中国-欧盟自贸区经济效应的前瞻性研究

文章在中欧贸易关系现状分析的基础上,运用可计算一般均衡模型实证研究了中国-欧盟自贸区的建立对双边经济、贸易、福利水平以及行业产出等的影响。结果表明:中国与欧盟双边贸易关系总体较为紧密,分别在劳动和资本技术密集型产品出口方面具有比较优势,但双边贸易结构整体表现为竞争性;自贸区的建立将改善中欧双边的经济发展水平,刺激进出口贸易,对加快实施自贸区战略和适应经济全球化新趋势有着积极的推动作用,但它对中欧福利水平的影响并不明确,主要表现为双边居民收入得到了提升,而考虑收入效应和贸易替代效应的综合影响,福利水平却在下降;自贸区的建立将优化中欧双边国际分工格局,有助于发挥各自比较优势,即致力于生产具有比较优势的产品,增加对比较劣势产品的进口,而高端制造业和服务业是中国在自贸区建成以前需要密切关注的领域。     

中欧经贸合作面临严峻考验

2012年,欧元区主权债务危机对中欧经贸合作的外溢影响进一步显现,中国对欧盟出口持续下滑,利用欧盟国家外资连续第二年负增长。对于不利局面,中欧双方均给予了高度重视。双方领导人频繁互访,就推进双边经贸合作达成广泛共识;我国企业对欧盟投资热情高涨,达成了多项并购协议,中欧经贸关系在困难中继续前行。2012年中欧经贸合作再陷低谷受欧元区主权债务危机持续发酵     

建立合作机制 促进中波交流——访波兰大使塔德乌什·霍米茨基

2012年9月,第七届中国—欧盟投资贸易合作洽谈会在成都开幕。《中欧商务合作2012成都宣言》在欧洽会获通过。深化中欧商务合作是双方地区经济发展的内在需要。中国实施全方位对外开放,中国西部地区具有承接向西开放,加强与欧洲国家经济合作的区位优势。深入实施西部大开发战略有助于发挥区域优势,有力拓展中欧合作的市场空间,形成新的经济合力。中国     

欧盟技术性贸易壁垒对中国农产品出口影响研究

欧盟是我国农产品第二大出口市场,但欧盟利用自身发达的科技水平和严密的技术性贸易壁垒体系,使中国农产品出口屡遭其技术性贸易壁垒的限制。本文立足欧盟技术性贸易壁垒和中欧农产品贸易的现状,分析欧盟技术性贸易壁垒对中国农产品出口的影响,并提出我国政府、企业和行业协会应共同努力,以突破欧盟技术性贸易壁垒。     

欧盟未来贸易政策将会“向东看”

在欧盟积极主导贸易新战略,以及欧盟对华贸易保护愈演愈烈之际,如何开拓未来中欧经贸前景,构筑中欧贸易新框架意义重大。 欧盟积极推动贸易新战略 为应对2008年全球金融危机和日益恶化的欧债危机,欧盟委员会在2010年9月出台了一份名为《贸易、增长和世界事务》的战略文件中,勾勒出欧盟未来5年的贸易政策走势,被称为欧盟贸易新战略。欧盟贸易新战略包含六大部分,即推进多边和双边贸易谈判、深化与美国和中国等战略伙伴的经贸关系、启动与主要贸易伙伴的全面投资协定谈判自贸区战略,以贸易促欧盟发展等。     

欧元启动对中国对外经济贸易的影响

欧盟是中国第二大进口伙伴、第四大出口伙伴。欧元的启动，将对中欧贸易产生较为重要的影响。     

中欧贸易和投资的阴与晴

中欧关系紧密,在经贸领域的合作更是相互交织,达到了前所未有的广度和深度,彼此间有着重大的共同利益,正是这种市场的相互联结和依赖,任何一方形势的发展变化都会牵动另一方,作为多年来中国最大的贸易伙伴,欧债危机和欧盟经济走势对中欧经贸的影响自不待言。中欧贸易遭遇寒流2012年,中欧贸易额在中国对外贸易总值中的比重从2011年的15.6%     

