上海市居民家庭资产配置现状及对策分析

通过设计涵盖家庭基本信息、风险偏好、理财现状及未来理财期望等内容的调查问卷,随机对680户不同收入水平的上海居民家庭的资产配置状况进行数据采集与分析,对比不同收入家庭的风险偏好测试结果,我们发现上海居民家庭整体上都是风险厌恶的,但低收入家庭的风险偏好往往强于高收入家庭,同时不同收入家庭在资产配置时都存在着行为金融学上的非理性行为。结合家庭未来的期望理财计划和国外发达国家家庭金融资产配置的状况,我们认为:居民家庭应当结合自身家庭收入及风险承受能力来选择资产配置的策略,转变观念,优化资产配置;而对于政府,应加快完善市场制度以降低居民预期的不确定性,同时鼓励、监督、引导金融部门开发适合居民需求的金融产品。     

投资行为相关性影响因素的研究——基于银行理财产品选择视角

通过设计涵盖投资者基本信息、风险偏好、投资动机及未来理财期望等内容的调查问卷,随机对743位中国工商银行江苏省分行理财产品客户的投资理财状况进行数据采集与分析,根据风险承受能力、期望的投资期限、可接受的最低理财金额和理财金额占收入比四个指标,运用多重对应分析方法将人群细分为长期高额低风险投资者与中短期小额中高风险投资者,并根据Logistic回归模型参数检验可知学历、月收入、投资动机对人们的理财投资行为存在显著影响,得出随着学历降低、月收入上升、投资动机激进,人们越靠近长期高额低风险投资者特征的结论。     

高管激励、风险与投资偏好

本文从信息不对称和代理问题出发来研究企业的投资偏好,高管对风险的偏好将影响投资行为,对高管激励组合不同将改变其风险偏好,进而改变其投资偏好以达到优化投资结构,降低代理成本,提高公司价值。     

高管激励、风险与投资偏好

本文从信息不对称和代理问题出发来研究企业的投资偏好,高管对风险的偏好将影响投资行为,对高管激励组合不同将改变其风险偏好,进而改变其投资偏好以达到优化投资结构,降低代理成本,提高公司价值。     

多维偏好视角下特大型项目极端争议决策的演化博弈研究

特大型项目关联主体在决策过程中受到多种行为偏好集合影响。鉴于此,在高质量发展背景下,基于行为博弈基本逻辑,运用演化博弈方法构建政府方、项目建设方及社会民众方的偏好集合极端争议决策演化博弈模型,解析项目决策主体复杂心理偏好、多维利益构成与行为演进变化。结果显示：政府方的奖惩力度越大,均衡越稳定;项目建设方的公平偏好越高,均衡越容易达到平衡;博弈三方的损失规避偏好越低,越容易达到最优均衡解。     

关于老年人理财问题的几点思考

随着我国理财市场的发展和老龄化社会的来临,老年人已经成为理财大军中不可忽视的一个特殊群体。作为人类生命周期特殊阶段的老年人,投身理财市场、参与理财活动不仅十分必要而且十分重要,同时,老年人理财具有其独特的风险收益偏好,要实现有效理财,在理财中需要重点把握好科学制定理财规划、合理制定现金收支预算、主动建立健全理财账簿、积极构建理财资产组合和选择合理、科学的投资理财方式等环节,而做好理财规划就必须摸清与了解老年人个人和家庭的财务信息、确定老年人个人和家庭的风险收益偏好、依据老年人个人和家庭的实际需求设定理财目标、确定投资理财方向和理财工具与产品的配置组合、注重动态调整资产的组合配置。     

银行与民营企业融资救助:救助门槛与民营企业风险偏好

本文就救助门槛对民营企业风险偏好的影响进行了分析,得到了以下研究结论:(1)救助门槛的形成在于银行的避险理性所致;因民营企业倒闭而使银行承受的成本越高,则救助门槛越高;民营企业信息透明程度越高,则救助门槛越低。(2)救助门槛对民营企业风险偏好的影响表现为:首先,当不存在救助门槛约束时,民营企业会偏好高风险;其次,当存在救助门槛约束时,救助门槛越高,则民营企业风险偏好越低。本文的研究表明,为了防范区域金融危机的发生,对民营企业的救助应坚持市场化方向,政府不能人为降低商业银行的救助门槛;同时,为了激励银行对陷入困境中的民营企业进行融资救助,除了降低商业银行的救助成本外,政府自身与政策性金融机构应承担相应的救助责任。     

互联网金融资产的多目标投资组合研究

互联网金融的快速发展和不断创新,正在悄然改变着公众的投资理财行为。本文在分析互联网金融创新下公众流动性偏好、投资行为变化与资产选择的基础上,构建基于CRRA(常数相对风险厌恶)期末财富期望效用最大化和VaR最小化的多目标投资组合模型。同时引入多目标优化的NSGA-Ⅱ遗传算法,并选择实际数据对模型进行求解,得出最优的互联网金融资产组合。研究表明:(1)互联网金融给传统金融业带来冲击的同时,也改变了人们的流动性偏好、投资行为和资产组合选择。(2)互联网金融在一定程度上调和了金融资产“流动性、收益性和安全性”之间的矛盾,并兼顾了“三性”的相对统一。(3)模型求解结果显示,投资者对互联网金融资产的投资组合为低风险类资产60%左右、高风险类资产40%左右。     

