非正常经营企业的内涵、成因、影响及治理

经济高质量发展离不开微观企业的高质量发展。然而,市场竞争环境变化会使得部分企业失去比较优势、陷入"沉没成本谬误",进而丢失自生能力、无法自负盈亏,最终沦为"非正常经营企业"。这些企业尽管存在低效率"锁定"特征,但却能依托其"壳价值"进行成本外部化以获得生存空间,这种现象的存在会拉低整体生产效率、阻碍经济高质量发展。有效治理非正常经营企业,要通过剥离、分解微观企业财务数据,精准识别非正常经营企业,研究其在不同产业、城市和所有制层面的发生特征;进而健全市场化法治化化解过剩产能长效机制,重塑不同部门非正常经营企业比较优势、分类治理不同地区非正常经营企业、健全各类所有制非正常经营企业清理的配套机制。     

Human Capital and CEO Compensation during Institutional Transitions

Firms appoint CEOs with different types of human capital in order to manage resource dependencies. How CEOs are compensated thus can be conceptualized as a valuation process of how boards view the value of CEOs' human capital. Two types of human capital – international experience and political ties – have emerged as potential drivers of CEO compensation during institutional transitions. But how they impact CEO compensation has remained unclear. We develop a resource dependence‐based, contingency framework to focus on the external and internal factors that enable or constrain human capital to impact CEO compensation. Because of the tremendous regional diversity within China, externally, we focus on the level of marketization of the region in which firms are headquartered. Internally, we pay attention to two corporate governance mechanisms: politically connected outside directors and compensation committee. Data from 10,329 firm‐year observations at 94 per cent of listed firms in China largely support our framework. Overall, our study contributes to resource dependence research by extending this research to the context of institutional transitions with a focus on how human capital impacts CEO compensation.     

Loving Diversity/Controlling Diversity: Exploring the Ambivalent Mobilization of Upper‐Middle‐Class Gentrifiers,South End,Boston

This article centers on a group of upper‐middle‐class gentrifiers living in a neighborhood in the South End of Boston, and their complex attitude towards diversity. I use data from my fieldwork in the South End, based on ethnographic observation and 77 interviews with residents active in local organizations, such as neighborhood associations. These residents explicitly stress their endorsement of diversity, in terms of class, race, but also sexual orientation, and their commitment to maintaining it. I examine the meaning they give to this principle, the actions they take in its name and the kind of relations they establish with those ‘others’ who embody such diversity. I argue that the gentrifiers' love of diversity, which cannot be reduced to sheer hypocrisy, is intrinsically linked to their capacity to control it, thus shedding light on the changing definition of social distinction in upper‐middle‐class culture.     

压铸模型腔设计改进

模具镶嵌的角上会出现较大的缝隙,有缝隙就会产生飞边,将影响产品的外观。更重要的是,脱模时飞边夹在缝隙里,强行脱模会损坏产品,并降低生产效率。在长期的生产实践中,已积累了许多消除间隙的方法,通过现场运用均有一定的效果。这些多属于被动应付的方法,并且受到一些条件的限制。文章介绍了主动的方法,即从结构设计方面进行改进。     

物流业在“农超对接”中大有可为

农超对接是推进鲜活农产品快速、健康进驻超市的一种的现代流通模式,即超市+基地,保证了农产品以最低的价格、最好的质量提供给消费者。这种新的流通模式离不开现代物流发展的支撑,需要资金流、物流、信息流三流的整合,需要运输、仓储、包装等合理规划,同时考虑农民、各级供销社、超市等多方的供货及物流合同的执行。在对农超对接模式分析的基础上,提出了从物流成本核算和物流运营两方面改进的具体思路和措施。     

浅论中小民营物流企业效率提升方法

效率是影响物流企业效益的重要因素之一,企业运作效率的高低直接影响着中小物流企业的竞争性和发展力。企业需要依靠自身优势,形成一种合力和核心竞争力,提升效率、以服务顾客为核心。     

