俄罗斯经济增长原因及对中围经济发展的启示

俄罗斯经济转型后,经过10年的发展,保持了持续发展的势头.但是,稳定的市场经济秩序仍未建立,在很大程度上经济的基本框架还没有完全确立,还需要进行经济体制的改革.对俄罗斯经济发展的原因进行解读,对中国的经济发展有借鉴意义.从这个视角对中国经济的发展进行了初步的探析,并在理论层面进行了论证.     

论中俄自由贸易区建立的必然性与前景展望

发展与俄罗斯的睦邻互信伙伴关系,建立稳定的周边环境,是中国外交以及对外经济发展的长期目标。随着经济的持续快速发展,中国对地区多边合作的态度,已从90年代初的谨慎观望变得更为积极主动,力争在地区事务中发挥重要作用,树立负责任大国的形象。建立中国-俄罗斯自由贸易区则是中国对邻国贸易的关键一步,也是中国经济发展的需要。本文将从中国整个对外经济发展战略出发,着重就中国—俄罗斯自由贸易区构想出台的国际反响、建立中国-俄罗斯自由贸易区的必然性,以及问题前景等做出分析和探讨。     

中、日、俄输油管道的合作博弈分析

1994年俄罗斯石油企业向中方提出修建从西伯利亚到中国东北地区石油管道的建议,即“安大线”。这条输油管道从经济方面分析,主要来自中俄双方的需求。一方面俄罗斯拥有丰富的石油资源,石油出口在经济中占有重要地位,因此开辟东方石油出口市场,对于俄罗斯经济发展具有重要意义。另一方面中国经济发展迅速,1993年成为石油进口国,石油需求量增长较快,俄罗斯丰富的石油资源对中国产生了巨大的吸引力。2001年,随着中俄经贸关系的进一步发展,“安大线”建设又提上了两国经贸合作的议事日程,     

金砖会议后的中国经济发展空间

金砖会议是金砖五国召开的经济会议简称,其中囊括了全球最大的五个新兴市场国家,分别是巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国、南非.本文对金砖会议之后中国经济发展形势进行分析和探讨,并且提出建议,旨在促进中国经济的快速发展.     

俄罗斯创新发展战略及其实施效应

当今世界,创新能力正逐渐成为一国经济发展的决定性因素和提高本国竞争力的核心所在.随着经济转轨的深化,为了加快经济结构的调整与优化,发展创新经济成为俄罗斯的必然选择.目前,创新发展战略已经成为俄罗斯经济转轨和长期经济发展规划的重要内容,而提高企业自主创新能力也成为转变经济增长方式的关键环节.本文在分析俄罗斯创新发展动因的基础上,阐述了俄罗斯创新战略的任务、目标及保障措施,深入研究了俄罗斯实施创新发展战略带来的正负效应.     

俄罗斯“创新型经济战略”评析及其对中国的启示

"资源依赖型"经济发展模式使俄罗斯经济在取得显著增长的同时也深受"石油诅咒"的困扰。"后危机"时代,面对"荷兰病"的严重威胁,俄罗斯从"资源依赖型经济"向"创新型经济"转型的战略选择已刻不容缓。但是,受制于人力资本不足、资金短缺、路径依赖和外部风险等因素的影响,俄罗斯"创新型经济战略"的前景不容乐观。文章试图通过对俄罗斯从"资源依赖型"向"创新型经济"转型的背景、路径和前景进行分析,寻求其对于中国经济持续稳定发展的启示和借鉴意义。     

俄罗斯数字经济框架下的人工智能及立法概况

本文介绍了俄罗斯在发展数字经济框架下的人工智能的现状,分析了俄罗斯人工智能与数字经济发展的关系,阐述了俄罗斯数字经济立法情况,重点探讨了俄罗斯对人工智能技术研发及立法的考虑,并提出了一些启示和建议,供我国人工智能立法参考。     

新形势下要着力推动中俄经贸结构调整转型

近年来,随着中俄两国战略伙伴关系的稳步推进及两国经济的持续增长,双边经贸合作快速发展,贸易规模不断扩大。2010年,中国超过德国成为俄罗斯最大的贸易伙伴,双边贸易额超过550亿美元。但同年,俄罗斯却被巴西取代,位列中国主要贸易伙伴国的第十一位。中俄经贸合作只限单一的贸易领域,其局限性是显而易见的。俄罗斯入世不仅对其自身社会经济发展和国际贸易产生深远影响,也会给中俄经贸合作的深入发展带来新机遇。如能有效推进中俄加速经济融合,可能为推进泛亚洲经济圈创造条件。这既可增加中俄在政治安全上的共同利益,同时中国还可借力在国际舞台上争取更多的话语权,并在一定程度上遏制美国所提出和推进的跨太平洋伙伴关系协议(TPP)对中国的负面影响。     

