关于中国应对印度反倾销的思考

近年来，中国与印度这两个世界上人口最多的国家,在世界经济的舞台上上演着经济的快速腾飞，中国和印度经济快速稳定的发展使两国逐渐成为世界注目的焦点。中国经济的高速发展，在出口环节上给印度的国内产业造成了较大压力。因此，印度不得不采取贸易保护措施来打击中国的出口，印度对华反倾销立案数激增，反倾销立案数一半针对中国，成为对华反倾销最多的发展中国家。文章分析了造成这一现象的原因并探讨了应对策略。     

中国成为贸易强国的战略路径

2004年中国对外贸易额达11547.4亿美元,相当于“入世”之前2001年全年贸易规模的2.3倍,取代日本成为全球第三大贸易国。中国占世界货物贸易总额的比重为6.2%,其中出口占世界出口总额的比重为6.5%,进口为5.9%,成为名副其实的贸易大国。但中国目前还不是贸易强国,要成为世界贸易强国还有很长的路要走。     

我国纺织品贸易发展对策研究

中国是世界纺织品全球第一大生产大国，同时纺织品贸易在我国的国际贸易中占有重要地位，但自从金融危机以来，纺织品出口总额大幅下降，很大程度上影响了我国外贸发展。因而，我们有必要认清中国纺织贸易现状和存在的问题，从而思考分析，分别从政府、行业以及企业本身三个方面提出相应的发展对策，促进我国对外贸易的持续稳定发展。     

中国对印度投资合作现状及前景

正中国和印度是世界上人口最多的两个发展中国家和新兴经济体,有着紧密的经贸合作关系。据中国海关统计,2013年中印双边贸易额达到654.7亿美元,印度在中国贸易伙伴中排名第18位,是中国的第八大出口市场。据印度统计,中国是印度第一大贸易伙伴、最大进口来源地和第三大     

中国遭遇反倾销的宏观决定因素及其影响效应

美国、印度是中国重要的贸易伙伴,在现实的贸易往来中,美国、印度对中国反倾销的贸易影响效应很大,其反倾销的宏观决定因素有发起国的GDP增长率、从中国进口渗透率、对人民币的汇率变动、对中国出口比重等,但由于发起国各自的深层次经济因素影响,各因素的影响作用又各不相同。     

中国服务贸易国际竞争优势比较研究北大核心SSCI

本文首先评估和比较世界服务贸易主要国家美国、英国、德国和印度的服务贸易竞争力,然后分析了这几个国家的服务贸易促进政策,最后在此基础上对中国的服务贸易竞争力进行了全面评估和自我发展探究。本文主要运用贸易竞争力指数（TC）和显示性比较优势指数（RcA）对各国服贸竞争力进行数据计算和分析,得出的结论是中国的服务贸易虽然增长显著,但却始终处于贸易逆差状态,在两大竞争力指数上都与服务贸易强国存在差距。对此,本文提出为了提升中国服贸出口竞争力,应该完善管理体制、拓宽国家市场、有效整合资源、开拓新贸易模式并发展生产性服务贸易。     

中印经贸关系现状与前景

中国和印度这两个拥有世界上最多人口的国家是世界上最快速发展的两个经济体,都具有庞大的市场潜力,两者在拥有很多共性的同时又具有很大的贸易互补性。文章详细分析了中印两国自建交以来的贸易发展历程、现状和前景,并在此基础上提出了中印经贸合作的互补领域,以及在未来经贸发展中应注意的问题。     

中国出口贸易的国际竞争力比较与分析

近几年,中国对外贸易得到快速发展。尤其是在受经济危机影响较大的2008年和2009年,中国的出口贸易仍然保持了较高的增长速度。2008年出口贸易额居世界第二,2009年更是超越德国成为世界第一出口大国。出口数量及规模的增长是否代表贸易结构的优化以及贸易竞争力的提高。文章运用贸易竞争力指标与欧盟、美国、日本、印度以及新加坡等贸易大国进行比较研究,并在此基础上得出结论。     

