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本文从2003年银行间国债市场的回购利率和国债收益率的角度出发,同时结合货币政策对银行的资金调节作用,对银行持债行为与国债市场之间的关系进行了实证研究,从而揭示出银行持债行为对国债市场的重大影响作用,并得出有关债券市场的三个基本结论. 相似文献
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金融危机背景下的国债流动性研究 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
国债市场完善的标志之一是国债的流动性,国债市场流动性的提高,不仅能有效降低中央财政的国债筹资成本和风险,而且有利于金融机构的资产负债管理和债券资产运作,既为中央银行开展公开市场操作提供广泛的回旋余地,又利于促进金融市场的发展。本文深入研究了金融危机背景下我国国债市场流动性不足的问题,并提出为加强我国国债市场流动性进行对外开放的"相互持债"概念。 相似文献
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欧债危机对金融市场产生了显著的冲击,引发了巨大的风险。本文通过构建二元GARCH-BEKK模型,实证检验了欧债危机背景下欧洲股票市场、我国股票市场、国债市场与企业债市场之间的波动溢出效应,揭示了欧债危机冲击我国股票市场、国债市场与企业债市场的风险传染路径。实证表明,欧债危机冲击我国股票市场与债券市场的风险传导路径为:欧债危机引发的风险通过欧洲股票市场传导到我国股票市场,然后传导到企业债市场,最后传导到国债市场。 相似文献
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我国国债规模的金融经济分析 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
本文认为,从金融经济角度考察,我国国家债务负担率及偿债率等指标都已过高,应通过增加财政收入、化解银行不良资产、完善市场基础、调整国债期限结构等途径增加国民经济和财政的应债能力。本文通过计量分析表明,近年业我国国债规模急剧扩大只能是短期内实行扩张性财政政策的应急措施,今后国债规模只能随着经济增长和市场基础完善而逐步扩大。 相似文献
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美国次债危机发生至今已经超过16个月,但在经历多次降息和全球联手对银行系统进行大规模注资的政策举措后,危机并未得到彻底的根治,美国的房地产市场依然交投清淡,房价下跌;债券市场依然是“弃次从优”,风险较低的国债成为投资者首选;金融机构的亏损、破产和收购兼并浪潮依然不断。 相似文献
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针对国债市场存在不均衡性的表现,探讨了国债市场不均衡发展的功能定位原因,不均衡发展的后果及其现实催化荆,提出了加强做市商培育、优化国债结构、强化银行国债市场作用等对策. 相似文献
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本文利用Engle提出的DCC-MVGARCH模型,研究了欧债危机背景下的我国股票与债券市场之间的动态相关性,刻画了股票与债券市场相关性的时变特征。实证结果表明,欧债危机背景下股票与债券市场的动态条件相关系数呈时变特征,欧债危机对股票市场与债券市场的相关性影响较为明显,对股票与国债市场、企业债市场的动态条件相关系数的影响基本上相同。 相似文献
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应用资本市场分形特征的判别方法,对上市银行股票的分形特征进行了实证研究,计算了16家上市银行股票的Hurst指数。结果显示:每只股票的Hurst指数均大于0.5,这表明上市银行股票市场具有明显的分形特征,不属于有效市场假说(EMH)所描述的有效市场;此外,四大国有银行与其他银行相比,Hurst指数较小,这说明其他银行的分形特征比四大国有银行更加明显。 相似文献
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Geoffrey Wood 《Economic Affairs》1989,9(6):32-37
What is the significance of the budget surplus? Professor Geoffrey Wood, of the City University Business School, claims the Public Sector Debt Repayment and the repayment of the National Debt have advantages for the economy. 相似文献
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We show that with intertwined weak banks and weak sovereigns, bank recapitalizations become much less effective. We construct a DSGE model with leverage constrained banks lending to firms and holding domestic government bonds. Bond prices reflect endogenously generated sovereign risk. This introduces a negative amplification cycle: after a credit crisis output losses increase more because higher interest rates trigger lower bond prices and subsequent losses at banks. This further tightens bank leverage constraints, and causes interest rates to rise further. Also bank recapitalizations are then much less effective. Recaps involve swaps of newly issued sovereign bonds for bank equity, the new debt increases sovereign debt discounts, leading to capital losses for the banks on their holdings of sovereign debt that (partially) offset the impact of the recapitalization. The favorable macroeconomic effects of bank recaps on the recovery after a financial crisis are correspondingly lower. 相似文献
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金融危机反映了银行在面对资金压力时持有的流动性资产不足,同时也凸显了银行流动性监管的重要性。为了建立既能够确保金融体系稳定,又能够兼顾银行盈利能力最大化目标的监管标准,有必要对银行流动性资产对业绩的影响进行实证研究,本文利用2003~2010年中国14家上市商业银行数据,检验了流动性资产对于银行业绩的影响,研究发现流动性资产和银行业绩之间存在非线性关系,而且四大国有商业银行和十家股份制商业银行流动性管理行为存在显著差异。 相似文献
