A grey dynamic model for the evaluation of regional sustainable development and its empirical study

Currently, traditional development issues, such as economic stagnation, as well as new challenges like environmental degradation and globalization, need attention. Sustainable development, including economic, environmental, and social elements, is a main goal of decision-makers. The key to sustainable decision-making is to evaluate and forecast the status quo of sustainable development. Policy makers need a tool based on scientific information to forecast the effects of future actions on sustainability and make policies for sustainable development. This paper analyzes the relation of the economy, environment and social welfare by the grey dynamic model. The proposed method uses time series and basic indicators of ecological system, including economic, environmental and social sub-systems. It is applied to Heilongjiang Province and Jiangsu Province. The results have proved different status quo of sustainable development in these two regions, and suggestions are proposed, such as optimization of industrial structure and eco-industrial development. The conclusion is that there is no unique sustainable path, and accordingly, policy makers should choose different criteria and strategies to make efficient sustainable decisions for each region.     

新型城镇化下城镇可持续发展的内涵解析与差异化特征探讨

通过分析城镇可持续发展面临的发展形势严峻、基础设施相对落后、公共服务不均以及资源环境压力大等问题,并借鉴温哥华、斯德哥尔摩皇家海港城以及新加坡等国外城市可持续发展经验,总结归纳了新时代下城镇可持续发展的基本内涵及与其相关的经济转型、以人为本、基础设施、公共服务、城乡融合、社会治理和生态环境等重点领域,从产业结构、基础设施、开发用地以及满意度等方面深入剖析了城镇可持续发展的差异化特征。     

A cost-benefit analysis for the economic growth in China

Currently, traditional development issues such as income inequality, depletion of natural resources, environmental pollution as well as retardation of infrastructure have occurred in China. In the future, more pressures would be imposed on China by the continuous fast development of industrialization, and with transfer of the world manufacture center to China. Sustainable development, including its economic, environmental and social elements, is a key goal of decisionmakers. This paper develops a methodology on cost benefit analysis of economic growth at macroscopic level to identify issues of China's sustainability. In order to address some important issues on how to make policies to improve the quality of economic growth, the CBA framework developed in this study analyses economic-ecological-social interaction, building three accounts that reflect three dimensions of sustainable development that includes 26 sub-models in all, and finally is integrated into an index as Net Progress Proceeds (NPP). The estimation methods of these submodels, such as cost of environmental pollution, depletion of natural resources and defensive expenditures are described in detail. Based on the framework and methods, this paper examines the costs and benefits of economic growth in three aspects of economy, ecology and society. The results illustrate that NPR of China's economic growth had been negative for a long time and has just became positive since year 2000 but was quite low. Even the best was only 1.6% in 2002 (the worst was − 24.2% in 1982). Based on the comparison between three accounts, we can draw a conclusion that ecological cost is the dominant factor that affects China's NPR. The empirical results show that if no other innovative measures or policies are taken in the future the costs of growth would outweigh its benefits, resulting in un-sustainability. Basically, the long-term economic growth would be unsustainable due to increasing environmental damage and depletion of natural resources. There are a few limitations that we consider need to be improved in our CBA framework and method, nevertheless they have many options that can be explored by policy makers, to make the development path more sustainable.     

辽宁省“三大经济区”产业发展方向分析——基于灰色局势决策理论

优化产业布局是关系区域经济、社会与环境可持续发展的关键问题。长期以来,人们只注重从经济资源出发考虑产业布局,忽视从环境、经济、社会协调发展的角度进行产业布局,结果必然造成地区发展失衡。尝试运用灰色系统理论中的灰色局势决策方法对辽宁省＂三大经济区＂的产业发展方向进行了探析,为辽宁省优化产业布局,推进区域间的整合,提高区域整体产业水平提供有力的依据。     

南京市能源利用及可持续利用研究

在全国的大背景之下,对南京市能源使用量、能源结构、能源利用效率、能源利用对环境的影响等能源利用现状作了仔细的研究,对三种情况下的南京未来能源使用前景作了情景分析,并在协调经济可持续发展与生态环境保护的目标下探索了未来南京的能源保障及集约利用策略。     

