Household Demand, Network Externality Effects and Intertemporal Price Discrimination

This paper examines the optimality of intertemporal price discrimination when network externality effects are present in the consumption of a durable good. We conduct our study in two settings. In a model with two household types, utilities are dependent on the cumulative proportion of households that have purchased the durable good. Next, in a model with a continuum of household types, we extend the analysis to the case where households consume both a durable good and a stream of non-durable goods. We show that in both settings, the presence of network externalities facilitates a sales strategy with intertemporal price discrimination.     

Intertemporal monopolistic pricing of non-durables

This paper provides a tractable analytical framework to study intertemporal equilibria between non-competitive supply and dynamic demand for non-durable goods. The basic hypothesis is that consumers enjoy utility from particular services rather than from commodities. Consumption of the non-durable good follows a dynamic pattern, because it depends on the stock of durables and energy demand provides the prototypical example, e.g., mobility, thermal comfort, etc. are the output of a combination of durable and non-durable goods. Indeed, turmoils in energy markets are to a great deal due to short run inflexibility and this gives this theoretical paper a topical flavour. The outcomes differ substantially across the strategic setups while differences in expectations (myopic versus rational) matter only transiently but not in the long run.      

Intertemporal price discrimination and consumer demand

Under a particular class of utility functions, intertemporal price discrimination (IPD) is not feasible. That is, customers cannot be made to pay different prices for a durable good at different points in time. Other factors such as falling costs, and differing discount rates between buyers and sellers have been found to make intertemporal pricing schemes feasible, or even profitable. None of these factors, however, were fundamental demand differences which give rise to static price discriminations. In this paper we argue that IPD is indeed feasible and sometimes profitable, if only we allow for a nondurable good in the utility function. A simple additively separable utility is examined first, which is then extended to a nonseparable utility function which allows richer substitution/complementary relations between the durable and the nondurable goods. This may help us to better understand the similarities between static and intertemporal price discriminations.     

The Timing of Purchases and Aggregate Fluctuations

We study the cyclical effects of the timing of durable goods purchases in a general equilibrium model in which both durable and non-durable goods are consumed and the durable good is lumpy. At the microeconomic level, the timing of durable goods purchases supplies some insulation for non-durable consumption over the cycle. At the macroeconomic level, the timing decisions tend to amplify and propagate wealth and income shocks. Our model also allows for endogenous price determination. When the price of the durable changes due to inflexibility of workers between sectors, the effect of adverse shocks is even stronger and longer.     

Mergers in durable goods industries

This paper is concerned with the study of durability as an aspect of competition and market structure that contributes to determining the incentives for mergers. We find that relative to the incentives in industries that produce non-durable goods the durability of the good produced by an industry enhances the incentive for mergers in the presence of intertemporal consistency problems. Further, the analysis indicates that in durable good markets a good antitrust policy should combine a restriction to rent solely with a prudent merger policy.     

Durability choice with differentiated products

In a two-period setting we explore the impact of a related non-durable good or service on a monopolists’ choice of product durability. We show that a renting firm will provide the social efficient cost-minimizing durability independent of the related non-durable product. Thus Swan’s [Swan, P., 1970. Durability of consumption goods. American Economic Review 60, 884–894; Swan, P., 1971. The durability of goods and the regulation of monopoly. Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science 2, 347–357] market independence result can be extended to include durable goods renters that manufacture related non-durables. This finding, however, does not extend to sales markets. With sales, the monopolist will practice planned obsolescence (manufacture goods with uneconomically short lives). We find that planned obsolescence is maximized when the related output is highly complementary with the durable good. This indicates that in durable products markets, such as the electronics industry, public policies that encourage the adoption of complements for the durable may well lead to a less efficient durability choice.     

Taxation and market power when products are durable

Empirical studies suggest that industries hardest hit by government regulations, such as pollution regulations, are both highly concentrated and manufacture durable products. We analyze a two-period durable goods monopoly model where the firm faces government restrictions in the form of pollution or excise taxes. In contrast to non-durable monopolistic industries, we show that taxes on pollution or an excise tax on output may increase a durable goods monopolist's commitment ability and market power. Indeed, any policy which restricts future output may have the perverse effect of increasing a monopolist's bargaining power with buyers and enhance their profits.The authors would like to thank several anonymous referees and the editor for helpful comments and suggestions on earlier drafts of the paper. Of course, any remaining errors are the sole responsibility of the authors.     

