RAROC基于VaR的封闭式基金业绩评估

介绍了基于VaR的证券投资基金绩效评估方法——RAROC方法,通过该方法对我国封闭式基金投资绩效的分析来揭示投资风险,结果表明:引进VaR风险度量模型,把经风险调整后的绩效评估方法RAROC应用到投资基金绩效评估中,能更客观、准确地反映封闭式基金的投资绩效。     

我国证券投资基金评价与分析

我国证券近年来得到了不断的发展和扩大，已经成为机构投资者中的一支重要的力量。在开放式基金与封闭式基金之间，选择何种投资策略能够更好的规避风险，以及各种投资策略的绩效如何等问题逐渐引起了投资者和理论界的关注。本文先对题干中的两种基金特性进行对比，然后对基金有关未来的发展提出了若干可行性建议。     

中国对柬埔寨投资企业绩效及其影响因素实证研究——基于广义定序Logit模型

随着"一带一路"战略的实施,中国对东南亚国家的直接投资受到广泛的关注。本文利用在柬埔寨投资的117家中国企业的问卷调查数据,运用广义定序Logit模型对中国企业在柬埔寨投资绩效和东道国投资环境影响因素进行了实证分析。分析结果表明,资源、市场以及东道国的法律政策稳定性等因素有明显的统计显著性;而且存在进入模式和区位选择的制约效应。在此基础上,本文运用回归后估计(post-estimation)中的边际贡献和概率预测方法,进一步分析了上述显著因素对中资企业绩效的影响。     

我国券商与证券投资基金的惯性反转策略比较研究——基于交易策略弹性指数

为了克服经典GTW模型的缺陷,构造了衡量机构投资者惯性反转策略的指标——"交易策略弹性指数",并以此对中国市场上券商、开放式基金、封闭式基金的行为进行实证研究和比较分析。研究表明,基于股票的当期收益,券商在半数研究期内倾向于采取反转交易策略,而开放式基金和封闭式基金则倾向于采取惯性交易策略,券商可以在一定程度上"中和"开放式基金和封闭式基金行为对市场的影响。     

基金公司治理结构对基金绩效的影响研究 ——基于DEA模型的实证研究

基金绩效的影响因素一直以来都是广大学者研究的热点话题.基金公司治理结构对基金绩效有重要影响.本文为了排除其他因素对基金绩效的影响,选择有关基金绩效的12个指标进行因子分析,得到四个主成分,分别是风险因子、选股择时能力因子、费用因子、收益因子.本文将收益因子作为DEA模型的产出指标,其他三个因子作为投入指标,将样本基金的...     

基于有限参与模型的封闭式基金折价研究

封闭式基金折价之谜是行为金融学的重要课题,以前学者已从多个角度进行解释。本文在简单总结前人研究结论的基础上,基于有限参与模型,从基金管理费、委托代理问题和风险分散效应三个角度对封闭式基金折价进行新的解释,并结合中国市场历史数据进行实证检验。     

开放式基金与封闭式基金投资价值的比较分析

近年来,我国证券市场的快速发展为证券投资基金的发展创造了条件和空间,证券投资基金已经成为中国资本市场上最重要的机构投资者之一,而开放式基金更将成为中国基金市场上的主格调。本文主要立足于数据和经济理论,结合统计知识,从投资成本、投资收益、投资风险等方面对开放式基金和封闭式基金的投资价值与绩效表现进行比较。研究结果表明:开放式基金在熊市行情中具有更好的表现,而封闭式基金在牛市行情中略胜一筹。开放式基金的波动率远远高于封闭式基金,但其收益率却相对较低。     

惯性或反转策略会提升投资绩效吗?——以开放式基金为例的实证分析

运用面板模型,将交易策略指标纳入Sharpe指数多因素门限模型,分别考察在前期Sharpe指数为正和为负的情况下,惯性和反转交易策略对基金绩效的影响。对2006年第一季度至2010年第三季度中国开放式基金面板数据的分析表明:惯性策略在总体上会对投资绩效产生负面影响,而反转交易策略对投资绩效的影响则始终是不显著的。     