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Mert Demirer Francis X. Diebold Laura Liu Kamil Yilmaz 《Journal of Applied Econometrics》2018,33(1):1-15
We use LASSO methods to shrink, select, and estimate the high‐dimensional network linking the publicly traded subset of the world's top 150 banks, 2003–2014. We characterize static network connectedness using full‐sample estimation and dynamic network connectedness using rolling‐window estimation. Statically, we find that global bank equity connectedness has a strong geographic component, whereas country sovereign bond connectedness does not. Dynamically, we find that equity connectedness increases during crises, with clear peaks during the Great Financial Crisis and each wave of the subsequent European Debt Crisis, and with movements coming mostly from changes in cross‐country as opposed to within‐country bank linkages. 相似文献
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利率是国家宏观调控的重要手段。2013年7月20日,中央银行取消了商业银行贷款下限的限制,使贷款利率完全由市场竞争来决定。利率市场化对商业银行的经营风险和经营环境产生了重大的影响,对商业银行未来的发展既是机遇也是挑战。在利率市场化时代下,商业银行必须采取必要的措施来把握机遇和迎接挑战。文中主要围绕利率市场化对商业银行的影响,对其未来可持续发展有针对性地提出对策。 相似文献
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This paper investigates the impact of contingent convertible (CoCo) bonds on systemic risk using Eisenberg-Noe’s financial network method, in which the network is linked by debt relationships. As an efficient method for addressing the problem of “too big to fail,” CoCo bonds have received widespread attention, particularly because the trigger for CoCo bonds is a systemic risk event. Thus, the impact of CoCo bonds on systemic risk needs to be addressed. To solve this problem, we adopt default contagion and loss amplification due to network linkage to measure systemic risk, from which we can ascertain the potential impact on it of CoCo bonds. The results show that CoCo bonds enhance the spillover effect of the issuer’s default; meanwhile, sufficient CoCo bonds partly offset the impact of default contagion from other banks. Furthermore, CoCo bonds enhance the amplification effect of loss due to network linkage, but the amplification effect diminishes after the bankruptcy cost is considered. Finally, the numerical test provides some insight into how the issuance of writedown (WD) bonds influences commercial banks in China. Our study not only offers suggestions to the regulators of CoCo bonds but also contributes to related studies. 相似文献
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Insofar as the completion of the Single Market for Financial Services, it has presented new challenges for European Banking industries. In this study, we use a recently developed generalized metafrontier Malmquist productivity index (gMMPI) to provide insights on productivity growth. We extend the gMMPI to broaden the index's capacity by decomposing various sources of productivity change in the metafrontier context. The sample contains commercial banks from 12 Western European countries prior to the recent financial crisis. A key advantage of our extension is that it introduces the role of scale effects. The empirical results show that an average bank's productivity growth arises mainly from technical changes and scale effects. Moreover, smaller and larger banks grow faster than medium ones. In addition, conservative banks tend to grow faster. These findings suggest that a more competitive and integrated financial market induced by financial deregulation is indeed able to improve banks’ productivity. 相似文献