The MPC is on the verge,but a hike would be a mistake

• ? In light of the MPC's recent signalling, we now think that November's meeting will deliver a 25 basis points rise in Bank Rate. But the case for tighter monetary policy is weak even by the Committee's own criteria. This article sets out six reasons why we think that the MPC is on the verge of making an error.
• ? A chorus of hawkish comments from MPC members suggests that the Committee's next meeting on 2 November will announce a rise in Bank Rate, a 10‐year first. Granted, the MPC has ‘cried wolf’ before. But this time around the rhetoric has been much stronger. And the Committee has set the bar for a hike very low. Moreover, with inflation likely to peak soon and then decline through 2018, November would offer a good opportunity, presentationally at least, to go for a hike.
• ? But caution should temper the Committee. The MPC cites “a continued erosion of slack and a gradual rise in underlying inflationary pressure ” in support of its view. However, while the unemployment rate has fallen below the Bank's ‘equilibrium’ estimate, the Bank has history in being compelled to progressively cut that estimate. With the jobless rate still well above post‐war lows and worker power cowed, joblessness could fall further without threatening inflation.
• ? Meanwhile, the rise in underlying inflationary pressure that should follow from diminishing slack is absent. The MPC's claim that pay growth is picking up is tenuous and conflicts with recent survey evidence from the Bank's own regional Agents. In any case, the idea that faster pay growth threatens higher inflation has surprisingly weak foundations.
• ? Admittedly, a small rate rise, in itself, would slow growth only modestly. But the message sent by such an action risks pushing the economy further into a low growth expectations trap. And the Bank has alternative tools for dealing with the adverse side‐effects of ultra‐low rates. A rate rise in November would be a mistake.

     

我国对外直接投资与出口、经济增长之间的协整分析

根据协整理论,利用中国1982~2005年的年度经济数据,对我国的对外直接投资(outward FDI)、出口与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证分析和检验。结果表明:我国的出口、GDP和OFDI之间存在着一种显著性的长期的、均衡的关系,出口对我国的OFDI有着显著的促进作用,而我国现阶段的经济增长还不足以支持我国进行大规模的对外直接投资。     

Impact of Chinese Agribusiness Entrepreneurs on the Local Land Market in the Russian Far East

Chinese originally migrated to the Russian Far East (RFE) to fill a labor shortage on collective farms. In more recent decades, some Chinese migrants have chosen to lease land from Russian farmers to manage their own farms. Rising soybean prices and the trade war between China and the United States have increased demand for land capable of producing soybeans. Thus, Chinese farmers in the RFE compete for land with Russians. The Chinese also contribute positively to local food security by increasing food availability and accessibility. This study uses an econometric model to analyze the impact of Chinese on local land markets in the RFE. Financial support for Russian farmers by the government depresses their demand for land; rising soybean prices and the employment of Chinese farm workers by Russian farmers encourage farm expansion, resulting in higher land prices. Selling farm produce to Chinese merchants increases the amount of land owned, cultivated, and rented by Russian farmers.     

Fiscal policy options ahead of the Autumn Statement

• In our view the case for a fiscal stimulus is incontrovertible. The vote to leave the EU has dampened the outlook for growth, while there is limited scope for monetary policy to offer more support. The existing fiscal plans will exert a sizeable drag on growth and with borrowing costs so low, there is a strong case for relaxing the squeeze.
• Scenarios run on the Oxford Global Model suggest that raising capital spending by 1% of GDP in each of the next two fiscal years could boost GDP growth by 0.7% a year over that period. We also find that the package would, in some respects, pay for itself, with the public sector net debt‐to‐GDP ratio peaking at a lower level. The main bar to this package would be whether there are sufficient ‘shovel ready’ projects available.
• Political considerations might encourage the government to opt instead for packages geared towards boosting current spending – perhaps on the NHS – or cutting taxes. But our modelling suggests that this would offer a smaller boost to activity and would also generate poorer fiscal outcomes than an infrastructure‐led package.
• While the case for a stimulus package is very strong, our expectations for delivery are fairly low. The Conservatives have enjoyed electoral success on the back of a strong austerity message and suggestions that they might loosen fiscal policy appear to be aimed at averting a worst‐case scenario, rather than a conviction that this would be a positive policy to boost both short‐ and long‐term growth prospects. So if the economic data remains firm, the prospects of a sizeable stimulus package will recede. And if a package is implemented, the temptation to favour crowd‐pleasing tax cuts over higher investment may prove to be irresistible. Therefore, we view a large, infrastructure‐focused, stimulus package as an upside risk to our forecast, not a core assumption.