“一带一路”倡议与《2020年欧盟领土议程》的战略对接

从空间规划与区域发展的角度分析"一带一路"倡议与中欧关系是一个新的视角。本文主要研究"一带一路"倡议与《2020年欧盟领土议程》实施中的互相影响与战略对接,首先,从国际环境、区域发展、人口和资源等方面分析"一带一路"倡议和《2020年欧盟领土议程》面临的共同挑战,从中欧关系的现状和"一带一路"倡议的积极影响分析两者对接的社会基础;然后,从两者倡导的重点内容可以发现合作的契合点,从而提出两者战略对接的优先领域;最后,从亚欧、中国与欧盟、欧盟成员国、直至地方各个层次,从政府到民间的全方位,提出促进"一带一路"与欧洲空间发展规划对接的合作机制和对话渠道。     

欧盟东扩和引发的几点思考

对欧盟东扩谈判进程和尼斯会议作了评估，认为２１世纪初欧盟通过新一轮扩大将塑造一个全新的欧洲。论文从欧盟一体化协调机制、中东欧国家融入欧洲、大国关系调整和世界格局变动，以及中欧关系等四个方面评论欧盟东扩可能在政治、经济、意识形态等领域产生重大的影响。     

中国对欧盟出口贸易的计量方法

由于中欧双边贸易规模与中欧双方在世界上的实力、地位、作用和潜力都很不相称,本文通过建立中国对欧盟出口贸易的模型,对影响中国对欧出口贸易的因素进行定量分析,试图找到促进中欧贸易发展的对策。     

中国产业界所应了解的欧盟对华反倾销的不合理因素

欧盟对华反倾销是长期困扰中欧贸易健康发展的重要问题。饱受反倾销之苦的中国企业在面对欧盟反倾销的许多不公正的待遇时,经常是愤愤不平。但因为不熟知其法律和实践,对其司法问题的公正性缺少深入的研判,而错失许多可能的胜诉的机会。揭示欧盟反倾销法和对华反倾销实践的不公正性,提供对抗这些不公正因素的理由和依据,应该是当前反倾销研究的当务之急。本文的写作正是从这一基点出发,而对欧盟对华反倾销实践的不合理、不公正的问题所进行的揭示,作者期待通过该文的分析,有助于中国企业界了解欧盟对华反倾销法的实体和程序规定中的不合理因素,并根据每案的具体案情,进行有理有据的抗辩。这既是促使这些消极方面发生转变的积极的努力,也是中国企业维护自己尊严和利益、改变自己被动地位的重要的突破口。     

欧盟对中国出口的皮鞋实施反倾销措施的原因分析

加入WTO后我国成为受欧盟反倾销调查最多的国家,也是欧盟被实施反倾销措施最多的国家,对中国出口产生非常重要的影响。文章分析认为欧盟对我国皮鞋实施反倾销措施是因为:欧盟皮鞋进口的配额取消导致欧盟皮鞋进口增加;欧盟制鞋工业的衰落;欧中贸易逆差的扩大;欧盟东扩后南欧成员为了扩大贸易转移效应采取贸易保护措施和中国皮鞋出口企业的经营者素质和经营能力偏低等原因造成。对中国应对欧盟反倾销提供参考意见。     

Chinese Investment in the US and the EU is Declining –for Similar Reasons

Since peaking in 2016, Chinese outward investment, primarily to the US but also to the European Union (EU), has declined dramatically, especially in response to changes in China's domestic rules for capital outflow. Concern over growing Chinese influence in other economies, the ascendant role of a Communist Party‐led government in Beijing and the possible security implications of Chinese dominance in the high‐tech sector have put Chinese outward investment under international scrutiny. This paper analyzes the recent trends in Chinese investment in the US and the EU and reviews recent political and regulatory changes both have adopted toward Chinese inward investment. It also explores the emerging transatlantic difference in the regulatory response to the Chinese information technology firm, Huawei. Concerned about national security and as part of the ongoing broader trade friction with China, the US has cracked down far harder on the company than the EU.     

