湖北省区域经济增长收敛研究——基于1990—2005年数据的实证分析

本文以收敛性理论为基础，运用Sala—I—Martin的经典计量模型分析了1990-2005年湖北省区域经济增长空间分布变化及其与外部环境和经济发展政策之间的关系，结果表明湖北省内部经济发展呈现出明显的β收敛现象，并且这种收敛趋势与时外开放程度、地方财政支持、城市化水平和教育水平之间存在着显著的联系。     

河南文化产业和旅游产业融合发展对策

河南文化资源丰富,经济实力雄厚,加之政府政策的大力支持,其文化产业和旅游产业融合趋势明显,有力的推动了河南的产业创新发展,提升了产业竞争力,实现了产业转型升级。但合作体制不顺畅、信息技术融合深度不足、高素质人才缺乏等原因阻碍了河南文化产业和旅游产业的顺利融合。河南省政府应加快建立文化旅游产业管理体制,整合文化和旅游资源,大力拓展旅游和文化市场,培养复合型创意人才,从体制、资源、市场和人才四方面上达到产业融合,从而有效推动其旅游产业和文化产业的融合发展。     

AFTA,Income Growth,and Income Convergence in ASEAN

The rapid economic growth experienced by the core ASEAN members (comprised of Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, the Philippines, and Indonesia) since the 70s was generally attributed to openness policies adopted by the respective governments. Despite this contention, however, there is little evidence to suggest that greater openness will eventually lead to a convergence of the member countries, particularly with the present of external shocks. The introduction of ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) in 1992 was also partly an attempt to hedge the region from external shock, while possibly further promoting economic development in the region. This study, therefore, is an attempt at examining in greater detail the impact of AFTA and openness on ASEAN economic growth, in the present of external shock. The results indicate that convergence in ASEAN is conditional upon several control variables taking place, in addition to openness. Additionally, while AFTA has a positive effect on economic growth, its impact on convergence is somewhat ambiguous in the presence of external shocks.     

中国省域碳排放异质性趋同及其决定因素研究——基于变参数面板数据计量经济模型的实证

文章利用增长趋同分析原理,构建了碳排放异质性趋同模型,并基于中国省域面板数据,测算了省域碳排放量,采用变参数面板数据模型对各省域碳排放的趋同性及决定因素进行了实证分析,克服了常参数计量经济研究的不足。结果表明：省域碳排放不存在绝对趋同,但存在明显的异质性条件趋同;不同水平的人均地区生产总值是决定碳排放趋同的重要因素,而人口规模、产业结构对碳排放趋同的影响因各地区而有差异性。中国整体碳减排政策的制定,必须充分考虑各个省域碳排放趋同的异质性特征,省域碳减排的政策和措施也须充分考虑其经济发展水平、产业结构和人口等决定因素的差异性;基于长期有效的政策考虑,继续执行控制人口规模的计划生育政策对各省域的碳排放控制将发挥不可忽视的作用。     

Financial Integration and Economic Growth in the COMESA and SADC Regions

Abstract

This study used panel data methods to examine the relationship between financial integration and economic growth in the COMESA and SADC regions. Using Foreign direct investment (FDI) and portfolio flows as a share of GDP, Chinn-Ito index of financial openness and debt flows as measures of financial integration, the study found that the relationship between financial integration and growth is largely insignificant in the combined sample of COMESA and SADC regions. However, the relationship changes when the two regions are separated. Whereas two of the indicators of financial integration are significant in the COMESA region, only one indicator of financial integration is significant in the SADC region implying that financial integration is more important in the COMESA region than in the SADC region. The results support the growth retarding theories of financial globalization and the convergence hypothesis in the COMESA region while the neoclassical trade theories find strong support in the SADC region. These results imply, first, that financial integration has different growth effects for different regional groupings and thus integration policies should not be universally applied. Second, these results imply that further enhancement of trade integration policies offer more promising outcomes for economic growth in the SADC region than financial integration policies while the converse is true for the COMESA region.     

