经济政策不确定性对企业真实盈余管理的影响

本文以2003—2019年中国非金融类上市公司为样本,研究经济政策不确定性对真实盈余管理的影响。研究发现：经济政策不确定性显著提高了企业真实盈余管理的程度;进一步区分调节盈余的方向后发现,企业为应对经济政策不确定性显著提高了正向真实盈余管理,而非负向真实盈余管理,且这种调增真实盈余的程度在民营、高新科技、两职合一的企业更大;机制分析发现,企业的信息环境和融资环境是经济政策不确定性影响正向真实盈余管理的中介变量;进一步检验发现,企业为应对经济政策不确定性会选择正向应计盈余管理“配合”正向真实盈余管理,两种正向盈余管理呈现互补关系;检验企业操纵正向真实盈余的动机发现,业绩压力和市场预期压力越大的企业进行正向真实盈余管理的动机越强。本文为处于“双循环”背景下中国经济正确处理好政企之间的关系提供了证据。     

金融环境不确定性、所有权性质与盈余操纵

以2011—2015年中国A股上市公司数据为样本,考察了金融环境不确定性与盈余操纵程度的关系,并检验了所有权性质的调节作用。结果发现,金融环境不确定性越高,企业盈余操纵程度越大,且公司层面不确定性对于盈余操纵的影响较大,市场层面的影响次之。民营企业的盈余操纵程度显著高于国有企业,且国有性质能够显著降低不确定性对盈余操纵的影响,表明国有性质对于盈余操纵存在治理效应。     

环境不确定性、信息披露质量与分析师盈余预测

本文从经营环境视角,考察环境不确定性对分析师盈余预测的影响,通过实证研究发现:环境不确定性显著加剧了分析师盈余预测的偏差,信息披露质量的提升有助于缓解环境不确定性对分析师盈余预测的不利影响;将分析师盈余预测偏差分为向上偏差与向下偏差后,发现环境不确定性对向上偏差的影响成为其影响分析师盈余预测的作用机制,信息披露质量的提...     

市场环境、民事诉讼与盈余管理

以中国上市公司2001--2004年的经验数据为样本,本文对市场环境、民事诉讼和盈余管理之间的关系进行了实证检验。研究发现,公司所在地的市场化程度越高,公司遭受诉讼的概率越大。在诉讼发生当年,上市公司普遍采取了降低盈余的盈余管理行为,这一现象在地方政府控制的上市公司中表现更为明显。此外,我们没有发现,各地区市场环境的差异对上市公司因诉讼诱发的盈余管理行为存在遏制作用。     

基于环境不确定性的管理会计对策研究

伴随着市场经济体制的不断完善,企业所处的环境不确定性因素越来越多,这对管理会计提出了更多的挑战.科学有效的管理会计对于增强企业应对能力,提升企业竞争实力具有重要作用.本文围绕环境不确定性下的管理会计,分析了环境不确定对其影响并就如何提高管理会计质量提出了建议措施.     

盈余管理影响因素研究

盈余管理的影响因素一直是理论界研究的热点话题,本文对现有的外文文献进行了统计分析,并以文献综述的方式对有关盈余管理的影响因素加以总结和评述.研究发现以往的探讨大多集中于微观因素角度,较少关注宏观环境因素方面.作者试图将宏观环境因素作为盈余管理的一个变量进行阐述并提出了可行性分析的理由,为盈余管理的进一步研究提供参考价值.     

