我国维护边疆民族地区稳定的积极因素探析

维护边疆民族地区的社会稳定是一个系统工程,其中必然会受到来自历史和自然、经济和政治、文化和社会等相关条件环境的影响。笔者认为可以将这些相关因素划分为积极因素和消极因素。认识这些诸多方面的影响,对我们提高我国维护边疆民族地区社会稳定能力具有指导性作用。本文就提高我国维护边疆民族地区社会稳定能力的积极因素进行解析。     

Whither history? Encounters with historicism, postmodernism, postcolonialism

Postmodernist questioning of historians' claims to historical truth has created a sense of crisis in historical consciousness. The essay argues that the crisis is not a crisis in the writing of history, as most historians still continue with business as usual, but a crisis in the cultural meaning of history. While this crisis has been associated with the so-called “linguistic turn” which was to result in a paradigm shift in historiography in the 1970s, it has other important dimensions; including Third World questionings of EuroAmerican understandings of the past and, perhaps even more importantly, the intrusion into the representations of the past of the new media. The essay argues that new kinds of history that have appeared since the 1970s from women's history to the history of social movements to “microhistory” have themselves contributed to the complication of our understanding of the past, and what might be called postmodernity's histories. It suggests that historians have always assumed the tentativeness and contingency of claims to historical truth, and argues against a premature panic concerning the status of history. Constructivism is here to stay, but that does not necessarily point to the disappearance of history, only to more complicated ways of grasping the past.     

Domesday book: An early fiscal,accounting narrative?

Domesday Book is one of the most important documents in English history. It has been much studied by social, economic and institutional historians. At its heart it is an accounting document. Domesday Book of 1086 is regarded as a landmark in accounting history, primarily because it heralded a written system of government accounting in England. It introduced an administrative framework from which eventually the English Exchequer and charge and discharge accounting evolved. Domesday Book was compiled during one of the most significant periods in English History just after the Conquest of England by William I. It reflected new King's need to consolidate his power. The purpose of this article is to examine Domesday Book as an historical accounting record, concentrating in particular, on one shire: Herefordshire. It shows how Domesday Book provided the king with comprehensive information about individual landowning and taxable capacity. In addition, Domesday Book is contextualised within the social and economic conditions of the time. Domesday Book is shown to be a device for royal consolidation, a political expression of royal power and a vehicle to raise taxes. It also provided the administrative and territorial basis upon which the Exchequer's embryonic disciplinary power could be developed.     

Accounting history and theorising about organisations

Historical accounting research has a substantial track record of using a variety of theoretical insights to better understand how and why accounting has contributed to, and been affected by, organisational change and development. The article outlines the emergence of a range of theories that have been employed by accounting historians, against the background of the development of accounting history as a significant disciplinary field within accounting research. From its investigation of accounting historians’ approaches to studying accounting as a central practice in organisational processes, it reveals how historical accounting studies have been informed by and contributed to theorisation of such organisational phenomena. The article concludes that theory is largely used to provide conceptual frameworks for historical narratives, with historical accounting research often focused on case studies of single organisations or organisational settings. However, theory has also been mobilised at more general levels, to provide meta-narratives of the rise of capitalism and the emergence of managerialism. Far from treating accounting as technical practice, accounting historians are revealed as conceiving accounting as social practice, impacting both human behaviour and organisational and social functioning and development. As social practice, accounting emerges deeply embedded and pervasive in organisations and societies.     

Catastrophe Modeling in the Classroom

Catastrophes are by definition rare, which makes it difficult to project future losses using historical loss information. Catastrophe modelers have developed alternative methodologies based on sophisticated techniques that combine physics, meteorology, engineering, statistics, actuarial sciences, and other disciplines to provide estimates of the likelihood of losses from extreme events. This article discusses the basics of catastrophe modeling and describes an approach to implementing a lesson on catastrophe modeling in the insurance curriculum.     

论口述历史研究中个人生命史样本采集的史学价值

口述历史研究是关于个人生命史的研究,通过对个人生命史样本的采集来理解社会历史的变迁,在研究中,对个人命运的关注成为记载和表达社会心声的方式.采集个人生命史样本是进行口述历史研究的重要组成部分,也是开展相关学术研究的基础,本篇论文就将重点对其史学价值进行探究.     

