金融安全、全球化与经济增长：来自发展中国家的经验

本文考察发展中国家金融安全和全球化对其经济增长的影响机制,利用71个发展中国家1998至2005年的面板数据,对增长模型进行估计和分析。结果表明,发展中国家的经济增长存在条件趋同,且同时存在新古典增长理论和新增长理论的趋同机制。拥有较高金融安全水平的发展中国家,全球化有利于其经济发展;金融安全水平较低、国内金融环境不稳定的国家,却不能因为全球化程度的深化而受益。     

立足台湾、深耕大陆、布局全球——从经济全球化的角度,看台湾可持续的经济发展

台湾的经济发展是以出口拉动经济增长的出口扩张政策为主轴,利用全球市场的规模经济效应,使台湾经济持续增长。本文从全球贸易发展趋势、台商对大陆投资及两岸贸易进展趋势等三个宏观经济层面来分析探讨面对急速崛起的大陆经济,台湾企业全球布局的战略思维。     

全球化背景下中国人才流失的环境因素——基于全球58国的比较分析

在经济全球化背景下,发展中国家人才流失问题突出。中国同样面临着这个问题的严峻考验。本文从考察人才流失的环境角度进行分析,建立了人才环境三级指标体系并计算出生活环境指数、工作环境指数和宏观环境指数。通过建立回归方程,我们发现人才流失和环境指数有很强的相关关系,说明改善人才环境能很好解决当前人才流失问题。文章最后根据我国实际情况,给出了相关的政策建议。     

世界经济全球化与区域经济一体化

经济全球化能形成趋势的本质就在于能够在全球范围内优化资源配置,提高全人类的福利水平;当前世界经济全球化与区域一体化两趋势同时增强,是各国在全球化进程中降低交易成本的一种理性选择;资源要素的直接流动与整合是世界经济分工与合作的新趋势。     

资本深化、技术进步与全球化下的劳动报酬份额

劳动报酬在国民收入中所占份额,一定程度上决定了一国最终消费需求大小。本文在新古典分配模型基础上,讨论了资本深化、技术进步以及全球化对我国劳动报酬份额影响机制,并运用省际面板数据进行实证分析。结果显示,具有资本增强属性的技术进步和过快的资本深化,偏离了现阶段我国要素禀赋结构,显著地降低了我国劳动报酬份额,全球化对提高我国劳动所得影响不明显。最后,本文给出了相关政策建议。     

汇率、经济增长与流动性过剩——基于经济全球化的考察

改革开放以来我国经济社会发展发生了深刻变化。过去三十年世界经济格局也发生了深刻变化。经济全球化深化了世界各国的经济联系,也创造了一种不稳定的双赢模式。发展中国家和发达国家均在全球产业转移中获得了要素生产力递增的收益。要素生产率递增可能使采取固定汇率的货币经历从高估到低估的转变,全球产业转移支持了发展中国家广泛而持续地保持这一优势,并以经常性项目和资本项目间跨国补偿机制实现了全球经济不稳定的平衡,也创造了全球流动性过剩。     

当代经济全球化的本质——虚拟经济全球化

随着信息和金融的全球化，虚拟经济迅速发展，规模日益巨大，使得世界范围内的国际经济活动正在迅速的虚拟化。浮动汇率制度与金融自由化创造了大量的虚拟资产，而信息技术的发展为金融全还需化创造了条件，当代国际经济关系正在从以贸易和实际投资为主导，迅速地向以虚拟资产为导向、大规模资金的国际迅速流动为主要内容的方向发展。20世纪80-90年代以来的经济全球化本质上是虚拟经济的全球化，它的意义不仅仅是资源配置的国际再分配，也是收入的国际再分配，其媒介则是虚拟资产导向的大规模资金的国际流动。它使得各市场经济国家的经济增长方式正在发生着深刻的变化，并对全球化经济产生着深远的影响。     

The Assessment: Firm-level Adjustment to Globalization

In recent years, analysts of globalization processes, such astrade and cross-border investment, have shifted attention awayfrom countries and industries to firms and individuals. Thisshift has been stimulated by new theories of firm-level adjustmentand growing access to the kind of micro-level data-sets neededto explore empirically aspects of micro-level adjustment. Firm-leveldecisions to globalize, either through exporting or by settingup an affiliate overseas, have been a fertile area for bothresearch and policy evaluation. The impact of these choiceson productivity has been especially close scrutinized.     

