我国投资基金业绩的持续性分析

基金业绩的持续性是指业绩优秀的基金以后一段时间继续保持优秀的业绩,而业绩差的基金继续表现出差的业绩.如果基金具有持续性,对于投资者来讲,他们可以买进前期业绩优秀的基金,而卖出前期业绩差的基金,来获取超额收益,投资者不必耗费大量的资金和时间去评价和选择基金经理.本文就基金业绩持续性的研究理论方法进行阐述,并对我国投资基金作实证分析.     

开放式基金和基金家族业绩持续性研究

我国证券投资基金快速发展,从属于同一家基金管理公司的单个基金越来越多,形成基金家族。本文研究从单个基金和基金家族的整体两个层面,采用实证检验方法对其业绩持续性进行研究,研究表明我国开放式基金仅具有短期的业绩持续性,而基金家族的整体业绩不存在持续性,籍此结果提示投资者不应仅仅关注基金的短期业绩,应更多关注基金的长期业绩表现,规避投资中对家族和规模的偏好,关注高价值基金,才能最大程度保障资金安全和自身的利益。     

我国开放式混合型基金业绩持续性研究

基金业绩持续性作为投资者选择投资对象的重要指标之一,对其研究具有重要的意义。文章采用修正的sharpe指数作为绩效评价指标,运用列联表法,对我国2005年前上市的66只开放式混合型基金在2005-2010年内业绩持续性进行评价。研究结果表明我国开放式混合型基金业绩表现出显著的持续性。     

中国封闭式基金与开放式基金业绩持续性比较研究

本文研究了我国基金的短期和长期业绩持续性,所得结果表明我国基金的短期业绩持续性显著。在此基础上,本文对我国封闭式基金和开放式基金的业绩持续性进行了实证对比,发现封闭式基金的短期和长期业绩都具有持续性,而开放式基金长期业绩持续性不显著。最后对此现象进行了解释和分析     

沪深封闭式基金业绩持续性验证

对基金业绩持续性评价是投资者进行基金投资决策的依据之一.本文选用夏普指数和詹森指数两种基金业绩衡量指标来衡量基金业绩,运用横截面回归检验法和交叉积比率检验法分别对2004-2009年持续存在的26只沪深封闭式基金周回报率进行了实证检验.结果表明,从整体上看,所考察的封闭式基金业绩具有弱反转性.     

股票型开放式基金业绩持续性经济价值分析

随着我国基金业的快速发展,针对基金业绩持续性的研究成为证券市场理论和实务领域所关注的焦点。本文通过参数检验的方法对我国42只股票型开放式基金在2005年至2007年3个年度内业绩持续性的经济价值进行了分析,并根据分析结果向投资者提出了有益的投资建议。     

基金业绩对投资者申购、赎回行为的影响：考虑股市表现的证据

基金的净资金流为申购资金流入减去赎回资金流出的剩余。净资金流代表的是投资者申购和赎回资金相互抵消的结果,无法反应基金的资金流入和流出过程。为了全面检查基金投资者面临基金业绩时所作出的申购决策和赎回决策,以我国2005—2014年偏股型开放式基金为样本,将投资者行为区分为申购行为和赎回行为,系统检查"牛"、"熊"市下投资者的申购资金流入和赎回资金流出与基金业绩的关系,结果发现:(1)基金的申购量和赎回量均与基金的业绩表现显著正相关;(2)已有研究所发现的"赎回异象"在整体上并不存在,基金的业绩表现与基金的净流入正相关;(3)在不同股市周期,投资者的行为表现存在明显的差异性,在"牛市"投资者倾向于"追逐业绩",而在"熊市"则更倾向于"忽略业绩"。     