'Presenting' the past: perspectives on time for accounting and management history

Concepts of time in accounting and management historiography have only previously been considered as partial subsets of other methodological issues. This paper investigates our concepts of historical time with a view to offering alternative foundations to the unidirectional linear concept of chronological time employed in historical research project design and execution. Its analytical approach is pluralist in that it draws upon the historiographic writings of historians and historical theorists of traditional and post-modern persuasions, both within and beyond the accounting and management history fields. It addresses teleological, historicist and narrativist temporal underpinnings and considers historical practice in relation to assumptions about and interpretations of continuity and discontinuity. Time is extended beyond its conventional accounting and management chronology to include consideration of co-present, cyclical, relativist, structuralist and spatial time. Intrinsic and reflexive relationships between past, present and future are explored. The paper argues for a postmodern pluralisation of our historiographic approaches to time and their informing revisitations of historical accounting and management subjects with a view to better understanding that which we thought we already knew.     

Drought,resettlement and accounting

Drought, an insidious form of natural disaster, occurs frequently in the United States. The droughts of the 1930s were a national emergency which combined with economic depression to cause widespread rural poverty and distress. Governmental responses to the crisis were many and included the establishment of experimental resettlement projects for dislocated families. Operated by liberal, socially progressive agencies, these projects attempted to re-establish farm families on more productive land in less arid areas. One such project was the Red River Valley Farms Project in North Dakota. Here, business and home planning, budgeting and record keeping by client families was compulsory. Drawing on the notion of the ‘heroic bureaucracy’, this historical study reveals accounting as a key facilitative technology in the recovery phase of a disaster. The comprehensive accounting records maintained by each family contributed to their successful resettlement and provided the government agency with copious data for monitoring the performance of the project, measuring the progress of its participants, and identifying where support was most needed.     

Continuity,contingency and context: Bringing the historian's cognitive toolkit into university futures and public policy development

This paper explores the affinities between the cognitive approaches of historical study and those of strategic foresight, specifically, scenario planning, drawing out their capacity to problematise perceived certainties and challenge deterministic beliefs. It suggests that “thinking with history” has the potential to enhance strategic understanding and decision-making. Two high-level decision-making contexts – university executives and Government Departments – are then discussed with regards to the barriers to such strategic thinking. The paper draws on a wider research project exploring the role for historical thinking in public policy development.     

黄金充当货币的历史逻辑

历史上先后出现过两种类型的货币,即商品货币和纸币。在商品货币发展的过程中,唯有黄金本位制演变为全球性的货币制度安排。本文分别从黄金优良的物质特性,以及工业革命后英国确立在全球经济和金融领域主导地位、黄金大发现等社会经济因素角度,分析了黄金充当货币的历史逻辑。文章指出,虽然黄金已逐渐淡出国际货币舞台,但其作为一些国家重要的国际储备选项,仍然发挥着国际货币体系价值支撑的作用。     

China's search for the future: A genealogical approach

This paper is a dialectical inquiry, presenting a genealogy of, China futures discourses and visions from ancient times through to the, present. It uses both structural and macrohistorical based approaches. The identified worldviews are placed in their broader historical, epistemes; asked why change has occurred, how it fits within patterns of, history and what kind of futures are offered. It is unique in that I use, the futures triangle methodology to discuss the “pulls” of the future in, each historical era with the corresponding “pushes” of the present and, “weights” of the past. The article concludes with a theory of futures in, Chinese history and looks at which philosophies are likely to play a role, in the possible futures of China. The aim is to highlight which visions, and images have been victorious is affecting the present and influencing, the future.     

Incorporating historical investment performance in projecting life insurance cash values

The projection of current investment experience in life insurance sales illustrations during the historically high interest rate environment of the 1980s in the U.S. has led to consumer dissatisfaction and lawsuits against life insurers and agents. As interest rates fell after 1985, insurers were unable to credit returns near the maximums illustrated earlier. New regulations still allow projections at essentially the latest current investment returns, along with showing guaranteed and intermediate values. The question raised in this article is: Can history help the financial planner determine a range of credible investment return assumptions for projecting cash values? Conclusions are based on the results of basing projections on historical investment experience.     

Reducing failures in software development projects: effectiveness of risk mitigation strategies

Risks as uncertain conditions with negative consequences on a software project could increase the failure rate of a project if it is ignored. To identify the effectiveness of risk management strategies, a questionnaire survey among over 1000 software professionals was conducted. Post Hoc Multiple Comparison Test and Kendal’s non-parametric test were employed to analyse risk mitigation strategies in terms of effectiveness in reducing time and cost overruns. Findings reveal risk mitigation strategies related to the technical part are not as efficient as that in the managerial part such as the users’ involvement and commitment in reducing time and cost overruns.     

