2004年8月北京市商品房市场综述

北京楼市在经历了6月、7月的冷清后,到了8月有了一定程度的回升。本月新盘个数比上月增加了近一倍,新推出楼盘共有45个,其中商业项目3个,写字楼项目6个,商住项目1个,别墅项目4个,其他30余个为普通住宅。     

如何过一个祥和的端午——一份过端午节的另类倡议书

认为自己过了十几个甚至几十个端午节,吃了成百个上千个粽子,就能够正确地过一个祥和的端午节,是根本错误的。     

启示

三个金人,哪个最有价值从前有个小国派人到中国进贡了三个一模一样的金人,皇帝非常高兴。但小国使者在上贡时出了一道题目:这三个金人哪个最有价值?皇帝试了许多办     

成长是最重要的

有一个讲述“苹果树”成长的故事很有寓意和启迪。说是一颗苹果树在第一年,它结了10个苹果,9个被拿走,自己得到1个。对此,苹果树愤愤不平,自断经脉,拒绝成长。第二年,它结了5个苹果,4个被拿走,自己得到1个。“哈哈,去年我得到10％,今年得到了20％！”     

创新运行方式构建服务体系打造文化工作新格局

一、创新文化机制,健全公共文化服务网络,为文化活动繁荣开展奠定坚实基础 道里区采取政府主导、鼓励社会参与的方式,优化资源配置,创新运行方式,构建了覆盖城乡、结构合理、功能健全、实用高效的公共文化服务体系.道里区打造的千米社区、十分钟文化圈,健全了文化网络,强化了文化惠民功能. 现在,全区19个街道、4个乡镇都建成了标准化文化站,全区共有10个市级图书馆分馆、18个社区图书中心、98个社区文化场所、31个农村图书屋、9个汽车流动图书室,引进创办了省音乐家协会合唱分会合唱基地、市知青活动基地等文化活动基地,在全省首创了2个屯级图书分馆.在全省首家实现全区19个街道、108个社区文化设施建设全覆盖的目标.     

新修订《中小学校财务制度》的主要创新

新修订的《中小学校财务制度》体现了改革与创新精神,具体概括为"一个突出、两个完善、三个加强、四个突破、五个亮点"。一、"一个突出",即突出了中小学校公益性特征中小学校中义务教育阶段学校属于事业单位公益一类,高中阶段学校属于公益二类。这次修订,充分体现了中小学校公益属性的性质,牢牢把握中小学校财务活动的方向。如义务教育阶段学校经费纳     

论新时代新经济思想的逻辑结构及其实践价值

新时代新经济思想的主要内容可以提炼为“七个坚持”。第一个坚持至关重要,不可动摇,第二个坚持是根本目的,后面的五个坚持是经济高质量发展的方向、战略方法和实现途径。本文阐述了新时代的新经济思想的内涵,从三个方面论述了新时代的新经济思想的逻辑结构,并从四个方面解读了新时代新经济思想的主要内容及其实践价值。     

国际PE帮助联想集团更换CEO

在联想并购IBM PC业务的过程之中,有两个美国最著名的PE参加了,一个是德洲太平洋集团TPG,一个是GA,它们是美国两个非常大的私人股权投资机构,他们专门做什么?TPG他们专门把不行的企业买回来退市,弄好了再上市,连续做成功了好几个。他们和我们一起买,他们两家加起来占现在联想集团的股份     

坚持房地产调控不动摇

<正>最近以来,我国房地产市场调控成效已经出现积极的变化。据国家统计局11月份发布的70个大中城市住宅销售价格统计数据显示,10月份,我国70个大中城市房价平均环比下降0.14%。新建商品住宅方面,环比价格下降的城市有34个,比9月份增加了17个。价格下降的城市与去年10月相比有2个,与今年9月份相比,增加了1个。二手房方面,环比价格下降的城市有38个,     

自断经脉的苹果树

一颗苹果树,终于结果了. 第一年,它结了10个苹果,9个被拿走,自己得1个.对此,苹果树愤愤不平,于是自断经脉,拒绝成长.     

我国保险业市场结构、效率与绩效

对我国保险业财险市场和寿险市场2007--2011年市场结构、绩效和经营效率之间的关系进行分析,并对市场结构与经营绩效关系的五种假说进行验证,结果显示：我国无论是财险市场还是寿险市场均不符合结构一行为一绩效假说（SCP）和相对市场力量假说（RMP）,也不符合效率结构假说（ES）,我国保险市场在一定程度上符合平静生活假说（QL）。     

Assessing Ricardian Equivalence

This paper reviews the literature on Ricardian equivalence. This hypothesis may be interpreted as a generalization to the short and the long run of the theories that put no weight on the real effects of public policies on aggregate demand. We argue that Ricardian equivalence relies on both the permanent income hypothesis and the fulfillment of the intertemporal government budget constraint. The theoretical literature emphasizes several reasons for departures from this hypothesis. However, the empirical literature is inconclusive. When Ricardian equivalence is tested in a life–cycle framework the hypothesis is usually rejected, while when the empirical analysis is based on optimizing models, it is usually accepted.     

