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1.
2010年底,中央决定将适度宽松的货币政策调整为稳健的货币政策,这是宏观政策导向的一个重要变化。近年来,安徽省经济增长对信贷资金的依存程度逐年提高,稳健货币政策的实施必将对安徽经济产生重大影响。本文在介绍稳健货币政策出台的背景、内涵、目标以及政策工具的基础上,分析了稳健货币政策下安徽经济发展面临的机遇和挑战,进而从多角度提出应对措施。  相似文献   

2.
2011年,是中国货币政策转型,重新实施稳健货币政策的第一年,而欠发达地区,作为货币政策传导的最后一层,其社会经济水平与货币政策的相互影响,通常被人们所忽略。本文以喀喇沁旗为例,分析金融机构经营行为与稳健货币政策传导的相互影响,以了解稳健货币政策在欠发达地区的实施效果。  相似文献   

3.
因势求变     
2007年末的中央经济工作会议明确提出,2008年要实施稳健的财政政策和从紧的货币政策。货币政策从“稳健”转为“从紧”,发出的强烈政策信号,意味着实施十年之久的稳健的货币政策可能“功成身退”。  相似文献   

4.
王勇 《海南金融》2007,(4):9-12
2006年的中央经济工作会议提出,稳健的货币政策依然是2007年货币政策的主基调.鉴于稳健货币政策的重要性,本文用一种全新的视角来对我国稳健货币政策的深刻内涵、运行效应以及经济适用性等展开分析,并在此基础上根据新的经济形势对稳健货币政策操作提出若干新建议.  相似文献   

5.
2011年和2012年稳健货币政策的异同2011年货币政策方向转变为稳健,2012年的中央经济工作会议确定继续实行稳健的货币政策。同样是稳健的货币政策,但实际实施起来,是存在异同点的。相同点在于"稳健"。稳健货币政策提出的背景是国际金融危机。为尽快摆脱  相似文献   

6.
多年以来我国一直实行积极的财政政策和稳健的货币政策,党中央、国务院审时度势,把握全局,根据我国当前经济金融发展形势,从去年下半年及时实行了由稳健的货币政策到适度从紧的货币政策再到从紧的货币政策。做出这一重大宏观调控政策调整决策,是完全符合我国当前经济金融发展实际的。  相似文献   

7.
2010年12月3日,中其中央政冶局会议提出要实施稳健的货币政策,此举意味着国际金融危机后实施的适度宽松货币政策正式转向“稳健”,而这正契合了我国经济形势发展的需要。与此同时,稳健货币政策也有了更为丰富的内涵。  相似文献   

8.
为适应国内外经济金融形势的变化, 1998年以来,我国及时制定实施了稳健的货币政策。总体看,稳健的货币政策在抑制通货紧缩趋势,支持经济稳定增长中发挥了积极的作用,但仍有多方面的制约因素影响其应有效果。本文旨在通过观察福建省经济金融领域呈现的变化趋势,探讨与分析稳健的货币政策在当地的实施效应及其制约因素,并从基层实践的角度提出我们的看法与对策建议。   一、稳健货币政策的背景与实施   随着经济体制改革的推进与深化,中央银行金融宏观调控方式逐步由直接转向间接。 90年代后期,特别是 1997年亚洲金融危机以后,…  相似文献   

9.
多少年来,我国先后实施过积极的货币政策、稳健的货币政策、适度从紧的货币政策等等。而近十年来一直采取的是稳健的货币政策。出乎意料的是,2007年中央经济工作会议直接提出了“从紧的货币政策”。彰显中央防止经济增长由偏快转为过热、防止价格由结构性上涨演变为明显通货膨胀的决心。  相似文献   

10.
稳健货币政策的成效初步显现,这已是有目共睹。实施稳健的货币政策,是中央综合分析国内外形势作出的重要决策。自去年底中央经济工作会议提出要实施稳健货币政策以来,我国根据经济金融形势变化情况,综合运用多种贷币政策工具,合理安排货币工具组合、期限结构和操作力度,加强流动性管理,使国民经济朝着宏观调控的预期方向发展。  相似文献   

11.
I.F. Clarke 《Futures》1985,17(2):170-184
With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.  相似文献   

12.
融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.  相似文献   

13.
银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…  相似文献   

14.
Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.  相似文献   

15.
Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.  相似文献   

16.
国家新出台的助学贷款政策,还不过是既有的框架下的局部调整,存在诸多不完善的地方。为此,对国家助学贷款应构建高校与就业单位的“双担保”机制。从长期来看,要构建一个系统有效的“政府部门管理和商业银行运作相结合”、“多层次、多渠道、多方式”、“担保和非担保、贴息和非贴息、市场和非市场运作互相补充”的中国教育金融框架。  相似文献   

17.
在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.  相似文献   

18.
目前江苏省内人民银行各县(市)支行与其市中心支行的网络互联是通过专线经中国电信的x.25分组交换网实现的,没有其它备份线路,一旦线路或路由器出现故障,电子联行、银行信贷登记咨询、货币发行管理等业务系统就不能与中心支行的业务系统实现正常通信,这不仅会影响本行业务工作的正常进行,甚至可能会影响上级行业务系统的正常运行.针对这一问题我们首先想到的解决方法是,购买一个路由器作为备份路由器,再租用一条其它方式的远程连接线路作为备份线路,这样的备份设备费用至少15万~2万元.如果采用Windows 2000 Server(或者Windows NT Server 4.0),使用其免费提供的请求拨号路由服务,就能实现临时应急备份路由.下面对Windows2000的请求拨号路由及其安装配置做一详细说明.  相似文献   

19.
The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.  相似文献   

20.
一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…  相似文献   

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