中国上市公司并购绩效的实证分析

西方经典企业并购理论可主要归结为使总价值增加的效率理论、自大理论、代理问题和再分配理论。为检验这些理论在中国的适用性，本文分别采用会计研究法和事件研究法，对中国上市公司1999年发生的85起控制权转让案和2002年55起重大资产重组案的并购绩效进行了全面分析，兼顾了并购绩效产生所需的时间因素和实证研究的实效性，从而揭示中国企业并购之动机及其绩效。研究表明，并购重组给目标企业带来了收益，其CAR为24．502％，超过20％的国际水平；而收购企业收益不大且缺乏持续性。同时本文结合个案分析补充大样本研究的不足，得出并购理论在中国具有一定适用性。最后，本文从并购动机、并购方式等不同角度分析了我国并购失败率高的原因。     

浅析企业并购及其财务风险背景

本文从企业并购高失败率和企业并购的内涵及其具体形式进行阐述,分析了企业并购财务风险之目标企业价值评估风险、融资风险、财务整合风险等三个方面,研究企业并购财务风险的现实意义。     

浅析企业并购及其财务风险背景

本文从企业并购高失败率和企业并购的内涵及其具体形式进行阐述,分析了企业并购财务风险之目标企业价值评估风险、融资风险、财务整合风险等三个方面,研究企业并购财务风险的现实意义.     

试析企业并购中的文化整合问题

随着经济一体化步伐的不断加快,企业并购活动日益频繁,同时,企业并购的失败率也一直居高不下,究其原因,主要是对企业并购后的文化整合没有给予足够重视.因此,要提高企业并购的成功率,就需要加大对企业文化整合力度的重视程度.     

中国企业跨境并购促进了并购企业研发国际化吗

基于2007—2020年中国工业企业上市公司跨境并购数据，实证分析跨境并购与并购企业研发国际化的关系，并整合制度观点，分析产权异质性和东道国（地区）异质性的影响。结果显示：第一，跨境并购规模和跨境并购股权对并购企业研发国际化均存在显著正向影响，跨境并购整合对并购企业研发国际化的影响不稳健；第二，基于产权异质性分组检验发现，跨境并购规模对并购企业研发国际化的正向影响仅在国有企业样本中显著；第三，基于东道国（地区）异质性分组检验发现，当东道国（地区）为发达国家（地区）时，跨境并购规模和跨境并购股权对并购企业研发国际化均存在显著正向影响，当东道国（地区）为发展中国家（地区）时，跨境并购对并购企业研发国际化的影响不显著。结论丰富了现有理论成果，对中国工业企业跨境并购实践具有一定借鉴价值。     

企业跨国并购战略与路径选择

跨国并购是一国企业在一定时期内进入另一国市场的便捷方法,是企业实现快速成长的捷径.近几年,中国企业跨国并购风起云涌.但跨国并购对企业的自身能力要求高,整合难,失败率高,中国企业应谨慎而行.     

从企业能力层面看我国企业跨国并购中的问题及对策

我国企业海外并购中高达50%~70%的并购失败率警示着我国企业自身存在着缺乏明确的并购战略、过低估计并购成本、缺乏可持续的国际核心竞争力、整合能力差、缺乏专业人才等问题,因此有必要从企业能力层面对这一问题进行探讨。我国企业须制定实施国际化发展战略、注重并购价值、加强整合能力、培养国际化管理人才等策略,实现企业成功地跨国并购和国际化经营。     

企业并购的人力资源整合

企业并购已成为当今世界经济生活中一个重要现象。自19世纪末到现在，西方国家已经历了5次大的并购浪潮。虽然企业并购浪潮此起彼伏，但并购的成功率不高。根据对世界500多家跨国公司近年发生的并购活动进行评估，其中有近50j‘的企业没有实现其并购目标；有近50％的企业在最初的4个月～8个月中生产率都有不同程度的下降；有61％的企业没有实现其财务目标。中国企业并购虽然缺乏较系统的研究数据，但由于中国企业并购市     

