适应会展经济发展 培养职业会展人才

<正> 上世纪九十年代以来,会展业在我国得到了突飞猛进的发展。特别是近几年,全国每年举办的达到一定规模的展会活动近3000多个,会展业创造的直接经济收入逾百亿元。据业内专家预测,未来若干年中国会展业仍将以年均15％-20％左右的速度增长。伴随着会展业的迅速发展,会展人力资源短缺的矛盾日显突出,成为摆在会展业界面前的重要课题。     

高职会展专业复合型人才培养课程适应性及改进策略——以苏州市职业大学为例

随着经济的高速发展,我国会展业也随之步入高质量发展阶段。在产业升级带动会展升级的同时,会展业高质量发展也对会展专业人才质量、人才结构提出了新的需求。会展业的高质量发展,对技能型、应用型、综合型的“三型”人才的需求将长期存在。课程教育作为职业教育高质量发展的重要保障,积极变革是职业教育内涵发展的关键。本文以苏州市职业大学为例,聚焦高职会展专业学生(包括毕业生和在校生)对课程适应性的评价,从不同视角探索高职会展专业课程设置、人才培养方式的适应性,从而为会展专业人才培养方案的改进提供参考。     

珠澳会展业人力资源融合开发的策略分析

会展业作为高端服务业的重要组成部分,正成为珠海及澳门经济发展的新亮点。但两地各自作为会展城市的辐射力均有限,珠海与澳门会展业应开展紧密合作,通过建立多层次的招聘体系,健全的珠澳两地互认的行业职业资格培训,发挥两地高校资源和平台优势,促进两地会展人才有效流动和珠澳会展人力资源的融合发展。     

人才结构的分析与优化研究——以江门市为例

我国人才资源结构性矛盾仍比较突出,在“十一五”人才规划的战略工作中,应重新构造人才结构,加快人才结构的调整和优化,使人才发挥其规模效益和结构效益,为经济发展和社会进步提供强有力的智力支持和人才保障。     

我国会展经济发展中的政府定位

我国在会展业的发展过程中,政府的角色定位一直比较模糊,既是管理者,又直接参与会展的开发和组织,间接导致我国会展业发展的畸形。文章通过分析会展业的行业特点、性质及构成要素,借鉴国外发展会展业的经验,对我国会展业发展的政府定位进行论述。     

济南市会展物流发展问题思考

济南市作为省会城市,会展业和物流业都是发展济南市现代服务业的重要产业经济,会展业和物流业相互交叉形成的会展物流业对两大产业的发展起着至关重要的作用。目前济南市会展业的发展也存在着一些制约因素,特别是在会展物流方面存在着各种问题,严重阻碍了济南市会展业的发展。     

徐州市企业人才引进激励机制的构建研究

虽然徐州市出台了一系列引进和激励高层次人才的举措,但目前高层次人才总量不足和结构不合理问题仍然制约着徐州经济社会的发展.对此,本文从发挥人才优势,推动转型发展的战略目标出发,在分析徐州市人才激励机制现状的基础上,通过对国内外人才激励政策的研究,探索人才激励机制的主要内容和途径,提出建立和健全徐州市人才激励机制的对策思路及建议.     

后ECFA时期闽台会展业合作发展研究

闽台会展业的交流合作对闽台乃至两岸的经济文化交往作出了巨大贡献，2010年6月签署的《海峡两岸经济合作框架协议》（ECFA），将会展业列入两岸服务业早收清单，闽台会展业合作由此面临新的契机。本文总结梳理闽台会展业合作发展的现状特点，分析闽台会展业合作中的制约因素，并阐述后ECFA时期提升闽台会展业合作层次的对策。     

对我国房地产会展业的若干思考

会展业是世界各国普遍重视发展的行业。改革开放以来，在政府部门的大力支持下．我国会展业也取得了长足发展。房地产是国民经济的支柱产业，近年来发展迅猛，极大的推动了房地产会展业的发展，通过对我国房地产会展业现状的研究，提出促进我国房地产会展业进一步发展的若干建议。     

人行分支机构人才创新管理探讨

胡锦涛总书记在党的十七大报告中指出“贯彻尊重劳动、尊重知识、尊重人才、尊重创造的方针,坚持党管人才原则,统筹抓好以高层次人才和高技能人才为重点的各类人才队伍建设。创新人才工作体制机制,激发各类人才创造活力和创业热情,开创人才辈出、人尽其才的新局面。”人行分支机构贯彻落实这一方针,就要解放思想,转变观念,因地制宜,创新人才管理机制,创造人才工作新局面。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.     

浅议金融机构的举证责任

金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.