泰安市环境污染损失对GDP的修正核算

经济的发展和不断增长的GDP数字,是建立在资源环境不断透支的基础之上的,这种高消耗、高污染的发展方式使社会不能承受环境污染造成的风险。采用污染治理成本法对泰安市环境污染成本进行了核算,结果表明泰安市2006年环境治理成本占当年GDP的1.03%,10.45亿元属于虚增值,泰安市2006年绿色GDP为1001.75亿元。     

剔除通胀因素后中国人均消费支出的实证分析

根据一般消费理论,收入和价格是决定消费两个主要因素。根据1980-2006年我国消费样本数据建立了我国消费模型,通过EVIEWS软件利用OLS方法进行参数估计,并对模型进行了检验。经过计量分析得知我国人均消费水平受GDP影响,且人均消费水平与人均CGDP呈明显线性关系。若我国人均GDP增长1%,则人均居民消费水平约增加0.71%。滞后的人均消费水平对我国当年的人均消费水平的影响是不显著的。     

长三角地区智慧城市建设对城市创新能力影响

为了探究长三角地区智慧城市建设对城市创新能力发展的影响,通过构建智慧城市建设评价体系,从智慧民生、城市治理、经济发展三个方面建设创建城市创新评价指标。使用Stata计量软件,建立多元回归模型对变量卫生机构数、社会消费品零售总额、绿化覆盖面积、污水处理量、城镇人均可支配收入、第三产业增加值对城市创新能力的实证检验。结果表明,第三产业增加值和社会消费品零售总额对城市创新有正向的促进作用,城镇人均可支配收入对城市创新的系数为负,卫生机构数、绿化覆盖面积、污水处理量对城市创新表现不明显。研究表明:长三角地区智慧城市建设对城市创新能力有明显的促进作用。最后根据研究结果提出合理的建议。     

浅议绿色供应链管理

由于消费者的绿色消费需求，环境法规和环境标准的出台，以及绿色产业的优势吸引，使得绿色管理将成为企业管理的必然选择。本文结合供应链企业的特点，提出供应链企业实施绿色供应链管理，并从产品的设计、生产和营销以及供应商的环境评估等方面对绿色供应链管理的实施进行了探讨。     

基于EKC的杭州市经济增长与环境质量演进关系研究

以EKC为理论基础,选取1983-2010年杭州市经济和环境数据,通过二次、三次函数模型拟合,建立最优模型,以此分析杭州市经济增长与环境质量演进的关系。结果表明:人均GDP与6种环境指标的EKC均呈现出倒U形的特征。其中工业废气排放量、人均工业废气排放量、工业废水排放量、人均工业废水排放量已越过转折点,出现在EKC右侧;工业固体废物产生量、人均工业固体废物产生量还处于EKC左侧。据此提出相应的政策建议。     

CORRUPTION'S DIRECT EFFECTS ON PER‐CAPITA INCOME GROWTH: A META‐ANALYSIS

Corruption is a symptom of weak institutional quality and could have potentially adverse effects on economic growth. However, heterogeneity in reported findings makes it difficult to synthesize the evidence base with a view to test competing hypotheses and/or support evidence‐based policy and practice. To address this issue, we have extracted 327 estimates of corruption's direct effect on per‐capita GDP growth from 29 primary studies, following a peer‐reviewed and pre‐published systematic review protocol. Precision‐effect and funnel asymmetry tests indicate that corruption has a negative effect on per‐capita GDP growth after controlling for publication selection bias and within‐study dependence. However, multivariate meta‐regression analysis results indicate that the overall effect is not robust to inclusion of moderating variables through a general‐to‐specific procedure for model specification. We report that the marginal effect of corruption on per‐capita GDP growth is more adverse when the primary study estimates relate to long‐run growth, are based on low‐income‐country data only, and extracted from journal papers. The effect is less adverse in studies that use the International Country Risk Guide corruption perceptions index and in those reporting estimates from two‐stage least‐squares estimations.     