中国企业跨国并购后的文化整合

在全球经济一体化路径逐渐清晰、中国企业日益发展壮大的背景下,中国企业到海外并购、收购正炙手可热,中国企业并购的规模和数量也在日益上升,同时并购整合失败率也很高,纠其原因,并购的成功很大程度在于并购后企业能否进行有效的整合,而整合过程中最重要的一面就是企业文化的整合,论文首先分析了我国并购企业文化整合的现状,剖析了文化整合失败的原因,从成功案例中总结经验,提出了我国企业进行跨国并购的整合策略。以期为我国企业并购文化整合提供一些思路和方法。     

基于企业并购收益和交易价格的微观模型解析

并购收益和交易价格是企业并购微观层面分析的两个重要问题，也是并购理论研究的两个关键问题。从并购收益的模型解析得出应以并购企业收益率提高为基础，着重于并购后整体收益的提高；从交易价格的模型解析得出最佳交易价格是并购企业价值、信息不对称成本和目标企业价值的函数，也是并购双方博弈的结果，这一结果应当是帕累托改进。     

Pleasure and belief in Hume's Decision Process

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to introduce explicitly pleasure and belief in what aims at being a Humean theory of decision, like the one developed in Diaye and Lapidus (2005a). Although we support the idea that Hume was in some way a hedonist – evidently different from Bentham's or Jevons' way – we lay emphasis less on continuity than on the specific kind of hedonism encountered in Hume's writings (chiefly the Treatise, the second Enquiry, the Dissertation, or some of his Essays). Such hedonism clearly contrasts to its standard modern inheritance, expressed by the relation between preferences and utility.

The reason for such a difference with the usual approach lies in the mental process that Hume puts to the fore in order to explain the way pleasure determines desires and volition. Whereas pleasure is primarily, in Hume's words, an impression of sensation, it takes place in the birth of passions as reflecting an idea of pleasure, whose “force and vivacity” is precisely a “belief”, transferred to the direct passions of desire or volition that come immediately before action. As a result, from a Humean point of view, “belief” deals with decision under risk or uncertainty, as well as with intertemporal decision and indiscrimination problems.

The latter are explored within a formal framework, and it is shown that the relation of pleasure is transformed by belief into a non-empty class of relations of desire, among which at least one is a preorder.     

John Stuart Mill's Theory Of Justice

John Stuart Mill has traditionally been portrayed as self-contradictory and failing to construct a unified social theory. Recent scholarship, however, has challenged this view, finding Mill's work to be creatively synthetic in bridging the antinomies inherent in liberal democratic thought. This revisionist interpretation of Mill is advanced by an understanding of his theory of justice and its role in shaping his policy positions on issues such as welfare, education, voting rights, property rights, taxation, government intervention, and the future of capitalism.     

A Rich Vein for “Reality Mining”北大核心CSSCISSCI

Arik Hesseldahl In the aftermath of the September 11 attacks, U.S. officials quickly turned their attention to other potential targets, including California's Golden Gate Bridge. What would happen if terrorists took down the bridge between San Francisco and Marin County? How much of the region would be affected and for how long?     

Globalization,Neoliberalism and the attack on social security

Neoliberal political movements advocate privatization of public pension systems. Globalization imposes pressure on nations to conform to neoliberal policy views with respect to the design and structure of social insurance, including public pension systems. The paper begins with an investigation of the economic, ethical and ideological dimensions of the privatization debates in the U.S.; it argues that privatization advocates may be largely moved by ideology, since the other reasons advanced appear weak or unfounded. The second part discusses the history of Social Security, the purposes for its creation, and some of its economic effects. Differences between public and private pension systems are considered. A brief international comparison of some aspects of public pension system finance and benefit structures is presented. The final section considers the ethical, macroeconomic and distributional implications of privatization, prefunding and payroll tax funding, and argues for a pay as you go system financed with income taxes. In order to promote equity, economic security, community, and social cohesion, public pension systems should be universal in coverage. In order to reduce the inequality, income insecurity, and aged poverty generated by market economies, public pension systems ought to be progressive: benefit/contribution ratios should be inversely proportional to income, and progressive income taxes should finance the system. To promote economic growth, the systems should be financed on a pay-as-you-go basis, and should not be prefunded except for an emergency reserve. The fiscal policy recommendations partially depend upon the theory developed by Abba Lerner in the 1940s, and recently advanced by Wynne Godley and Randy Wray: Lerner's “principle of functional finance.”     