俄罗斯经济增长与发展问题辨析

迄今为止,人们对俄罗斯的经济增长与发展之间的关系问题研究得并不深入。俄经济增长与发展之间的关系存在着不协调甚至脱节现象。这是造成俄罗斯在经济快速增长条件下社会经济发展缓慢的重要原因。本文考察了俄罗斯经济增长的基本态势和俄过旺追求经济增长速度的原因,然后分析了俄罗斯为实现快速经济增长而付出的沉重代价;在此基础上进一步分析研究了俄     

经济学术会议信息

<正>"转型国家经济发展战略及其与中国的合作"学术会议征文通知2008年以来,金融危机对转型国家的经济发展和转型带来了新的挑战,国家经济发展战略调整和定位问题成为这些国家新的战略抉择问题。2012年是俄罗斯的总统选举年,其他一些转型国家也面临着领导人更迭。转型国家特别是俄罗斯的国家经济发展战略是否会出现新的调整?这种调整将会带来怎样     

Women and the social economy in transitional Russia

The present article analyses the role of the social economy in transitional Russia and its consequences for women. The changes in the economic system in the former Soviet Union and its effects is often analysed in general terms. One interesting aspect is whether the changes have similar effects on men and women. The aim here is to highlight how women's situation changes when the economic system changes and how Russian women adapt to these changes. Three types of activities which are carried out by women within the social economy are discussed below, where each of these activities are built on strategies for survival from the Soviet period: distribution of vital goods in rural areas, distribution of information to women and production of services. Although the social economy has a considerable gap to fill in Russia, this has not yet implied that the cooperative sector flourishes. Instead there is a danger that women go from paid work in the state sector to non-paid work within the voluntary sector.     

DEMOCRACY IN REFORMING COLLAPSED COMMUNIST ECONOMIES: BLESSING OR CURSE?

From a political standpoint, post-communists systems include both democratic and non-democratic nations. From an economic standpoint, they include both collapsing and expanding economies. All four logical possibilities exist for post-communist political and economic systems. The Czech Republic is an example of a democratic political system and an expanding economic system. Russia is an example of a democratic political system and a collapsing economic system. China is an example of a non-democratic political system and an expanding economic system. North Korea is an example of a non-democratic political system and a collapsing economic system. The fact that all four logical possibilities exist suggests that democracy is neither necessary nor sufficient for good economic performance. However, democracy is certainly a value in itself that requires certain basic institutions, including free and fair elections, the orderly transfer of power to those elected, the rule of law and the separation of powers, and the protection of individual freedoms and basic liberties, including those of speech, press, religion, assembly, property, and economic opportunity. Economic policies, rather than the form of government, determine the results for an economy. Russia and China, the two largest socialist economies, followed very different economic policies and experienced radically different outcomes. The failure of “shock therapy” economic policies for transition to a market economy in Russia is related to its use of the Washington Consensus SLP package of stabilization, liberalization, and privatization, as recommended by the World Bank and the IMF. The success of Deng's economic policies for transition to a market economy in China is related to its rejection of the SLP in favor of the ICG approach of institutions, competition, and government. Other interesting cases are those of the Czech Republic and North Korea. Those nations in which both political and economic reforms have been simultaneously successful, such as the Czech Republic, are generally small, homogeneous European nations with a historic work ethic, with a relatively short period of socialism, and with support from neighboring advanced industrialized nations. There is great difficulty in simultaneously establishing both democracy and a market economy without a very special set of circumstances. Thus, it is necessary to determine a sequence for political and economic reform. Ultimately, however, the ideal of both democracy and a market economy may be attained even in nations without special circumstances and external assistance, with Russia eventually turning its economy around and with China eventually reforming politically into a democratic nation.     

列宁对俄国资本主义发展的经济史考察及其方法论特色——读《俄国资本主义的发展》

19世纪末 ,列宁继承马克思等经典作家对欧洲 ,尤其是对英国资本主义发展的经济史考察的传统 ,运用马克思主义的基本经济理论 ,对俄国农奴制改革以来资本主义在工业、农业部门的发展进行了经济史的考察和分析 ,不仅阐明了马克思主义的一些基本原理 ,大大发展了马克思主义 ,而且是列宁领导俄国革命的理论和现实依据。 2 0世纪 4 0年代 ,毛泽东对近代中国社会发展阶段和社会性质的考察和分析 ,提出新民主主义理论 ,可以看作是马克思、恩格斯、列宁的这一经济史考察传统的继承和发扬。     

俄罗斯经济全球化发展的进程、现状及反思

经济全球化是当今世界经济发展大势所趋.俄罗斯从解体至今,经济的发展历程艰难曲折,如今经济进入了增长阶段,已经融入到世界经济全球化体系当中.研究与探索俄罗斯经济全球化发展的进程、现状,对我国的经济建设实践有着重要的借鉴意义.     