The entry price system for fresh fruit and vegetable exports from China to the EU — Breaking a fly on the wheel?

China's exports of apples and pears to the EU have increased substantially, although the EU production of apples and pears is protected by the EU entry price system (EPS), aiming to protect EU producers against international competition by restricting imports below a minimum import price. This study investigates the relevance of the EPS for Chinese exports of apples and pears to the EU accounting for changes over time and seasonal variation. Our results suggest that the high relevance of the EPS for apples originating in China was of temporary nature, whereas the relevance of the EPS for pears originating in China is of a more general nature. In addition, the relevance of the EPS varies seasonally. Finally, we find that the production of pears in China is more competitive than the production of apples vis-à-vis the EU. Therefore, China's fresh fruit and vegetable (FFV) producers would benefit more from an improved EU market access for pears than for apples. Thus, China should put more effort in negotiating improved EU market access conditions for pears rather than for apples.     

谁将受益欧盟东扩

今年5月1日起,中东欧10国加入欧盟,欧盟随之完成了“东扩”。欧盟东扩给我国企业对新入盟10国市场的产品出口带来了新机遇,也造成了新的困难和挑战。对此,我国企业应适时采取应变策略,减小负面影响。     

Re-estimation of China-EU trade balance

Significant discrepancy exists between official Chinese and EU trade statistics on the magnitudes of the China-EU trade in goods as well as in services. While the discrepancy of China-U.S. trade surplus has been thoroughly studied by scholars and policymakers, the discrepancy of China-EU trade surplus is barely discussed in literatures. This may lead to seriously bias in understanding China-EU trade relationship, and even cause unnecessary trade friction. In this paper, we discuss the reasons behind the discrepancy of China-EU trade and quantify the extent to which the discrepancy is contributed by transportation costs, re-exports and their markups. We also employ the input-output tables of both EU and China, and measure the China-EU trade balance of goods and services in both domestic value-added (DVA) terms as well as in gross terms. The discrepancy of China-EU trade balance in goods (and services) still exists after adjustments, but is significantly reduced. With the adjustments on price and re-exports, in 2016, the discrepancy of China-EU trade in goods and services of Chinese release over EU release would shrink from an initial estimation of US$90.6 billion to an estimation of US$20.4 billion in gross terms, and further to US$15.8 billion in value-added terms.     

“乡村精英”发挥作用的制约因素及对策

我国乡村社会是个乡村精英治理的社会。乡村精英在发展乡村经济、维护乡村稳定等方面发挥了巨大作用。然而,乡村精英在发挥作用时也受到来自村民、乡镇政府甚至精英自身的制约。如何克服这些制约,更好地发挥乡村精英的作用,成为乡村能否迅速发展的关键。     

国内外企业创新调查实践与展望

面向中国企业创新在世界相对水平的测度需求,系统梳理国际企业创新调查的规范与实践,以及中国不同机构开展企业创新调查的实践,认为中国企业创新调查研究基本遵循了国际企业创新调查的标准、方法和内容,但在企业创新目标与产出和外部影响因素等方面的调查相对薄弱,特别是缺乏主观评价信息,对企业创新的社会价值和环境价值强调不足,调查方式和规范仍需进一步与国际接轨.     

Provincial Development in China: Lessons from EU Regional Policy Experience

Abstract

This article evaluates and compares regional development in the Chinese provinces and in the regions of the European Union (EU) countries. Development efforts in southern Italy, northeast England and eastern Germany are reviewed along with EU, Community-wide regional development programmes. Equity concerns suggest promotion of regional policy, but the pursuit of maximum national economic growth would avoid it, since it sacrifices some economic growth. The impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) and domestic investments on individual Chinese provinces is compared with their impact in Europe. There is an implicit contrast between public sector regional development programs and more effective private foreign direct investments.