基金管理公司业绩评价系统与激励约束机制

一、基金管理公司内部业绩评价与投资者外部业绩评价的比较 投资基金业绩评价是指运用特定的指标和标准,采用科学的方法,对基金投资运作结果作出综合价值判断.按照评价主体的不同,业绩评价有两个不同的角度:从基金管理公司角度对基金经营业绩进行的内部业绩评价和从投资者角度对基金进行的外部业绩评价.内部业绩评价是基金投资运作的一个重要环节,评价结果直接反馈给基金管理公司的高层管理者,成为投资策略调整和激励约束机制运行的依据.外部业绩评价可以使投资者了解基金的管理风格、风险收益和投资价值,并据此作出投资决策,客观上可抑制基金管理人的道德风险,防止由于信息不对称而产生的逆向选择,具有间接的外部的市场激励与约束作用.管理者的内部业绩评价与投资者的外部业绩评价之间存在以下几点差异:     

熊市下我国开放式证券投资基金业绩持续性研究

采用基于回归分析的多期基金业绩持续性评价模型,对56只中国的各类开放式证券投资基金在熊市下的业绩持续性进行了实证研究。结果表明:在短期内,各类基金的业绩不存在持续性,基金业绩往往具有反转性。不同的基金超额业绩的计算方法有时会对评价结果影响很大。     

阳光私募基金业绩持续性能力研究

业绩持续性检验是基金业绩评价的方法之一,但内地学术界对A股私募基金业绩评价的量化研究较少。本文以阳光私募为研究对象,对A股私募基金的业绩持续能力进行参数检验和非参数检验,检验结果发现阳光私募业绩持续性表现并不明显,其业绩排名受到其他因素的影响较显著。     

Momentum strategies with stock index exchange-traded funds

Previously reported momentum profits may not be available to individual investors who have more trading constraints. Therefore, I examine the profitability of momentum strategies with international iShares and US sector exchange-traded funds (ETFs) traded on the NYSE. The index ETFs provide individual investors easy access to international stock markets and US sectors for asset allocations. Using cross-sectional momentum strategies, in contrast to prior research, I find that momentum profits are insignificant for the late 1990s–2014 period. Few country and industry ETFs yield positive results using time series momentum, and the overall performance is worse than the buy-and-hold strategy. Time series momentum offers significant profits during the 2008 global financial crisis, but the profits decline sharply for the post-crisis period.     

Mutual fund selection and performance persistence in 401(k) Plans

We examine how plan sponsors/providers select mutual funds for 401(k) plans and whether performance persistence exists for mutual funds listed in 401(k) plans. Using a hand-collected data set of 401(k) investment options, we find that plan sponsors are likely to choose actively managed growth funds, including aggressive growth funds and long-term growth funds. Furthermore, more than 50% of the mutual funds in our sample of 401(k) plans are selected from the top 10 fund families in terms of total net assets. On average, plan sponsors select funds that outperform the funds with the same investment objective and that have low expense ratios. The performance of mutual funds in 401(k) plans only persists in a short horizon. Our analysis indicates that the menus of 401(k) investment options do not exhibit a signaling effect, indicating that investment options in 401(k) plans do not supply useful information about the future performance of mutual funds for investors in selecting mutual funds.     

Emerging market mutual fund performance: Evidence for Poland

This paper provides evidence on the performance of mutual funds in a prominent emerging market; Poland. Studying an emerging market provides an excellent opportunity to test whether the consensus on the inability of mutual funds in developed and highly efficient markets to beat the market, also holds in less efficient markets. While the weaknesses of legal institutions and underdeveloped capital markets in emerging countries could negatively contribute to performance, a certain level of market inefficiency might also enable fund managers to successfully apply security selection and therefore beat the market. This paper presents an overview of the Polish mutual fund industry and investigates mutual fund performance using a survivorship bias controlled sample of 140 funds. The latter is done using the Carhart (1997) 4-factor asset-pricing model. In addition, we investigate whether Polish fund managers exhibit “hot hands”, persistence in performance. Finally the influence of fund characteristics on risk-adjusted performance is considered. Our overall results suggest that Polish mutual funds on average are not able to add value, as indicated by their negative net alphas. Interestingly, domestic funds outperform internationally investing funds, which points at informational advantages of local over foreign investors. Finally, we detect strong persistence in mean returns up to 1 year. It is striking that “winning” funds are able to significantly beat the market, based on their significantly positive alpha's. These results deviate from studies on developed markets that conclude that even past winners are not able to significantly beat the market.     

