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1.
Cross-country income gaps are large in the data. Can observed investment prices account for these gaps? Our model adds an extensive margin to the neoclassical growth model by allowing for entry of firms. When combined with a “returns to variety” effect, our model provides an amplification mechanism from investment prices to output. Using cross-country data on relative investment prices, the model can explain up to 5 to 6-fold income differences between the richest and poorest countries in our sample while simultaneously reducing the implied cross-country TFP differences. 相似文献
2.
Peers' valuation matters for firms' investment: a one standard deviation increase in peers' valuation is associated with a 5.9% increase in corporate investment. This association is stronger when a firm's stock price informativeness is lower or when its managers appear less informed. Also, the sensitivity of a firm's investment to its stock price is lower when its peers' stock price informativeness is higher or when demands for its products and its peers' products are more correlated. Furthermore, the sensitivity of firms' investment to their peers' valuation drops significantly after going public. These findings are uniquely predicted by a model in which managers learn information from their peers' valuation. 相似文献
3.
Smoothness in aggregate capital accumulation is a necessary condition for New-Keynesian (NK) models to imply a quantitatively relevant monetary transmission mechanism (see, e.g., [Woodford, 2005. Firm-specific capital and the new Keynesian Phillips curve. International Journal of Central Banking 2, 1–46]). Can that aggregate smoothness be entertained in the context of an NK model featuring lumpy plant-level investment? Our answer is yes. Imperfect competition in goods markets and/or sticky prices are identified as economic mechanisms which render lumpy investment relevant in general equilibrium. 相似文献
4.
Scott E. Stickel 《Journal of Financial Economics》1985,14(1):121-143
The information content of Value Line Investment Survey rank changes is investigated. The results suggest rank changes affect common stock prices, but the effect varies by the type of rank change. Changes from rank 2 to rank 1 have the most dramatic impact on prices. A cross-sectional analysis finds small firms have a greater reaction to a rank change than larger firms, which supports theories on the frequency of report arrival and precision of information. A speed of adjustment test concludes the prices of individual securities adjust to the information in a rank change over a multiple-day period. 相似文献
5.
Susana Yu 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2012,39(1):105-121
This paper provides significant extensions and tests of momentum trading strategies based on relative prices that were first explored by George and Hwang (2004). We develop new momentum strategies based on the ratio of the current stock price to each of five different reference points in past prices: 52-week high, 52-week median, 52-week low, half-year high, and 2-year high. We measure their investment performance on the basis of the Fama and French 3-Factor and Momentum Model (Carhart four-factor model), and further employ the technique of nested trading strategies to measure incremental performance. The strategy based on the ratio of current stock price to its 52-week high price is the most profitable, and its performance is robust when tested over a wide range of financial and economic factors. Our results provide strong new evidence of the investment merits of a momentum trading strategy based on the 52-week high price ratio, and add new weight to challenges to the hypothesis that the stock market is efficient in the semi-strong sense. 相似文献
6.
2007年固定资产投资同比增速虽有所下降,但在地方政府换届、企业盈利增长等因素的推动下,2008年固定资产投资将再度升温.虽然目前尚未出现全面通货膨胀,但2008年物价上涨压力不容忽视,通货膨胀威胁增大.2007年以来人民币对美元汇率升值加速,但对欧元和日元却相对贬值,导致人民币实际有效汇率升值有限,2008年人民币升值步伐会有所加快,但不会迅速地大幅度升值,汇率水平将呈现攀高震荡格局.2007年股票市场在持续攀高之后出现大幅震荡,预计2008年股票市场牛市格局不会变,股价震荡可能加大. 相似文献
7.
《Journal of Banking & Finance》2006,30(10):2835-2856
In this paper, we use a panel of 609 UK firms over the period 1980–2000 to test for the existence of a trade credit channel of transmission of monetary policy, and for whether this channel plays an offsetting effect on the traditional credit channel. We estimate error-correction inventory investment equations augmented with the coverage ratio and the trade credit to assets ratio, differentiating the effects of the latter variables across firms more or less likely to face financing constraints, and firms making a high or low use of trade credit. Our results suggest that both the credit and the trade credit channels operate in the UK, and that the latter channel tends to weaken the former. 相似文献
8.
This paper consolidates the results of some recent work on the relation between forward prices and futures prices. It develops a number of propositions characterizing the two prices. These propositions contain several testable implications about the difference between forward and futures prices. Many of the propositions show that equilibrium forward and futures prices are equal to the values of particular assets, even though they are not in themselves asset prices. The paper then illustrates these results in the context of two valuation models and discusses the effects of taxes and other institutional factors. 相似文献
9.