The Lost Promise of Democratic Socialism in Russia

To explain the failure to create democratic socialism in Russia after the 1917 Bolshevik Revolution, I apply Thorstein Veblen’s vision of economic democracy as a cure for vested interests. In late imperial Russia, many socialist thinkers imagined socialism primarily in terms of workplace democracy, worker ownership, local governance, and economic decentralization. Their vision was destroyed, first, by Bolshevik policies and then by Stalin’s tyrannical command economy. Thereafter, vested interests reemerged in the Soviet Union as an underground economy, rife with theft of public resources, and then, with the beginning of transition, capitalism in its most neoliberal form was restored.     

俄罗斯入世给中俄经贸合作带来的机遇和挑战

随着俄罗斯经济的复苏，其加入WTO的时刻也日益迫切。俄罗斯入世后，其经贸条件、投资环境、相关法律等都将发生明显变化，对中俄经贸合作将产生重大影响。     

Analysis and Forecast of the State of Environmental Protection in Russia

The main purpose of the present study is to analyse the emission dynamics of atmospheric and water pollutants in Russia and cost of their removal in the 1980s and early 1990s, and to forecast them by means of a Dynamic Input–Output Model according to different scenarios of future economic development till 1998. Main results of the work are:– methodological principles have been elaborated for singling out the environmental protection sector within the national economy;– a method has been offered for including the ecological block into a Dynamic Input–Output Model of the Russian economy;– a method of data preparation has been elaborated for the ecological block of the above-named model, the data base which characterizes the ecological situation in Russia has been formed and analysed;– calculations for 1994–1998 have been executed for forecasting the economic and ecological development of Russia using the above-mentioned model and the results obtained have been analysed. The results showed that if the existing tendencies towards low environmental protection capital costs remain the same, then the negative environmental impact will increase. In order to implement ecological programs and international agreements, to increase the proportion of removed pollutants, it is necessary to increase substantially expenditures on purifying water and air resources. The proportion of environmental protection investments in the total amount of the national economy capital costs should increase by up to 12–40% according to different scenarios of the economic development and different purposes of the environmental protection policy.     

拓宽中国特色社会主义经济学的研究视野--从多向比较揭示规律性

为深化中国特色社会主义经济学研究、认识中国经济发展的特殊规律，必须进行多向的比较分析，包括对中国经济自身发展历史阶段的比较分析、同苏联模式的比较分析、同俄罗斯和东欧等“转型“”国家的比较分析、同发展中国家的比较分析、同西欧发达国家的比较分析，在比较中鉴别，为理论升华开拓广阔的视野。     

对俄经济合作的新思考

加强和扩大对俄合作一直是我国的重要外交政策.随着中俄经济关系的不断发展,又出现了新的变化和特点.在市场经济条件下,构筑新型中俄经济合作关系,不断开拓黑龙江省对俄新的合作领域和深层次合作内容,寻找新的合作增长点是目前两国经贸关系发展的基本方向,尤其对两国发展地方经济合作关系具有巨大的潜力和广阔的前景,并对振兴东北老工业基地具有十分重要的意义.     

Ukraine's unconsidered losses from the annexation of Crimea: What should we account for in the DCFTA forecasts?

In March 2014 Crimea unilaterally declared its independence from Ukraine and joined the Russian Federation. The separation of a part of a state's territory and economy is an interesting matter to examine. The economy of Ukraine has not only shrunk, but also changed its structure as Crimea had a quite distinct production pattern compared to the rest of Ukraine. Moreover, policy measures initialized before the separation may have different effects once applied only to a part of the former economy. This paper proposes a strategy to model the separation of part of an economy and its inclusion into another country and applies this strategy to the case of Crimea, Ukraine, and Russia. Having constructed a model for the new geographical and economic situation, we reinvestigate the possible effects of a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement between Ukraine and the EU and compare the results for the situation with Crimea as part of Ukraine. We find that the annexation of Crimea leads to severe economic losses for Ukraine which are partly overproportional compared to Crimea's economic size. These negative effects can be compensated by implementing the DCFTA with the EU as we also show in our model results.