中韩经贸的合作与竞争

中韩经贸合作始于70年代末,以去年8月两国正式建交为标志,进入了一个新的时期。1992年,中韩两国的经贸合作取得了令人瞩目的成绩,今年以来继续保持高速发展的势头。按中国海关统计,1992年中韩两国贸易额为50.6亿美元,比1991年增长56%,其中出口24.37亿美元,进口26.23亿美元,分别比上年增长11.8%和146%;今年1—6月为31.07亿美元,比去年同期增长54%,其中出口11.01亿美元,进口20.05亿美元,分别比上年增长—3.4%和128.8%。中韩贸易在各自的对外贸易中已占相当重要的地位,中国是韩国的第三大贸易伙伴,韩国是中国的第七大贸易伙伴。1992年,中韩贸易额占中国对外贸易总额的比重为3.1%,对韩出口占出口总额的2.9%(按中国海关统计);韩中贸易额占韩国对外贸易总额的比重为5.2%,对中国出口与出口总额的比重为5.8%(按韩国海关统计)。     

中印商品贸易的竞争性与互补性分析

中国和印度同为世界上发展中大国,由于两国地理位置相邻,国情相似,使得两国在贸易中有很大的相似性。运用贸易结合度指数、显示性比较优势指数和贸易互补性指数三个测度指标,探析中国和印度商品贸易的竞争性和互补性的态势,对中国制定正确的贸易政策和促连双方经贸合作具有十分重要的意义。     

我国加工贸易对经济增长影响的实证研究

利用我国1989～2009年国内生产总值和加工贸易进出口额,采用实证方法检验了加工贸易对我国经济增长的影响,发现加工贸易净出口促进经济增长,且净出口是GDP增长的格兰杰原因。     

Migrant Networks: Empirical Implications for the Italian Bilateral Trade

A significant number of empirical studies, focusing on different countries, have found a positive link between migration and trade. This paper studies the relationship between emigration, immigration and trade using Italian data. The sample regards 51 foreign trading partners and spans from 1990 to 2005. The results suggest that networks of Italian emigrants in foreign countries boost bilateral trade. The effects of immigrants are weak on exports and negative on imports. Results do not change when cultural and institutional dissimilarities between countries are considered.     

新贸易壁垒对策研究(英文)

中国进入世界贸易组织以后,国外将逐步降低对中国设置的贸易壁垒的门槛,进口许可及进口配额等传统的非贸易壁垒也会有所减少,但这并不是说中国的商品就能在国际市场上顺利流通。实际上以技术为中心的新型贸易壁垒正在增加,并将会成为阻碍中国未来国际贸易的最大障碍。而中国缺乏对这一新型贸易壁垒体系的理解,因此当前了解新贸易壁垒的内容意义重大,它有助于中国采取及时、恰当的措施解决新贸易壁垒带来的问题,以适应中国国际贸易的可持续发展。     

WHAT DETERMINES TRADE BETWEEN CHINA AND INDIA DURING THE RECESSION OF 2008–2012?

Despite the international status of China and India rising dramatically in the previous decades, trade between the two countries did not grow accordingly. This paper investigates the determinants of the bilateral trade performance during the period of 2008–2012 from two perspectives: comparative advantage and trade protection. Two cases, Chinese exports to India, and Indian exports to China, are analyzed by using product‐level data. The results suggest that (1) the law of comparative advantage and trade protection explain the pattern of China–India trade, while (2) in a time of crisis, the adverse forces become prominent which explains the declining trend of the bilateral trade. (JEL F13, F14)     

How China is Reorganizing the World Economy*

We analyze the impact of China's integration into the global economy on other countries, Asian countries in particular. We first examine how the growth of China's exports is affecting the exports of other countries in Asia and the rest of the world. Our innovation is to distinguish exports of capital goods, consumer goods, and intermediates and to disaggregate textiles and consumer electronics, the most visible sectors where China's presence is felt. We next look to the impact of China on direct foreign investment flows. Here our innovation is to distinguish vertical and horizontal foreign direct investment (FDI) and to consider how they are affected by supply‐chain relationships. We then look more closely at factors influencing the articulation of these supply chains, the fragmentation of production, and the emerging international division of labor, focusing on two industries, electronics and autos, that exhibit very different responses. The results suggest that countries specializing in the production and export of components and raw materials feel positive effects from China's growth, while countries specializing in the production of consumer goods feel negative effects. Similarly, countries that compete with China for horizontal FDI find it more difficult to attract foreign investment as a result of that country's emergence, while countries that are potentially attractive destinations for vertical FDI find it easier to attract foreign investment as a result of trade links, especially in components and intermediates, that allow them to take advantage of supply chains involving their large and dynamically growing neighbor.     