民族地区旅游产业可持续发展研究

少数民族地区旅游资源丰富,各地普遍开展的旅游活动促进了当地的经济社会发展,也给当地的环境带来巨大的冲击,对旅游产业的规制因而显得日趋重要。从少数民族地区的旅游现状入手,分析目前旅游中存在的环境问题,引出旅游产业可持续发展概念并探寻完善的可持续保护机制,以期完善少数民族地区旅游产业发展,在保护这一优势产业的同时,保障地区生态环境及少数民族的环境权益。     

社会断裂与社会支持:失独老人社会关系的重建

社会政策、传统文化、经济等因素使得失独老人面临着社会保障、经济困顿、养老、医疗、社会心理恢复等问题,表现为与他人、社区之间社会关系的"断裂"现象。对安徽省合肥市失独老人生活现状及社会支持网络作了实证研究。失独老人对现状不满意,社会关系"家庭化",存在社会支持方面的缺失。影响失独老人社会关系重建的主要因素为性别、教育程度、收入、失去独生子女的时间和社会政策。从多元的视角,提出建立失独老人社会支持体系,重建失独老人社会关系、融入社区的操作性对策。     

陕西技术创新的现状与对策研究

企业是技术创新的主体,而技术创新是当代社会经济发展的引擎.为此,我们对陕西省西安、咸阳、宝鸡等三个地区的62个企业进行了实地考察,通过调查研究,我们分析了陕西技术创新的现状,提出了陕西技术创新存在的问题,并针对问题提出了技术创新的对策措施,以期能为陕西技术--经济的发展献计献策.     

区域持续发展的因素分析与主要对策

持续发展是解决当今全球性PRED问题的基本原则和社会经济发展的最终目标．已得到各国政府、社会工作者的普遍关注。区域持续发展是区域发展的最理想境界，其主要目标是区域的社会、经济和生态可持续发展。它受到多种因素的制约．如资源短缺、环境压力、区域不平等、增长的质量、人口压力、科技水平和管理、决策水平等。针对我国国情．提出区域持续发展的主要对策：加强基础设施的建设：建立资源节约型国民经济体系；加快科技进步：控制人口数量，提高人口素质；加强区域协调．实行对外开放；加强环境保护和整治：加强法制及组织管理。     

迈向可持续发展的宁夏回族自治区

改革开放以来,特别是实施西部大开发战略以来,宁夏回族自治区在经济社会发展、生态环境建设、民族团结等方面,都取得了举世瞩目的成就。文章从地理学角度,对宁夏的基础建设,资源优势转化,城乡关系和区域关系,生态修复和环境保护等作一鸟瞰,并从宁夏与全国平均水平、东部经济发展差距的视角,指示宁夏走向协调、可持续发展,首先应尽快实现人均基本公共服务达到全国平均水平的目标。     

Assessment of urban sustainable development using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation

1. Introduction In 1987, World Commission on Environment and Development explained the concept of sustainable development for the first time in the report Our Com- mon Future, which has reached a wide agreement. “Sustainable development seeks to meet the needs and aspirations of the present without compromis- ing the ability to meet those of the future”. In other words, it refers to the harmonious development of economy, society, resources and environment, which are an inseparable system.…     

县级政府行政成本规模与县域经济发展关系剖析

县级政府行政成本规模适度与否、其职能实施的绩效如何,已经成为影响基层政权运行状况、县域经济发展态势,并最终影响社会安定和国家长治久安的重要问题。将县级政府行政成本规模与县域经济发展问题整合思考,描述分析县级政府行政成本规模的现状及其原因,结论是:我国县级政府行政成本规模与县域社会经济发展之间存在极为密切的逆相关关系,促进县域社会经济持续健康发展的一项至关重要的措施就是,必须及时有效地控制县级政府行政成本规模。     

新疆城市可持续发展的综合评价

进入21世纪,我国城市化进程明显加快,城市发展面临前所未有的挑战。在“可持续发展”由理论到实践的过程中,一个亟待解决的中心问题就是对城市可持续发展的评价。本文从可持续发展的定义出发,按照科学性、弱相关性、可操作性等原则设计能反映经济、环境和社会协调发展现状的指标体系;针对新疆经济、环境和社会状况,利用新疆15个样本城市的相关统计资料,构建新疆城市可持续发展指标体系,并运用主成分分析方法对新疆城市可持续发展水平进行综合评价。     

