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1.
曾辉 《中国保险》2011,(5):54-55
巨灾风险证券化是指将巨灾风险进行证券化处理,利用从资本市场筹集的资金化解巨灾风险的一种融资方式。自1992年12月11日美国芝加哥商品交易所正式推出巨灾保险期货以来,已有美国、日本、欧盟等多个国家和地区采用了证券化的方式以分散巨灾风险,巨灾风险证券化的形式也由巨灾保险期货发展到包含巨灾保险期货、巨灾保险期权、巨灾债券、巨灾互换等。  相似文献   

2.
商业化、事前补偿的巨灾保险是巨灾风险管理发展的趋势.我国应该逐步构建以政府为主导,涵盖政府、保险公司、再保险公司、资本市场和潜在受灾者五个主体的巨灾风险管理模式.在实际运作中,要考虑巨灾保险承保、保险公司巨灾风险转移和区分潜在客户等.  相似文献   

3.
在我国,农业遭受的自然灾害较为严重,灾害种类多样,受灾范围广泛,其中带来的损失十分严重的灾害主要是地震、洪水、台风这三类巨灾.但是目前我国尚未建立起有效的农业巨灾损失补偿机制,通过建立农业巨灾保险体系箭在弦上.农业巨灾保险对保护广大农民的利益,维持国家经济稳定有着积极的作用.但是我国农业巨灾保险还存在着有效需求不足,立法不完善,政府财政补贴不足,保险市场与再保险市场不完善等问题.本文认为我国可以建立以政府为主导政府和市场相结合的中国农业巨灾保险模式,同时可以加强立法,增加政府财政支持,建立农业巨灾保险基金,研究农业巨灾保险资本产品,促使农业巨灾再保险市场的大力发展,这样可以促进农业巨灾保险在我国的发展与完善.  相似文献   

4.
近年来,频繁发生的农业巨灾对我国经济发展造成了严重影响,建立农业巨灾保险制度迫在眉睫.农业巨灾保险基金是分散农业巨灾风险的一种有效手段,也是农业巨灾保险制度建设的关键环节.本文在分析其他国家巨灾保险基金运作模式的基础上,提出构建我国农业巨灾保险基金的设想,并就农业巨灾保险基金的财政税收支持政策、核心机构建设、资金来源和...  相似文献   

5.
刘玮  郭静 《保险研究》2021,(1):22-39
我国重大自然灾害频发,导致政府财政救灾与灾后重建等涉灾支出波动较大,影响经济平稳运行,探索平滑财政涉灾支出波动风险的机制具有重要的现实意义。本文通过构建政府财政对地震巨灾救灾与重建支出负担积累模型,根据我国1990~2018年的地震损失数据,预测2019~2026年地震巨灾财政指数保险不同保险金额下,我国地震巨灾财政涉灾支出负担积累的变动情况,并以此检验保险可以平滑财政涉灾支出波动风险~((1))的效果。研究结果表明:政府购买地震巨灾财政指数保险可以有效地平滑财政涉灾支出波动性风险,且波动性随着地震巨灾财政指数保险赔付的增加而减小;当地震巨灾财政指数保险保额分别为50亿元、100亿元、150亿元和200亿元时,可以使财政涉灾支出负担积累分别下降0.0019%、0.0028%、0.0033%和0.0047%。鉴于此,目前我国部分地区实施的巨灾财政指数保险试点可以起到平滑财政涉灾支出的波动性风险,具有推广性。  相似文献   

6.
天气指数保险:我国农业巨灾风险管理工具创新   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
针对我国近几年来,农业巨灾频繁发生、损失影响较大的问题,本文在分析农业保险等传统巨灾风险管理工具使用现状及劣势的基础上,提出我国应积极发展天气指数保险这种新型农业巨灾风险管理工具,进一步有效分散农业生产过程中面临的巨灾风险。  相似文献   