     

The paradox of rising wage growth and falling inflation

• ? Strong labour markets and rising wages in advanced economies stand in sharp contrast to recent declines in economists’ inflation forecasts and market expectations. In our view, though, these developments are not necessarily contradictory. Even if wage growth edges higher, we think demand factors will limit any pick‐up in prices. Instead, we expect firms’ margins will be squeezed.
• ? Although the labour share has risen more sharply than we had expected over the past couple of years, we are sceptical that this will translate into substantially stronger underlying inflation. Not only has the rise been small, it has been employment rather than wages that has surprised to the upside. The strength of employment is probably more about firms’ production preferences than workers’ capitalising on a stronger negotiating position.
• ? True, wages adjusted for productivity now look high by historical standards. But neither theory or empirical evidence suggests that this must inevitably lead to stronger CPI inflation in the short‐term. Our forecast for flat wage growth in 2019 and the absence of strong cost pressures elsewhere are also a comfort.
• ? Inflation tends to be more responsive to demand indicators – and the recent GDP growth soft patch suggests any further pick‐up in underlying inflation pressures will be limited (see Chart below).
• ? More generally, we think that the consensus view on inflation for the key advanced economies is high. Market‐based inflation expectations are typically lower than our own, which may reflect the perception that inflation risks are skewed to the downside. Positive economic surprises could lead downside risks to narrow, but ageing expansions and secular stagnation worries suggest this is unlikely, limiting any future pick‐up in bond yields.

     

Environmental Policies and Firm Value

Many organizations are currently becoming more environmentally friendly. Eco‐efficiency maximizes the effectiveness of a business operation while reducing its impact on the environment; with the necessary skills, organizations can create more value while using less input. Prior empirical studies have suggested that firms engaging in eco‐efficient activities are better valued than those without such activities. Therefore, this will enhance business efficiency and excellence. This study investigates the link between eco‐efficiency, as environmental policy, and firm value in the United Kingdom (UK) for the period 1999 to 2008. We generate new insights into environmental–financial performance by using different definitions of the term ‘eco‐efficiency’. In the UK context our results support that eco‐efficient firms have higher market values than those lacking environmental strategies. Hence, we recommend that firms become involved in environmental polices since the adoption of these polices will have a positive impact on firm value. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd and ERP Environment.     

Ethnic diversity,corruption and ethical climates in sub-Saharan Africa: recognizing the significance of human resource management

Most experts agree that human resource management plays a critical role in furthering ethics. The human resource management function can play an instrumental role in creating an ethical culture. However, a literature review shows that researchers have mostly ignored ethics in the African context. Given the growing importance of Africa in terms of global trade, it is critical to study ethics on the continent. This paper documents an exploratory study of ethical climates in sub-Saharan Africa. We develop propositions linking key social institutional factors, i.e. ethnic diversity and corruption, with three types of ethical climate, i.e. self-interest, benevolence and principle. The propositions are empirically investigated using a qualitative case study approach in five companies in Nigeria and South Africa. The results provide varying support for these propositions and highlight the critical role that both the national context and the organizational context play in shaping ethical climates in companies. Furthermore, given the role of human resource management in managing both ethnic diversity and ethics, we discuss the implications of our results for this critical management function.     

Employee motivation,external orientation and the technical efficiency of foreign‐financed firms in China: a stochastic frontier analysis

By using a stochastic frontier model, we have identified several firm‐specific attributes as determinants of technical efficiency in foreign‐financed manufacturing firms in southern China. The empirical results suggest a strong association between efficiency and employee motivation, which includes the use of bonus incentives and flexibility in employment policy. In terms of the external orientation behavior of firms, the findings do not support the export/efficiency relationship. Sample firms with a high degree of export‐orientedness were less efficient, possibly due to the high transaction costs in China of exportation. As for the effects of expatriate input on production, our empirical evidence revealed that firms with a relatively high expatriate ratio performed less efficiently than others did. These two findings may have significant implications for the marketing strategies and management (including the localization) of human resources of foreign‐financed firms in China. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Input Hedging,Output Hedging,and Market Power

We argue that commodity input hedging is different from commodity output hedging. Output hedging can be detrimental to “sector play.” Furthermore, firms with market power that hedge outputs have incentives to over‐produce and distort market prices. In rational markets, such hedging will be expensive and we expect to see a negative relationship between hedging and market power in “output industries” but not in “input industries.” We test these predictions on a sample of S&P500 firms from 2001 to 2005. Our results support both hypotheses. Placebo tests show that the same empirical regularities do not apply to currency hedging. Finally, our empirical framework, which differentiates between hedging inputs and hedging outputs, can also help in reconciling conflicting results in prior studies.     

