic
relation between national prices and futures prices is found. Since house prices are not easily replicated with a portfolio
of existing futures contracts, a further implication is that the Chicago Mercantile’s introduction of a financial asset whose
value reflects house prices will help complete the market. Nevertheless, the success of the CME’s new derivative contracts
may be limited in light of state and regional house price correlations.
相似文献
Steve Swidler (Corresponding author)Email: |
14.
Heterogeneous multiple bank financing: does it reduce inefficient credit-renegotiation incidences? 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Christina E. Bannier 《Financial Markets and Portfolio Management》2007,21(4):445-470
Small and medium-sized firms often obtain capital via a mixture of relationship and arm’s-length bank lending. We show that
such heterogeneous multiple bank financing leads to a lower probability of inefficient credit foreclosure than both monopoly
relationship lending and homogeneous multiple bank financing. Yet, in order to reduce hold-up and coordination-failure risk,
the relationship bank’s fraction of total firm debt must not become too large. For firms with intermediate expected profits,
the probability of inefficient credit-renegotiation is shown to decrease along with the relationship bank’s information precision.
For firms with extremely high or extremely low expected returns, however, it increases.
相似文献
Christina E. BannierEmail: |
15.
Using the representative agent approach as in Kaplow (Am Econ Rev 82:1013–1017, 1992b), this paper shows that providing tax
deductions for the individual’s net losses is socially optimal when the insurer faces the risk of insolvency. We further show
that the government should adopt a higher tax deduction rate for net losses when the insurer is insolvent than when the insurer
is solvent. Thus, tax deductions for net losses could be used to provide an insurance for individuals against the insurer’s
risk of insolvency. These findings could also be used to explain why a government provides supplementary public insurance
or government relief. Finally, we discuss that, if the individuals are heterogeneous in terms of loss severity, loss probability,
or income level, providing a tax deduction for the individual’s net losses may not always achieve a Pareto improvement, and
cross subsidization should be taken into consideration.
相似文献
Larry Y. TzengEmail: |
16.
Juerg Syz Paolo Vanini Marco Salvi 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2008,36(1):23-35
Economists have forcefully argued for the introduction and use of property derivatives as a hedge against house price risk
(e.g. Shiller and Weiss, J. Real Estate Finance Econ., 19(1):21–47, 1999). The rationale for these financial instruments seems clear, as many households are heavily invested in
housing and standard financial instruments offer a poor hedge. In practice, however, most of the property derivatives available
have been targeted to meet the needs of institutional investors, not those of owner-occupiers. Building on the recent launch
of the first Swiss property derivative, we here propose index-linked mortgages tailored to retail consumers. The payments
of these mortgages depend on the corresponding housing market performance. We further price the instruments, discuss the stabilization
of the homeowner’s net wealth, and quantify the expected decrease in the mortgage default risk achieved by this immunization
effect.
相似文献
Juerg SyzEmail: |
17.
The Determinants of REIT Cash Holdings 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
William G. HardinIII Michael J. Highfield Matthew D. Hill G. Wayne Kelly 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2009,39(1):39-57
The factors influencing the cash holdings of REITs are examined with the view that the REIT industry should yield new information
regarding the drivers of corporate cash policy due to their unique operating conditions. The availability of REIT line of
credit data also allows us to test the association between cash holdings and line of credit access and use. Data constraints
in prior investigations have left this an unresolved empirical question in the cash holdings literature. The baseline results
show that REIT cash holdings are inversely related to funds from operations, leverage, and internal advisement and are directly
related to the cost of external finance and growth opportunities. Cash holdings are also negatively associated with credit
line access and use. The results imply that REIT managers elect to hold little cash to reduce the agency problems of cash
flow thereby increasing transparency and reducing the future cost of external capital.
相似文献
G. Wayne KellyEmail: |
18.
The Sensitivity of the Loss Given Default Rate to Systematic Risk: New Empirical Evidence on Bank Loans 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Stefano Caselli Stefano Gatti Francesca Querci 《Journal of Financial Services Research》2008,34(1):1-34
We verify the existence of a relation between loss given default rate (LGDR) and macroeconomic conditions by examining 11,649
bank loans concerning the Italian market. Using both the univariate and multivariate analyses, we pinpoint diverse macroeconomic
explanatory variables for LGDR on loans to households and SMEs. For households, LGDR is more sensitive to the default-to-loan
ratio, the unemployment rate, and household consumption. For SMEs, LGDR is influenced by the total number of employed people
and the GDP growth rate. These findings corroborate the Basel Committee’s provision that LGDR quantification process must
identify distinct downturn conditions for each supervisory asset class.
相似文献
Francesca Querci (Corresponding author)Email: |
19.
We provide an empirical support for theories of lender specialization using the recently developed market for Debtor-in-Possession
(DIP) financing. The legal environment in which DIP financing operates represents a natural laboratory for testing determinants
of lending specialization (e.g. lender choice). We find that the choice of lender is not driven by credit risk, but by information
considerations and that this lending specialization has loan pricing effects. In short, banks (non-bank lenders) lend to more
(less) transparent firms and at lower (higher) loan spreads. Our results are consistent with the interpretation that banks
provide important and useful services.
相似文献
Gabriel G. Ramirez (Corresponding author)Email: |
20.
Among the issues raised by consolidation within the banking industry is a concern that small businesses will be less able
to obtain credit as community banks are acquired by larger or non-local institutions. Community banks have traditionally been
a major source of funding for small businesses. The impact of bank consolidation on credit availability may depend in part
on whether the remaining community institutions expand their small business lending activities. This study examines whether
credit unions have a propensity to extend business loans in markets that have experienced bank merger and acquisition activity.
We find some evidence that credit unions are more likely to engage in business lending in markets characterized by greater
bank merger and acquisition activity. Moreover, the estimated economic significance is meaningful in many of the specifications.
相似文献
Kenneth J. RobinsonEmail: |