环境不确定性、企业社会责任与审计收费

以每股社会贡献值为企业社会责任表现的代理变量,研究在环境不确定条件下企业社会责任与审计收费的关系。结果显示,企业的社会责任表现与审计收费显著正相关,原因是企业可能通过良好的社会责任表现以转移利益相关者视线从而掩饰其盈余管理等行为,而审计师将会针对性地实施更多的审计程序,并提高风险估价,因而导致审计收费提高。进一步研究发现,环境不确定性是上述两者关系的调节性影响因素,相对于环境不确定性较低的企业,环境不确定性较高企业的社会责任表现与审计收费的关系更为显著,这说明如果企业在面临较高的环境不确定性时仍然有着良好的社会责任表现,将存在更大的掩饰其盈余管理等行为的可能,从而导致审计师更大幅度地提高审计收费。     

盈余管理对股票未来收益的影响研究——基于应计盈余管理与真实盈余管理的分类视角

论文基于盈余管理的最新分类——真实盈余管理与应计盈余管理,选用我国沪深两市2007～2013年的上市公司为研究样本,实证检验了盈余管理对股票未来收益的影响,结果发现应计盈余管理对股票未来一到三年的收益影响虽显著为负,但程度均较小,而真实盈余管理则会严重降低股票未来一到三年的收益,损害投资者的利益.     

盈余管理对上市公司年报披露及时性的影响

本文以沪市上市公司为样本,研究了盈余管理对上市公司年报披露及时性的影响。本文研究发现,盈余管理程度与年报披露时间之间存在显著的正相关关系,并进一步研究了盈余管理的方向对年报披露时滞的影响,发现盈余管理的方向对年报披露时间没有显著的影响。为使上市公司年报及时披露,帮助投资者进行有效决策,控制盈余管理将是一个有效的手段。     

The Effect of Earnings Management on the Asymmetric Timeliness of Earnings

Abstract:   Is earnings management affecting (driving) the measures of earnings conservatism? Ball et al. (2000) point out that the asymmetry in the recognition of good and bad news in earnings (faster recognition of bad news: earnings conservatism) is more pronounced in common‐law than in code‐law based accounting regimes. However, comparative studies on earnings conservatism in Europe have failed to identify significant differences between common‐law and code‐law based countries. We argue that in code‐law based countries managers have incentives to reduce earnings consistently. This enhances the association between earnings and returns in bad news periods. We find that after controlling for discretionary accruals, the differential earnings response to bad news in Germany and France decreases significantly.     

Ex Ante Incentives for Earnings Management and the Informativeness of Earnings

This study examines the relation between ex ante incentives of insurance managers to engage in earnings management to meet regulatory standards and the informativeness of earnings. This study extends prior research by simultaneously examining the effects of earnings management and uncertainty about earnings as suggested by Collins and DeAngelo (1990) and Imhoff and Lobo (1992). Results from a sample of 375 quarterly earnings announcements of 41 property and liability insurers during the period 1989 to 1992 support the hypothesis that when managers' incentives for earnings management are high, earnings announcements are less informative to investors (even after controlling for uncertainty associated with exposure to large-scale catastrophes). Robustness tests suggest that our results are not attributable to firm size, time period effects, firm effects, accounting estimation error, or financial distress risk. These results are consistent with investors using publicly available information to predict P-L insurance managers' ex ante incentives to manage earnings to meet regulatory standards, and that they use this information in forming their beliefs about earnings quality.     

股权再融资与盈余管理研究辨析

对已有文献进行总结,是学术创新的重要基础。股权再融资过程中的盈余管理是值得研究的问题,本文归纳近几年的文献,从研究设计、研究技术路线、研究方法、未来研究趋势等方面对此问题进行梳理,以此来探寻关于股权再融资与盈余管理问题的研究现状及未来方向。     

业绩预告披露与盈余管理研究

盈余管理存在的根本原因在于投资者与管理层之间的信息不对称。业绩预告作为上市公司未来经营成果、财务状况与现金流量的预测,在很大程度上会影响投资者对上市公司的评估及其投资决策。从业绩预告披露的特征方面出发,研究业绩预告披露与盈余管理之间的关系,包括业绩预告的性质、预告精确度、预告误差分别与盈余管理程度的关系,结果发现：发布业绩预告的公司,盈余管理水平更高。预告精确度以及预告期间与预测当期盈余管理水平正相关,预测误差与盈余管理水平负相关。当消息类型不同的时候,预测的强制性与否以及＂变脸＂对盈余管理水平的影响不同。结论支持了上市公司财务报告迎合业绩预告披露的说法。     