World Economic Prospects Monthly

Overview: Outlook bright despite fears of protectionism

• ? President Trump's decision to impose tariffs on some steel and aluminium imports has increased the downside risk of a surge in protectionist measures. But for now, our view is that the direct impact of the US move will be small. Our global GDP growth forecasts for 2018 is unchanged at 3.2% while we have nudged up 2019 from 2.9% to 3.0%.
• ? Available data suggest that the healthy pace of world GDP growth in Q4 has been maintained into Q1. The global composite PMI rose again in February, to its highest level in almost three and a half years. And in the first two months of the year, Chinese import growth remained solid, suggesting that, for now, it is still an important support for world trade. Although our advanced economy leading indicator has fallen back a touch since the turn of the year, it remains consistent with robust growth.
• ? Another plus is that the recent equity market sell‐off has not yet morphed into a fullblown correction. As with other ‘tantrums’ over recent years, we do not expect this to have any notable spill‐overs for growth.
• ? But the bigger concern is now the potential for a sharp increase in economic protectionism. While the imposition of tariffs on some US steel and aluminium imports will have repercussions for foreign producers and worsen US cost competitiveness, the sector is too small to have major knock‐on implications for global growth. The main worry is if this triggers retaliation that spins into a damaging trade war. Although this downside risk has grown, in our view it remains a tail risk. Neither the US nor its trading partners will benefit from a raft of tariffs being imposed. And the political gains for Trump may prove illusory if retaliatory measures disproportionately affect US regions where he and the Republican party are politically vulnerable.
• ? In all, our baseline view remains little changed and we still see another year of healthy GDP growth. Although downside risks to the outlook have risen since the start of the year, they are still lower than two or three years ago.

     

中国传统文化在中国现代宅园设计中的运用

中国传统文化一直以来都在潜移默化地影响着人们的理解和思维方式,这一点也充分体现在我们的住宅与庭院设计当中.如何恰当的运用传统造园手法,创造性地继承与发扬传统文化,一直以来都是现代设计中重点研究的课题.本文通过分析中国传统文化及其在造园中的实际运用,旨在探讨在当代住宅景观规划设计中应当如何延续和深化中国文化.     

浅谈着力加强新农村文化建设

虽然社会主义新农村基层文化建设形势喜人,到处涌现出社会主义新农村的新气象,现在的农民是有思想、有文化、有道德、有理想、讲文明、讲礼貌的社会主义新型农民。但是,我国几千年的文明大国受旧的传统文化束缚,还存在着旧的传统风俗习惯和不良风气。本文就现在农村存在的不利于社会主义新农村文化、精神文明建设的乡风陋俗进行了探讨并提出解决的方法。     

Brexit adds to gloom over long‐term growth prospects

• The prospect of continued weak productivity growth and less support from rising labour supply means we are relatively gloomy about medium‐term growth prospects. Our forecasts show potential output growth of just 1.6% a year from 2017–2030. This would be well below the average of the decade prior to the financial crisis (2.7%) and in line with our estimate for the 2007 and 2016 period which included the global financial crisis.
• We have become more pessimistic about the extent to which growth in total factor productivity is likely to accelerate. This is partly due to a judgement call that more of the weakness since the financial crisis reflects structural factors. Brexit is also likely to weigh on long‐term prospects, resulting in a degree of trade destruction and lower FDI inflows than would be the case were the UK to remain in the EU. Brexit is also likely to result in less capital deepening.
• Demographic factors also point to weak potential output growth moving forwards. High levels of inward migration have mitigated the impact of an ageing population recently. However, immigration is likely to fall sharply over the next decade, as first an improving European labour market reduces incentives to migrate and then the UK Government adopts more restrictive immigration policy. We are also coming into a period where there will be fewer increases in state pension age than of late.
• Since the mid‐1990s there has been a surge in the number of people going to university, resulting in strong contributions from human capital. But this will be less important moving forwards as university admissions reach a ceiling.
• Stronger growth in potential output would be possible if Brexit results in trading arrangements which are closer to the status quo, or if policy is more ‘liberal’, than our baseline assumptions.