外国直接投资与双边贸易关系中的国别差异

外国直接投资对国际贸易的影响一直是学术界普遍关注的问题。本文采用引力模型,对14个主要投资国1984年至2004年对华投资与双边贸易的关系进行了实证分析,发现我国引进的外国直接投资总体上促进了贸易的增长,但是各国直接投资对双边贸易的影响却有着明显差异。日本、美国、韩国、德国、我国台湾地区和我国香港地区的外国直接投资是贸易促进型的,我国澳门地区、马来西亚、加拿大、法国、澳大利亚、荷兰、英国和新加坡的外国直接投资是贸易替代型的。     

正式与非正式制度对中国吸引外商直接投资的影响--以引力模型为基础的实证分析

本文运用引力模型检验了中国的制度变量(正式与非正式制度)对中国吸引外商直接投资(FDI)的影响.实证分析结果表明,中国的关税水平、汇率和政策变量对中国吸引FDI具有正的显著影响,而中国的开放度和知识产权保护程度对中国吸引FDI具有负的显著影响.政府廉洁程度虽然与中国吸引FDI呈负相关,但在统计上却不显著.     

Modes of Foreign Direct Investment and Patterns of Trade: An Alternative Empirical Approach

Modes of FDI can be clarified by analysing the changing patterns of trade among host, home and third countries. However, most empirical experiments of foreign direct investment (FDI) determinants have been confined to general characteristics of host countries and multinational enterprises' outward investment activities. This may not clearly characterise the specific characteristics of inward FDI in regard to the host country. Thus, we introduce an alternative approach to clarify modes of FDI by investigating the link between patterns of trade and inward FDI. To empirically test whether our approach is applicable, we choose China during the period 1998–2007. We construct a modified gravity equation of bilateral trade while considering spatially lagged interdependence between host, home and third countries. The problem of endogeneity is controlled by applying the system generalised method of moments (GMM) estimation technique. Our findings are consistent with results in existing studies on modes of outward FDI to China and prove that our approach in dealing with the link between patterns of trade and inward FDI has wide applicability to all modes of FDI. We discover there is strong evidence for statistically significant complementarity between bilateral trade and inward FDI within the aggregate trade data. As we decompose the aggregate trade data into final and intermediate goods, we find the motivation concerning export‐platform and complex vertical FDI is very significant. In addition, as we separate the bilateral partners into developing partners and developed partners, we find both bilateral and multilateral linkages are much stronger with developing partners.     

The Impact of Foreign Direct Investments (FDIs) from Market Economies to Centrally Planned Countries

Despite the recent economic slump and subsequent reductions and fluctuations of investment ­activities undertaken by multinational enterprises (MNEs) in host markets, the overall volume of foreign direct investment (FDI) has significantly grown over the past three decades. The major proportion of the FDI flows from market economies to centrally planned countries, with the latter currently receiving huge amounts of inward FDI from the West. A representative example of this flow is China. China is often referred to as the factory of the world and/or the black hole of inward FDI. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.     

外国直接投资与我国进出口贸易的关系——基于不同贸易方式的实证分析

本文运用协整方法和误差修正模型,根据我国1981-2004年的统计数据,考察了我国吸收的外国直接投资对不同贸易方式下的对外贸易产生的不同影响。结果表明:从长期看,外国直接投资与加工贸易进出口之间存在长期均衡关系,而与一般贸易进出口之间不存在长期均衡关系;从短期看,外国直接投资对加工贸易进出口都具有促进作用,而一般贸易进出口对外国直接投资的变动反应不敏感。     

外商直接投资对我国的工资效应分析——基于1997-2006年面板数据的实证研究

本文利用我国28个省1997-2006年的面板数据实证检验FDI对我国整体以及东部、中部、西部三大区域的工资差距效应和工资溢出效应,结论表明FDI增加了我国内外资部门之间的工资差距,对内资部门的工资溢出效应不显著。分区域来看,FDI显著增加了我国东部和中部地区内外资部门之间的工资差距,但对于西部地区的工资差距不具有显著影响;FDI对东部地区内资部门的工资水平具有正向溢出效应,对中部地区内资部门的工资水平溢出效应为负,对西部地区内资部门的工资溢出效应不明显。     

韩国引进外商直接投资政策的变迁及其对我国的启示

韩国引进外商直接投资政策经历了从消极到积极的转变。本文系统介绍了韩国外商直接投资政策的变化及其成效,分析了韩国外商直接投资的结构及其机构,总结了韩国吸引外商直接投资对我国吸引外商直接投资的启示。     

