我国上市公司股利政策市场反应的实证分析

本文以股权分置改革作为切入点,选取沪市2005、2006、2007年进行股权分置改革上市公司的837个样本,采用累计超额收益率法,对不同性质股利政策的市场反应和不同支付水平现金股利的市场反应进行实证研究。结果发现,不同的股利政策会引起不同的市场反应,股票股利、混合股利和高支付水平的现金股利受到市场的欢迎,低支付水平的现金股利受到市场的冷落。这表明,我国证券市场与发达国家重视现金股利的成熟市场还有差距,但其市场有效性也比过去有所提高。     

试析上市公司股利政策

近些年来由于缺乏有效的监督和约束机制,上市公司股利政策很不稳定,随意性较强,严重损害了投资者的利益。针对这种现状,本文根据我国有关法规对上市公司股利分配的具体规定,首先分析了目前上市公司股利政策的特点,接着又从市场成熟程度、股权结构、筹资方式、经营业绩等方面分析了产生原因,最后推介了剩余股利政策、稳定股利政策、固定股利支付率政策、低正常股利加额外股利政策等四种股利政策,建议上市公司综合考虑相关因素选择一种符合自己特点和需要的股利政策。     

上市公司股利政策研究

文章通过对我国和西方国家上市公司股利政策的特点进行比较,分析产生差异的原因,由此找出我国上市公司股利政策的不足之处,提出完善和改进的建议。     

中国外部治理环境与上市公司现金股利政策间关系的实证研究

以中国沪深两市A股上市公司为研究样本,用现金股利支付意愿和现金股利支付水平衡量上市公司的现金股利政策,用市场化程度、政府干预程度、金融发展水平和法律保护水平反映外部治理环境,构建Logistic模型实证检验了中国外部治理环境与上市公司的现金股利政策的关系。研究发现:中国的外部治理环境越好,上市公司的现金股利支付意愿越强、支付水平越高;外部治理环境可以明显影响中国上市公司的现金股利政策。     

我国上市公司股利政策研究

上市公司股利分配政策关系到我国证券市场的健康发展,这是一个重要的问题。文章对我国上市公司股利分配的现状进行了分析,对其过程中存在的不合理现象进行了探讨,分析了出现上述现象的原因,并对调整和监督上市公司股利分配政策的问题提出了建议。     

我国上市公司股利政策研究

股利政策在股份制企业经营决策中占有重要地位,是企业的核心财务问题.因而股利分配政策一直为股份公司的利益相关者所密切关注.全文在对传统及现代股利政策理论的介绍和股利政策基本类型进行阐述的基础上,重点对我国上市公司的股利分配政策现状、选择股利政策应该考虑的因素进行了分析,并且针对存在的问题提出了相应的建设性意见.     

上市公司股利分配政策与其收益的实证分析

股利的发放来源于公司的自由现金流量,因而股利支付水平与公司收益之间必然存在一种紧密的联系。本文利用2004年沪、深两市上市公司的相关数据,采用实证分析的方法,对股利分配政策与上市公司的收益水平之间的关系及可能的原因进行了分析,表明我国上市公司股利分配政策与其收益确实存在着相关关系,收益水平越高,相应的股利支付水平也越高。     

盈余变动与股利分配行为选择：基于我国上市公司的实证研究

多元logit分析结果表明，上市公司的股利变化与盈余变化具有一定的相关性，但无论盈余如何变化，上市公司倾向于不分配股利；分年度对上市公司股利分配行为选择的研究表明，我国上市公司不分配股利的倾向经历了急剧上升又有所下降的过程。     

我国上市公司股利政策有效性实证研究

本文运用回归分析方法,分析了我国上市公司股利政策传递盈利能力的有效性,以及与盈利能力增长的相关性。得出,股利政策尤其是现金股利在一定程度上反映了上市公司盈利的信息,具有一定的信号显示功能。上市公司高派现有助于公司绩效的提高。     

上市公司股利政策与公司可持续发展关系的研究

文章针对我国上市公司派发现金红利的公司数量少、不分配股利的现象严重、股利分配缺乏连续性和稳定性、股市投机性强的现状 ,指出公司应采取剩余股利政策、固定或持续增长的股利政策、固定股利支付率政策、低正常股利加额外股利政策以及可选择股利分配政策等。在权衡所有者与经营者利益 ,并充分考虑影响盈利分配的各种因素如交易成本、税收、融资成本、股东偏好等来确定公司最优的股利分配政策。     

Dividend policy and earnings: a study of short- and long-term causality

This research examines whether earnings per share (EPS) and dividends per share (DPS) exhibit a short and long causality. The data employed in this study consist of quarterly EPS and DPS for 28 of the DJIA companies obtained from Bloomberg over a recent 10-year period. The companies under investigation all have EPS and DPS data available over the period studied. Dividends are generally paid out of earnings. The amount and timing of the dividend paid is a function of the respective company’s dividend policy. Therefore, the EPS_t can be expressed in terms of the DPS_t as follows: EPS_t = αDPS_t where α is a nonnegative constant. The equation suggests that there is a linear relationship between the EPS_t and the DPS_t. The results of this study indicate that bi-directional causality exists for some of the companies.     

To what extent do earnings affect the R&D decision of Chinese manufacturing firms?

