How does FX liquidity affect the relationship between foreign ownership and stock liquidity?

This study investigates the roles foreign investors play in a representative emerging market, focusing on the relationship between foreign ownership and stock market liquidity as well as this relationship's response to foreign exchange (FX) liquidity. Our analyses yield three main results. First, the bid–ask spread and price impact of stock trades decrease along with foreign ownership, supporting the view that foreign investors tend to improve stock liquidity. Second, foreign ownership decreases along with a decline in FX liquidity, suggesting that foreign investors care about FX liquidity when determining their stock holdings. Third, stock liquidity increases continuously along with foreign ownership as FX liquidity decreases. Overall, this study's evidence indicates that foreign investors, as liquidity providers, can play a positive role in an emerging economy even when FX liquidity declines.     

Sentiment-dependent impact of funding liquidity shocks on futures market liquidity

We examine the effect of funding liquidity changes on futures market liquidity, depending on economic sentiment. Futures market liquidity improves following negative funding liquidity shocks, and economic sentiment is an important determinant explaining this relationship. While individuals' trading is most significantly affected by sentiment, its response to funding liquidity shocks remains independent of sentiment effects. Domestic institutions' reactions depend on the sentiment regime; they trade futures contracts more actively as funding liquidity becomes more abundant (scarcer) when sentiment is more pessimistic (optimistic). Foreigners, following negative funding liquidity shocks, generally increase their futures trading, whereas their trading decreases under the extremely pessimistic sentiment. Domestic banks and pension funds provide liquidity to the futures market even when sentiment is pessimistic.     

Social trust and the liquidity of cross-listed securities

This paper examines various measures of market liquidity in American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) while conditioning on the level of trust in the ADR's home country. Multivariate tests show that as home-country levels of trust increase, ADR liquidity is dramatically improved. To draw stronger causal inferences, we use a difference-in-difference approach to examine liquidity surrounding an (arguably) exogenous reduction in trust and find that liquidity worsens in response to the event. These results support our hypothesis that trust is an important determinant in the liquidity of financial markets.     

Does the Euro affect the dynamic relation between stock market liquidity and the business cycle?

Does Eurozone equity market liquidity affect economic growth? If so, how does the Euro currency affect the dynamic relationship between growth and stock market liquidity (macro-liquidity relation) of the Eurozone? We address these questions using data from ten Eurozone countries and the UK. The findings document the predictability role of liquidity proxies on economic growth, suggesting that stock market liquidity influences economic growth. The results reveal that liquidity increases substantially after a structural break realized around the Euro's introduction in Europe, and in all countries except Portugal we find that liquidity improvement coincides with higher growth. During periods of high exchange-rate volatility between currencies (which tend to be periods of high uncertainty and economic convergence), growth becomes highly affected by stock market liquidity movements.     

Impacts of the borrower's attributes,loan contract contents,and collateral characteristics on mortgage loan default

This paper explores the factors influencing mortgage loan default and default probability by using the data from the mortgage loans of a case financial institution. The results indicate that the borrower's gender, the borrower's job position, whether the regional codes of the borrower's present residence and registered permanent residence are the same, the degree of relationship between the borrower and the guarantor, the loan-to-value ratio, the use status of collateral, and the located region of collateral are significantly positively correlated with the default probability. However, the education degree and the loan amount are significantly negatively correlated with the default probability.     

Sovereign defaults and liquidity crises

Sovereign debt crises in emerging markets are usually associated with liquidity and banking crises. The conventional view is that the domestic turmoil is the consequence of foreign retaliation, although there is no clear empirical evidence on “classic” default penalties. This paper emphasizes, instead, a direct link between sovereign defaults and liquidity crises building on two natural assumptions: (i) government bonds represent a source of liquidity for the domestic private sector and (ii) the government cannot discriminate between domestic and foreign creditors in the event of default. In this context, external debt emerges even in the absence of classic penalties, and government default is countercyclical, triggers a liquidity crunch, and amplifies output volatility. In addition, a reform that involves a substitution of government bonds with privately-sourced liquidity instruments could backfire by restricting governments' access to foreign credit.     

