旅游发展效率与强度的时空耦合演变研究——以云南省为例

以云南省16个州市为研究单元,综合运用DEA模型、熵值赋权法、旅游发展强度指数及耦合协调模型,对2006—2016年云南省旅游发展效率与强度的耦合协调关系进行分析。研究发现:(1)2006—2016年,云南省各州市旅游发展综合效率、纯技术效率、规模效率变化均呈现出先增长后稳定的特点,规模效率的提升是促进综合效率增加的主要因素;(2)云南省旅游发展强度主体发展类型为上升型,旅游产业发展逐步由区域非均衡状态转向相对均衡状态,逐渐形成了以昆明为核心的"核心—边缘"式空间结构;(3)云南省旅游发展效率与强度的协调发展程度持续提升,区域耦合协调的"极化效应"逐步减弱,其空间分布格局也由以昆明为核心的"单极核心"空间布局向以昆明、丽江为核心的"双极核心"空间布局转变。     

云南省自驾游发展水平与旅游交通可达性的空间分异及耦合

分别运用社会网络分析法和可达性模型,对自驾游发展水平和旅游交通可达性进行定量分析。借鉴物理学中的耦合理论,构建两个系统的耦合评价模型,并以云南省为例,对两者的耦合协调关系进行实证研究。结果表明:1云南省旅游交通可达性呈现从中心向边缘递减的趋势,其中,最短时间可达性为玉溪市(5.5h),最长时间可达性为迪庆藏族自治州(10.26h)。2自驾旅游流网络主要呈现放射状,形成了以昆明为中心向四周散射的基点辐射式结构,节点连接性弱,网络结构松散。3云南省自驾游发展水平与旅游交通可达性耦合协调度整体偏低,特别是迪庆、德宏与西双版纳等地呈现低度耦合、低度协调。总体来看,云南省交通网络与自驾游尚未形成相互协调,交通对自驾游的支撑与促进作用未充分发挥,且部分区域的交通网络仍不能满足自驾游发展的需求。     

我国工业旅游的空间结构特征——以全国工业旅游示范点为分析对象

本文以国家旅游局命名的180家工业旅游示范点为对象．通过对示范点的空间分布概况以及分布密度、客源市场空间联系的分析．揭示了工业旅游的空间结构特征．并对我国目前的工业旅游空间布局进行了探讨。     

基于“点—轴系统”理论的公路交通对新疆旅游空间结构的影响

以＂点—轴系统＂理论为基础,通过分析该区公路交通基础设施的现状和目前的旅游资源空间分布模式,提出了＂一个中心＂＂、四个增长极＂＂、十五个增长节点＂＂、三条发展主轴＂、＂三条扩展轴＂和＂两大特色旅游板块＂的旅游资源空间布局优化模式。由此,形成了＂点—线—面＂的旅游空间布局模式,充分发挥其资源优势,实现新疆旅游业持续健康的发展。     

云南红河流域民族文化旅游资源特征分析

从资源学的视角,以《旅游资源分类、调查与评价》为依据,对云南红河流域民族文化旅游资源进行了摸底调查,界定了类型和空间布局,并从定性定量的角度对其资源等级进行了评价,分析了其形成的原因,总结出了资源的特征,为红河流域的区域旅游开发提供了详实资料。     

基于芳香特色的云南省旅游产品开发策略研究

文章以芳香特色的旅游产品开发为对象,基于产业融合视角,采用图表分析对芳香旅游产品开发进行研究,在分析云南省芳香旅游产品开发现状的基础上,提出纵横交错的芳香旅游产品开发思路,在对云南省芳香旅游发展现状进行深入分析的基础上,提出以针对性的云南省芳香旅游产品开发策略,力图为云南乃至国内同类型地区芳香旅游产品开发提供借鉴.     

云南与周边国家发展旅游产业集群的对策研究

进入新世纪以来，云南旅游业一直呈现出持续快速发展的良好势头，现己成为云南省重要的支柱产业之一，由于云南省特殊的地理位置，为其与以湄公河为纽带的东盟各国进一步加强在经济、基础设施和旅游等领域的合作提供了便利。在《中国与东盟面向和平与繁荣的战略伙伴关系联合宣言》签署并发表的大背景下，云南省的旅游业将获得更大的发展空间和机遇，可以借机整合周边国家的旅游资源，加快与湄公河区域国家的旅游合作，形成以澜沧江——湄公河为纽带的云南省与东盟各国的区域旅游产业集群，做大作强云南省的旅游产业，为促进云南省经济健康、快速发展作出新的贡献。     

城市边缘区旅游功能定位分析——以长治老顶山片区为例

对城市边缘进行新区开发,既是城市化发展的需要,也是旅游城市提升区域旅游业竞争力的需要。本文以长治老顶山片区的开发为倒,从旅游（点）功能分析旅游职能,充分贯彻竞争—合作、分工—合作的思想,从宏观—中观—微观“三维视角”对老顶山片区旅游职能进行分析,并提出了旅游功能导向和空间布局。以期对类似新区的旅游开发提供借鉴。     

湖南省温泉休闲度假旅游空间布局研究

湖南省是我国温泉资源最为丰富的省份之一,也是重要的温泉旅游目的地。从温泉资源和温泉旅游流两个方面阐述了湖南省温泉休闲度假旅游的空间布局特征。通过分析湖南省温泉旅游系统的现状,提出了采用点轴式的空间布局模式,最终形成湖南省的"一心两点、五轴三区"的温泉旅游空间总体格局。     