Linking inward/outward FDI and exploitation/exploration strategies: Development of a framework for SMEs

The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationships between exploitation/exploration strategy and foreign direct investment (FDI) involving small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Drawing on qualitative data collected from 45 FDI projects reported by 38 SMEs in a small open economy (SMOPEC), we develop an empirically grounded framework and research propositions that suggest inward FDI (into the SME) is associated with exploration driven by a strategic asset-seeking motive, and outward FDI (by the SME) is associated with exploitation driven by market and efficiency-seeking motives. Further, for the SMEs in this study, ambidextrous exploration and exploitation appear complementary and co-occur either simultaneously through an inward FDI project, or sequentially through separate inward and outward FDI projects, respectively. Our findings, however, reveal a lack of clear sequencing between inward and outward FDI, in contrast to previous research that has conceptualised inward FDI as a strategic means to achieve outward FDI. Implications for theory, practice and policy are discussed.     

外国直接投资、外国证券投资与经济增长:以美国为例

本文以美国1972-2002年的统计数据为例,在建立VAR模型的基础上通过脉冲响应曲线和方差分解表对流入美国的外国直接投资(FDI)、外国证券投资(FPI)和经济增长之间的关系进行了实证研究,结果表明流入美国的FDI和FPI均有助于美国经济的增长。但相对而言,美国经济增长更加依赖于外国证券投资,研究还发现流入美国的FDI与FPI之间关系紧密,两者之间存在积极的良性互动关系,且FPI对FDI的影响明显大于FDI对FPI的影响。     

Antitrust policy and inward FDI: The impact of policy risk and uncertainty on U.S. inward-FDI flows

The enforcement of antitrust policy potentially affects the level of foreign investment experienced by a nation. Yet the literature focusing on the impact of antitrust on inward foreign direct investment (FDI) is inconclusive with respect to the nature of this relationship, as antitrust involves properties that can both promote and deter foreign investment. In line with these countervailing conceptual underpinnings, the empirical literature on this topic also presents mixed findings. We argue that distinguishing between the policy risk and policy uncertainty characteristic of antitrust allows reconciling these competing perspectives. We employ sector-level data on U.S. antitrust and inward-FDI flows over the 2002–2018 period. Our panel-data empirical results indicate that the policy-risk elements of antitrust enforcement foster inward FDI, while the policy-uncertainty elements of antitrust enforcement deter inward FDI.     

我国对外投资发展阶段的实证分析

近年来,我国在吸收国际直接投资的同时,也逐渐开始对外进行投资。本文利用投资发展路径理论,分析研究了中国近几年国际直接投资流入和流出的情况,指出中国正处于投资发展路径理论的第二阶段,而且在积极地向第三阶段转变。本文又通过横截面数据分析了不同地区和省份的投资发展路径所处阶段。最后就吸收外资和对外直接投资的发展提出一些对策。     

Bilateral FDI and Canadian Export Activity

This study examines how Canadian exports to a specific trading partner are influenced by outward and inward direct investment flows to/from that country. A gravity-type empirical model guides a dynamic panel analysis which utilizes Organization For Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) country-level data from 1989–2007. Besides refuting the contention that outward foreign direct investment (FDI) displaces exports, the findings also imply a strong role for intra-firm based export growth in response to inward FDI. The analysis is enriched by explicitly accounting for the dominant position of the United States within the context of Canada's overall trade and investment flows.     

Does foreign investment liberalisation enhance women's economic status? Micro‐evidence from urban China

This paper analyses the effects of inward foreign direct investment (FDI) on female earnings and women's economic status in households using Chinese Urban Household Survey data from 1997 to 2008. The identification exploits the substantial relaxation of foreign investment regulations immediately after China's accession to the WTO in 2002. The difference‐in‐differences estimation results show that FDI liberalisation has improved women's economic status significantly by increasing female earnings in sectors more exposed to FDI. Further analyses indicate that foreign investment liberalisation facilitates the promotion of female employees in their career ladders and increases their skill premium, which are two important channels through which women enhance their economic independence.     