Real Earnings Management,Institutional Environment,and Future Operating Performance: An International Study

This paper investigates the association between firms' engagement in real activities manipulation (hereafter REM) on future firm performance in an international setting, and whether the association is conditional upon country-level institutional factor. Our inquiry is motivated by a paucity of research on the consequences of REM in an international setting. Using a large sample over the period of 2001 to 2015, we find that current-period REM is positively associated with future performance: a finding that is consistent with Gunny (2010) in the US. Importantly, we find that the positive performance effect is driven by firms operating in countries with strong institutional environments. Finally, we find that future operating performance improves when REM is undertaken by firms in strong institutional environments only during a non-economic crisis period, but not during an economic crisis period. The paper adds to the existing REM literature by showing a non-monotonic effect of REM on future performance that is conditional on the strength of a country's institution. We also contribute to the accounting information and crisis literature by documenting a time-variant effect of REM on future performance.     

The Accrual Effect on Future Earnings

Earnings manipulation has become a widespread practice for US corporations. However, most studies in the literature focus on whether certain incentives would facilitate managers to manipulate earnings and there has been little evidence documenting the consequences of earnings manipulation. This paper fills this gap by examining how current accruals affect future earnings (the accrual effect) and measuring the size of this effect. We find that the aggregate future earnings will decrease by $0.046 and $0.096, respectively, in the next one and three years for a $1 increase of current accruals. Over the very long-term (25 years), 20% of current accruals will reverse. This negative accrual effect is more significant for firms with high price-earnings ratios, high market-to-book ratios and high accruals where earnings management is more likely to occur. We show that incorporating the accrual effect is useful in improving the accuracy of earnings forecasts for these firms. Accordingly, the empirical results are consistent with the notion that earnings management causes the negative relationship between current accruals and future earnings. In addition, this paper shows that one recently developed accrual model has better performance than the popularly cited model in identifying manipulated earnings.     

盈余管理、信息风险与审计意见

盈余管理和信息风险是影响审计意见的两个重要因素。已有研究主要关注当期盈余管理与审计意见的关系,少有关注信息风险对审计意见的影响。本文运用我国上市公司的数据,同时研究盈余管理和信息风险对审计意见的影响。检验结果表明,公司的信息风险与审计师出具非标意见概率显著正相关,而当期盈余管理与审计师出具非标意见的概率无显著相关性。这表明,审计师出具审计意见时主要考虑信息风险,而没有证据表明审计师出具审计意见时考虑了盈余管理。本文的研究结论深化了已有审计意见和审计质量决定因素方面的研究。     

Management of Earnings and Analysts' Forecasts to Achieve Zero and Small Positive Earnings Surprises

Abstract:  This paper corroborates the finding of prior studies that managers avoid reporting earnings lower than analyst forecasts (i.e., negative earnings surprises) and provides new evidence of actions contributing to this phenomenon. Specifically, we provide empirical evidence of both (1) upward management of reported earnings and (2) downward 'management' of analysts' forecasts to achieve zero and small positive earnings surprises. Further analysis of the components of earnings management suggests that both the operating cash flow and discretionary accruals components of earnings are managed.     

盈余管理问题初探

近年来,会计信息的质量问题普遍堪忧.盈余管理问题是影响会计信息质量的一大因素.对盈余管理的研究要正确划分盈余管理与财务欺诈的界限.另外,要认清盈余管理可能造成的后果.本文的研究重点在于盈余管理的资本市场动因以及影响,并提出正确判断企业是否存在盈余管理应解决的标准问题.     

The Relationship Between Bank Risk and Earnings Management: Evidence from Japan

Using stock price data drawn from the 1990s in Japan, this paper empirically shows that bank risk is negatively associated with discretionary accruals, indicating that investors misinterpreted high reported earnings as favorable information about bank financial health. We also show that the negative relationship was very powerful prior to the major bank failures in late 1997 and 1998, but it diminished subsequent to the failures. We conclude that investors started to anticipate potential manipulation of financial reports by bank managers more rationally after the major bank failures.