机构投资者能提高开放式基金的业绩吗

本文通过对开放式基金的实证研究,发现开放式基金的机构投资者持股比例与超额收益率呈显著的负相关关系,即机构投资者并不能提高开放式基金业绩。相反机构投资者持股比例越高,开放式基金业绩可能越低,这与已有研究文献的结论不同。同时还发现基金公司收取的管理费用和基金的累计净值对基金业绩有正面的影响。     

Fee waivers for tax-exempt money market mutual funds

In this study we investigate why tax-exempt money market mutual funds often waive fees. Contrary to statements in the popular press, our results provide weak evidence that fee waivers lead to asset growth. We find strong evidence, however, that fee waivers are used to keep the fund’s reported yield in line with competitors. We find that funds have comparable before-expense yields and that smaller funds generally have higher expenses. If all expenses were charged to investors, then smaller funds would significantly underperform larger funds. Thus, in order to keep reported yields in line with competitors, smaller funds must waive a significant portion of fees.(JEL G20, G21)     

Principles for sustainability rating of investment funds

During the last decade, the idea of sustainable investments hit the market. Investors both private and institutional started to supplement financial considerations with social and ecological ones. Meanwhile the supply of mutual funds in the ‘green’ investment sector increased enormously. Currently in Europe about 300 mutual funds are available that are managed according to sustainability and social responsibility. Potential investors face the difficulty of keeping track of the various funds and choosing among them based on a reliable comparative assessment. This paper outlines the basic principles and methods on which such a comparative sustainability rating is based. The method was designed to be analogous to rating of the funds financially. The sustainability rating is based on assessment of the research processes in the fund management as well as investigation of the fund portfolio in terms of composition and sustainability performance. It should support investors in their investment choices by offering them a third party view. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd and ERP Environment.     

Examining the behavior of renewable‐energy fund investors

Mutual fund investors could contribute to sustainable development by encouraging fund managers to channel their savings into the funding of sustainable energy projects adopted by firms. This study examines whether renewable‐energy investors take into account financial and/or nonfinancial factors when making the decision to invest in a specific fund, comparing their investment behavior with that of black‐energy and conventional investors. To this end, we have gathered information about 4,368 mutual funds (76 renewable‐energy funds, 109 black‐energy funds, and 4,183 conventional mutual funds) from January 2007 to December 2017. For this sample, we adopt a panel‐data approach with Petersen's standard errors clustered by fund and year. Our results indicate that renewable‐energy fund investors are less sensitive to past financial performance than are black‐energy and conventional fund investors, indicating that the former derive their utility from nonfinancial attributes whereas black‐energy investors derive their utility from a conditional multiattribute and conventional fund investors derive their utility from financial attributes.     

The role of mutual funds in the sustainable energy sector

The integration of renewable energy criteria in mutual fund investment decisions could channel private resources into the funding of environmentally related projects implemented by firms contributing to sustainable development. This paper examines the performance of European renewable energy funds that invest globally by comparing their risk‐adjusted returns with those achieved by black energy and conventional mutual funds. It uses Carhart's model on a sample of 81 renewable energy funds, 125 black energy funds, and 4,337 conventional mutual funds. The results indicate that 32.1% of renewable mutual funds—most of which adopt energy producers, renewable energy technology, and energy efficiency‐focused criteria—perform significantly better than the S&P Clean Energy market benchmark, this percentage being affected by the different states of the economy. However, none of them are able to beat the fossil fuel energy (S&P Global 1200 Energy Index) or conventional market benchmarks (S&P Global 1200 Index). Furthermore, 37.04% of renewable energy funds significantly underperform the S&P Global 1200 benchmark. Therefore, the investment in renewable energy funds has a financial cost for investors in relation to conventional fund investors.