区域经济增长趋同性分析——以安徽为例

本文在经济收敛理论的基础上,对安徽省1991-2011年区域经济的收敛性进行β收敛性分析。结果显示,该阶段不存在β绝对收敛,但是引入工业化、市场化和地区虚拟变量后,该省呈现β条件收敛。另外,该地区在被分为三大区域后,除了皖中以外,皖南和皖北均呈现不同程度的俱乐部收敛。最后得出结论并提出缩小省域经济差距的对策。     

Convergence in the EU

The EU has long viewed economic and institutional convergence as important goals, but the results thus far have been decidedly mixed, and there remain several open questions: How exactly should convergence be defined? How much convergence is necessary? What steps can be taken to improve convergence in the EU, and how can success be defined? Finally, how much convergence can be achieved by improving the economic performance in underperforming regions, and how can convergence in the form of harmonisation towards lower welfare levels be avoided?     

A model of Europeanisation with and without convergence

There is a general consensus that member state interaction within the EU system will lead to convergence and an overall improvement of domestic policies and administrative systems. This article poses that non-convergence is also possible and develops a model of Europeanisation that explains both convergence and non-convergence. It also identifies the circumstances under which member states could spread negative policies to other member states, leading to convergence to the bottom.     

FDI流入、贸易中间商集聚与区域经济增长——基于长三角地区面板数据的实证研究

不管是传统经济增长理论还是新经济增长理论,贸易中间商对经济增长的促进作用都常常被忽略。本文借助传统的Cobb-Douglas生产函数,将贸易中间商集聚因素纳入新的生产函数模型,并以长三角地区25个地级以上城市的面板数据进行实证分析。研究结果表明,贸易中间商集聚对长三角区域经济增长有显著的促进作用,由于FDI流入是导致贸易中间商集聚的主要动因,因此它对长三角地区不同城市经济增长的促进作用呈显著差异,贸易中间商集聚对FDI流入程度较高城市经济增长的拉动作用明显大于FDI流入程度较低的城市。     

论我国外商投资超国民待遇的终结

引进外资是我国改革开放政策的一项重要内容,基于开放之初我国资金的极度稀缺,为了实现我国的社会经济政策,多而快地吸引外资,我国对外资实行了多种优惠政策,即对外资实行超国民待遇。超国民待遇涉及我国社会经济生活的方方面面,它起到了相当积极的、不可替代的作用;同时,我国长期执行的外资优惠政策对我国经济发展的诸多全局性不利影响也逐步显现。在中国加入TWO后过渡期的今天,我们有理由、有条件逐步取消超国民待遇,当然,在特定领域仍需保持适度的超国民待遇。     

Globalisation,Growth and Convergence

This paper, devoted to the study of globalisation, analyses two distinct but closely related issues: First, it aims at evaluating disparities in the degree of globalisation observed in a sample of 101 countries over the period 1970–2005. Second, the paper tries to shed some light to the much debated issue of whether globalisation affects economic growth and, in so doing, whether convergence in globalisation brings about convergence in per capita income. The results obtained are both encouraging: on the one side, as it is shown that there has been a clear process of globalisation convergence; on the other, the paper concludes that globalisation has been one of the main drivers of economic growth, thus fostering convergence in per capita income.     

泛珠三角经济一体化的趋同效应实证研究

通过对泛珠江三角地区9+2个城市1992～2008年面板数据进行实证研究,结果发现,泛珠三角地区的人均产出存在条件趋同,而产业结构调整则存在绝对趋同。由于各地区的先天性差异以及制度性缺陷,导致地区间协同效应受限,使得泛珠三角地区的合作并未完全有效的发挥,地区间产业存在着同构化问题,经济发展速度仍然存在差距。     

靠优惠政策吸引外资的局限性

改革开放以来,我国实施了一系列外资优惠政策。20多年来,这些优惠政策确实在引进外资、提升我国产业结构、促进经济发展方面起到了积极的作用。但是,随着国内外经济形势的变化,现行外资优惠政策的消极影响也逐渐显现。     

On Income Convergence among China,Hong Kong and Macau

Hong Kong and Macau were reunited with China in the late 1990s as two special administrative regions (SARs). Over the last half century, they were China's good examples of economic development, windows of openness and investors. Owing to historical reasons, China lagged far behind Hong Kong and Macau in terms of per capita incomes. However, rapid economic growth in China over the last three decades must have brought about a significant convergence of the three economies. China's economic success has benefited from the integration of its two SARs and the coastal provinces, especially Guangdong, in terms of technological spillover, massive investment and trade. The economic trickledown, direct investment and trade must have been important drivers of economic integration and income convergence. This paper aims to analyse the trend and studies the determinants of income convergence between China and its two SARs. Both parametric and non‐parametric techniques are employed to quantify the pace of convergence on per capita incomes in Hong Kong, Macau and the Chinese provinces over a period of more than 40 years. We find no evidence of convergence in the pre‐reform period, but strong evidence of both absolute and conditional β‐convergence in the post‐reform period. Over the reform period, the pace of convergence is less than 1 per cent per annum without controlling for trade and more than 2 per cent conditional on trade.     

