论我国金融业信息化的发展策略

金融业信息化是当今金融业发展的潮流,我国金融业信息化进程和金融国际化与金融市场的全面开放紧密联系在一起。高水平的金融业信息化,将为我国经济社会发展注入强大动力。     

论我国金融业信息化的发展策略

金融业信息化是当今金融业发展的潮流,我国金融业信息化进程和金融国际化与金融市场的全面开放紧密联系在一起。高水平的金融业信息化,将为我国经济社会发展注入强大动力。     

全球金融危机对我国金融业的启示

本文结合我国金融业现状,就全球经济一体化趋势下金融业的机遇和挑战、金融业服务实体经济发展的职能、以及全面认识金融创新等方面展开研究,目的在于以金融危机为鉴,分析我国金融业在可持续发展中值得关注的问题。     

试论我国金融业的全面风险管理

我国的金融业进行全面风险管理具有可能性和必要性,本文从金融业的风险管理运行逻辑出发,注重金融业的行业特点,从而构建了金融业全面风险管理模式,并提出在利用全面风险管理模式对金融业进行全面风险管理时需要一些特殊的机制予以配合。     

从交易成本视角看金融业的混业经营

目前中国金融业实行的是分业经营的经营制度，然而随着2007年中国金融业的全面开放，中国金融业的分业经营制度将受到严峻的挑战。     

金融混业经营势在必行

自20世纪90年代金融业分业经营体制确立以来,我国内地金融业取得了长足发展,分业经营模式有效制止了当时金融领域的混乱状态,促进了商业银行、证券市场以及保险市场的专业化发展。但是,随着国内外经济金融环境的不断发展变化、金融市场的全面对外开放以及外资金融机构的大规模进入等,分业经营体制对我国内地金融业进一步发展的制约逐步显现。因此,推进金融业混业经营十分必要。     

中国金融创新:竞争、合作与监管

加入WTO,中国金融业面临着外国金融业的全面竞争,中国金融业必须在有限的宽限期内,加强全面的金融创新以迎接挑战。本文认为,应认真考虑在不同的金融领域实行不同类型的金融创新,以全面提升中国金融业的效率。     

居安思危 未雨绸缪——中国金融业全面开放与金融稳定学术研讨会综述

中国金融业全面开放与金融稳定学术研讨会已经落下帷幕,然而作为主题发言学者的精彩演讲以及他们对金融业全面开放与稳定的真知灼见依然留存在每一位与会者的心中。《广东金融学院学报》为了再现学者们的风采,现把他们的主要观点记录下来呈献给读者,与读者共同分享。     

金融控股公司均衡与市场监管模式的研究

当今世界,金融业混业经营再次成为主流,我国金融业发展面临新的挑战,金融控股公司模式成为我国金融业应对挑战的最佳选择。目前的研究涉及的领域很多,却没有对金融控股公司做出全面的综合性的描述。中共中央《“十一五”规划建议》中提出稳步推进金融业综合经营试点,这是首次在权威文件中出现“综合经营”的提法,标志着我国金融业的经营体制将实现一次转型,金融控股公司模式将会有较快发展,其作为我国金融业发展的一大趋势势必更加关注效益最大化问题。     

开放合作 融入世界经济

对于日益开放的中国金融业而言,2007年具有重要的时代意义。今年是中国银行业全面对外开放"元年",从此,中国金融业的改革将全面提速并以前所未有的开放速度融入世界。刚刚过去的5月份,随着非洲开发银行集团理事会第42届年会在上海的闭幕和第二次中美战略经济对话在华盛顿取得圆满成功,中国金融业的对外开放与对外合作增加了许多新的元素,对未来中国金融业的改革和走向而言必将产生重要而深远的影响。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.     

浅议金融机构的举证责任

金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…