对外直接投资的贸易效应研究--基于中国经验的实证分析

对外直接投资与出口贸易之间的关系一直是相关理论和实证研究的争论主题。运用引力模型,对中国FD I的贸易效应进行实证分析表明:中国对东道国的直接投资促进中国对东道国的出口,但对从东道国的进口却具有替代效应。因此,大力促进中国对外直接投资,是促进中国的对外出口、绕开东道国贸易壁垒的重要途径。     

中国和印度的贸易扩张:威胁还是机遇?

本文探讨了中印之间以及中印与其它国家之间的贸易竞争性和互补性。研究结果表明:(1)印度在第三方市场,尤其在服装、纺织品和皮革制品等方面,面临来自中国的强烈竞争;(2)中印之间的贸易增长具有一定潜力;(3)中国在中等技术行业对东亚各国、美国和大多数欧洲国家构成挑战,而印度主要对周边的南亚国家构成威胁;(4)在贸易的互补性方面,中国和印度大幅上升的进口为美国、欧洲和东亚一些国家,尤其是日本、韩国、马来西亚、新加坡和泰国的出口提供了扩张的机会。同时我们发现中国的出口结构正在发生变化,技术密集型和高科技产品的出口份额在增加,这表明从长期来看,由中国劳动密集型产品出口带来的挑战将会削弱。本文探讨了中印之间以及中印与其它国家之间的贸易竞争性和互补性。研究结果表明:(1)印度在第三方市场,尤其在服装、纺织品和皮革制品等方面,面临来自中国的强烈竞争;(2)中印之间的贸易增长具有一定潜力;(3)中国在中等技术行业对东亚各国、美国和大多数欧洲国家构成挑战,而印度主要对周边的南亚国家构成威胁;(4)在贸易的互补性方面,中国和印度大幅上升的进口为美国、欧洲和东亚一些国家,尤其是日本、韩国、马来西亚、新加坡和泰国的出口提供了扩张的机会。同时我们发现中国的出口结构正在发生变化,技术密集型和高科技产品的出口份额在增加,这表明从长期来看,由中国劳动密集型产品出口带来的挑战将会削弱。     

Foreign trade and early industrialisation in the Habsburg Monarchy and the United Kingdom — Two extremes in comparison

The concept of socio-ecological transitions is used to analyse the quantitative importance of physical imports and exports for the Habsburg Empire and the United Kingdom in the 19th and early 20th centuries. For the Habsburg Empire, a new dataset of foreign trade and social metabolism is presented. For the United Kingdom, the analysis relies on previously published data. Foreign trade volumes increased in both countries in the long run. Total trade volumes were much higher in the United Kingdom throughout the entire time period, on average by around a factor four. Physical factors explaining the disparities in structure and volume of foreign trade in the two countries are differences in (1) the temporal patterns of the socio-ecological transition and (2) domestic resource endowments. In both countries, energy carrying materials, i.e. fossil fuels and biomass, were the dominant resources in physical foreign trade. The analysis focuses on the physically most important material groups: coal, wood and cereals, and discusses the role of imports and exports in relation to domestic resource provision and environmental pressures. Physical foreign trade increased at a faster pace than domestic resource extraction and consumption. The socio-ecological transition was thus accompanied by rising international integration of resource supply.     

Does the role of observer countries in the regional trade agreement matter for intra-regional trade ?

This article investigates the effects of trade by observed economies on the intra-regional trade by South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) members using Poison pseudo maximum likelihood estimator (PPML) gravity models with panel data over the period 2008–2014. Eight SAARC members and eight observed countries, including the EU, are analysed in capturing the trade effect of observed economies on intra-regional trade in SAARC. This article provides an empirical measure of observers’ trade, FDI and Official development assistance (ODA) with SAARC if the exports and imports of observers to/from SAARC have positive or negative signs for intra-regional exports and imports. The results show that the exports and imports of observers to SAARC members have positive effects on bilateral exports among the members. The FDI of observers reduces the bilateral intra-imports in SAARC and ODA also has a negative effect on bilateral exports among the members. These results imply that the imports by SAARC members from observer countries increase intra-regional trade in the region. The FDI and ODA increase and decrease intra-regional trade in SAARC, respectively, implying that the policies for both FDI inflow from observers and efficient aid management are needed to increase regional welfare. The study also recommends that trade between SAARC members and its observers help to increase intra-regional trade in SAARC.