金融科技在构建场景金融生态圈中的应用探析

本文首先介绍了场景金融生态圈的基本概念和主要特征,在此基础上阐述了商业银行发展场景金融生态圈的必要性;其次,通过对金融科技在场景金融生态圈中的应用研究,提出现阶段我国商业银行场景金融业务存在商业模式不清晰、风险防控不足、技术支撑不够、科技人才缺乏等问题,主要原因在于银行特色场景生态体系没有形成、数据服务支撑能力有待提高、业务需求与数字化技术不够契合等;最后,从强化科技赋能的角度出发,对其优化路径提出策略建议,进而为我国商业银行提升场景金融服务水平提供一些思路。     

加强执行层面战略协同 实现银行集团数字化转型发展

金融科技发展方兴未艾,数字化经济浪潮席卷各行各业。商业银行纷纷制定数字化转型发展战略,调整和优化业务流程,前瞻性地布局业务拓展重点领域,打造并创建金融场景,塑造端对端的客户金融旅程,构建金融数字化生态圈,更好地拓展和服务客户,顺应大数据、人工智能、区块链、云计算、5G和物联网对金融业务发展和金融生态体系构建的要求。本文对照国内商业银行兴起的金融服务数字化、智能化转型发展实践,总结提出了值得借鉴的经验和一些应该重点关注的问题。     

商业银行金融生态圈构建的模式和路径研究

近年,开放银行作为商业银行数字化转型的重要战略方向,受到持续关注。本文基于开放银行的概念和实践情况,对于开放银行的发展现状及问题梳理了其阶段性特征,提出下一步通过开放银行构建金融生态圈的框架、路径及建议。研究认为：开放银行应以构建开放金融生态圈为目标,这不仅是开放银行的核心竞争力,也是商业银行寻求新发展模式和业务突破的客观要求;开放银行新的发展阶段应将重心从开放平台建设转移到开放金融生态构建上,并从业务框架和系统框架双向发力,通过保持战略定力、完善顶层设计、数据化全场景运营、加强风险控制、夯实人才队伍等手段推动开放银行高质量发展。     

利率市场化与金融科技发展降低了商业银行风险吗?

运用2011—2018年166家区域性商业银行年报数据和北京大学数字金融研究中心基于蚂蚁集团用户数据构建的数字金融普惠指数,实证研究利率市场化、金融科技对商业银行资产风险的影响,结果表明:利率市场化会增加商业银行不良资产风险;金融科技发展会导致商业银行不良资产风险上升;金融科技在利率市场化和商业银行资产风险之间发挥负向调节作用,即金融科技的发展会削弱利率市场化对银行资产质量的不良影响.在使用工具变量法进一步检验后,上述实证结果依然稳健.最后,根据研究结论,提出了商业银行要转变经营模式,完善风险管理机制,充分发挥金融科技的赋能作用,实现多元化经营,提升差异化竞争能力等建议.     

移动互联环境下的网点金融生态圈研究

本文基于移动大数据的经济背景,结合互联网思维的商业生态模式,通过分析银行网点金融生态圈的内涵特点、基本架构、组成要素、运行机理等相关运作机制,探讨商业银行营业网点未来趋于平台化、群落化、生态化的发展方向,为网点金融生态圈建设与运营提供参考建议和实施方案,进一步提升网点竞争力和营销服务能力,同时,对未来业态研究进行展望.     

商业银行个人客户综合贡献评价指标体系设计——基于金融生态圈视域下

借鉴"金融生态圈"理论框架,着眼于商业银行零售业务"平台金融"的发展趋势,运用魏朱六要素商业模式分析工具,从集成意义上阐述了个人客户透过资金流、产品流、信息流和交叉网络外部性,在"关键资源能力迭代""盈利模式迭代""现金流结构迭代"等环节进行价值创造与价值转移,于生态圈中形成了全新的价值共创模式,据此构建了"当前贡献——潜在贡献——生态圈贡献"三位一体的顾客贡献评价指标体系。     

场景金融与金融科技融合：构建以长尾客户为主体的零售发展新模式

零售业务构成商业银行重要的资金价值贡献，是当前业务转型重点。在“无场景不金融”的状态下，商业银行的零售业务由传统的网点竞争转为线上、金融场景的竞争。场景金融生态圈里，业务发展是根本，金融科技为手段，金融场景属战场，长尾客户系重要目标客群，金融产品与服务是金融交易的载体。文章认为金融科技和金融场景是提升零售业务长尾客户量、质的根本条件，成果最终体现在零售业务发展。为此，金融科技与金融场景要深度地融合，树立长尾客户经营理念，搭建金融新场景，对长尾客户实行精细化管理，不断创新金融产品，大力发展开放银行，为构建以长尾客户为主体的零售发展新模式提供新动能。     

金融科技对商业银行盈利能力和经营风险的影响研究——基于文本挖掘的实证检验

数字化背景下金融科技的发展催生出新的竞争主体与服务形态,也深刻改变着客户的金融消费行为,从而给传统商业银行的经营模式带来了全新的挑战和机遇。为考察金融科技对商业银行盈利能力和经营风险的影响,本文选择2013—2021年我国91家不同类型的商业银行,采用文本挖掘方法和主成分分析法测算了银行个体层面的金融科技应用指数,在此基础上,构建多元面板回归模型进行实证检验和异质性分析。研究结果表明：在盈利能力方面,金融科技的应用通过创新银行经营模式、丰富银行产品,有效提升了商业银行盈利能力,且相较于区域性商业银行,对全国性商业银行盈利提升的作用更显著;在经营风险方面,随着金融科技应用程度的加深,商业银行的经营风险呈现出先降后升的非线性趋势,且相较于全国性商业银行,区域性商业银行对金融科技冲击的反应更为敏感。     

社区金融大有可为

社区金融,简单地说就是利用"社区搭台,银行唱戏"的模式,将银行的金融产品通过社区向社区居民推广、营销,以此来获取收益.社区金融由来已久,早在1980年,美国经过长时间的分析和研究设立了世界上第一家社区金融银行,经过近30年的经营证明了它的重要性.而我国大中城市的商业银行,几年前也已提出了社区金融的概念,并付诸实践.     

科技金融生态文献研究综述

科技金融生态对解决科技创新与金融创新的协同耦合发展、改善金融环境、降低金融风险、提高科技企业融资效率及促进科技企业发展起着越来越重要的作用。以科技金融生态为核心,综述国内外科技金融耦合、科技金融耦合协调度、金融科技生态及金融科技生态圈相关文献,提出了以科技金融生态群落和科技金融支撑环境两部分为主体的科技金融生态构建方向。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.     

浅议金融机构的举证责任

金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…