中国(上海)自由贸易试验区增值电信业务开放制度创新

中国(上海)自由贸易试验区挂牌成立后在开放上采用了"负面清单"模式,增值电信业务也位列其中,这标志着中国增值电信市场的新一轮开放已拉开帷幕。为进一步加快增值电信业务的开放,将引进外资的政策落到实处,进行上海自贸区增值电信业务开放制度创新是当下的首要任务。立足上海自贸区现状,结合中国增值电信业发展的大环境,为上海自贸区增值电信业务开放存在的问题提出相应的对策建议、提供制度保障迫在眉睫。降低上海自贸区增值电信业务准入门槛,消除业内隐性壁垒,建立健全相关法律、法规,加强事中监管和市场退出机制建设等是上海自贸区进一步推进增值电信业务开放的必然要求。     

网络时代我国电信企业技术创新研究

在科学技术飞速发展、网络信息突飞猛进、电信企业竞争日益激烈的情况下,电信技术创新,尤其是核心技术的创新已成为电信企业发展的不竭动力.文章主要研究网络时代我国电信企业技术创新的现状、动因和动力,我国电信企业技术创新的方式和方法;据此提出有针对性地促进我国电信企业技术创新发展的政策和建议,推动我国电信企业技术创新上台阶、上层次、上水平.     

Telecommunication externality on migration: Evidence from Chinese villages

We use a unique data set of Chinese villages to investigate whether access to telecommunications, in particular, landline phones, increases the likelihood of outmigration. By using regional and time variations in the installation of landline phones, our difference-in-difference estimation shows that the access to landline phones increases the ratio of out-migrant workers by 2 percentage points, or about 51% of the sample mean in China. The results remain robust to a battery of validity checks. Furthermore, landline phones affect outmigration through two channels: information access on job opportunities and especially timely contact with left-behind family members. Our findings underscore the positive migration externality of expanding telecommunications access in rural areas, especially in places where migration potential is large.     

广东邮电业发展的需求效应分析

经济社会的发展对邮电业的高速成长起着重要的支撑作用。本文以广东省宏观经济社会发展对邮电业的影响为研究对象,利用面板数据模型考察各经济社会变量对邮电业务的影响。实证结果表明,第三产业发展状况和区域开放度对邮电业的支撑和拉动作用最大。因此,建议各地在培育和支持邮电业发展的过程中,要努力调整产业结构,积极开展对外贸易,扩大开放。     

关于电信业重组问题的思考

电信重组已成为最大的投资主题，这不仅将改变整个电信行业的竞争结构，还成为影响未来国内电信投资最重要的因素。本文分析了中国电信业重组亟待解决的若干问题，并提出了相关对策。     

Growth and the Subsectoral Pattern of the Manufacturing Sector in Indonesia - A Comparative Study of 16 Countries

There is a widely held and optimistic view that, based upon the successful implementation of the product-cycle theory and the technological ladder hypothesis, ASEAN countries, the so-called Asian near NICs, will follow the Asian NICs up the ladder and take off as the second tier of NICs in the near future. To realise this ambition, each of the near NICs needs to successfully achieve two take-offs: first, rapid quantitative expansion based upon existing comparative advantage and, second, the successful transformation of their industrial structures to create dynamic comparative advantages. The Indonesian manufacturing sector recorded an average growth rate of 12% in 1980-90, but the accompanying structural changes were not great. The ‘rapid growth’but ‘modest structural change’of the Indonesian manufacturing sector raises the important problem of cultivating new leading sectors in the future. Usually the machinery subsector plays a big role in other ASEAN and NIES economies, but it still needs more momentum for development in Indonesia. This implies a strong need for the institutional and physical infrastructures, and supporting industries for the machinery subsector, as well as further diversification of the industrial structure. The purpose of this paper is to describe the features of industrialization in Indonesia in the 1980s, to measure the capacity of the transformation of the Indonesian manufacturing sector, and to discuss some policy issues related to furthering industrialization in the future. Section I contains some introductory remarks. In Section II, we implement the comparative analysis based upon two aggregate indicators. In Section III, we further analyse the structural changes at a more disaggregate level of 16 subsectors. In Section IV we concentrate on the machinery subsector, and analyse the growth potential and the necessary industrial policy in the medium or long run. In Section V we analyse the possible long-run development of a specialization pattern in the Indonesia manufacturing sector. We present the summary and conclusions with some relevant policy discussions in Section VI.     