我国混合型基金的投资绩效研究——兼论Carhart四因素模型在中国的适用性

自Carhart（1997）首次将动量效应添加到Fama—French的三因素定价模型中,针对四因素模型的实证分析就层出不穷。依据四因素定价模型,本文对我国混合型开放式基金的投资绩效进行实证分析,分析结果表明基于四因素模型的基金绩效评价体系优于基于绝对收益率排名．但其在中国的适用性不强。     

明星现象、家族策略与投资者的选择——基于中国主动型股票类基金的经验证据

本文基于中国证券市场2005—2009年的开放式基金数据,通过影响家族造星概率的家族特征变量构建了固定效应面板数据Logit模型,发现投资管理能力弱的基金家族会为了利用明星绩效的溢出效应而主动追逐造星策略,以吸引更多新增资金流入,从而收取更多管理费收入。研究同时显示,高离差明星家族的绩效显著差于其他基金家族,简单追逐明星家族的投资策略无法为投资者带来超额投资回报;而造星事前概率低的基金家族,即低离差、小规模的明星家族的绩效要显著高于其他基金家族,它们才是最有可能为投资者带来超额回报的真正明星。     

基于风格层面的开放式基金反馈交易行为的实证研究

文章通过结合Sharpe模型的参数构造一个基于风格层面的基金反馈交易检验模型,对我国在2004年之前成立的开放式股票型基金的反馈交易行为进行实证研究,结果发现：基金普遍采取正反馈交易策略,价值型基金比成长型基金具有明显的正反馈交易特征;在熊市时期,债券型基金的正反馈交易特征最为突出;在牛市时期,成长型基金和债券型基金则表现出明显的负反馈交易特征;历史业绩突出的基金更容易在随后时期内采取正反馈交易策略,这种策略在熊市中会恶化业绩,而在牛市中往往会提高其随后的业绩。     

Managerial Sharing,Mutual Fund Connections,and Performance

In this study, we examine the effect of mutual fund connections, through managerial sharing, on performance and stock holding commonalities. Our analysis of return correlations and portfolio holdings indicates that more interconnected funds tend to buy and sell similar stocks, hence increasing the similarity of portfolio holdings and undermining the distinctiveness of their investment strategy. Our results also indicate that highly connected funds significantly underperform weakly connected funds by about 1.4% on a yearly risk‐adjusted basis. We show that fund family performance is unaffected by the intensity of fund connections, and that greater fund connections could significantly enhance family‐level profit margins.     

A note on closet-indexing

Actively managed equity mutual funds with returns that are highly correlated with popular stock market indices like the S&P 500 often are accused of “closet-indexing”. We ask whether a trading strategy that shorts these funds and buys “true” index funds makes money for investors. Using a sample of high-R² growth-and-income funds from the CRSP survivor bias free mutual fund file, we document that the Sharpe ratio of this trading strategy and the market Sharpe ratio are statistically indistinguishable in the 1991–2000 sample period. The result is consistent with the view that widespread closet-indexing does not exist in the mutual fund industry.     

Private equity performance and capital flows: Evidence from China

For more than 1500 private equity funds in China over the period from 1992 to 2013, we construct fund level performance metrics with investment level return data and examine performance and capital flows. The median (mean) fund IRR, net of fees, is 9.0% (51.7%), based on a sample that controls for survivorship bias. Fund IRRs are neither related to fund own characteristics, such as fund size, nor to overall market conditions around the time when the fund is raised. Competition reduces fund performance: returns are lower when there are many competitors entering the industry at the same time. Although experienced partnerships are more likely to raise a follow-on fund and to raise more capital, fund performance is not related to general partnership (GP) investment experience. Further, there is no performance persistence across funds managed by the same GP. Lastly, there is some evidence of investor maturity when judged on GPs' historical performance. This evidence characterizes a burgeoning yet immature PE industry in China.     