Consumer durables and the marginal propensity to consume out of permanent income shocks

This paper derives and estimates a model in which the utility of durable and non-durable consumption is allowed to be non-separable and individuals face a convex adjustment cost for the purchase of a new durable good. Panel data on subjective expectations allow us to identify income shocks and estimate the marginal propensity to consume out of permanent income shocks.     

Is there a quality bias in the Canadian CPI? Evidence from microdata

Rising consumer prices may reflect shifts by consumers to new higher‐priced products, mostly for durable and semi‐durable goods. I apply Bils’ (2009) methodology to newly available Canadian consumer price data for non‐shelter goods and services to estimate how price increases can be divided between quality growth and price inflation. I find that less than one third of observed price increases during model changeovers should be attributed to quality growth. This implies overall price inflation close to inflation measured by the official index. I conclude that, according to Bils’ methodology, the quality bias is not an important source of potential mismeasurement of CPI inflation in Canada.     

Risk aversion,order strategy and price formation

Since goods classified as non-durable may, in fact, have a durable component, random-walk tests of the permanent income hypothesis using non-durable data series may yield incorrect results. This paper investigates this problem by first simulating a model of consumption to show the effects of durability on statistical tests of non-durable consumption models, and then by applying these tests to various disaggregated consumption series to determine the effect in practice. The paper finds that there are significant differences in the behaviour of the series within the non-durables and services catagories, and that these differences may be related to durability. The effect of this on standard tests of consumption is discussed.     

High Price Strategy and Quality Signalling

I investigate a high price strategy by a durable‐goods producer for signalling the high quality of goods. It is assumed that two types of monopolists exist: high‐quality and low‐quality. The monopolist's type is assumed to be unknown to consumers in the first period. Before the beginning of the second period, a product reputation established in the past period enables consumers to recognize the real type of the monopolist. I show that there occurs a signalling equilibrium where the high‐quality type monopolist uses a high price strategy. An interaction between the new and old products peculiar to the durable‐goods markets plays an important role in the pricing strategy.     

Investment-Specific R and D and the Decline in the Relative Price of Capital

The relative price of capital has declined at a rapid rate in the postwar period.This article provides a candidate explanation for this relative price decline—research and development that are embodied in new, more efficient investment goods. The model mimics the secular aspects of the data, and it has the property that the long-run growth rate of consumption is nontrivially determined as a function of the R and D efforts. Because growth is driven by investment in durable goods in the present model, it seems natural to assume that R and D is product-specific and that the firms producing these goods are long-lived profit centers that internalize the dynamic gains from R and D. A result of this assumption is that the growth rate in the decentralized economy is too low: the so-called business stealing effects that may cause the equilibrium growth rate to be too high in other models is internalized here in the form of planned obsolescence.     

Characteristics of mexican economic growth : Empirical testing of some latin american structuralist hypotheses

This article examines a series of hypotheses about the Latin American industrialization process put forward by the structuralist school of thought, using Mexico as a test case. In particular it examines the relationship between the distribution of income and associated patterns of consumption and industrial structure and its implications on demand-constraints, growth- constraints, employment constraint and multinational control. The results indicate that the modern-traditional dichotomy based on durable versus non-durable consumer goods is not the best way to examine this relationship since the consumption patterns for durable goods do not show a homogeneous behavior when distribution changes. Overall, it was found that growth and employment constraints and multinational control seem to get more exacerbated under greater inequality. With respect to the demand-constraints no definite conclusion can be made because of the mentioned heterogeneity in the response of durable goods to changes in distribution and the lack of information on relative excess capacity and/or dynamic linkages of the different sectors.     

Intertemporal elasticity of substitution and risk aversion: are they related empirically?