Risk management with options and futures under liquidity risk

Futures hedging creates liquidity risk through marking to market. Liquidity risk matters if interim losses on a futures position have to be financed at a markup over the risk‐free rate. This study analyzes the optimal risk management and production decisions of a firm facing joint price and liquidity risk. It provides a rationale for the use of options on futures in imperfect capital markets. If liquidity risk materializes, the firm sells options on futures in order to partly cover this liquidity need. It is shown that liquidity risk reduces the optimal hedge ratio and that options are not normally used before a liquidity need actually arises. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 29:297–318, 2009     

Production,liquidity, and futures price dynamics

This study examines the optimal design of a futures hedge program for the competitive firm under output price uncertainty. All futures contracts are unbiased and marked to market in that they require interim cash settlement of gains and losses. The futures price dynamics follows a first-order autoregression with a random walk serving as a special case. The firm's futures hedge program is constituted of an endogenous provision for premature termination, which depends on how the futures prices are autocorrelated. Succinctly, the firm voluntarily commits to premature liquidation of its futures position on which the interim loss incurred exceeds a predetermined threshold level if the futures prices are positively autocorrelated. In this case, the liquidity constrained firm optimally opts for an over-hedge if its preferences exhibit either constant or increasing absolute risk aversion. If the futures prices are uncorrelated or negatively autocorrelated, the firm prefers to be liquidity unconstrained and thus adopts a full-hedge to completely eliminate the output price risk. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 28:749–762, 2008     

Competition and the cost of liquidity to investors

The Congressional mandate to develop competitive securities markets in the United States has focused attention on the cost of liquidity to investors. Prior studies have emphasized the impact of external competition in the form of competing markets and/ or competing dealers on the bid-ask spread of the dealer. However, the spread of the specialist (dealer) on the NYSE may or may not be observable because of the interaction between public limit orders and the specialist's quotes. Our study develops a model of this interaction, and empirically verifies that internal competition in the form of limit orders has an important impact on the cost of liquidity to investors.     

Forecasting the liquidity of very small private companies

Short-term liquidity of very small private companies (VSPCs) is important to creditors as any cash shortages result in opportunity costs due to delayed payments. We use a publicly available liquidity indicator for 19,627 Slovenian VSPCs as a special, but generalizable case of “credit record” data and financial ratios to predict possible cash shortages. Indicator is predicted and used in lagged form(s) as a predictive variable with/without financial ratios, allowing comparisons. Models, including financial ratios, are less efficient than models based on lagged liquidity indicator alone. Surprisingly, combined models perform only marginally better. Despite high overall accuracy, misclassification of companies experiencing cash shortages is high.     

The impact of liquidity on option prices

This study illustrates the impact of both spot and option liquidity levels on option prices. Using implied volatility to measure the option price structure, our empirical results reveal that even after controlling for the systematic risk of Duan and Wei ( 2009 ), a clear link remains between option prices and liquidity; with a reduction (increase) in spot (option) liquidity, there is a corresponding increase in the level of the implied volatility curve. The former is consistent with the explanation on hedging costs provided by Cetin, Jarrow, Protter, and Warachka ( 2006 ), whereas the latter is consistent with the “illiquidity premium” hypothesis of Amihud and Mendelson ( 1986a ). This study also shows that the slope of the implied volatility curve can be partially explained by option liquidity. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark     

Option happiness and liquidity: Is the dynamics of the volatility smirk affected by relative option liquidity?

This study investigates the dynamic relationship between option happiness (the steepness of the volatility smirk) and relative index option liquidity. We find that, on a daily basis, option happiness is significantly dependent on the relative liquidity between option series with different moneyness. In particular, deterioration (improvement) in liquidity of an out‐of‐the‐money put option relative to a concurrent at‐the‐money call option would lead to higher (lower) option happiness. This relationship is robust to relative option liquidity measures based on bid–ask spreads, option price impacts, and option order book imbalances. The results also show a significant maturity effect in option happiness, consistent with the notion that options are “dying smiling.” © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark     

Low liquidity beta anomaly in China

The conventional risk-based theory does not reconcile with the liquidity-beta anomaly in China: Low liquidity-beta stocks outperform high liquidity-beta stocks on a risk-adjusted basis. This striking pattern is robust to different weighting schemes, competing factor models, and other well-known return determinants in the cross section. We propose a competing behavioral-based explanation on the low liquidity beta anomaly in China. Consistent with our new perspective, liquidity beta is a negative return predictor in the cross section. Moreover, the time variation of the return differential between low and high liquidity beta stocks is led by investor sentiment after accounting for other possible economic mechanism.     