Institutional framework and public enterprise performance

The purpose of this paper is to derive, on the basis of available literature on successful enterprises, some conjectures-tentative generalizations — with regard to the strategic factors and in particular the characteristics of the decision structure and processes that account for good public enterprise performance in the mining and manufacturing sector. Section 2 deals with the decision framework, and Section 3, with the motivational and inducement mechanisms. The impact of distributional pressures on decision making is discussed in Section 4 and the role of ideology, in Section 5. Some concluding observations are made in Section 6.     

电信基础设施共建共享策略研究文献综述

在我国电信产业不断发展壮大的过程中,基础设施共建共享被视为是一种避免重复建设、节省投资、优化电信资源配置、提高运营效率以及促进电信市场有效竞争的一项有效措施。同时,基础设施共建共享,也被我国电信管制部门纳入新一轮电信重组之后,资源整合与规范电信市场基础设施建设领域的一项重要措施。文章从研究性的角度出发,系统总结了国外优秀电信企业的成功经验,全面分析了我国电信基础设施共建共享的发展及现阶段的工作进展状况,深度剖析了相关研究者对我国共建共享问题的研究焦点及成果,并进行了述评。     

Liberalization of EU telecommunications and trade: theory, gravity equation analysis and policy implications

The liberalization of telecommunications has contributed to considerable price reductions in international telephony and to rising volumes of telecommunications. This raises the issue of the economic impact of international telephony. Falling international information and transaction costs should stimulate competition and enlarge the market radius for producers in the tradables sector—this lets us to expect trade creation effects of international telecommunications; this in turn should raise output provided that more intensive international telecommunications stimulates international diffusion of knowledge or brings about trade-related specialization gains. Based on a modified gravity equation which is taking into account the role of international telecommunication volumes—based on new ITU data—we show that international telephony has a significant positive impact on trade volume: A rise of the international telecommunications volume by 10% raises trade by 2% in Europe. At the same time the coefficients of the traditional variables, GDP in the exporting and the importing country, are smaller than in traditional approaches. Thus from a policy perspective the modernization and growth of the international telecommunications network—within a system of enhanced competition—is crucial for Europe: economic integration will be reinforced. From this perspective the Lisbon Agenda is right to emphasize the importance of creating a digitally networked knowledge society.

Telecommunications and the local economy: Some emerging policy issues

This paper provides a brief overview of the issues which surround local economic development and telecommunications. The implications of telecommunications for urban and regional development in the present “information-based” era are outlined and the seven basic features of this development are described. Some necessary steps and conceptual approaches to developing specifically local development policies in this new area are then expounded by way of the development of a “framework for the local policy maker”. Finally, several leading attempts at developing locally controlled telecommunications infrastructures in the UK, as agents of economic and social development, are briefly analysed.     

电信运营业的价格歧视分析

电信运营业传统上被视为自然垄断行业,再加上电信自身的运营特点,使得价格歧视成为电信运营商常用的一种定价手段。通过价格歧视电信运营商夺取消费者剩余,严重损害了消费者的利益。由于技术的进步,电信运营业的自然垄断性质发生了很大的改变,电信运营业中的价格歧视已经失去了存在的必要。价格是企业重要的竞争手段,对电信运营业的自然垄断的规治首先应加强对其价格歧视的管制。     

Some theoretical and empirical issues relating to economic stabilization in developing countries

This paper surveys some issues relating to economic stabilization in developing countries. Section 2 examines the contributions of terms-of-trade deterioration and real exchange rate appreciation to payments imbalances in non-oil developing countries during the 1970s. Section 3 distinguishes between demand-side and supply-side policies, and discusses their respective roles in stabilization programmes. The effects of exchange-rate changes are considered within this framework. In Section 4, the effects of alternative stabilization policies on output, prices and the balance of payments are illustrated using simulations of a model that incorporates the major relationships relevant to a typical programme. Section 5 summarizes the conclusions.     