This article examines the relationship between two types of preference: preference of intertemporal choices and preference towards risk. In the simplest form of the constant relative risk aversion utility function, the intertemporal elasticity of substitution (IES) and risk aversion have an inverse relationship. However, there is no empirical evidence that suggests this inverse relationship holds. We examine the relationship between risk aversion and IES using household consumption data from the Consumer Expenditure Survey during 1996–2010. Multiple risk domains are selected to represent risk preference, and for each domain, we consider some households to be more risk averse than others. We separately estimate IES for the more risk-averse and less risk-averse households. We find that the IES estimates are generally smaller for the more risk-averse households than for the less risk-averse households and that the difference is statistically significant in the majority of the financial domains. This finding supports the inverse relationship between the two parameters, although considerable heterogeneity is found across domains.     

ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS OF REFILL PACKS

It is common sense that refill packs can increase the repeated use of durable goods, reduce resource waste and be conducive to environmental protection. However, their existence also has an economic effect. For instance, we find that the profit of a monopolistic firm will increase as a result of selling the refill packs when the depreciation rate of the durable good is low. In an extension of the model, we point out that there is an entrant that competes with the incumbent in relation to the composite goods and the refill packs. In order to compete in terms of the prices of the composite goods, the incumbent sells the refill packs not only to increase profit, but also to reduce the amount of waste resulting from the durable goods. As for competing in regard to the prices of the refill packs, if the cost of the composite goods is small, then the incumbent's profit from selling the composite goods will increase. By comparing two extensions of the model, we find that the environmental effect of the price competition in regard to the refill packs is greater than the environmental effect of the price competition in relation to the composite goods.     

Intertemporal substitution, risk aversion and ambiguity aversion

Summary. This paper axiomatizes a form of recursive utility on consumption processes that permits a role for ambiguity as well as risk. The model has two prominent special cases: (i) the recursive model of risk preference due to Kreps and Porteus [18]; and (ii) an intertemporal version of multiple-priors utility due to Epstein and Schneider [8]. The generalization presented here permits a three-way separation of intertemporal substitution, risk aversion and ambiguity aversion.Received: 5 August 2003, Revised: 12 March 2004, JEL Classification Numbers: D80, D81, D90.I am grateful to Larry Epstein for his guidance and invaluable advice, and to a referee for helpful comments and suggestions.     

The Slutsky matrix and homogeneity in intertemporal consumer theory

A dual vista of an intertemporal model of the consumer yields insights into its fundamental qualitative structure that previous research was heretofore unable to uncover. For example, the intertemporal Slutsky matrix and its properties of symmetry and negative semidefiniteness apply to the integral of the discounted open-loop demand and supply functions, not to the instantaneous open-loop demand and supply functions. The results are established in a general dynamic model of the consumer which accounts for durable and nondurable goods, installation costs for the durable goods, and a leisure/labor choice.     

中国住房改革对家庭耐用品消费的影响

中国的住房改革对许多城市家庭形成正的财富冲击。利用CHNS数据,我们发现:同理论预期一致,受益于住房改革的家庭消费了更多的耐用品。特别是,在住房改革的随后几年,其影响更为显著。我们还发现,住房改革对耐用品消费的次序具有影响,经历住房改革的家庭倾向于首先消费生活最必需的耐用品,然后再消费其他耐用品。通过增加家庭的耐用品消费,住房改革对扩大内需和走出当时的通货紧缩产生了积极影响。     

MODELLING HABIT PERSISTENCE*

The purpose of this paper is to derive the demand functions corresponding to an intertemporal linear expenditure system in which goods are durable, and in which there are penalty costs for changes in planned stocks. Taste changes over time can be interpreted as changes in the technology converting goods into characteristics.     

A micro-analytic threshold model for the timing of first purchases of durable goods

A micro-analytic threshold model to describe the timing of household purchases of consumer durable goods is developed and tested. The model incorporates unobserved heterogeneity via a generalized gamma distribution and accounts for time varying covariates. Further, we employ estimation methods applicable or purchase data observed at periodic intervals of time. The model outperforms other competing models for predicting the timing of purchase of durable goods in terms of fit and predictive ability. In particular, this model outperforms the logit model and the diffusion model. The generalized gamma timing model predicts well the time to purchase the durable good; we show how it can be employed for micro-segmentation of households. Several research directions and applications are described.