Proactive Continue,More Weight on Tax Reduction

In battling against the current global economic crisis, fiscal and taxation policies, as the most important means to intervene the economy, has been the major approach for the governments throughout the world to offset impact of the crisis.China, as the economy with the fastest growth, has received much attention, and China's fiscal and taxation policies which contributed much to the strong economic recovery,in particular, is the very concern of the public.So, what is the trend of the fiscal and taxation policies during 2010?     

Industrial policy,structural transformation and economic growth: Evidence from China

Industrial policy is an important means for governments to promote industrial development and accelerate economic growth. This paper mainly uses the Chinese Law and Regulation Database as the source of the relevant laws and regulations of China’s industrial policies from 2003 to 2015. On this basis, it empirically examines the impact of industrial policies on economic growth. The study finds that China’s industrial policy has significant positive effects on economic growth and that industrial structure rationalization is an important channel of industrial policy to improve economic growth. The findings are also valid under a series of robustness tests and endogenous corrections. The results of heterogeneity tests confirm that there are heterogeneous effects pertaining to industrial policy on economic growth among different subregional areas, administrative levels, industrial development stages, and industrial policy types. Overall, this paper supports the hypothesis that industrial policy has positive effects on economic growth and, accordingly, provides a basis for industrial policy implementation.     

中外应对全球金融危机的政策比较

全球金融危机对世界各国经济造成了严重的负面影响,主要国家纷纷出台针对性的政策措施以应对。文章对比分析了美、日、英等发达国家和中国的政策措施,归纳出中国政策措施的特点,并提出了中国进一步应对全球金融危机的政策建议。     

环境规制能促进经济增长与环境污染脱钩吗？——基于中国271个地级城市的工业SO2排放数据的实证分析

在2030年碳达峰的背景下,经济增长与环境影响能否及时脱钩,是决定我国经济能否持续发展的关键。文章基于Tapio脱钩理论的研究视角,分析了环境规制对经济增长与环境污染脱钩产生影响的作用路径,并实证检验了环境规制差异影响脱钩状态的收敛情况。结果表明：递增的环境规制有助于经济增长与环境污染脱钩,且这种促进作用主要是通过倒逼企业调整生产方式实现的;环境规制对脱钩状态的影响既与自身规制强度有关,也受到政府科技投入的影响,需综合权衡规制强度和绿色科技投入强度,以实现最有利于脱钩的影响作用;环境规制对于东部沿海城市和内陆城市的脱钩影响存在明显的差异,表明环境规制政策需要针对不同区域特征来制定。     

The new EU merger regulation: Implications for EU‐U.S. merger strategies

This article examines the implications of the new EU merger regulation (EU 139/2004) on international merger strategies. Important changes in the new regulation on both a substantive and procedural level are analyzed in the comparative context of EU and U.S. merger‐control policies. In particular, the article evaluates whether the “substantial impediment to effective competition” (SIEC) test in the new regulation implies convergence with the U.S. “substantial lessening of competition” (SLC) benchmark. In this context, the article develops scenarios for convergence between EU and U.S. merger‐control policies. The EU merger process has emerged against a background of significant political and institutional development in the European Union, and this is an important explanatory element in the development of competition policy in general and for the new merger regulation in particular. It also has implications for merger strategies examined at the end of the article. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.     

巩固经济自主增长机制促进经济持续稳定增长--2003年宏观经济形势回顾和2004年展望

我国经济已经稳定地进入新一轮上升期,2004年仍将快速增长;当前尚未出现全局性过热,但是存在的新老问题可能困扰经济健康发展;稳定宏观经济政策,适时适度调控,加快改革步伐,是实行经济稳定增长的重要保证.