Stock liquidity during COVID-19 crisis: A cross-country analysis of developed and emerging economies,and economic policy uncertainty

We investigate the impact of the COVID-19 on firms' stock liquidity across six developed and emerging economies. Unlike prior literature, we further compare the effects of the pandemic between developed and emerging economies, high and low economic policy uncertainty (EPU), and large and small firms. Our results document the significant negative impact of infection cases and deaths on firms' stock liquidity across the sample countries, and the similar effect of their interaction term. We find that the impact is more pronounced in the developed economies, high EPU and small firms, compared to emerging economies, low EPU and large firms, respectively.     

The supply of international liquidity to developing countries

The gravamen of the comments by the developing countries on the problem of the supply of international liquidity is that since 1970 they have been at a great disadvantage as far as the distribution of the newly created international liquidity is concerned. At the annual IMF meeting in Manila in early October 1976 they therefore put forth a demand for a fresh allocation of SDRs¹. The question that has to be asked in this connection is whether the developing countries are justified in their criticism concerning the supply of liquidity and whether another SDR allocation is needed in order to solve their liquidity problems if any exist.     

对银行的流动性风险管理问题的思考

一直以来,流动性风险被称为银行最致命的风险,在银行的经营管理中流动性风险管理更是占有极其重要的地位。可目前银行的流动性风险管理的现状实在令人担忧,因此,如何有效地管理流动性风险就成为当前银行风险管理的核心内容。本文从流动性风险入手,着重阐述了当前银行的流动性风险管理现状,并提出一些应对策略,力图提高银行抵御流动性风险的能力,以供参考。     

A realistic model of market liquidity and depth

A model that realistically defines market liquidity and depth is introduced. Liquidity is the expected rate of order execution in shares per minute. Depth is the average density of the limit order book in shares per dollar. Illiquid markets tend to exhibit longer execution delays and indirectly higher risk related to price impact. Markets with low depth are characterized by high price sensitivity and larger risks. Deviations from fundamental value exist because arbitraging them away carries liquidity cost, entails impact risk, and generates negatively skewed profits. Premia include liquidity and transparency components. In order to avoid excessive frontrunning and liquidity withholding around their block trade, traders break their block orders into smaller orders. In anonymous markets, the trader discriminates against early liquidity providers, and is only compensated for liquidity. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 25:443–464, 2005     

The costs of lead bank–distressed borrower relationships: evidence from commercial lending in Taiwan

This is the first study to investigate the impact of the adjudication of a borrower's reorganisation filing on the shareholder wealth of the lead bank. The results reveal that the market is acutely sensitive to adverse information and the reorganisation adjudication of a borrower's plan has a detrimental effect on the reputation and wealth of the lead bank. Further, while both are positively associated with wealth effects, the RATE of the loan-level variable is more highly related than the LEVERAGE of the borrower-level variable to wealth loss. Additionally, large lenders experience less wealth loss. The higher the bank debt of a firm, the higher the adverse abnormal returns to the lead bank. Higher collateral and rates on loans are used to compensate for the greater risk of the loan portfolio. Likewise, the market may view lead banks with high loan loss reserves as banks that are not particularly adept at identifying creditworthy borrowers.     

Optimal screening capacity and perceived risk of mortgage banks across countries

In this paper, we investigate the optimal combination of the levels of perceived risk and screening capacity that maximizes the fair value of a mortgage bank, while considering the probability of bank failure and the distribution borrower's wealth across emerging and developed countries. This is a novel contribution to the current literature that does not address that optimal combination and its dependency on the distribution borrower's wealth.We show that in countries where both levels of inequality of borrowers' wealth and the amount of the maximum wealth are high, the bank prefers to adopt a very severe level of perceived risk and cut down the screening capacity to the lowest level that enables the bank to be successful in lending its allotted funds. In countries where the level of wealth inequality decreases, the bank prefers to keep the severe level of perceived risk while increasing its screening capacity. Only when the level of screening capacity is bounded, the bank freezes its level of screening capacity while adopting a medium level of perceived risk.     

The liquidity effects of foreign exchange intervention

This paper examines the effectiveness of foreign exchange intervention in a two-country, two-currency, general equilibrium model that allows for liquidity effects. Both sterilized and non-sterilized intervention operations have significant impacts on the allocation of liquidity in international financial markets. Whether intervention is successful in moving the exchange rate in the desirable direction depends upon the degree of sterilization of intervention and the intratemporal elasticity of substitution of the consumption goods. The model shows that there exist circumstances in which the response of exchange rate to intervention is ‘perverse’ as documented in the empirical literature.