我国金融发展过程中金融风险的特殊表现及防范对策

中国经济的高速增长与中国金融改革发展是分不开的，正是由于金融是国民经济的主要资金供给者和在经济运行中处于调节者的特殊地位，使之成为现代经济的核心。但是在中国经济的转轨过程和金融发展进程中，各种金融问题也逐渐暴露出来，这就需要认真研究并加以解决。本文针对我国金融发展中金融风险的特殊表现，提出了防范和化解金融风险的六项措施：要正确处理好国有企业改革与金融发展的关系：严格划分不良债权，加大处理不良债权的力度；建立和健全多层次的风险体系；建立金融风险的转移体系；大力发展和完善金融市场体系，规范证券市场；建立一个良好的防范风险的外部环境。     

简析建立有辖区经济金融特点的专题数据库

一、建立专题数据库的基本要求　（一）要以经济金融稳定和发展为核心建立数据指标体系。要深入了解区域经济金融的发展状况和存在问题，就必须把促进和影响经济金融发展的主要因素纳入监控指标体系。以某县为例。某县是一个农业大县,有粮油、果品、畜牧、农产品加工等几大农业支柱产业；工业中以非公企业为主体，而非公企业又以纺织、橡胶和运输业为主;第三产业发达，商品流通速度快。金融业方面，存贷款增长不均衡，资金上存多，     

我国金融发展与经济增长关系的理论与实证研究

改革开放以来，金融发展对我国的经济增长具有积极的推动作用，但力度有限，甚至有些指标还呈现负面影响；总体来看，我国的金融发展滞后于经济增长，现行的金融体制已无法满足企业扩张带来日益增长的融资需求。改善目前落后的金融发展局面，一方面，应努力拓宽企业的融资渠道，让企业更多的利用资本市场进行直接融资，改善融资机制，消除“所有制歧视”，为中小企业创造良好的投融资环境；另一方面，要加速资本市场的发展和规范，发掘债券市场的潜力，为直接融资提供更大空间，并且积极推进非国有银行和中小银行的发展，促成金融机构的合理竞争。     

上半年济南辖区经济金融形势分析

上半年，鲁豫两省经济金融运行平稳，态势良好，但几个突出问题应引起关注。本文提出以下五方面改革建议：一是加快住房制度改革，尽快建立住房二级市场；二是发展民营经济，增强经济增长活力；三是加大对出口企业的扶持力度；四是采取有力措施引导和推动企业增加投资；五是进一步加大监管力度，不断提高银行贷款效益。     

数字金融与经济增长——基于“在险增长”方法的研究

近年来，我国数字普惠金融快速发展，已经成为影响金融环境的重要变量。数字金融一方面加强了对中小微企业的金融服务，提高了金融对实体经济的支持力度，另一方面也会对经济增长的风险程度产生影响。本文首先介绍数字金融的内涵，并重点讨论了数字金融的普惠性特征及风险性特征；其次，详细梳理了我国数字金融的发展现状；进而，使用“在险增长”研究方法对我国数字金融与经济增长及风险的关系进行验证。研究发现，数字金融的发展不仅能够提高经济增长的平均预期，还能降低经济意外失速的风险，从整体上促进经济高质量发展。     

关于我国商业银行内部组织结构改革的探讨

关于我国商业银行内部组织结构改革的探讨中国人民银行银行司王兆星我国已明确提出，经济体制改革的目标就是建立社会主义市场经济，就是要在国家宏观调控之下，让市场在资源配置方面发挥基础性作用。而建立社会主义市场经济的基础，是建立现代的企业制度和金融制度；现代...     

论河南省企业理财的金融环境的优化

金融环境是与企业理财活动关系极为密切的外部环境。目前河南省企业理财的金融环境存在不少问题。河南省应该不断完善金融组织体系，改善金融服务，拓宽企业融资渠道，加强企业信用建设，加大对中小民营企业的金融支持力度，以促进河南经济持续、快速、健康发展。     

新疆县域经济的金融支持体系实证分析

县域经济是以县为单位进行资源配置的经济。新疆县域经济特征是：基础较薄弱，经济规模较小；经济增长方式比较粗放，县域特色不强；县域经济持续增长的基础投入不足。新疆县域金融特征是：金融机构网点稀疏，分布差异较大；县域金融机构存多贷少明显；金融资源在城乡配置不合理。应通过完善多层面的政策支持体系、建立多元化的竞争性金融组织体系加以解决。     

经济与金融市场一体化：制约因素与行动取向

改革开放以来,我国经济的高速增长和经济一体化的发展,完全是以改革开放为基础的经济金融自由化不断推进的结果。要使这种增长和一体化的动能持续下去,要建立一个更加健康、更富有活力和竞争力的经济金融体系,就必须通过新一轮的改革开放,进一步推进和深化我国的经济金融自由化,并按照经济金融自由化的要求重新界定政府和监管者在金融市场运作与发展过程中的职能。     

2003年上半年经济金融形势分析及下半年形势预测

本文通过对2003年国际国内经济金融走势的分析与预测，提出2003年下半年，全球经济呈缓慢复苏态势。国际经济金融环境将影响我国出口增长放缓，进口增长加快，贸易顺差缩小；外汇储备稳定增长，保值问题日益突出；人民币汇率升值的可能性不大，但会加大汇率形成机制改革；SARS对外商投资的负面影响有限。下半年，我国经济仍将保持较快增长。经济工作将面临制止经济增长回落的短期目标和提高经济投资增长质量的长远目标问的矛盾。为此，宏观调控一方面将采取多项措施，努力保持经济增长的势头；另一方面将出台一些政策措施，纠正和抑制经济中的过热现象，以保证经济健康发展。     