Do bilateral investment treaties attract foreign direct investment? The role of international dispute settlement provisions

This paper studies the effects of the strength of bilateral investment treaties (BITs) on foreign direct investment (FDI) activity. We develop an index for the strength of international dispute settlement provisions included in BITs in order to examine the role the content of BITs plays in attracting FDI. To this end, we make use of data from UNCTAD's International Investment Agreement Mapping Project and measure the provision strength of 2,571 BITs. Using panel data of bilateral and total FDI inflows and inward FDI stocks, we study the effect of BITs on FDI. Our main finding indicates that stronger international dispute settlement provisions in BITs are indeed associated with positive effects on FDI activity.     

Foreign direct investment (FDI) determinants and spatial spillovers across Mexico's states

This article studies the location pattern of foreign direct investment (FDI) in Mexico for the period 1994–2004. An empirical model is specified based on recent FDI theories. This model is estimated using state-level data and employing spatial econometric techniques. Results suggest that higher education levels and lower delinquency rates are important determinants to attract FDI. Results also suggest a relationship of complementarity between inbound FDI to the host state and inward FDI to its neighboring states.     

local industrial systems and the location of FDI in Italy

This article investigates the determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) location across Italian provinces. Specifically it examines the relationship between industry‐specific local industrial systems and the location of inward FDI. This extends previous analysis beyond the mere density of activity, to illustrate the importance of the specific nature of agglomerations in attracting inward investment. The article develops a model of FDI location choice using a unique FDI database stratified by industry and province. The results also suggest that the importance of agglomeration differs between industries, and offers some explanation for this.     

The Role of Local Agglomeration Economies and Regional Characteristics in Attracting FDI: Italian Evidence

The objective of this paper is to test for the importance of local agglomeration externalities in determining inward foreign direct investment (FDI) intensity, viewed as a measure of regional attractiveness to FDI. The links between the degree of FDI inflow penetration into Italy and its determinants at the regional level are examined using alternative fixed effects panel data model specifications, also extended to include spatial effects. It is found that sectoral and regional specificities are relevant in attracting inward FDI into Italy and the different effects of intra‐sector and inter‐sector spillovers can be distinguished. There is also evidence that the importance of agglomeration spillovers connected to the geographical distance varies across regions, indicating both substitution and complementarity effects from FDI inflows into neighboring regions.     

FDI、工业产出的所有制结构变化与长江三角洲地区工业发展——基于FEDER非均衡框架的分析

本文扩展了FEDER模型,在一个三部门的非均衡框架中对不同所有制工业的外资产出效应进行理论研究,并利用1999-2009年长江三角洲3省市的有关数据进行了检验。本文认为:除了劳动和资本等要素投入以外,不同所有制工业产出结构变化对工业产出增长有不同的拉动作用;外资的行业和贸易方式分布差异、区域的市场化程度等是不同地区、不同所有制企业产出的外资产出弹性差异的主要原因。     

Country factor differentials as determinants of FDI flow to China

Given the large size and rapid growth of foreign direct investment (FDI) in China, a systematic analysis of the connection between FDI and the characteristics of source countries provides clearer insights into the roles of home‐country factors in the vast but still fast‐growing foreign investment in China. Unlike the existing mainstream studies of FDI in China, this analysis focuses on the effects of country‐factor differentials (between investing countries and China) on the FDI flow to China. Based on data from 21 source countries over a period of 17 years, this paper examines the impacts of eight variables in three sets of country factors, namely market conditions, risk, and financial factors. The statistical results show that, while the market‐condition variables and the high values of source country currencies positively influenced the flow of FDI to China, the relatively high costs of capital borrowing and political and operational risks in China inhibited the flow of FDI. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.     

论FDI对中国本土企业创新影响的异质性

本文通过对2000-2007年中国工业企业数据库提供的相关数据进行实证分析,发现引进外资对中国大陆企业创新呈现出先负后正的变化过程,即在外资进入的头几年会对大陆企业创新产生负向效应,而到后期,对企业创新的影响则由负转正,亦即最终会促进大陆企业创新。同时,引进外资对中国大陆企业创新的影响具有明显的异质性:在不同所有制企业之间存在差异,相比国有企业,引进外资更有效地促进了民营企业的创新;在来源地不同的外资之间存在差异,相对于港澳台资,来自于发达经济体的外资对企业创新具有更大的促进作用;在引进外资的方式上存在差异,相对于独资方式,以合资(作)方式引进外资对企业创新具有更大的促进作用;在不同的行业之间存在差异,引进外资对高技术行业具有显著的促进作用,而对非高技术行业的影响较小。