控股家族涉入能促进企业履行环境责任吗？——基于中国A股上市公司的证据

基于2009—2017年我国沪深A股上市公司样本，比较了家族企业与非家族企业所履行的环境责任差异，研究了控股家族涉入对企业环境责任行为的影响。研究结果发现：家族企业比非家族企业更少地履行环境责任；在家族企业中，所有权比例的增加会显著降低环境责任水平，家族成员出任董事长会象征性地披露更多环境责任信息，家族涉入时间与环境责任之间总体上呈现出倒U型关系。进一步研究表明，家族企业会有选择地履行环境责任以维护家族声誉同时减少经济利益损失，控股家族涉入对环境责任的影响在创业型和非创业型家族企业中有所不同，在强制披露的企业中所有权比例对企业环境责任的消极影响会有所减弱。     

Japan

Data from Q2 point to a steep fall in GDP after April's consumption tax rise. The composite PMI was in contraction territory in April and May, and only just recovered to the 50 mark in June. Official data for retail sales and industrial output similarly show that spending and production were cut back in Q2. We estimate that GDP fell by 1.5% in Q2, driven by a reversal of Q1's strength in consumption and investment…     

基于逐步回归法的皖西物流需求研究

影响区域物流需求的因素有经济总量、贸易水平等经济指标。文中选取皖西地区2001～2012年期间GDP、全社会固定资产投资、进出口总额、城镇居民人均可支配收入、社会消费品零售总额为自变量,以货运周转量代替物流需求量为因变量,通过SPSS软件用逐步回归法对皖西物流需求情况进行多元线性回归分析,得出全社会固定资产投资及城镇居民人均可支配收入对货运周转量有显著影响,并提出建议。     

中美两国经济实力与潜力的比较分析

改革开放以来,经过30多年的发展,中国已重新成为全球经济大国之一。本文利用C-D生产函数和索洛增长模型对中国中长期经济发展进行预测,在国内外研究成果的基础上对美国中长期经济发展进行预测,探讨了在不同情况下中美两国经济的对比分析和追及问题。本文预测结果表明,中国经济只要保持平稳增长,将在2030年前实现多个目标：一是GDP总量超过美国;二是人均GDP超过1.7万美元;三是人均国民总收入接近高收入国家行列;四是商品零售额、商品进口额等宏观指标赶上美国。     

Natural disasters,growth and institutions: A tale of two earthquakes

We examine the impact of natural disasters on GDP per capita by applying the synthetic control approach and using a within-country perspective. Our analysis encompasses two large-scale earthquakes that occurred in two different Italian regions in 1976 and 1980. We show that the short-term effects are negligible in both regions, though they become negative if we simulate the GDP that would have been observed in absence of financial aid. In the long-term, our findings indicate a positive effect in one case and a negative effect in the other, largely reflecting divergent patterns of the TFP. Consistent with these findings, we offer further evidence suggesting that a quake and related financial aid might either increase technical efficiency via a disruptive creation mechanism or reduce it by stimulating corruption, distorting the markets and deteriorating social capital. Finally, we show that the bad outcome is more likely to occur in regions with lower pre-quake institutional quality. As a result, our evidence suggests that unanticipated local shocks are likely to change long run growth rates, exacerbating territorial disparities.     

基于STIRPAT模型的能源消费碳排放影响因素研究——以云南省为例

本文以云南省为例借鉴STIRPAT模型从人口、城市化率、GDP总额、人均GDP、第二产业占GDP的比重、单位GDP能耗、煤炭消费比重共7个因素对碳排放的影响进行研究,构建了影响因素的方程模型。最后对相关影响因素的影响关系及影响程度进行了分析。     

价值工程在绿色校园建筑中的应用

目前全国已有多个省、市、自治区着手建设绿色GDP评价体系,建立绿色GDP考核办法。经济发展、财富积累不能以过度消耗资源、能源和污染环境为代价。实现绿色校园建筑的途径需要进行价值功能分析,本文提出了价值功能分析的指标及实现绿色校园建筑的途径。     

A multivariate analysis of hybrid and electric vehicles sales in Mexico

This paper presents a multivariate analysis considering economic and ecological factors that are associated with the acquisition of low emission vehicles in Mexico. We analyzed the data available in the Mexican context from its 32 states and use econometric analyses with linear regression models to determine the significant factors associated with the sales of hybrid and electric vehicles. We found that the sales of these vehicles are positively correlated with the GDP per capita, the cost of consumed electricity, the price of gasoline and an indicator variable defined for sustainable practices. This indicator variable is calculated using data on the certificates issued by the government environmental office, energy intensity, adequate disposal of waste and waste separation. Based on these results, we infer that adherence to sustainable practices has a positive correlation with the acquisition of low emission vehicles in Mexico. However, for the buyers, the affordability of these vehicles is more important than their energy efficiency. In addition, we found that the most industrialized states are adopting hybrid and electric vehicles at higher rates than states whose economy depends on commerce and tourism.     