经济全球化冲击的性质与特点

<正>经济全球化是20世纪末开始的世界经济发展中的一个显著趋势。这一趋势不仅广泛影响到经济以外的全球各个领域,而且深刻影响着各国特别是发展中国家的经济发展,成为发展中国家必须高度重视的外部环境的基本要素。新世纪初中国经济的发展战略必须充分把握国际经济环境的这一基本特点。     

互利共赢对外开放战略的理论基础剖析

经济全球化是互利共赢开放战略形成的理论逻辑起点,互利共赢开放战略是全球化时代的理性选择。博弈论及国际合作理论是互利共赢战略的重要理论分析工具和实施依据。互利共赢开放战略是科学发展观在对外开放领域的实践运用。     

The Assessment: How Far has Globalization Gone?

There is a widespread perception that international economicintegration has been proceeding faster and further than everbefore. A careful examination of the appropriate indicatorsreveals that such a dramatic account of recent developmentsapplies only exceptionally (notably to China); the general ruleis for steadily increasing trade shares and foreign investment,which still leaves the majority of workers employed in shelteredsectors. Differences in rates of social spending have survivedpressures on countries to ‘race to the bottom’.Profitability has not converged, even in fiercely competitivemanufacturing. Declines in absolute poverty and perhaps inequalitystill leave rising absolute differences between North and South,while expectations are probably converging faster.     

全球化背景下的伦理反思

在全球化背景下,经济的繁荣和发展带来了社会生活领域的巨大变化,产生了各种新的社会现象,引起人们对许多伦理问题的关注.反思我国当前面临的挑战,在价值层面加以审视,通过对爱国主义、民族主义、集体主义的继承与发展;对功利主义的规范与引导;对规则意识与创新意识的倡导与强化,实现伦理价值的复兴与重建.处理好同质与异质、共性与个性的关系,在边缘对霸权的消解过程中建设我们的特色,发挥我们的优势,使全球化与中国传统的碰撞成为普遍性与特殊性的并进过程.     

凯文·凯利：未来商业预言书

凯丈·凯利，硅谷精神教父、科技商业预言家，精彩观点放送： ·下一个时代是氧气的时代。在不久的将来，我们通过无线网络来传输的信息总量就会超过通过有线网络来传输的信息总量。 ·未来，数据会更多地在每个人的智能设备之间传输，不会回到发射塔、交换机或者“云”里面。到2020年，超过2／3的信息传送距离不会超过1公里。     

离岸服务外包:成因、发展前景及承接策略

在新一轮国际产业转移中,全球服务业正在迅速由发达国家向发展中国家转移。把握服务业国际转移的机遇,积极承接离岸服务外包已成为迫切需要解决的问题。充分发挥政府的基础性作用、加快外包人才的开发、构建企业联盟和加强品牌建设是中国承接离岸服务外包的重要策略。     

创新:未来企业管理的主旋律

创新是未来企业管理的主旋律 ,企业管理创新主要包括五个方面 :管理观念创新、管理组织创新、管理制度创新、管理机制创新和管理方法创新     

The evolution of the monetary system: Future possibilities

Summary This article discusses in the first place the functioning of floating exchange rates; the tendency to volatility and to unnecessary fluctuations is explained. The conclusion is drawn that the authorities of the main countries should cooperate in exchange rate policies that would bring about a greater stability in exchange rate movements. The article then sketches the historical development which brought us to the present multiple reserve currency system. The functioning of this system is analysed and some suggestions are presented for a more satisfactory management of this system by central banks, possibly along guidelines tobe developed in the IMF. Finally some possibilities are outlined to develop a stabler and better system in the future by creating a more attractive market-oriented SDR-substitution account in the IMF. This article is based on important parts of two speeches which I have given recently: ‘The changing monetary system; evolution and reform’ (20 years' anniversary Central Bank of Malaysia, Feb. 1979) ‘Managing reserves in the 1980s’ (Second International Monetary Conference, Philadelphia, Nov. 1980).     

European integration: the third step

A perception of declining EU competitiveness has intensified calls for structural reforms within the EU. This paper examines recent evidence on changes in relative EU competitiveness and considers the observed changes in relation to the evolving competitive environment facing EU firms. Our analysis suggests that recent declines in EU competitiveness reflect changes (or lack thereof) within the EU in response to an evolutionary “Third Step” in the process of EU integration: global market integration. Starting from the mid-1990s, we find that the EU began to face unprecedented increases in external sources of competition. The rising competition from external sources and declining export market competitiveness created pressures for EU firms to alter their organizational and product market strategies to meet the challenge of a globally integrating market. While many leading EU firms have responded to this challenge, most EU firms remain hampered by anachronistic EU product and labor market regulations that have inhibited adjustments that could better restore the competitiveness of EU based firms. In particular, our analysis points to labor market rigidities and limited growth in the services sector as factors limiting adjustment to the realities of a global market. The growing calls for structural reforms therefore reflect the rising external competitive pressures on EU firms as they attempt to respond to growing global competition.