制度变迁与小西北区域经济一体化研究

根据制度经济学相关理论,结合小西北地区经济实际,文章认为,制度约束是该地区经济落后的重要原因。区域经济一体化是打破制度约束、促进经济发展的良策,但地方政府的阻碍提高了交易费用,使一体化进程缓慢。文章指出,通过地方政府主动改革打破自身对经济发展的阻碍,在诱致性制度变迁基础上适度推行强制性制度变迁,小西北区域经济一体化进程有望加快。同时中央政府须尽快完善地方政府的激励机制以促进区域经济一体化发展。     

Testing the Links between Institutional Integration and Trade Deepening: Clues from Europe

This paper investigates the interaction between institutional integration and trade deepening in the EU over the last 50 years. It uses Granger causality tests, a VECM and variance decompositions to further the understanding of this interaction. The evidence indicates two-way endogeneity. But the link from institution building to trade dominates. Yet, this link has weakened over time, possibly due to globalisation sidestepping institutions. Moreover, the sensitivity of institutional integration to trade deepening has risen, which suggests that economic forces have gained more strength in determining institutional steps.

Trade Specialization in Latin America: The Impact of China and India

This paper examines the extent to which the growth of China and India in world markets is affecting the patterns of trade specialization in Latin American (LA) economies. We construct a measure of Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) by 3-digit ISIC sector, country, and year. This RCA accounts for both imports and exports. The empirical analyses explore the correlation between the RCAs of LA and the two Asian economies. Econometric estimates suggest that the specialization pattern of LA—with the exception of Mexico—has been moving in opposite direction to the trade specialization pattern of China and India. Labor-intensive sectors (both unskilled and skilled) probably have been negatively affected by the growing presence of China and India in world markets, while natural resource and scientific knowledge intensive sectors have probably benefited from China and India’s growth since 1990. JEL no.  F10, F14     

日本依托区域经济一体化主导国际经贸规则制定权的战略分析

以安倍第二次出任日本首相为分水岭,起步晚、发展迅速的日本区域经济一体化战略发生了巨大的变化:由昔日高度重视通过参与、组建区域经济一体化组织来确保日本经济稳定发展的资源供给、不断开拓的海外市场转向了依托参与、组建区域经济一体化组织来主导国际经贸规则制定权。为此,安倍政府实施了以TPP/CPTPP、RCEP、中日韩FTA等区域多边贸易协定为龙头,以日欧EPA、日美贸易协定、日美数字贸易协定、日英EPA等双边自由贸易协定为两翼的区域经济一体化战略,使日本"成为在区域层面以及双边层面创造规则的国家"。     

Economic Integration and Manufacturing Concentration Patterns: Evidence from MERCOSUR

Over the past two decades, Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay have implemented unilateral trade liberalization programs and formed MERCOSUR. The effects of these reforms on production structures in these countries have not received a great deal of attention. This paper analyses patterns of relative manufacturing concentration in Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay over the period 1985–1998. Our results indicate that localisation of demand and comparative advantages are the main driving forces of these patterns. The establishment of MERCOSUR has fostered the relative importance of factor endowments and production linkages in shaping the spatial distribution of manufacturing in the above three countries. JEL Classification Numbers: F14, F15, L60, C23     

Economic integration in northeast Asia: Preconditions and possible trajectories

When in November 2001, the leaders of the Southeast Asian and Northeast Asian states met for the “ASEAN (Association of South East Asian Nations) plus three (China, Japan and Korea),” President Kim Dae‐Jung of South Korea proposed the exploration for an East Asian Free Trade Area (EAFTA) and thereby opened a new chapter of East Asian integration. The special Northeast Asian perspective on regional co‐operation became clear by the simultaneous decision to hold annual meetings of finance and trade ministers of China, Japan and Korea. At the same time, bilateral agreements, like a free trade area between Japan and Singapore, the tentative large free trade area between ASEAN and China and the work‐in‐progress on a Korean‐Japanese Free Trade Area, show the devotion and sometimes even obsession of current policy‐making with reaching regional trade agreements. Regional integration, it seems, is finally on the Northeast Asian agenda. In this paper, the preconditions and perspectives of economic integration in Northeast Asia will be explored. Since economic integration is in various ways linked to political factors, the second section discusses the geo‐political situation of Northeast Asia today. The third section deals with the economic perspectives of different forms of trade integration, followed by an analysis of various attempts for greater macro‐economic and financial co‐operation and a short conclusion.     

