农村信用社改革向何处深入

农村信用社的改革已取得了一定的成绩,对搞活业务,支持农村经济发展起到了积极作用。但是,农村信用社的职能作用与当前农村改革和农村经济发展的要求差距越来越大,不适应客观经济环境的需要。因此,农村信用社深化改革就应当解决如何适应农村改革和农村经济发展的问题。本文拟就为什么要进一步深化农村信用社改革、存在的阻力以及如何深化改革等问题,进行简要的论述。     

农村信用社改革成效及其问题——以乐山市农村信用社为例

2003年6月国务院下发《深化农村信用社改革试点方案》,启动了新一轮的农村信用社改革试点。这次改革与以往相比,不论在管理体制上还是产权制度上都有了新的突破。本文以乐山市农村信用社改革为例,在分析评价当前农村信用社改革成效及其问题的基础上,就进一步深化改革提出相应建议。     

青海省农村信用社改革的问题与思路

青海省农村信用社深化改革取得了阶段性成果,但与省内其他银行业金融机构、特别是与全国其他省份农村信用社改革发展现状相比,青海省农村信用社还面临改制进展缓慢、发展后劲不足等问题,本文试从对全省农村信用社改革发展现状和特点的分析,提出进一步稳步推进青海农村信用社改革发展的基本思路。     

衡水农村信用社改革效应实证评析

当前,我国农村信用社改革已经基本完成。农村信用社改革成效能否巩固并扩大,花钱买机制的预定目标能否实现?伴随改革出现的一些负面效应能否做到最小化,制约农村信用社深化改革的政策环境等因素能否得以改善?一系列的问题还值得密切关注和深入研究。本文以衡水市为例,对农村信用社改革的效果进行实证评析,针对农村信用社改革如何进一步推进和完善提出对策建议。     

改革转制中农村信用社工作思路探讨

深化农村信用社改革试点在八省(市)先行试点的基础上,今年将在全国21省(市、区)(除海南、西藏外)全面推开.对于农村信用社来说,今年是深化改革年,将组建成立农村信用社省级联社,建立起新的管理体制,省级联社组建成立后将负责全省农村信用社的行业管理,这将意味着农村信用社改革进一步向纵深发展,改革的成功与否,关系到农村信用社支持和服务"三农"的深度和广度,关系到农村信用社的发展和未来,对农村金融新格局的形成至关重要,因而此次深化改革不同于以往,意义重大,影响深远.     

也谈深化农村信用社改革

农村信用社改革不是一套客观理性、严谨规划的科学理论,而是一个纷繁复杂的长期实践过程。在此过程中,只有渐进试错、动态调适才来得更加有效。本文就孙双伦同志的《深化农村信用社改革四问》(下称《改革四问》,发表于《银行家》2014年5期)提到的农信社深化改革问题谈些看法。加快深化改革不"等死"当前不论是外部环境的变化、农村金     

赤峰市农村信用社改革效果评价及深化推进建议

当前，我国的农村信用社改革已经基本完成，农村信用社改革成效能否巩固并扩大，花钱买机制的预定目标是否实现，服务功能是否得到增强，制约农村信用社深化改革的政策环境是否得到改善，伴随改革出现的一些负面效应能否做到最小化等等一系列问题还值得密切关注和深入研究。本文以内蒙古赤峰市为例，对农村信用社改革效果进行实际评析，针对农村信用社进一步深化改革、增强服务能力等问题提出了对策建议。     

农村信用社改革试点有关问题探讨

当前农村信用社改革试点工作已在全国8个省市全面展开。本文从对改革的认识和实际中遇到的问题着手,围绕产权模式和管理体制改革两大问题进行了剖析,对如何深化和促进改革提出了建议。     

农村信用社改革试点有关问题探讨

当前农村信用社改革试点工作已在全国8个省市全面展开.本文从对改革的认识和实际中遇到的问题着手,围绕产权模式和管理体制改革两大问题进行了剖析,对如何深化和促进改革提出了建议.     

临汾市农村信用社改革的调查

本文以临汾市农村信用社改革进展情况为切入点,重点分析了农村信用社改革中存在的制度性问题,并就如何深化改革提出了相应的政策建议。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.     

浅议金融机构的举证责任

金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…