How do differences of opinion affect asset prices? Do investors earn a risk premium when disagreement arises in the market? Despite their fundamental importance, these questions are among the most controversial issues in finance. In this paper, we use a novel data set that allows us to directly measure the level of disagreement among Wall Street mortgage dealers about prepayment speeds. We examine how disagreement evolves over time and study its effects on expected returns, return volatility, and trading volume in the mortgage-backed security market. We find that increased disagreement is associated with higher expected returns, higher return volatility, and larger trading volume. These results imply that there is a positive risk premium for disagreement in asset prices. We also show that volatility in and of itself does not lead to higher trading volume. Instead, only when disagreement arises in the market is higher uncertainty associated with more trading. Finally, we are able to distinguish empirically between two competing hypotheses regarding how information in markets gets incorporated into asset prices. We find that sophisticated investors appear to update their beliefs through a rational expectations mechanism when disagreement arises. 相似文献
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11.
Stock prices and volume 总被引:33,自引:0,他引:33
We undertake a comprehensive investigation of price and volumeco-movement using daily New York Stock Exchange data from 1928to 1987. We adjust the data to take into account well-knowncalendar effects and long-run trends. To describe the process,we use a seminonparametric estimate of the joint density ofcurrent price change and volume conditional on past price changesand volume. Four empirical regularities are found: (i) positivecorrelation between conditional volatility and volume; (ii)large price movements are followed by high volume; (iii) conditioningon lagged volume substantially attenuates the 'leverage' effect;.and (iv) after conditioning on lagged volume, there is a positiverisk-return relation. 相似文献
12.
We integrate the housing market and the labor market in a dynamic general equilibrium model with credit and search frictions. We argue that the labor channel, combined with the standard credit channel, provides a strong transmission mechanism that can deliver a potential solution to the Shimer (2005) puzzle. The model is confronted with U.S. macroeconomic time series. The estimation results account for two prominent facts observed in the data. First, land prices and unemployment move in opposite directions over the business cycle. Second, a shock that moves land prices also generates the observed large volatility of unemployment. 相似文献
13.
Temporary price reductions (sales) are common for many goods and naturally result in a large increase in the quantity sold. We explore whether the data support the hypothesis that these increases are, at least partly, due to demand anticipation: at low prices, consumers store for future consumption. This effect, if present, has broad economic implications. We test the predictions of an inventory model using scanner data with two years of household purchases. The results are consistent with an inventory model and suggest that static demand estimates may overestimate price sensitivity. 相似文献
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15.
We test whether bank loans change public bond yields. A 25% increase in bank debt raises bond yields by 8 bps, reflecting a trade-off between the benefits of bank cross-monitoring and higher bond risk. This effect is smaller for firms with no credit default swaps (CDSs) and with junk debt—scenarios where bank monitoring is most valuable. It is unlikely that firms with bank debt are riskier, because they are less likely to be downgraded and have lower loan spreads. We find similar results using a natural experiment around the 2014 oil shock. Our results highlight how bond yields depend on incentive conflicts among creditors. 相似文献
16.
I study the effect of country-specific sentiment on security prices. I provide evidence that a country’s popularity among Americans affects US investors’ demand for securities from that country and causes security prices to deviate from their fundamental values. Moreover, I find that country popularity is positively associated with the intensity of US cross-border mergers and acquisitions activity, suggesting that country popularity also affects firms’ investment decisions. 相似文献
17.
This paper is an empirical examination of the statistical significance of the residual variance of individual assets as compared with the covariance of returns with various market portfolio proxies in predicting expected return. The data and analysis we present suggest that measures of covariance are no more significant than residual variance in predicting expected return. In this sense our paper is not supportive of the Sharpe-Lintner or Black versions of the capital asset pricing model. 相似文献
18.
In the U.S. and Europe, prices change at least once a year. Yet nominal macro shocks seem to have real effects lasting well beyond a year. “Sticky information” models, as posited by Mankiw and Reis [2002. Sticky information versus sticky prices: a proposal to replace the new Keynesian Phillips curve. Quarterly Journal of Economics 117, 1295–1328], Sims [2003. Implications of rational inattention. Journal of Monetary Economics 50(3), 665–690], and Woodford [2003. Princeton University Press: Princeton, NJ], can reconcile micro flexibility with macro rigidity. We simulate a sticky information model in which price setters update information on macro shocks less frequently than information on micro shocks. We then examine price changes in the micro data underlying the U.S. CPI. Empirical price changes react to old information, just as sticky information models predict. 相似文献
19.
Donald F. Vitaliano Constance Hill 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》1994,8(3):213-223
A hedonic price equation of structureless farmland prices in New York State are fitted to 458 land transactions between 1982–1985. No capitalization is found of the state's Agricultural District farmland preservation program, which combines current-use property taxation with several development-inhibiting features. It is hypothesized that landowners avoid joining the program when it would threaten profits from a development sale, and that those who do participate gain little because agriculture is the highest value use of their land. 相似文献
20.
Homeowners in the Panel Study of Income Dynamics are able to maintain a high level of consumption following job loss (or disability) in periods of rising local house prices while the consumption drop for homeowners who lose their job in times of lower house prices is substantial. These results are consistent with homeowners being able to access wealth gains when housing appreciates as witnessed by their ability to smooth consumption more than renters. A calibrated model of endogenous homeownership and consumption is able to reproduce the patterns in the data quite well and provides an interpretation of the empirical results. 相似文献