Price and Profit Regulation in Developing and Transition Economies: A Survey of the Regulators

Rate of return or cost of service regulation was the traditional means by which governments, especially in the USA, regulated profitability and prices in privately-owned public utility businesses. However, rate of return regulation was associated with efficiency disincentives. Hence, in 1983 a price cap was proposed to regulate British Telecom when it was privatized. Price caps were later introduced for other privatized utilities in the UK. Similarly, other countries that privatized their utility sectors in the 1980s and 1990s often introduced price cap regimes. This article reports the results of a questionnaire survey of the methods used to regulate profits and prices in privatized utility sectors in a sample of developing and transition economies. In addition to providing an insight into the different methods used in these economies, the article explains the difficulties that their regulators have in operating profit and price regulation regimes.     

Yield Approximations: A Historical Perspective

This paper traces the historical developments of the efforts to find simple and accurate methods of approximating an annuity's implicit yield and a bond's yield to maturity. It is shown that the little known history of yield approximations is nevertheless very rich, with contributions dating as far back as the late seventeenth century. It is also shown that the standard textbook approximation formula for the bond's yield to maturity is the least accurate of a large family of formulas, some of which were suggested as early as 1855.     

A LONGITUDINAL CASE STUDY OF PROFITABILITY REPORTING IN A BANK

This project involved a seven-year longitudinal case study of a Bank monitoring over time the changes in profit measurement and overhead allocation, product group profitability, benchmarking, customer profitability, budgeting and profitability/performance measures such as return on risk adjusted capital. The overall finding is that the Bank’s profitability reporting (particularly its product group and customer profitability) changed considerably during this seven-year period. The main factors that accountants and managers identified as influencing such changes were four external factors and two internal factors. The four external factors were changes in technology (computers and telecommunications), regulatory change, increasingly competitive global markets and a greater difficulty in attracting customers. The two internal factors were the development of new products leading to a wider product range and a changing management accounting culture. The historical and organizational context of the Bank was also critical in this process of change, and a dynamic contingency model is proposed. This longitudinal case study indicates that more changes are occurring in management accounting practices (such as profitability reporting) than the current evidence from questionnaire surveys and ‘snapshot’ case studies reveals. An area for future research that this study highlights is that although accountants and managers talk in terms of long-term planning and control, the norm is short-term management accounting solutions and managerial reaction to new external developments.     

The Importance Of Inherent Risk Factors: Auditors‘ Perceptions

This research project investigated auditors' perceptions of the importance of inherent risk factors in assessing inherent risk for accounts receivable and inventory. Sixty-eight auditors completed a questionnaire listing 42 inherent risk factors and six control risk factors. The auditors were required to: identify whether each factor was an inherent risk factor; indicate whether the factor affected their assessment of inherent risk at the financial statement or account balance (class of transactions) level; indicate whether the factor was associated with high or low inherent risk; and assess how important the inherent risk factor was in their assessment of inherent risk. In general, the auditors perceived variables pertaining to the characteristics of management and the history of errors to be the major determinants of inherent risk.     

New development: The IPSASB project on accounting for social benefits—IPSAS 42

ABSTRACT

This article explores the work undertaken by the International Public Sector Accounting Standards Board (IPSASB) in developing IPSAS 42 on ‘Social Benefits’, which was probably the IPSASB’s most challenging project to date. The authors explains IPSAS 42’s approach to liability recognition with the overriding considerations behind the IPSASB’s final decisions. In 2012, the EC identified the lack of a standard on social benefits in the IPSASB’s suite of standards as one of the arguments against the application of IPSASs in the EU, so this article is important in terms of the IPSASs being used as the basis for EPSASs (European Public Sector Accounting Standards).     

Managing It All By numbers: A Review of Johnson & Kaplan's ‘Relevance Lost’

This review article sets out the Johnson and Kaplan diagnosis of the ‘problem’ with modern US cost accounting and management control systems (‘MAS’) and challenges both their historical analysis and their proposed remedy. It traces the genesis of the knowledge-based disciplinary power of managerialism from the 1830s in the US and contrasts the development of the US/UK focus of MAS on ‘managing by the numbers’, with the different way that knowledge-power has been used by, and has interacted with, managerialism in Japan. It argues that the problems to be confronted with MAS are inherent in the historical genesis of such systems and that it is the behavioural limitations in the way organisations deploy MAS that most need attention. In addition the interrelationships of control between the accounting measurements that create visibility within and without the organisation require that greater attention be addressed to the technical limitations of financial accounting. In conclusion it is suggested that the differing alignments of knowledge-based expertise and disciplinary practices of management control that have developed in the US/UK and in Japan reflect deeper differences in their cultural history.