7.
本文分析了传统农业巨灾风险应对手段的缺陷,阐述了利用气象指数保险管理农业巨灾风险的优势,并通过墨西哥利用降雨量指数保险管理农业巨灾的案例分析,提出了我国发展农业巨灾气象指数保险的若干建议。  相似文献   

8.
商业化、事前补偿的巨灾保险是巨灾风险管理发展的趋势。我国应该逐步构建以政府为主导,涵盖政府、保险公司、再保险公司、资本市场和潜在受灾者五个主体的巨灾风险管理模式。在实际运作中,要考虑巨灾保险承保、保险公司巨灾风险转移和区分潜在客户等。  相似文献   

9.
通常有两种方式建立巨灾保险基金,一种方式是为每一种巨灾风险建立单独基金,另一种方式是为所有的巨灾风险建立一个联合基金。本文在构建巨灾保险基金规模函数的基础上,从理论上比较了两种方式的基金规模,通过理论推导发现巨灾保险基金规模随着风险容忍度的降低而增加,在风险容忍度相同时,联合巨灾保险基金的规模不大于分别建立巨灾保险基金的规模之和。本文选取地震和洪水这两种巨灾风险进行实证研究,通过实证发现,对于我国财产保险业而言,在巨灾保险基金成立初期,巨灾承保比例为40%时对应的巨灾保险基金规模为289.22亿元。  相似文献   

10.
论发展我国的巨灾保险连接证券   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
近年来,保险市场与金融衍生品市场的互动发展已经成为国际金融市场的一种趋势,各种金融创新产品不断涌现,其中巨灾保险连接证券发展较为迅速。如何借鉴国际经验,发展我国的巨灾保险连接证券,对我国具有重要意义。本文在阐述发展我国巨灾保险连接证券必要性的基础上,分析了我国发展巨灾保险连接证券的可行性和难点,并提出了若干政策建议。  相似文献   

11.
On March 18, 2004, the London International Financial Futures and Options Exchange launched trading in Eurodollar futures contracts in an attempt to compete with a U.S. rival, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange responded to the challenge by introducing several policy changes that aided the transfer of its trading volume in Eurodollar futures from open outcry to the electronic trading platform, Globex, thereby retaining its market share. We compare trading volume, effective spread, and price discovery in Eurodollar futures at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange before and after the London International Financial Futures and Options Exchange began trading the same contract. We find a general increase in trading volume on Globex beginning October 2003, way before the London International Financial Futures and Options Exchange launched its contract. Globex provides greater price discovery than open outcry during the entire time period under study. Our research thus supports the global trend of conversion of traditional open outcry systems into electronic exchanges.  相似文献   

12.
This article presents a valuation model of futures contracts and derivatives on such contracts, when the underlying delivery value is an insurance index, which follows a stochastic process containing jumps of random claim sizes at random time points of accident occurrence. Applications are made on insurance futures and spreads, a relatively new class of instruments for risk management launched by the Chicago Board of Trade in 1993, anticipated to start in Europe and perhaps also in other parts of the world in the future. The article treats the problem of pricing catastrophe risk, which is priced in the model and not treated as unsystematic risk. Several closed pricing formulas are derived, both for futures contracts and for futures derivatives, such as caps, call options, and spreads. The framework is that of partial equilibrium theory under uncertainty.  相似文献   

13.
Capital, corporate income taxes, and catastrophe insurance   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
We provide estimates of the equity capital needed and the resulting tax costs incurred when supplying catastrophe insurance/reinsurance using a partial equilibrium model that incorporates a specific loss distribution for US catastrophe losses. After consideration of insurer investment in tax-exempt securities, tax loss carry-back/forward provisions, and personal taxes, our results imply that the tax costs of equity finance alone have a substantial effect on the cost of supplying catastrophe reinsurance. These results help explain a variety of industry developments that reduce tax costs. Also, when coupled with non-tax costs of capital, these results help explain the limited scope of catastrophe insurance/reinsurance.  相似文献   