The role of top management team human capital in venture capital markets: Evidence from first-time funds

This paper examines whether the human capital of first-time venture capital fund management teams can predict fund performance and finds that it can. I find that fund management teams with more task-specific human capital, as measured by more managers having past experience as venture capitalists and by more managers having past experience as executives at start-up companies, manage funds with greater fractions of portfolio company exits. I also find that fund management teams with more industry-specific human capital in strategy and management consulting and, to a lesser extent, engineering and non-venture finance manage funds with greater fractions of portfolio company exits. Perhaps counter-intuitively, I find that fund management teams that have more general human capital in business administration, as measured by more managers having MBAs, manage funds with lower fractions of portfolio company exits. Overall, measures of task- and industry-specific human capital are stronger predictors of fund performance than are measures of general human capital.     

How does the volatility-timing strategy perform in mutual funds portfolios

Literature suggests that a volatility-timing strategy improves the performance of factor portfolios in the stock market and currency carry trade. This paper shows that the performance of this strategy is mixed when applied to mutual fund portfolios. More specifically, its performance not only depends on the investment style of the mutual funds but also the time periods when it is applied.     

Stock picking,market timing and style differences between socially responsible and conventional pension funds: evidence from the United Kingdom

As far as we are aware, this study presents the first comparative analysis of the stock picking and market timing abilities of managers of conventional and socially responsible (SR) pension funds, and of their use of superior information. For the United Kingdom, the results obtained show a slight stock picking ability on the part of SR pension fund managers (although it disappears if multifactorial models are considered), and a negative market timing ability on the part of both SR and conventional pension fund managers (these results hold for multifactorial models controlled by home bias). In relation to the management styles, both conventional and SR pension funds usually invest in small cap and growth values, although it is the SR pension funds that are the most exposed to these styles. We also observed that, while conventional pension fund managers make certain use of superior information to follow stock picking strategies, managers of SR pension funds use superior information to follow market timing strategies.     

Harmony,Justice, Confusion,and Conflict in Family Firms: Implications for Ethical Climate and the “Fredo Effect”

In this study, we analyze the financial performance and the managerial abilities of religious mutual fund managers, implementing a comparative analysis with conventional mutual funds. We use a broad sample, free of survivorship bias, of religious equity mutual funds from the US market, for the period from January 1994 to September 2010. We build a matched-pair conventional sample in order to compare the results obtained for both kinds of mutual fund managers. We analyze stock-picking and market timing abilities, topics widely neglected for the specific case of religious mutual fund managers. We also study style timing abilities. As far as we are aware, this aspect has not been studied previously for religious mutual fund managers. Our results indicate that religious mutual fund managers underperform both the market and their conventional counterparts. This result is driven by negative stock-picking ability which could be generated by excluding “Sin” stocks from their portfolios. Moreover, they are not able to time the market or any of the following styles: size, book-to-market, and momentum.     

VaR在我国开放式基金绩效评价中的应用研究

通过按照开放式基金的种类,选取一级市场上30只开放式基金为样本,采用基于VaR的RAROC方法,运用统计学软件Eviews中处理厚尾现象著称的GARCH模型进行统计分析,得出的结论是:成长型基金的绩效低于股票基金标准;平衡型基金和收入型基金的RAROC值相对较高,超过了股票基金标准;指数型基金的绩效超过股票标准(市场数据);在债券种类中,债券基金的绩效最高。     

The Effects of Summary Information on Consumer Perceptions of Mutual Fund Characteristics

Choosing how to best invest for retirement is one of the most important decisions a consumer can make. Unfortunately, this can be an especially challenging task given the current financial information disclosure environment. The objective of this research was to explore whether a modified method of supplemental information disclosure impacts investors’ fund evaluations and investment intentions. Results indicate that while investors continue to place too much emphasis on prior performance, the provision of supplemental information, particularly in a graphical format, interacts with performance and investment knowledge to influence perceptions and evaluations of mutual funds.