京东物流南阳中转场选址研究——基于AHP模糊综合评价法

本文以京东物流南阳中转场的选址作为研究目标,采用AHP模糊综合评价法,建立了京东物流南阳中转场选址数学模型,对其进行选址研究。首先,构建层次结构模型,确定一级指标和二级指标,设定评价等级,运用AHP层次分析法确定各个指标的权重。第二,邀请专家对各个二级指标进行打分,得到评价矩阵。第三,运用模糊综合评价法,得到各个指标的评价矩阵。最后根据最大隶属度原则,得出研究目标的选址综合评估结果是优秀,该评估结果符合实际情况。     

运用改进层次分析法评价阔大货物装载加固方案

利用改进的层次分析法分析确定阔大货物装载加固方案各主要因素的权重,并运用模糊综合评判模型对方案进行综合评价。改进的层次分析法避免了层次分析法中对判断矩阵的一致性检验和调整,简化了计算,并使权重确定更加科学合理。最后举以实例。     

基于AHP-模糊综合评价法的车务段安全分析

将层次分析法与模糊评价法相结合建立AHP-模糊综合评价模型对车务段安全情况进行分析评价。首先根据车务段特点,分析影响车务段安全的因素,按照人、设备、环境、管理4个方面建立评价指标体系,运用层次分析法确定各因素的权重;然后运用模糊评价法进行多级模糊综合评价;最终确定车务段的安全评价等级。评价结果表明,该车务段安全等级为"良好",需要在培训职工的安全意识和常识、维护旅客的乘车秩序、强化安全责任制等方面继续完善。     

我国铁路“走出去”项目建设风险评估研究

铁路"走出去"项目是我国近年来海外发展的重点,为了降低铁路"走出去"项目建设风险,通过阐述铁路"走出去"项目建设特点,针对海外铁路建设中所遇到各项风险因素,综合各方专家打分,构建铁路"走出去"项目建设风险评估指标体系。采用层次分析法和灰色模糊评估法,建立铁路"走出去"项目建设风险评估模型,结合海外工程项目案例进行风险评估验证。评估结果表明,运用层次分析法计算指标的权重,利用灰色模糊评估法对风险指标进行等级评价,解决了评价的模糊性和不确定性问题,可以为铁路海外项目风险评估及防范提供支撑。     

基于模糊综合评判法的现代营区建设评估

笔者选择模糊综合评判法对现代营区建设活动进行评估。本文结合所建立的评估指标体系,拟采用层次分析法(Analytic Hierarchy Process,简记AHP)确定各个指标的权重,用模糊综合评判法建立现代营区建设评价的数学模型。     

客运专线预制梁场选址综合评价决策模型研究与应用

分析影响客运专线预制梁场选址的因素，建立客运专线预制梁场选址综合评价指标体系及决策评价模型，利用层次分析法AHP确定各评价指标权重，并结合客运专线预制梁场场址方案决策案例，对该模型进行应用分析。     

改进层次分析法在配送中心选址中的应用

分析了配送中心选址的重要性及现有的方法,提出采用改进层次分析法进行配送中心的选址决策。建立评价指标体系的层次结构模型,确定各项评价指标的权重,采用改进层次分析法和模糊评价法相结合的方法对具体的实例进行综合评价。     

综合交通运输体系安全评价模型的建立

为构建综合交通运输体系安全评价模型,首先建立评价指标体系,并建立希尔伯特指标空间,运用泛函理论和层次分析法确定指标层和准则层的权重,再通过模糊综合评判法确定准则层和目标层的安全等级.通过该评价模型,可对不同城市或地区综合交通运输的安全状况做出评价.     

油库作业预警等级确定的指标体系分析和模糊评价研究

针对油库作业预警等级科学选择的重要性,本文将层次分析法和模糊评价进行结合,建立了多级综合评价模型。同时,应用该算法对具体实例进行评估,以得出完整的决策过程。     

铁路集装箱办理站布局综合评价模型中权重的确定方法

铁路集装箱办理站布局综合评价模型中，权重的确定是非常重要的。通过将层次分析法和局部变权法相结合的综合评价模型、产生权重方法的论述，以具体实例说明该方法的优越性。     

改进灰色关联分析法在物流园区选址中的应用

通过对物流园区选址的影响因素和物流园区选址常用的方法进行了具体的分析,将层次分析法和灰色关联分析法结合成改进灰色关联分析法,对物流园区的选址问题进行评价,从而得到最佳的物流园区建设方案。并通过实例说明该方法的有效性,能很好地解决物流园区的选址问题。     

A methodology based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process for the quantitative assessment of emergency preparedness and response in road tunnels

The paper presents and discusses a methodology to judge the effectiveness of the preparedness activities in case of accidents in road tunnels by considering the system from several points of view (i.e. structural/technical, organizational/human, and contextual). Due to the different nature of the criteria involved in the assessment activity, we chose to apply the Analytic Hierarchy Process methodology (Saaty, T.L. (2006). Fundamentals of Decision Making and Priority Theory with the Analytic Hierarchy Process, RWS Publications, Pittsburgh) that allows comparing and appraising quantitatively variables that are incommensurable and that may originate from distinct and separate areas. The paper identifies the hierarchic structure necessary to measure both the performance of the emergency response system for road tunnel accidents and the weights for assessing their relative importance. Finally, the methodology is applied to a case study on a transnational road tunnel between Italy and France to show a feasible evaluation of the sensitivity of the structure to the input variables in order to find the most valuable enhancing and improving actions.     