The new approach in the analysis of 2×2 tables

Conventional statistical analysis of contingency tables is logically untenable. It rejects the knowledge of the prior model of cause, and it tests the null hypothesis of independence which cannot be proved to be true or false. Our approach is based on the knowledge of the prior model of cause, and we test the hypothesis of significant dependence. This hypothesis can be proved to be true or false if data are representative of the homogeneous invisible population.     

THE EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF FISCAL ILLUSION

Abstract. This paper examines the empirical analysis of the five main hypotheses subsumed under the generic term fiscal illusion. After placing these hypotheses within a common theoretical framework, the paper attempts to evaluate empirical research into the revenue-complexity hypothesis, the revenue-elasticity hypothesis, the flypaper effect, renter illusion, and debt illusion.     

Testing for Unit Roots with Breaks: Evidence on the Great Crash and the Unit Root Hypothesis Reconsidered

Nelson and Plosser (1982), in a classic paper, failed to find strong evidence against the null hypothesis of a generating process with a unit autoregressive root for thirteen US macroeconomic time series. Perron (1989) claimed that such evidence was available for a majority of these series if the alternative hypothesis was of trend stationarity with a break in 1929. Zivot and Andrews (1992) treated the break date as endogenous, then finding strong evidence agcainst the null for a minority of these series. Our own analysis extends theirs by permitting a break under the null as well as the alternative hypothesis, and allowing for the sequential nature of the testing. Our empirical findings complete the circle. We find no strong evidence against the unit root hypothesis for any of the thirteen Nelson–Plosser series.     

Testing price taking behavior

The purpose of this paper is to present an empirically implementable technique for the analysis of non-competitive behavior in production. We provide a statistical test for the price taking behavior hypothesis which can be used to distinguish among different market structures. We apply this approach to the U.S. crude petroleum and natural gas industry and find that the price taking behavior hypothesis is not appropriate for this industry.     

Unemployment hysteresis in Australia: evidence using nonlinear and stationarity tests with breaks

This study is an attempt to test the hysteresis versus the natural rate hypothesis in unemployment rate using time series data of the Australia covering the period 1978: 2–2010:12. For the analysis, we employed nonlinear as well as different linear tests (with incorporation of endogenously determined structural breaks) of unit root. We found that the Australian unemployment rate is nonlinear process, has a partial unit root and trend reverting. Therefore, we provide support for the structuralist hypothesis. This finding provides the importance of accounting for exogenous shocks in the series and gives support to the shifting natural-rate hypothesis of the Australian unemployment rate.     

Monthly rent with variable deposit: A new form of rental contract in Korea

In this paper, we describe the structure of the monthly-rent-with-variable-deposit (MRVD) contract, a distinct type of rental contract in Korea. We demonstrate that the Chonsei contract is one variant of the MRVD contract. To explain the MRVD contract, we propose a leverage-effect-seeking hypothesis. Based on this hypothesis, we are able to elucidate a variety of rental market conditions in Korea. Our hypothesis is consistent with the simultaneous existence of several types of rental contracts and various combinations of monthly rent, as well as the up-front deposit in the MRVD contracts. We also focused on the deposit-to-monthly-rent conversion rate, a critical factor in the Korean rental housing market. Our hypothesis indicates that conversion rates vary across local markets depending on local market conditions, such as the expected house price appreciation rate. The results of our data analysis demonstrate that our hypothesis more adequately explains the observed trend in the conversion rate, as well as that in the MRVD contracts.     

Productivity Bias Hypothesis and The Purchasing Power Parity: a review article

Abstract.  Productivity differentials among countries are said to be one of the major sources that contribute to the deviation of the Purchasing Power Parity-based exchange rate from the equilibrium rate, hence the productivity bias hypothesis. Prior to last review article on the productivity bias hypothesis in 1976, almost all studies relied upon cross-sectional regression analysis. Since then, two groups of empirical studies have emerged. While one group has employed time-series data, the other one has used panel data. These two later groups have provided more support to the hypothesis than the earlier cross-sectional studies. This paper reviews and criticizes each group separately and provides tables that summarize main features of each study.     

Do natural resources define convergence clubs? Empirical evidence from the Kazakh regions

This paper deals with the hypothesis that natural resources are important in forming convergence clubs. We check this hypothesis by applying a dependence and an endowment measure of natural resource abundance and a regression tree analysis. The results indicate that for the Kazakh regions natural resources do indeed play an important role in forming convergence clubs. It is further shown that natural resource endowment rather than resource dependence determines initial conditions and thereby convergence clubs.