国内商业银行流动性选择的行为分析

银行愿意用流动性资产形式保持自己投资基于如下心理因素:在一定的资产总量下,银行的流动性偏好越强,对中长期资产要求的流动性溢价水平就越高,贷款利率定价就越高。当前,商业银行持有大量流动性资产和中长期贷款的低流动性溢价并存。商业银行的流动性选择行为,受来自于央行的政策压力的影响大于来自于市场的经济压力的影响。     

城市居民家庭参与风险金融市场行为分析——以厦门市为例

文章基于厦门市居民问卷调查数据,采用Pearson相关系数和多元线性回归进行实证分析,发现居民家庭决策者的学历水平、职业、投资经验、家庭收入水平、风险偏好、社会养老保险及房产持有对居民家庭参与风险性金融资产市场起到正向作用,而家庭决策者的年龄对家庭配置风险性金融资产不具有线性关系,最后提出增进理财能力、健全社会保障体系、促进金融产品创新等相关建议。     

Debt and Taxes and Uncertainty

With a graduated personal tax schedule, Miller showed that there could be an equilibrium debt supply for the corporate sector as a whole. In the presence of uncertainty there is also a unique debt/equity ratio for each individual firm, and this ratio is related to the firm's operational risk characteristics. However, if firms merge and spin off in response to tax incentives, the identity of firms is ambiguous and only the corporate sector is a meaningful construct. These arguments are developed in both discrete and continuous models that employ extensions of the arbitrage-free pricing theory.     

教育与资本怎样的前景怎样的现实

来自政府的声音: "动员各种社会资源,发展教育" 此次论坛上财政部长助理张少春的发言是最受关注的发言之一.他的演讲传达出的信息有这样几方面:第一,谈到现实,他认为全社会对教育的巨大需求与我国公共投入不足已成为我国教育事业发展的突出矛盾.近年来,以公共部门投入为主,多渠道筹措教育经费的教育投入机制成为解决这一问题的重要途径,也使得公共部门与私营部门在教育领域的合作日益密切.第二,谈到前景,他认为,1.中国经济持续、快速的增长对高技能人才产生巨大的需求,这为私营部门的参与提供了广阔空间.2.随着公共财政职能的不断完善,财政资金将在各项教育事业中重新进行分配,进一步优化财政支出结构,提高资金的使用效率.在"十一五"期间,我国将把公共支出的重点转移到农村.我们将逐步把全体农村适龄儿童的义务教育全部纳入公共财政体制.     

East and west and north and south : A preliminary model

The Brandt report and other proposals for a new North-South world order continue to be the focus of lively debate, yet it is often argued that little concrete has emerged from their recommendations. A major reason for this, the author argues, is that the East-West conflict component is not sufficiently taken into consideration-East-West tensions are a severe constraint on and a determining factor of North-South relations. Using influence diagrams, the author develops a flexible framework for discussion and assessment of N/S-E/W relations.     

Director gender and mergers and acquisitions

Does director gender influence CEO empire building? Does it affect the bid premium paid for target firms? Less overconfident female directors less overestimate merger gains. As a result, firms with female directors are less likely to make acquisitions and if they do, pay lower bid premia. Using acquisition bids by S&P 1500 companies during 1997–2009 we find that each additional female director is associated with 7.6% fewer bids, and each additional female director on a bidder board reduces the bid premium paid by 15.4%. Our findings support the notion that female directors help create shareholder value through their influence on acquisition decisions. We also discuss other possible interpretations of our findings.     

Political corruption and mergers and acquisitions

This research examines the relation between political corruption and mergers and acquisitions (M&As). We find that local corruption increases firm acquisitiveness but decreases firm targetiveness. The levels of corruption in acquirer areas relate positively to the bid premiums and negatively to the likelihood of deal completion. Corruption motivates acquiring firms to use excess cash for payment, which mitigates the negative effect of corruption on acquirer shareholder value. The evidence indicates that acquisitions help acquiring firms convert cash into hard-to-extract assets and relocate assets from the high to low corruption areas, thereby shielding their liquid assets from expropriation by local officials.     

Trust and cross-border mergers and acquisitions

A number of studies suggest that social trust matters for investment. Using different measures of trust from World Values Survey, we show that countries where people display higher levels of trust engage in more cross-border M&A activities. When they do, these acquirers pay lower premiums. To the extent that these acquirers also tend to engage in larger acquisitions as well, our findings suggest that a larger selection pool of potential targets and higher value targets enable these acquirers to negotiate for lower premiums. We do not find evidence of the significant effect for target country trust levels. Hence, trust may benefit those acquiring firms in cross-border transactions.     

Tournament-based incentives and mergers and acquisitions

This research examines the relation between tournament-based incentives, which are proxied by the difference between a firm's CEO pay and the median pay of the senior managers, and mergers and acquisitions (M&As). We find that tournament-based incentives are positively related to firm acquisitiveness and acquiring firms' stock and operating performance. Further analysis indicates that positive acquisition performance increases the likelihood of the CEO being promoted from inside the acquiring firm. Our evidence is consistent with the view that tournament-based incentives motivate acquiring firms' managers to make greater efforts and take more risk that result in superior acquisition performance.     

Corporate Innovations and Mergers and Acquisitions

Using a large and unique patent‐merger data set over the period 1984 to 2006, we show that companies with large patent portfolios and low R&D expenses are acquirers, while companies with high R&D expenses and slow growth in patent output are targets. Further, technological overlap between firm pairs has a positive effect on transaction incidence, and this effect is reduced for firm pairs that overlap in product markets. We also show that acquirers with prior technological linkage to their target firms produce more patents afterwards. We conclude that synergies obtained from combining innovation capabilities are important drivers of acquisitions.