ABSTRACT

As R&D activities are involved in inherent uncertainty of large investment, high risk and long return periods, earnings, as the main source of internal financing, have been a significant factor of R&D decision in the firms. In contrast to the previous research, this study investigates the impacts of firm’s earnings on R&D decision, in which earnings are measured by the indicators of earnings level, earnings quality and earnings persistence, while separating firm R&D activity into two stages of (i) the decision to undertake R&D activity and (ii) the amount to be invested on innovation activities. We document that earnings level can increase the probability of undertaking R&D activity, but has no effect on R&D investment intensity. Earnings quality and earnings persistence have a promotional effect on both stages of R&D decision. The empirical evidence of the subsamples shows that the impacts of earnings are heterogeneous across different ownership and technology-intensity firms.     

实证分析:盈余管理的市场反应

采用可以反映上市公司盈余管理的可操纵性应计利润指标建立套利组合模型检验了我国2001-2003年A股上市公司可以获得超额持有报酬率,从而证明了市场不能识破上市公司的盈余管理行为的假说。     

负盈余之信息内涵——以台湾上市公司为例

Hayn（1995）研究亏损公司的信息内涵时发现,当公司报导的盈余在某水准之上时,盈余与公司价值间会存在高度相关;当公司报导的盈余在某水准之下时,盈余与公司价值间的相关性趋近于零。过去文献大多强调负盈余公司较无信息内涵,依据Hayn（1995）的研究,在检视盈余与股票报酬时,样本中加入负盈余公司样本,会使盈余与股票报酬间的关系变得薄弱,此因投资人将负盈余视为暂时现象,投资人若不愿意承受企业有负盈余情况时,则可以随时将公司清算。但由于负盈余公司不一定执行清算选择权,使得负盈余可能是暂时现象,也有可能会持续发生。本研究通过探讨暂昤陆负盈余公司与持续性负盈余公司的信息内涵,结果显示暂时性负盈余公司较持续性负盈余公司具信息内涵。     

Large shareholders’ shareholding and earnings’ longitudinal persistence

This paper is the first to adopt longitudinal data analysis methods, such as the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis model, hierarchical linear model and Cox proportional hazards regression model, to investigate the relationship between large shareholders’ shareholding and earnings persistence. We find that large shareholders’ shareholding has a negative effect on corporate longitudinal persistence. The large shareholders’ shareholding will increase the risk of earnings decline and strengthen the declining trend of earnings. The effects of large shareholders’ shareholding on earnings’ longitudinal persistence for SOEs are different from those for non-SOEs, the effects in the pre-crisis period are also different from those in the post-crisis period. These findings contribute to the literature by adopting longitudinal data analysis methods and present new empirical evidence on the economic consequences of large shareholders’ shareholding.     

股权质押与大股东双重择时动机

择时动机是大股东决策和行为的重要影响因素,股权质押行为为我们提供了一个透明的研究视角。文章以大股东决策中可能存在的股票市场和信贷市场双重择时动机为考察对象,研究发现：大股东的股权质押意愿和质押规模与股票错误定价显著正相关,即上市公司股价被高估会推动大股东股权质押;相对于信贷紧缩时期,大股东在信贷宽松时期更愿意进行股权质押,且质押规模更大;股票错误定价和信贷政策会同时影响大股东的股权质押意愿和规模。文章结果表明,大股东股权质押存在对股票市场和信贷市场的双重择时动机。文章的研究结论拓展了关于市场择时和股权质押的研究文献,而且有助于深化对大股东决策动机以及大股东股权质押影响因素和经济后果的理解。     

Voluntary zero-dividend paying firms: characteristics and performance

We investigate the characteristics of ‘voluntary zero dividend paying’ firms and their subsequent performance. We define NDR_HP (no dividends or repurchases, with high profitability) firms as those with profits above the industry median and yet pay out zero dividends (including share repurchases). Signalling, agency, residual dividend, and life cycle theories explain firm characteristics and dividend payouts, to which we add the novel variables CEO overconfidence and market competition. We discover that growth opportunity, capital expenditure, and CEO overconfidence are positively related to NDR_HP. In addition, we find that the NDR_HP group outperforms all other groups in terms of future performance.     

我国上市公司盈余管理阈值研究——基于前景理论视角

文章从前景理论的视角对我国上市公司为了追求和超越市场阈值与政策阈值而实施的盈余管理行为进行研究,发现前景理论能较好的解释各种阈值两侧管理层的风险态度以及风险和收益之间的权衡关系,同时也检验了前景理论在我国的适用性。     

The effect of managerial ability on dividend policy: how do talented managers view dividend payouts?

We contribute to the literature on dividend policy by relaxing Miller and Modigliani’s (1961) perfect capital market assumptions and incorporating a factor that has not been investigated before, that is, variation in managerial ability. Based on more than 24 000 observations across over 20 years (1989–2011), our results show that firms with more talented executives are more likely to pay dividends and, among firms that pay dividends, pay significantly larger dividends. A rise in managerial ability by one SD raises the propensity to pay dividends by 27% and, for firms that pay dividends, increases dividend payouts by 29%. Our results are consistent with the notion that talented managers, confident in their ability to keep the firm profitable, are more willing to pay larger dividends because they are less concerned about having to reduce dividends in the future. Further analysis shows that our results are not likely vulnerable to endogeneity.