中韩工业制成品的贸易竞争关系分析

作为当今全球最重要的双边经贸关系之一,中韩贸易发展迅速,两国已互为重要的贸易伙伴。利用贸易竞争力指数、产业内贸易指数、GHM指数对中韩工业制成品的贸易竞争关系进行实证分析,结果显示：中韩双边工业制成品以产业间贸易为主,产业内贸易为辅;劳动密集型制成品、技术和资本密集型制成品以产业间贸易和低质量垂直型产业内贸易为主。两国的制成品贸易互补性强,中国相对处于产业分工的低端。为提升中国制成品的贸易竞争力,应采取加强技术自主研发、完善双边贸易合作机制、加快产业结构调整等措施。     

新一代信息技术产业的空间集聚研究

基于对中国31个省市新一代信息技术产业区位熵和Moran''s I指数的测算，考量新一代信息技术产业的空间集聚状况。结果显示：中国的新一代信息技术产业总体上呈现较高水平的空间集聚，特别是在中国东部地区表现显著，且其产业集聚的空间差异会受到经济发展水平、空间相关性、信息技术应用等因素的影响。鉴此，建议开拓网络经济新空间，推动“互联网+”、发展信息技术新优势及深化信息体制改革等，以促进其产业集聚发展。     

FDI and Economic Development: Evidence from China’s Regional Growth

Abstract:

Using China’s provincial data for 1978–2011, we examine the channels through which foreign direct investment (FDI) affects China’s regional growth and inequality. We find that FDI facilitates growth by enhancing physical and human capital accumulation. FDI also has a negative effect on output growth by crowding out domestic investment, reducing local government revenue, and increasing the opportunity cost of technology innovations. The imbalance of FDI inflows among regions widens the interregional growth gap through its effect on physical capital accumulation and technology progress while it narrows the growth gap by affecting the level of higher education, industrial structure, government revenue, degree of openness, and trade surplus.     

语言产业经济发展基础及发展建议

语言是人类经济活动中一种重要且特殊的资源,具有经济属性。作为新兴产业,语言产业具有低耗能、低污染、高产出等"绿色"产业的特点,符合我国经济发展形势和产业发展阶段性特征,理应成为新的经济增长点。目前我国的语言产业是一个亟需政策引导和措施鼓励的领域,仍存在只重视汉语国际推广的力度而不重视汉语产业的培育、语言产业相关的信息化技术发展不足、为特殊群体提供语言服务的人才储备不足等问题。管理和决策部门应制定促进语言产业发展的政策和措施,并从制定语言产业国家战略、加强信息科学技术与语言产业的结合、加强语言产业相关的人才的培养和储备等方面着手,推动我国语言产业快速、高效、稳步地走向国际市场。     

Abatement Efforts,Technological Progress,and Pollution Control in China’s Industrial Sector

This article examines the roles of abatement efforts and the technological progress in the pollution control of China’s industrial sector. Based on StoNED model, as a measurement of the technological progress, the total factor productivity (TFP) of China’s industry is estimated by using panel input?output data of the industrial sector at provincial level, and then, the impact of abatement efforts and TFP on the emissions of SO2 and COD in China’s industry is investigated. The results show that (i) there is too much statistical noise in input?output data of China’s industry, and it could lead to an underestimate of TFP if all deviations from the production frontier are attributed to inefficiency; (ii) improving TFP has greater impact on the reduction of the industrial SO2 and COD than increasing abatement efforts does, although improving TFP does not exert statistically significant effect on COD emission.     

“丝路经济带”九省市经济金融竞争力评价

深入剖析丝绸之路沿线国内段九省市的综合发展实力,探索不同发展战略定位下省 区市竞合协同发展路径,对全面发展丝绸之路经济带具有重要意义。本文从经济发展竞争力、 环境设施与可持续发展竞争力、科技创新与财富竞争力、金融发展竞争力、对外开放竞争力五 个维度建立指标评价体系,运用分类主成分分析法全面衡量九个省市经济金融发展的分项和综 合竞争力,将九省市分为三个发展梯度,形成资源聚集与要素流动的直观剖析。在此基础上,利 用聚类分析法得出丝绸之路经济带区域经济关联的着力点与经济发展的增长极,并最终得出处 于不同梯度省区市间开展基于优势竞争力的产业间合作的三大有效路径。     

Regional Energy Efficiency of China’s Commercial Sector: An Emerging Energy Consumer

This article applies a parametric metafrontier method and the Malmquist index to analyze the energy efficiency and its dynamic performance in China’s commercial sector from 1995 to 2013. The results indicate that the energy efficiency in China’s commercial sector is generally low, and there are significant regional differences and enormous energy-saving potentials. Relative to metafrontier, commercial sectors in eastern China have relatively higher energy efficiency; while those in central and western China have relatively low energy efficiency. Besides, the dynamic energy efficiency performance in China’s commercial sector has improved over the period. The technology improvement is a major driving factor to improve the energy efficiency in the commercial sectors of all the three regions.     

中国零部件贸易比较优势与技术含量：结构与演变研究

基于中国5位数分类349种零部件产品的比较优势与技术含量指数,考量中国零部件产品出口与技术结构的演化特征,结果显示:中国零部件产品的比较优势与出口技术含量均有所提高,其中,高技术含量零部件产品出口竞争力提升尤为显著。结论表明,中国零部件贸易正在经历从低技术含量零部件产品出口到高技术含量零部件产品出口的出口转化阶段。中国零部件的出口结构仍然存在很大的改进空间。     

我国制造业出口技术结构的 动态变迁及驱动因素分析

构建行业层面的出口技术水平指数,采用行业面板数据和系统GMM方法,实证研究了我国制造业出口技术结构的动态变迁及其影响因素。从出口构成来看,我国制造业出口呈现"双峰"分布:一个峰以服装、纺织业等劳动密集型行业为中心,另一个以机械、电气用品、运输设备制造业等资本或者技术密集型行业为核心。样本期间我国制造业出口技术水平显著上升,在很大程度上是源于FDI、进口贸易的作用;人力资本和研发投入也起到了促进作用,但研发投入却存在滞后效应。     

Total Factor Productivity and Energy Intensity: An Empirical Study of China’s Cement Industry

China is the largest cement producer and consumer in the world. The cement industry’s rapid growth has led to a large demand of energy. This study reviews China’s cement industry in terms of energy intensity and examines the effects of technological progress on energy intensity. It also discusses the feasibility of achieving China’s energy reduction targets. We employ the Granger causality test and find that the total factor productivity or technological progress causes the energy intensity of the cement industry. Impulse responses analysis also proves that in the long run the technological change contributes to the decline in energy intensity of cement production.