Analytic Hierarchy Process assessment for potential multi-airport systems – The case of Cape Town

This paper discusses the application of an Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) analysis for the assessment of a potential multi-airport development. The case study presented evaluates the potential introduction of a second airport in the City of Cape Town, which is currently served solely by Cape Town International Airport. With socioeconomic development, spatial planning, transportation improvement, environmental preservation and financial viability proposed as the main objectives of airport development, a survey of key stakeholders addressed the relative weighting of these criteria in the AHP. The multi-criteria decision-making assessment, as well as analyst judgement, concluded that the City of Cape Town should continue to utilise a single-airport system until passenger volumes per annum increase beyond the 27 Million Air Passengers per annum level.     

Overall safety performance of the air traffic management system: Indicators and analysis

Defining means to assess safety performance and delve into their causes is one of the current and future challenges of the ATM sector. Following the experiences of the Aerospace Performance Factor by FAA and EUROCONTROL, this research aims to apply the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) in order to build synthetic and user-friendly safety-related indicators. Through the analysis and combination of the safety events over time (accidents, incidents and issues), this model will pinpoint critical situations and will address the interventions of the decision makers.     

A study of the competitiveness of airline cargo services departing from Korea: Focusing on the main export routes

The purpose of this study was to identify the competitive service factors of airlines by rating the views of forwarders in the export market departing from Korea. An Analytic Hierarchy Process was applied to data collected from the officers of the top 50 forwarders in charge of choosing the airlines. The results showed that price appeared to be the most important factor for all routes. Other attributes showed varying degrees of importance, depending on the route. Based on the results, the most competitive airlines were selected for each route and strategic alternatives were proposed for each airline.     

客运站营销工作质量的层次综合评价方法

铁路客运站营销工作受多方面因素影响,且大多数因素具有模糊性难以定量化。为此,以定性定量相结合的系统思想为指导,运用层次分析与模糊综合评价的相关方法,对客运站的营销工作质量进行综合评价。在介绍方法原理与步骤的基础上,应用层次模糊评价法对某客运站的营销工作质量进行了评价。     

Structuring an effective human error intervention strategy selection model for commercial aviation

Flight safety cannot be compromised. Thus, commercial airlines should constantly develop safety management strategies to mitigate the diverse hazardous factors in flight operations. Given the constraint of organizational resource, a commercial airline may not have sufficient resources to implement all the necessary strategies simultaneously. This study uses a well-structured process to develop a qualitative evaluation model that will enable airlines to identify human errors and select an intervention strategy with the highest success potential. To clarify the decision problem, the Human Factors Intervention Matrix framework is utilized to construct the decision hierarchy. The Analytic Hierarchy Process is then used to attain the priorities of potential alternative strategies for various unsafe acts. Finally, Zero-One Goal Programming models are formulated to select an optimal portfolio based on the specific target and the available organizational resources. An empirical study is presented to illustrate the application of the proposed model. According to the results of the combined model, an optimal portfolio, including the intervention approaches of organizational/administrative, human/crew, and operational/physical environment, can remediate four unsafe acts, namely, decision errors, skill-based errors, perceptual errors, and violations, under resource constraints of the organization.     

基于不确定多属性计算评价城市交通系统的方法研究

提出了评价内容涉及交通系统功能水平、交通发展协调水平、资源利用水平和环境影响水平4个方面,由31项属性指标构成城市交通系统评价指标体系,并根据评价中残缺的评价判断信息、混合的判断信息反映出的不确定、模糊的实际情况,分别采取辅助矩阵的方法和最小偏差函数的线性目标方法计算确定权重,并采用加权算术平均和组合加权算术平均方法进行各项指标综合,得到交通发展综合评价值。     

Towards an objective decision-making framework for regional airport site selection

Airport site selection requires consideration of several criteria constrained by complicated trade-offs. Airport literature and practice provide valuable insights in terms of influencing factors and multicriteria assessment methods, at the pace that reported siting processes follow non uniform decision-making structures. Current developments in geoinformation unveil a valuable opportunity of development of a structured methodology in the field of airport siting. Brazilian public sector decision-makers recognize that such methodology has the potential to improve the allocation of federal budget for new regional airports, in terms of implementation time and political friction. This research proposes a methodology termed MESA - Metodologia de Escolha de Sítios Aeroportuários (in Portuguese, Airport Site Selection Methodology). The purpose of MESA is to be sound under technical grounds and at the same time provide a more objective decision-making process. The proposed methodology consists of 4 phases: i) literature review of airport site selection criteria; ii) criteria systematization; iii) setting up of eliminatory criteria and their thresholds; and iv) setting up of scoring criteria and of an approach for their quantification. Eliminatory criteria reduce the original screening area, while scoring criteria are used for ranking purposes. MESA combines GIS (Geographic Information System) and classic AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) with direct assessment of alternatives through specific techniques. So far, the methodology has been applied to two real cases in the Brazilian context. In addition to effectively reducing subjectivity in airport site location decision, MESA has been demonstrating to be a powerful tool for mitigating environmental and social impacts associated to airport site selection. MESA is designed in such a way that simplifies improvements and adaptations, making it widely applicable.