湖南省生态经济分区及其发展研究

生态经济分区是宏观管理区域社会经济持续发展的一种新模式，旨在协调区域经济发展与生态环境保护以及合理利用自然资源的关系。研究依据省级生态建设与发展需要，从生态经济系统原理出发，以行政县为分类的基本单元，采用模糊聚类分析方法对湖南省进行了不重叠、内在的聚合分类。在此基础上，对各生态经济区的生态经济特点、发展方向和环境保护策略进行了具体分析，为宏观指导湖南省生态经济建设与可持续发展提供科学依据。     

能源-经济-环境(3E)系统和谐度评价研究——以河北省为例

能源系统与经济系统、环境系统存在着相互影响、相互制约的发展关系,三者的和谐发展是3E系统发展的最终目标。河北省3E系统整体和谐度处在初级和谐的状态,为此河北省应该进一步加大经济发展速度,同时延续节能减排和产业结构优化政策不放松,从而使能源系统、经济系统和环境系统和谐发展。     

新疆湿地生态系统保护法律研究

湿地是一种特殊类型的土地资源,是地球上水域和陆地间过渡的生态系统,具有极高的经济价值、生态价值和社会价值,因此越来越受到人们的重视。当前在对新疆湿地保护中存在的首要问题就是湿地保护法律法规不健全、不完善。因此要从充分考虑新疆特殊资源环境与经济发展的实际情况出发,加快完善新疆湿地保护立法,有针对性地提出湿地保护法律细则,做到有的放矢。     

山东省能源消耗结构与经济增长的动态分析

能源是经济增长的动力源泉,是经济社会运行的根本保障。建立在能源基础上的现代社会,能源消耗结构是否合理决定了其经济发展能否可持续。研究山东省能源消耗结构的变动状况,以及能源消费与经济增长的关系,可以促进山东省经济的持续增长。     

中小企业财务管理存在的问题及对策

中小企业是国民经济的重要组成部分，封经济发展和社会稳定起着举足轻重的作用。但由于其产出规模小、资本和技术构成较低、受传统体制和外部宏观经济影响大等特点，使其在财务管理方面存在着与自身发展和市场经济均不适应的问题，导致在激烈的市场竞争中面临巨大困难。基于此，本文通过分析中国中小企业的财务管理的现状，提出完善中小企业财务管理的对策。     

Economic Policy and the Progressive Idea

Abstract

Recent events in different countries suggest that institutional change is discontinuous and may lead to abrupt change. A specific case is shifts in social consensus. The article focuses on the latter. It argues that people make sense of their lives in relation to how they situate themselves within society. Their identities depend on the degree to which they are capable consciously to conduct their lives. Undesired economic change may disrupt previous identities and cause cognitive dissonance. At the collective level, it may trigger in-group versus out-group dynamics that provide a fictitious identity and either reinforce the status quo or suddenly subvert it.

Neoliberalism caused such undesired changes. A progressive alternative cannot rely just on convincing people that a change in conventional economic measures is desirable. It requires a recovery of people’s active and conscious self-identification. This involves overcoming their forced adaptation to the status quo through participation and collective action     

Development of resource-conserving society：from the perspective of circular economy

The purpose of building a resource-conserving society is to pursuit less resource consumption and less environmental pollution,and to accept greater economic and social benefits,and the ultimate goal is to ensure sustainable use of resources and economic and social sustainable development.Developing circular economy is the inevitable choice and the basic way to build a resource-conserving society.Recycling economy is a resource-conserving production,initiate resource-conserving consumption,and it is the key to build resource-conserving society.This study tries to clarify the relationship between them and bring forward a scientific index system which can measure the development level of a resource-conserving society.It provides a new set of ideas for the evaluation of resourceconserving society,and it is important for the resource-conserving society assessment and construction,while further empirical research is made on China＇s eastern coastal Shandong Province.