城市交通网络布局的AHP评价体系实证研究

城市交通网络布局质量评价,主要目的是分析评判交通网络空间布局的合理性、有效性。城市交通网络既是城市的骨架,又是城市社会经济活动、城市客货运输的载体。其布局好坏,是否合理有效,直接影响到城市的健康发展,影响到运输系统的效率高低,影响到城市交通结构的形成和变迁。本文以层次分析法(AHP)建立了包含基础设施、通达深度和服务特征三个子系统的城市交通网络布局的评价体系,并以河南省巩义市为例,对该市的城市交通网络布局进行了评价,并提出相应建议。     

Pleasure and belief in Hume's Decision Process

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to introduce explicitly pleasure and belief in what aims at being a Humean theory of decision, like the one developed in Diaye and Lapidus (2005a). Although we support the idea that Hume was in some way a hedonist – evidently different from Bentham's or Jevons' way – we lay emphasis less on continuity than on the specific kind of hedonism encountered in Hume's writings (chiefly the Treatise, the second Enquiry, the Dissertation, or some of his Essays). Such hedonism clearly contrasts to its standard modern inheritance, expressed by the relation between preferences and utility.

The reason for such a difference with the usual approach lies in the mental process that Hume puts to the fore in order to explain the way pleasure determines desires and volition. Whereas pleasure is primarily, in Hume's words, an impression of sensation, it takes place in the birth of passions as reflecting an idea of pleasure, whose “force and vivacity” is precisely a “belief”, transferred to the direct passions of desire or volition that come immediately before action. As a result, from a Humean point of view, “belief” deals with decision under risk or uncertainty, as well as with intertemporal decision and indiscrimination problems.

The latter are explored within a formal framework, and it is shown that the relation of pleasure is transformed by belief into a non-empty class of relations of desire, among which at least one is a preorder.     

John Stuart Mill's Theory Of Justice

John Stuart Mill has traditionally been portrayed as self-contradictory and failing to construct a unified social theory. Recent scholarship, however, has challenged this view, finding Mill's work to be creatively synthetic in bridging the antinomies inherent in liberal democratic thought. This revisionist interpretation of Mill is advanced by an understanding of his theory of justice and its role in shaping his policy positions on issues such as welfare, education, voting rights, property rights, taxation, government intervention, and the future of capitalism.     

A Rich Vein for “Reality Mining”北大核心CSSCISSCI

Arik Hesseldahl In the aftermath of the September 11 attacks, U.S. officials quickly turned their attention to other potential targets, including California's Golden Gate Bridge. What would happen if terrorists took down the bridge between San Francisco and Marin County? How much of the region would be affected and for how long?     

Globalization,Neoliberalism and the attack on social security

Neoliberal political movements advocate privatization of public pension systems. Globalization imposes pressure on nations to conform to neoliberal policy views with respect to the design and structure of social insurance, including public pension systems. The paper begins with an investigation of the economic, ethical and ideological dimensions of the privatization debates in the U.S.; it argues that privatization advocates may be largely moved by ideology, since the other reasons advanced appear weak or unfounded. The second part discusses the history of Social Security, the purposes for its creation, and some of its economic effects. Differences between public and private pension systems are considered. A brief international comparison of some aspects of public pension system finance and benefit structures is presented. The final section considers the ethical, macroeconomic and distributional implications of privatization, prefunding and payroll tax funding, and argues for a pay as you go system financed with income taxes. In order to promote equity, economic security, community, and social cohesion, public pension systems should be universal in coverage. In order to reduce the inequality, income insecurity, and aged poverty generated by market economies, public pension systems ought to be progressive: benefit/contribution ratios should be inversely proportional to income, and progressive income taxes should finance the system. To promote economic growth, the systems should be financed on a pay-as-you-go basis, and should not be prefunded except for an emergency reserve. The fiscal policy recommendations partially depend upon the theory developed by Abba Lerner in the 1940s, and recently advanced by Wynne Godley and Randy Wray: Lerner's “principle of functional finance.”     

Solidified Branding Function: How the Urban Brand Affects a Small Town’s Development? Case Study of Wangqingtuo,Tianjin, China

Chinese small towns are usually developed with single core industry,and the urban brand is the identity of a town that formed with the development of its indust...     

Nonlinearity in Stock Exchange Markets: The Case of Bist 100 Indices

In this paper,using data for the Bist 100 index,we investigate the presence of nonlinearities by employing several nonlinearity tests.The Brock,Dechert,and Sche...     

Perspective on the Economic Evolution of the European Union States Under the Impact of the Pandemic and Financial-Economic Crisis

The European Union,which is at the beginning of its term of office for all Member States in the European Parliament,the European Commission,its governing body a...     

中国养活自己能力的长期预测:技术和政策分析

中国拥有世界五分之一强的人口 ,收入又在迅速增长。因此 ,国际上很自然地会考虑或推测她在今后的几十年是否有能力养活自己。中国的人口预计将从 2 0 0 0年的 1 2 8亿增长到 2 0 2 0年的 1 4 6亿 ,和 2 0 3 0年的 1 4 9亿。与此同时 ,人均收入的增长将导致对家畜和鱼类产品更大的需求 ,因而对饲料的需求也将有很大的增长     

Neurally reconstructing expected utility

While the concept of “expected utility” informs many theories of decision making, little is known about whether and how the human brain might compute this quantity. This article reviews a series of functional magnetic resonance imaging (FMRI) experiments designed to localize brain regions that respond in anticipation of increasing amounts of monetary incentives. These studies collectively suggest that anticipation of increasing monetary gains activates a subcortical region of the ventral striatum in a magnitude-proportional manner. This ventral striatal activation is not evident during anticipation of losses. Actual gain outcomes instead activate a region of the mesial prefrontal cortex. During anticipation of gain, ventral striatal activation is accompanied by feelings characterized by increasing arousal and positive valence. These findings affirm the role of emotion in the anticipation of incentives, and may provide an initial step towards a neural reconstruction of expected utility.