Perspective on the Economic Evolution of the European Union States Under the Impact of the Pandemic and Financial-Economic Crisis

The European Union,which is at the beginning of its term of office for all Member States in the European Parliament,the European Commission,its governing body a...     

中国养活自己能力的长期预测:技术和政策分析

中国拥有世界五分之一强的人口 ,收入又在迅速增长。因此 ,国际上很自然地会考虑或推测她在今后的几十年是否有能力养活自己。中国的人口预计将从 2 0 0 0年的 1 2 8亿增长到 2 0 2 0年的 1 4 6亿 ,和 2 0 3 0年的 1 4 9亿。与此同时 ,人均收入的增长将导致对家畜和鱼类产品更大的需求 ,因而对饲料的需求也将有很大的增长     

John Stuart Mill's Theories of Wealth and Income Distribution

Although he was much influenced by David Ricardo when he wrote the classical part of his Principles , John Stuart Mill was not a Ricardian when he penned his theories of wealth and distribution. They are based on a triple foundation. First, a belief that economics is a moral discipline. Second a theory of custom-driven human behavior. Third, an empirically formed conviction that the institutions of state, education and business cooperate to structure the distribution of income. On the basis of these presuppositions, Mill formulated 1) an institutional theory of the formation of human and non-human wealth and 2) an even more institutional theory of distribution demonstrating how the aforementioned institutions malignantly skew the distribution of income to the advantage of the propertied classes and to the extreme disadvantage of the working class. As a social economist, Mill recommended institutional reforms designed to eradicate the poverty of the working class.     

Forecasting the price of gold

This article seeks to evaluate the appropriateness of a variety of existing forecasting techniques (17 methods) at providing accurate and statistically significant forecasts for gold price. We report the results from the nine most competitive techniques. Special consideration is given to the ability of these techniques to provide forecasts which outperforms the random walk (RW) as we noticed that certain multivariate models (which included prices of silver, platinum, palladium and rhodium, besides gold) were also unable to outperform the RW in this case. Interestingly, the results show that none of the forecasting techniques are able to outperform the RW at horizons of 1 and 9 steps ahead, and on average, the exponential smoothing model is seen providing the best forecasts in terms of the lowest root mean squared error over the 24-month forecasting horizons. Moreover, we find that the univariate models used in this article are able to outperform the Bayesian autoregression and Bayesian vector autoregressive models, with exponential smoothing reporting statistically significant results in comparison with the former models, and classical autoregressive and the vector autoregressive models in most cases.     

Toward a Phylogenetic Reconstruction of Organizational Life

Synopsis Classification is an important activity that facilitates theory development in many academic disciplines. Scholars in fields such as organizational science, management science and economics and have long recognized that classification offers an approach for ordering and understanding the diversity of organizational taxa (groups of one or more similar organizational entities). However, even the most prominent organizational classifications have limited utility, as they tend to be shaped by a specific research bias, inadequate units of analysis and a standard neoclassical economic view that does not naturally accommodate the disequilibrium dynamics of modern competition. The result is a relatively large number of individual and unconnected organizational classifications, which tend to ignore the processes of change responsible for organizational diversity. Collectively they fail to provide any sort of universal system for ordering, compiling and presenting knowledge on organizational diversity. This paper has two purposes. First, it reviews the general status of the major theoretical approaches to biological and organizational classification and compares the methods and resulting classifications derived from each approach. Definitions of key terms and a discussion on the three principal schools of biological classification (evolutionary systematics, phenetics and cladistics) are included in this review. Second, this paper aims to encourage critical thinking and debate about the use of the cladistic classification approach for inferring and representing the historical relationships underpinning organizational diversity. This involves examining the feasibility of applying the logic of common ancestry to populations of organizations. Consequently, this paper is exploratory and preparatory in style, with illustrations and assertions concerning the study and classification of organizational diversity.