大湄公河区域国家经济金融一体化实证研究

大湄公河区域是东亚经济一体化速度最快的次区域之一。区域内国家经济增长的谐动性呈现出总体上升的态势;次区域经济一体化的贸易创造效应显著;各国经济金融开放度不断提高,多数国家金融一体化进程加快;各国金融市场波动联系显著。中国应为取得合作中的主导地位制定行动计划,并重视沿边省份作用的发挥。     

区域经济一体化在构建大牡丹江战略中的实践

十七大报告、牡丹江市第十次党代会报告和十届四次全会报告中都提到区域经济协调发展的问题,这是一个关系国家、地区发展的重要战略。本文结合三个报告和大牡丹江战略来阐述区域经济一体化在牡丹江的实践。     

Growth Effects of Economic Integration: Evidence from the EU Member States

After compiling an index of economic integration that accounts for global (GATT) as well as regional (European) integration of the EU member states we test for permanent and temporary growth effects in a growth accounting framework, using a panel of fifteen EU member states over the period 1950–2000. While the hypothesis of permanent growth effects is rejected, the results—though not completely robust to controlling for time-specific effects—suggest sizeable level effects: GDP per capita of the EU would be approximately one-fifth lower today if no integration had taken place since 1950. JEL no. C33, F15, F43, O52     

经济一体化背景下的分工与协作

分工与协作是人类劳动的两种组织形式,是人类历史发展中两个极为重要的现象。近代以来,一些学者和经济学家围绕分工与协作提出许多理论观点,从不同角度分析了分工与协作对经济社会发展的重要作用。文章以分工与协作对区域经济发展的影响为视角,阐明分工与协作对生产力发展和社会进步的促进作用,使人们认识分工与协作的重要性,厘清分工与协作的关系,更好地发挥分工与协作的职能。     

区域经济差异理论对民族地区经济协调发展的启示

经济理论的终极目的并非总结和发现规律,而是用于指导经济发展实践。东中西地带差异过大,已是不争之事实,但西部地区尤其是西部民族地区内部经济差异却极少受到应有的重视,我们应当在此类特殊经济差异显著扩大之前就未雨绸缪,事先做好调控才能避免“一波未平,一波又起”的被动局面。通过对经典区域经济差异理论的研究和分析,我们能从中发现一些有利于民族地区经济协调发展的启示。     

区域经济一体化进程剖析:长三角、珠三角与环渤海

在全球化迅速发展的今天,区域经济一体化已是大势所趋。长三角一体化进程可分为四个阶段,珠三角可分为三个阶段,环渤海可分为四个阶段;区域一体化不可逆转并正在加速;长三角的一体化进程最快,然后是珠三角和环渤海;要推动区域一体化,适应市场要求、正确理论指导和政府宏观引导三者不可或缺;一体化进程由多种因素共同决定;基础设施一体化最易实施也进展最快,产业结构一体化最难以协调;一体化还处于探索阶段,其目标模式还没有出现。     

The Effects of the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) on National Fiscal Sustainability

This paper presents a methodology to analyze the responsiveness of fiscal sustainability to the endogenous fiscal discipline that will be strengthened by the EMU. This discipline arises in response to the harmonization of tax systems, the loss of control of current and prospective money financing, and the deepening of financial market-based discipline. The model developed in this paper is a generalization of Blanchard's 1984 model, in which the interest rate is determined endogenously. This provides the framework to analyze more features of the linkage between sustainability and endogenous fiscal discipline. This paper also presents a new intratemporal fiscal sustainability index.