重工业化、人均实际GDP与碳强度——基于省级面板数据

本文运用Driscoll-Kraay的稳健性估计方法分析了中国碳强度与重工业比重以及人均实际GDP之间的关系。研究结果表明：（1）碳强度与人均实际GDP之间存在着非线性的负相关关系，同时，碳强度下降的速度是先随人均实际GDP提高而加快随后又放缓的的这样一个倒U型关系。（2）重工业比重同碳强度之间存在着显著的正相关关系，并且回归系数比较大，说明重工业比重对于我国碳强度的影响比较大，通过降低重工业比重有助于降低我国的碳强度。     

The effect of corruption on environmental performance: Does spatial dependence play a role?

Different from previous studies that mainly focused on conventional estimation techniques, this paper explores the role of spatial dependence in the effect of corruption on environmental performance by using a spatial panel data model. Our results show that the direct effects, indirect effects and total effects of corruption on environmental performance are negative and highly significant, implying that corruption is detrimental to environmental performance. More importantly, we find that there is a significant spatial spillover effect between corruption and environmental performance, namely being surrounded by highly corrupt countries has a negative impact on the local country’s environmental performance. Our results also suggest that a larger population density will worsen the environment, while urbanization has a significant positive impact. These results provide some important implications for policymakers seeking to improve their environmental performance.     

ESG表现与企业金融化——内外监管双“管”齐下的调节效应

以2011—2018年A股非金融、非房地产上市公司为样本,探讨环境、社会责任及公司治理（ESG）表现对企业金融化的影响效应。研究表明：ESG表现抑制了企业金融化,而企业内部监管会放大ESG表现对企业金融化的负向效应,外部金融监管则弱化了两者之间的负向关系。抑制效应、放大效应和弱化效应在环境、社会责任方面体现较为明显,而在公司治理方面不明显。进一步研究发现,ESG表现以及环境、社会责任能通过融资约束抑制企业金融化行为,融资约束在公司治理对企业金融化的影响中不具有中介作用;异质性分析发现ESG表现以及环境、社会责任对企业金融化的抑制效应在国有企业、研发能力较强企业中较为显著,而公司治理在非国有企业和研发能力较强的企业中表现出正向的金融化效应。研究结果丰富了ESG表现影响企业金融化的理论机制,为完善上市公司监管制度体系、夯实实体经济发展根基提供了依据。     

货币渠道与信贷渠道的比较研究——基于1994年至2011年季度数据

货币政策传导机制素有货币渠道和信贷渠道之分.我国GDP受到货币供应量和贷款余额的共同影响,在两个标准差的货币政策变量冲击下,贷款余额对我国GDP的影响大于货币供应量,而随着时间的推移,货币渠道的影响在逐渐加大,信贷渠道的影响则相对减弱.     

真实盈余管理对企业未来经营绩效影响的实证研究

基于我国A股上市公司2008—2015年的财务数据，实证考察真实盈余管理行为对其后四个会计年度财务绩效和市场绩效的影响，并进一步探究真实盈余管理的不同手段对企业经营绩效的作用，结果表明，真实盈余管理会显著降低企业未来的财务绩效和市场绩效，且这种降低程度在逐年减弱。相较于市场绩效，在长期内真实盈余管理对财务绩效的负向影响更持久。从真实盈余管理的具体方式来看，销售操控、费用操控和生产操控都会降低企业后期的财务绩效和市场绩效，对财务绩效的降低作用更明显。三种方式中，销售操控在长期内对企业经营绩效的负向作用最大。     

Is the causal nexus of energy utilization and economic growth asymmetric in the US?

This paper re-examines the causal nexus of energy utilization and GDP per capita in the US. The novelty of the paper is to allow for asymmetry in causality by using a new test introduced by Hatemi-J (forthcoming). A bootstrap procedure is used with leveraged corrections that perform more accurately when the statistical assumptions for validity of asymptotic distributions are not fulfilled. This is especially the case for sample sizes as in the current paper. The estimation results reveal strongly that a negative energy consumption shock will cause a negative shock in the output per capita. That is, if the energy utilization per capita decreases then the output per capita will also decrease. Surprisingly, such a causal impact for positive shocks is not found. These empirical results might indicate that there is an optimal quantity of energy in the US that needs to be consumed as otherwise the economic growth will suffer. However, the consumption of energy beyond that optimal quantity will not necessarily result in an enhanced rate of economic growth.