Bayesian Premium Rating with Latent Structure

We propose a fully Bayesian approach to non-life risk premium rating, based on hierarchical models with latent variables for both claim frequency and claim size. Inference is based on the joint posterior distribution and is performed by Markov Chain Monte Carlo. Rather than plug-in point estimates of all unknown parameters, we take into account all sources of uncertainty simultaneously when the model is used to predict claims and estimate risk premiums. Several models are fitted to both a simulated dataset and a small portfolio regarding theft from cars. We show that interaction among latent variables can improve predictions significantly. We also investigate when interaction is not necessary. We compare our results with those obtained under a standard generalized linear model and show through numerical simulation that geographically located and spatially interacting latent variables can successfully compensate for missing covariates. However, when applied to the real portfolio data, the proposed models are not better than standard models due to the lack of spatial structure in the data.     

The development of the group accounts disclosure system in Japan

The Japanese disclosure system of consolidated statements was introduced in 1977 and extensively revised in 1997. The role of the bureaucracy has been significant in these developments and seems to be part of Japan's closed culture. However, other explanations could also be applied. In particular, although Japanese firms opposed such disclosures on the basis of preparation costs, the Japanese government had to modernize the disclosure system, including consolidation, in order to develop the securities market regardless of an individual company's interests.     

Moments of Compound Mixed Poisson Distributions

Recursive formulae are derived for the evaluation of the moments and the descending factorial moments about a point n of mixed Poisson and compound mixed Poisson distributions, in the case where the derivative of the logarithm of the mixing density can be written as a ratio of polynomials. As byproduct, we also obtain recursive formulae for the evaluation of the moments about the origin, central moments, descending and ascending factorial moments of these distributions. Examples are also presented for a number of mixing densities.     

The designing of corporate accounting law in Japan after the Second World War

After the Second World War, during the neutralization of the controlled economy of wartime Japan, a design for a Corporate Accounting Law was elaborated by the Investigation Committee on the Business Accounting System. The Investigation Committee tried to establish not only new business accounting standards but also a central and independent administrative organ of corporate accounting regulation on the basis of the Corporate Accounting Law. The Corporate Accounting Law was expected to lay the legal foundation of the new corporate accounting regulation regime in Japan. Nevertheless, even though the original design of the fundamental accounting law was never realized, it should be considered the starting point for our understanding of external accounting history in post-war Japan.     

The deliberation around accounting techniques: accounting for depreciation and foreign exchange in an Indian jute company, 1870-1900

This paper examines the way two accounting techniques, namely depreciation and foreign exchange, were deliberated on, between 1870 and 1900, in an Indian jute company whose shareholders resided in the UK. The arena for these deliberations was the conflictual relationship between controlling and non-controlling shareholders as to how best to account for depreciation and foreign exchange especially when the particular accountings affected distributional issues such as the dividend decision. The purpose of this paper is to analyse and explain the processes by which a company's accounting practices emerge and develop as a contest between different interests. Accounting framed the parameters of the deliberations and provided the language of power and dissent. The paper uses a rich archive that includes narrative and accounting material.     

Short-sale refinancing and price adjustment speed to bad news: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China

Short selling may accelerate stock price adjustment to negative news. However, the literature provides mixed evidence for this prediction. Using short-sale refinancing and a staggered difference-in-differences (DID) model, this paper explores the effect of short selling on stock price adjustment. Our results show that (1) short-sale refinancing improves the speed of stock price adjustment to negative news. This result holds after we control for endogeneity. (2) The positive relationship between short-sale refinancing and stock price adjustment speed is significant in subsamples of stocks with higher earnings management or lower accuracy of analyst forecasts, indicating that firms with more opaque information are more likely to be targeted by short sellers. In subsamples of stocks with a higher ownership concentration or lower ownership by institutional investors, short selling is more likely to increase the speed of stock price adjustment, indicating that ownership structure may influence negative news mining. (3) As short-sale refinancing exacerbates the absorption of bad news by stock prices, it increases crash risk. This study enriches the research on the economic consequences of short selling and provides empirical evidence supporting regulations on short selling in China.     

Pricing Dynamic Insurance Risks Using the Principle of Equivalent Utility

We introduce an expected utility approach to price insurance risks in a dynamic financial market setting. The valuation method is based on comparing the maximal expected utility functions with and without incorporating the insurance product, as in the classical principle of equivalent utility. The pricing mechanism relies heavily on risk preferences and yields two reservation prices - one each for the underwriter and buyer of the contract. The framework is rather general and applies to a number of applications that we extensively analyze.     

Guidelines for Manuscripts Submitted to The China Journal of Accounting Research

正The China Journal of Accounting Research"CJAR"(ISSN 1755-3091)publishes quarterly.It contains peer-reviewed articles and commentaries on accounting,auditing and corporate governance issues that relate to the greater China region.We welcome the submission of both theoretical and empirical research papers pertinent to researchers,regulators and practitioners.Authors should note:1 Submissions must be original     

Guidelines for Manuscripts Submitted to The China Journal of Accounting Research

正The China Journal of Accounting Research"CJAR"(ISSN 1755-3091)publishes quarterly.It contains peer-reviewed articles and commentaries on accounting,auditing and corporate governance issues that relate to the greater China region.We welcome the submission of both theoretical and empirical research papers pertinent to researchers,regulators and practitioners.Authors should note:     

The China puzzle: Opportunities for accounting research

How can China achieve phenomenal economic growth despite what is considered as 'weak' institutions in market-based economies? Xu(2011) provides a framework to u...