Research on Spillover Effect of Foreign Direct Investment

The paper figure out there is potential for significant spillover effects from FDI into host countries. The paper summarizes some of the aggregate evidence of technology and productivity spillovers from FDI, and we focus more closely on the effects of FDI on human capital development in the host countries, both through linkages and various kinds of training, Section 4 is the summarization and conclusion of the paper.     

我国电信企业成本管理改进研究

随着国内外电信市场竞争的加剧,我国电信运营商要在竞争中求得发展,必须在复杂的竞争环境中准确分析各业务的赢利状况、企业价值链中各个环节的效益,最终实现比竞争对手更高的利润指标。这在很大程度上都要取决企业成本管理水平的高低,对此我国电信运营企业必须要有高度的重视,采取行之有效的措施提高成本管理水平。     

CAPITAL CONTROLS AND THE LENDING BEHAVIOUR OF SOUTH AFRICAN BANKS: PRELIMINARY FINDINGS ON THE EXPECTED IMPACT OF BASEL II

Banking regulation has developed rapidly over the past few years. There is a growing realization that the regulatory environment must keep pace with globalization and with advances in the financial sector. The 1988 Basel Capital Accord was an attempt to align regulatory capital with the actual underlying risks that banks face, thereby improving the soundness of the banking sector. The New Basel Capital Accord, due for implementation in South Africa in 2007, refines this principle and remedies some of the flaws of the 1988 Accord. This paper considers whether such implementation would have an effect on lending patterns and credit expansion in South Africa. It falls into five parts. Section 1 examines the rationale for the 1988 Basel Accord and outlines the relevant features of the New Accord. Section 2 reviews some of the criticisms directed towards the New Accord, concentrating on the speculation that its implementation will adversely affect bank credit expansion. Section 3 proposes a method of research for assessing the effect of the New Accord in South Africa. Section 4 analyses the trends in South African banking and considers how the New Accord may affect bank behaviour. Section 5 concludes.     

Why organizations matter: A journey away from the fairy tale

This paper contends that a major breakthrough has occurred in economics, that this breakthrough is related to the matching of economics and organization theory, and that this breakthrough is already remodeling our understanding of how economic systems work. Section I comes back to the problem of the existence of organizations and to its generalization through the concept of "governance" structures. Section II develops the explanation provided by transaction cost economics of the trade-off among these structures. Section III compares recent contributions of agency theory and of transaction cost economics to the analysis of the structuring mechanism of formal organizations. Section IV explores some properties of the government of organizations. Section V argues that what precedes may have major consequences on public policies and regulations. Distinguished Address presented at the Forty-First International Atlantic Economic Conference, Paris, France, March 12–19, 1996.     

Entry, competition, and regulation in UK telecommunications

In a formerly monopolized industry now subject to competition,there is likely to be considerable interaction between businessstrategy and regulation. The paper illustrates the developmentof this process in UK telecommunications. It sets out a frameworkin which competition between incumbent and entrants takes theform of a race on the part of the former to bridge the innovationgap and on the part of the latter to accumulate the necessarystrategic assets, including regulatory assets. The strategiesof major UK fixed-link telecommunications firms are analysedin this light, and regulatory policy towards vertical separationin mobile telephony is also described. The article draws attentionto the crucial role which the regulator plays in assisting entrantsto gain access to strategic assets, including information.     

腾讯公司网络营销模式分析

本文以网络营销为理论基础，以腾讯公司为例对其网络营销进行研究。一是研究分析腾讯公司多元化的网络营销模式；二是分析作为中国领先的互联网服务和电信及移动增值服务的供应商腾讯公司，到现今拥有国内最具吸引力的互联网平台，及其在网络营销道路上成功的主要因素；三是腾讯公司对我国网络营销的借鉴意义和我国网络营销的发展前景。