14.
近年来,境外金融市场相继推出人民币衍生品,如场外人民币无本金交割远期(NDF)、美国芝加哥商品交易所(CME)人民币期货和期货期权产品等。文章介绍了境内外人民币远期产品的交易情况,并利用近一年的交易数据对三个市场价格的相关性、拟合程度以及相互引导关系进行了深入分析,认为境内外人民币衍生品市场的互动性较强,国内银行间外汇市场对境外市场价格具有一定的引导作用,人民币汇率定价权并未如部分人士认为的那样旁落境外。  相似文献   

15.
我国巨灾频发,巨灾保险潜在需求巨大,但由于成本过高、缺乏技术和相关法律制度等原因,巨灾保险供给严重不足。为扩大巨灾保险供给,应借鉴国际成功经验,结合我国国情,走政策性支持的商业化巨灾保险道路。通过建立强制性巨灾保险基金、发展再保险市场、完善相关立法和提高公众风险防范意识等分散巨灾风险。  相似文献   

16.
This paper analyzes observed prices of US temperature futures at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). Results show that an index modeling approach without detrending captures the prices exceptionally well. Moreover, weather forecasts significantly influence prices up to 11 days ahead. It is shown that valuations of temperature futures relying on a model without detrending yield biased valuations by overpricing winter contracts and underpricing summer contracts. Several trading strategies are devised to exploit the mispricing observed at the CME and to demonstrate that speculating on temperature futures can not only generate high overall returns, but also perform well on a risk-adjusted basis.  相似文献   

17.
Within four months of the stock market crash on October 19, 1987, there were six studies of what happened. The Brady Commission, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the Securities and Exchange Commission, the General Accounting Office, the New York Stock Exchange, and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange all produced reports that described and analyzed the Crash, and in some cases made recommendations for additional regulation. This paper examines the conclusions and analyses contained in these reports and provides a summary of their recommendations. Particular attention is given to the allegation that stock index futures trading was a significant factor in the Crash. In addition, the recommendations that higher margins be imposed on futures transactions and that formal trading halts be instituted in both the futures and stock markets are discussed in depth. A major conclusion of this review is that new market-making procedures are needed to cope with the growing institutionalization of trading in equity and equity-derivative markets. Columbia University  相似文献   

18.
在市场化的巨灾保险机制运行过程中,信息不对称所引发的风险识别问题容易导致巨灾保险合同偏离最优均衡状况进而诱发市场失灵,因此,合理有效的识别投保人的风险类型显得尤为重要。在以信息经济学中的逆向选择与信号传递理论为基础,利用不完全动态信息博弈模型对巨灾保险中的风险识别模式进行研究后的结果表明,后验风险识别模式同样可以有效甄别投保人的风险状况,风险分离均衡后的巨灾保单可以在多期的合同中达到精练贝叶斯均衡。  相似文献   

19.
We propose an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process with seasonal volatility to model the time dynamics of daily average temperatures. The model is fitted to approximately 45 years of daily observations recorded in Stockholm, one of the European cities for which there is a trade in weather futures and options on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Explicit pricing dynamics for futures contracts written on the number of heating/cooling degree-days (so-called HDD/CDD futures) and the cumulative average daily temperature (so-called CAT futures) are calculated, along with a discussion on how to evaluate call and put options with these futures as underlying.  相似文献   

20.
On October 5, 2001, when credit spreads were widening, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange CME de-listed the full menu of emerging market Brady bond futures contracts. This is intriguing because at a time when interest in hedging and speculating in emerging market sovereign credit risk should be at its peak, the CME de-listed precisely the sort of contract designed to hedge and speculate in sovereign credit risk. This paper finds statistical evidence suggesting that the developing over the counter CDS contract acted as a substitute product for the Brady bond futures contract thereby undermining the Brady bond futures contract and contributing to its demise.  相似文献   

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